Wallet ledger

0xc613…662b

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

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Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (249 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes	Open	5	0¢	$3	+31200%	2027-01-01
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes	Open	1	1¢	$1	+7073%	2026-12-31
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? Yes	Open	5	1¢	$1	+3550%	2025-11-23
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	1	0¢	$1	+11993%	2026-12-31
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	1	1¢	$1	+4749%	2026-10-04
Will Vuk Jeremić be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? Yes	Open	2	1¢	$1	+7080%	2026-02-28
Will David Choquehuanca be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? Yes	Open	2	1¢	$1	+6700%	2026-02-28
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes	Open	1	1¢	$0	+2534%	2026-12-09
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes	Open	1	0¢	$0	+6177%	2027-01-01
Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? Yes	Open	3	1¢	$0	+781%	2026-12-31
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? Yes	Open	4	1¢	$0	+1063%	2025-11-23
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes	Open	6	1¢	$0	+389%	2026-10-10
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	5	1¢	$0	+481%	2026-12-31
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes	Open	3	0¢	$0	+2588%	2027-01-01
Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes	Open	4	1¢	$0	+374%	2027-01-01
Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes	Open	6	0¢	$0	+699%	2025-11-23
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? Yes	Open	2	1¢	$0	+319%	2025-11-23
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? Yes	Open	5	0¢	$0	+432%	2026-02-28
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? Yes	Open	2	0¢	$0	+998%	2025-11-23
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to 2 to 5 years in prison? Yes	Open	2	0¢	$0	+2050%	2026-10-31
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes	Open	5	1¢	$0	+208%	2025-11-23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes	Open	5	0¢	$0	+386%	2026-11-03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes	Open	5	0¢	$0	+274%	2027-01-01
Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes	Open	6	0¢	$0	+400%	2025-11-23
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026? Yes	Open	5	0¢	$0	+291%	2027-01-01
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	5	1¢	$0	+142%	2028-11-07
Will the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? Yes	Open	2	0¢	$0	+648%	2026-06-30
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? Yes	Open	2	1¢	$0	+225%	2027-01-01
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	2	1¢	$0	+335%	2027-04-30
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	1	1¢	$0	+203%	2028-11-07
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes	Open	3	1¢	$0	+198%	2026-10-10
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes	Open	6	0¢	$0	+142%	2027-01-01
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes	Open	1	1¢	$0	+158%	2027-01-01
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes	Open	2	1¢	$0	+199%	2025-11-23
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	3	1¢	$0	+124%	2028-11-07
Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Open	1	1¢	$0	+179%	2026-11-03
Pacifica FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes	Open	3	1¢	$0	+54%	2027-01-01
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes	Open	3	1¢	$0	+85%	2026-10-10
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes	Open	1	0¢	$0	+552%	2025-11-23
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes	Open	40	0¢	$0	+30%	2026-12-31
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	1	1¢	$0	+99%	2028-11-07
Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes	Open	1	1¢	$0	+128%	2027-01-01
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? Yes	Open	2	0¢	$0	+173%	2027-01-01
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes	Open	1	0¢	$0	+283%	2027-01-01
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	4	0¢	$0	+62%	2026-12-31
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	1	1¢	$0	+54%	2028-11-07
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes	Open	3	0¢	$0	+83%	2026-12-31
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	2	0¢	$0	+87%	2027-04-30
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes	Open	2	0¢	$0	+101%	2027-01-01
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	1	1¢	$0	+47%	2028-11-07
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? Yes	Open	3	0¢	$0	+98%	2027-01-01
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Open	1	1¢	$0	+55%	2026-11-03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes	Open	1	1¢	$0	+25%	2027-01-01
Will Joshua Van be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? Yes	Open	4	0¢	$0	+32%	2026-12-31
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes	Open	1	1¢	$0	+38%	2027-01-01
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	3	0¢	$0	+43%	2026-12-31
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes	Open	1	1¢	$0	+43%	2026-10-10
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes	Open	1	1¢	$0	+34%	2027-01-01
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes	Open	5	0¢	$0	+49%	2026-12-31
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	2	0¢	$0	+20%	2028-11-07
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes	Open	4	0¢	$0	+46%	2026-12-31
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes	Open	1	0¢	$0	+50%	2027-01-01
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes	Open	5	0¢	$0	+27%	2026-12-31
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes	Open	5	0¢	$0	+18%	2026-12-31
Will Robert Whittaker be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	4	0¢	$0	+12%	2027-01-01
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	3	1¢	$0	+2%	2028-11-07
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes	Open	1	0¢	$0	+17%	2026-12-31
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	1	0¢	$0	0%	2028-11-07
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes	Open	1	0¢	$0	0%	2026-09-13
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-3%	2027-04-30
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? Yes	Open	1	0¢	-$0	-24%	2027-01-01
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-13%	2026-09-30
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-26%	2026-10-05
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes	Open	1	0¢	-$0	-59%	2026-12-06
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	1	0¢	-$0	-70%	2027-04-30
Will the Centre Party (C) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes	Open	1	0¢	-$0	-67%	2026-09-13
