Wallet ledger

0xc249…8a61

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

392

Realized PnL

$2.1K

Win rate

50%

Realized edge

-0.010

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge -0.010 across 392 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.04, +0.02]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (119 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 Over	Open	1,363	84¢	$158	+14%	2026-08-27
1H Spread: Titans (-3.5) Seahawks	Open	236	52¢	$114	+94%	2026-08-24
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 0.5 Over	Open	893	84¢	$114	+15%	2026-08-26
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees	Open	500	46¢	$58	+25%	2026-09-29
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 Over	Open	599	79¢	$30	+6%	2026-08-27
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) Patriots	Open	600	45¢	$27	+10%	2026-09-10
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Yes	Open	127	38¢	$18	+38%	2026-09-11
Spread: Titans (-2.5) Jets	Open	600	45¢	$15	+6%	2026-09-13
Winston-Salem Open: Dino Prizmic vs Cruz Hewitt Dino Prizmic	Open	1,300	49¢	$14	+2%	2026-08-31
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5 Over	Open	392	81¢	$12	+4%	2026-08-26
Dolphins vs. Raiders Raiders	Open	54	59¢	$3	+9%	2026-09-13
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-29? No	Open	35	50¢	$3	+16%	2026-08-29
Solana Up or Down - August 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down	Open	15	41¢	$1	+22%	2026-08-24
Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score Yes	Open	14	49¢	$1	+12%	2026-08-25
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) Pittsburgh Pirates	Open	7	59¢	$1	+16%	2026-08-25
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers Yes	Open	18	42¢	$1	+8%	2026-08-31
Spread: Packers (-1.5) Packers	Open	88	43¢	$0	+1%	2026-09-13
Will Minnesota United FC vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw? No	Open	2	64¢	$0	+23%	2026-08-30
BNB Up or Down - August 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+6%	2026-08-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down	Open	50	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Philadelphia: Lois Boisson vs Oksana Selekhmeteva Lois Boisson	Open	49	50¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-31
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 2AM ET Up	Open	45	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score No	Open	3	39¢	$0	+14%	2026-08-31
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down	Open	31	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
BNB Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up	Open	10	49¢	$0	+3%	2026-08-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 2PM ET Down	Open	29	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down	Open	25	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down	Open	25	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down	Open	25	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down	Open	25	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down	Open	25	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down	Open	24	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down	Open	24	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down	Open	24	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down	Open	24	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down	Open	24	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down	Open	24	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down	Open	24	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10PM ET Up	Open	4	49¢	$0	+6%	2026-08-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down	Open	21	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 10AM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-24
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-24
HYPE Up or Down - August 24, 2PM ET Up	Open	10	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-24
HYPE Up or Down - August 24, 2PM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-24
BNB Up or Down - August 25, 3AM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-25
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 25, 3AM ET Up	Open	8	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-25
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up	Open	8	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-24
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 25, 3AM ET Down	Open	8	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-25
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 3AM ET Down	Open	15	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5 Over	Open	2	48¢	$0	+8%	2026-09-04
Solana Up or Down - August 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Solana Up or Down - August 24, 2AM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Solana Up or Down - August 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
XRP Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
XRP Up or Down - August 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
BNB Up or Down - August 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up	Open	10	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
XRP Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
BNB Up or Down - August 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 12AM ET Up	Open	10	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
XRP Up or Down - August 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
BNB Up or Down - August 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
BNB Up or Down - August 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down	Open	5	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-24
BNB Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
BNB Up or Down - August 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Solana Up or Down - August 24, 10AM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
BNB Up or Down - August 25, 3AM ET Up	Open	5	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-25
BNB Up or Down - August 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down	Open	10	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-25
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up	Open	10	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up	Open	10	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up	Open	4	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-24
Solana Up or Down - August 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down	Open	8	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 9PM ET Down	Open	4	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-25
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down	Open	4	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down	Open	7	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down	Open	6	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
BNB Up or Down - August 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down	Open	6	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
BNB Up or Down - August 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+3%	2026-08-24
BNB Up or Down - August 24, 2AM ET Up	Open	6	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Solana Up or Down - August 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down	Open	5	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
BNB Up or Down - August 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down	Open	5	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
BNB Up or Down - August 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down	Open	5	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
XRP Up or Down - August 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down	Open	5	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
XRP Up or Down - August 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down	Open	5	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
XRP Up or Down - August 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down	Open	5	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
XRP Up or Down - August 24, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down	Open	5	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down	Open	5	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
XRP Up or Down - August 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down	Open	5	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down	Open	4	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down	Open	4	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up	Open	2	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-24
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up	Open	2	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-24
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up	Open	2	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-24
BNB Up or Down - August 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down	Open	4	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down	Open	4	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down	Open	4	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-24
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-24
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-24
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 25, 6AM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
XRP Up or Down - August 23, 11PM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
XRP Up or Down - August 24, 7AM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
XRP Up or Down - August 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
BNB Up or Down - August 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up	Open	2	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
XRP Up or Down - August 24, 3PM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Solana Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
XRP Up or Down - August 24, 6PM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 7AM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
XRP Up or Down - August 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
XRP Up or Down - August 25, 3PM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-25
Solana Up or Down - August 25, 3PM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-25
BNB Up or Down - August 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down	Open	2	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
BNB Up or Down - August 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down	Open	1	49¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-24
BNB Up or Down - August 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up	Open	10	49¢	$0	0%	2026-08-24

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