Wallet ledger

0xbca0…9705

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions
950
Realized PnL
-$55.2K
Win rate
51%
Realized edge
+0.006

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge +0.006 across 950 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.01, +0.03]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (18 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.

Open13,33975¢$2.1K+21%2026-08-23
Open10,46367¢$695+10%2026-08-23
Open6,48971¢$451+10%2026-08-30
Open14233¢$35+74%2026-08-23
Open9559¢$23+42%2026-08-23
Open11180¢$9+11%2026-08-23
Open1580¢$2+19%2026-08-23
Open10176¢-$1-2%2026-08-23
Open52338¢-$13-7%2026-08-24
Open11922¢-$20-79%2026-08-23
Open49446¢-$98-43%2026-08-23
Open1,17625¢-$188-64%2026-08-23
Open9,45334¢-$2.1K-66%2026-08-23
Open9,88569¢-$2.6K-38%2026-08-23
Open9,78240¢-$2.9K-75%2026-08-23
Open12,28951¢-$3.5K-56%2026-08-30
Open13,39847¢-$4.1K-64%2026-08-23
Open16,06955¢-$4.8K-54%2026-08-23

Full skill analysis (Edge Score, calibration) →