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	1	0¢	-$0	-34%	2026-12-31
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	1	0¢	-$0	-74%	2027-04-30
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	1	0¢	-$0	-36%	2026-09-30
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes	Open	1	0¢	-$0	-73%	2026-09-13
Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes	Open	1	0¢	-$0	-70%	2026-09-13
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? Yes	Open	1	0¢	-$0	-54%	2026-12-31
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-68%	2027-04-30
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-28%	2026-10-10
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-77%	2026-09-30
Will Sean Brady be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-77%	2027-01-01
Will Joaquin Buckley be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-77%	2027-01-01
Will Ante Delija be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-77%	2027-01-01
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-77%	2026-09-30
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-71%	2027-04-30
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes	Open	1	0¢	-$0	-83%	2027-01-01
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	1	0¢	-$0	-83%	2026-11-03
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-75%	2026-12-31
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	5	1¢	-$0	-4%	2028-11-07
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	1	0¢	-$0	-49%	2028-11-07
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes	Open	4	0¢	-$0	-60%	2026-11-03
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-68%	2027-04-30
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-23%	2027-01-01
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-75%	2027-04-30
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	1	0¢	-$0	-83%	2026-09-30
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? Yes	Open	4	0¢	-$0	-26%	2027-01-01
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-38%	2026-12-31
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-18%	2026-12-31
Will Belal Muhammad be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-76%	2027-01-01
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	1	0¢	-$0	-87%	2026-09-30
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-75%	2027-04-30
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? Yes	Open	3	0¢	-$0	-36%	2027-01-01
Will the Left Party (V) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-79%	2026-09-13
Will Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes	Open	1	0¢	-$0	-89%	2026-05-31
Will Armenian Revolutionary Federation win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes	Open	1	0¢	-$0	-89%	2026-05-31
Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes	Open	1	0¢	-$0	-89%	2026-05-31
Will Caio Borralho be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	0¢	-$0	-50%	2027-01-01
Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	0¢	-$0	-50%	2027-01-01
Will Jared Cannonier be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	0¢	-$0	-50%	2027-01-01
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-63%	2028-11-07
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-38%	2027-01-01
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-71%	2028-11-07
Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes	Open	3	0¢	-$0	-78%	2026-09-20
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-32%	2027-01-01
Will Chappell Roan be the top artist for 2026? Yes	Open	3	0¢	-$0	-53%	2026-12-31
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	4	0¢	-$0	-72%	2026-11-03
Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes	Open	3	0¢	-$0	-75%	2026-10-05
Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes	Open	3	0¢	-$0	-75%	2026-10-05
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-85%	2026-12-31
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-75%	2028-11-07
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-86%	2026-12-31
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	1	0¢	-$0	-89%	2026-10-04
Will Mada Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-90%	2026-05-31
Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-90%	2026-05-31
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-20%	2027-01-01
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes	Open	4	0¢	-$0	-75%	2026-12-31
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-91%	2028-11-07
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-31%	2028-11-07
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes	Open	4	0¢	-$0	-76%	2026-12-06
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	3	0¢	-$0	-78%	2026-11-03
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-78%	2026-10-10
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-73%	2028-11-07
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-91%	2028-11-07
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-92%	2028-11-07
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-46%	2028-11-07
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-77%	2027-01-01
Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-93%	2026-05-31
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-63%	2027-01-01
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	5	0¢	-$0	-72%	2026-11-03
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-76%	2028-11-07
Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-88%	2026-05-31
Will Union Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-88%	2026-05-31
Will Dignity Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-88%	2026-05-31
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-92%	2026-12-31
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-31%	2027-01-01
Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes	Open	5	0¢	-$0	-74%	2026-09-13
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-56%	2027-01-01
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-72%	2026-12-31
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-63%	2028-11-07
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	3	0¢	-$0	-73%	2027-04-30
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes	Open	5	0¢	-$0	-75%	2026-09-20
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-93%	2028-11-07
Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes	Open	5	1¢	-$0	-15%	2027-01-01
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-43%	2026-12-09
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-52%	2028-11-07
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	3	0¢	-$0	-67%	2027-04-30
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	3	0¢	-$0	-84%	2028-11-07
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	5	0¢	-$0	-76%	2027-04-30
