ConvexlyWallet ledger
0xbd04…fbb0
This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).
Resolved positions
83
Realized PnL
$162.7K
Win rate
45%
Realized edge
+0.035
Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge +0.035 across 83 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.03, +0.11]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current open positions
Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (43 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.
| Open | 40,369 | 35¢ | $15.0K | +107% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 8,560 | 58¢ | $3.4K | +69% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 7,157 | 8¢ | $3.2K | +520% | 2026-11-01 | |
| Open | 5,204 | 17¢ | $2.7K | +292% | 2026-10-01 | |
| Open | 10,361 | 67¢ | $1.6K | +23% | 2027-01-03 | |
| Open | 7,823 | 45¢ | $1.5K | +41% | 2026-11-01 | |
| Open | 2,119 | 14¢ | $1.3K | +423% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 7,756 | 56¢ | $1.1K | +26% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 8,061 | 41¢ | $987 | +30% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 1,158 | 24¢ | $794 | +281% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 1,528 | 57¢ | $632 | +73% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 788 | 58¢ | $298 | +66% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 411 | 29¢ | $283 | +239% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 1,000 | 78¢ | $168 | +22% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 14,602 | 16¢ | $145 | +6% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 497 | 9¢ | $64 | +144% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 107 | 31¢ | $63 | +188% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 500 | 74¢ | $24 | +6% | 2026-06-16 | |
| Open | 1,179 | 18¢ | -$6 | -3% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 361 | 13¢ | -$9 | -19% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 53 | 33¢ | -$16 | -90% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 73 | 64¢ | -$31 | -66% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 1,129 | 4¢ | -$31 | -69% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 2,000 | 7¢ | -$36 | -28% | 2026-11-03 | |
| Open | 246 | 34¢ | -$60 | -72% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 809 | 12¢ | -$71 | -75% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 3,257 | 3¢ | -$83 | -82% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 520 | 47¢ | -$106 | -43% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 2,012 | 37¢ | -$131 | -18% | 1970-01-01 | |
| Open | 2,881 | 8¢ | -$208 | -94% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 1,000 | 36¢ | -$267 | -74% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 1,771 | 33¢ | -$531 | -92% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 6,071 | 25¢ | -$589 | -38% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 3,407 | 24¢ | -$630 | -77% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 5,108 | 19¢ | -$953 | -98% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 7,211 | 14¢ | -$973 | -97% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 5,000 | 29¢ | -$1.2K | -81% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 38,255 | 11¢ | -$1.8K | -42% | 2026-10-01 | |
| Open | 62,153 | 5¢ | -$2.7K | -86% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 12,505 | 25¢ | -$2.9K | -92% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 39,393 | 13¢ | -$4.3K | -83% | 2026-10-01 | |
| Open | 12,087 | 56¢ | -$4.6K | -67% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 23,596 | 38¢ | -$8.3K | -93% | 2026-08-31 |