Will Marlon Vera be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-85%	2027-01-01
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-71%	2028-11-07
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-74%	2028-11-07
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-64%	2026-11-03
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-78%	2028-11-07
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-59%	2028-11-07
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes	Open	2	0¢	-$0	-88%	2026-12-06
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-93%	2026-12-31
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-75%	2026-10-10
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-63%	2028-11-07
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-74%	2028-11-07
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-92%	2028-11-07
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-79%	2027-04-30
Will Progressive Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-95%	2026-05-31
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes	Open	4	0¢	-$0	-63%	2026-12-31
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-70%	2026-10-31
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-95%	2026-12-31
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-72%	2027-01-01
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-70%	2026-12-31
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	3	0¢	-$0	-89%	2028-11-07
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-79%	2028-11-07
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-75%	2028-11-07
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-63%	2027-01-01
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes	Open	1	1¢	-$0	-86%	2026-10-10
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes	Open	5	1¢	-$0	-36%	2026-10-10
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	5	0¢	-$0	-62%	2027-04-30
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	5	0¢	-$0	-62%	2027-04-30
Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist for 2026? Yes	Open	5	0¢	-$0	-63%	2026-12-31
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	3	0¢	-$0	-88%	2028-11-07
Will National Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes	Open	5	0¢	-$0	-83%	2026-05-31
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-78%	2026-10-10
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-91%	2028-11-07
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-58%	2027-01-01
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-92%	2028-11-07
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes	Open	4	0¢	-$0	-88%	2026-12-06
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-93%	2028-11-07
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-95%	2026-11-03
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-92%	2028-11-07
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes	Open	5	0¢	-$0	-75%	2027-01-01
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-92%	2028-11-07
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-68%	2027-01-01
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-86%	2028-11-07
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	4	1¢	-$0	-74%	2028-11-07
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-92%	2026-10-04
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-47%	2028-11-07
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	5	1¢	-$0	-38%	2028-11-07
Will Mario Bautista be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-92%	2027-01-01
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? Yes	Open	4	1¢	-$0	-74%	2027-01-01
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026? Yes	Open	4	1¢	-$0	-77%	2026-12-31
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes	Open	4	1¢	-$0	-69%	2026-12-31
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-87%	2028-11-07
Will Cory Sandhagen be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-84%	2027-01-01
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	5	0¢	-$0	-89%	2028-11-07
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	4	1¢	-$0	-61%	2028-11-07
Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-87%	2026-11-03
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-81%	2027-01-01
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-96%	2026-10-04
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-85%	2026-12-31
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	6	1¢	-$0	-71%	2028-11-07
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	4	1¢	-$0	-92%	2028-11-07
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	4	1¢	-$0	-93%	2026-11-03
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	5	1¢	-$0	-90%	2028-11-07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes	Open	5	1¢	-$0	-76%	2026-10-10
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes	Open	4	1¢	-$0	-92%	2026-12-31
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? Yes	Open	2	1¢	-$0	-80%	2027-01-01
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes	Open	5	1¢	-$0	-91%	2026-12-31
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-94%	2026-11-03
Will Aiemann Zahabi be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	4	1¢	-$0	-82%	2027-01-01
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes	Open	17	0¢	-$0	-62%	2026-11-03
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes	Open	4	1¢	-$0	-93%	2027-01-01
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	9	1¢	-$0	-70%	2026-10-04
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	5	1¢	-$0	-65%	2028-11-07
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026? Yes	Open	4	1¢	-$0	-75%	2027-01-01
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	3	1¢	-$0	-91%	2026-12-31
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	5	1¢	-$0	-93%	2028-11-07
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes	Open	6	1¢	-$0	-50%	2026-10-10
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes	Open	5	1¢	-$0	-84%	2026-12-31
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Open	6	1¢	-$0	-75%	2028-11-07
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes	Open	5	1¢	-$0	-95%	2026-12-31
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? Yes	Open	32	0¢	-$0	-64%	2027-01-01
Will David Martinez be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	8	1¢	-$0	-85%	2027-01-01
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	19	1¢	-$0	-57%	2028-11-07
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	32	1¢	-$0	-93%	2026-11-03
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	66	0¢	-$0	-89%	2026-11-03
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes	Open	45	1¢	-$0	-94%	2026-12-31
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	124	0¢	-$1	-89%	2026-10-04

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