Wallet positions

0xb95e…8b12

Current holdings from Polymarket, with the saved analysis of this wallet's resolved record.

Resolved positions

1211

Realized PnL

$1.6K

Win rate

57.2%

Realized edge

+0.3 pp

Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge +0.3 pp across 1211 resolved positions, 95% CI [-1.4, +1.9], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current holdings

111 positions returned. Up to 500 by current value; venue filters can omit holdings.

Checked 2026-10-21 14:10:46 UTC.

About this snapshot

Checked is our request time, not the venue's update time. Prices, values and PnL are venue snapshot figures; missing values show a dash. Held does not establish whether a market has resolved; Redeemable is the venue's flag. Snapshot PnL is separate from the saved resolved record above. This is not the full trading history.


Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 12? Yes	Redeemable	7.9741	11.13¢	0¢	$0.00	$13.04	-100.0%	2026-09-12
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 19? Yes	Redeemable	98.3333	0.77¢	0¢	$0.00	$5.50	-100.0%	2026-10-19
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 18? Yes	Held	50	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.25	$0.20	+400.0%	2026-10-18
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 21? Yes	Held	41.1842	97.12¢	97.6¢	$40.20	$0.20	+0.5%	2026-10-21
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 85 km/h or below in October? No	Held	2.2471	88.99¢	95.5¢	$2.15	$0.15	+7.3%	2026-11-01
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 1? Yes	Redeemable	20	0.5¢	0¢	$0.00	$0.06	-100.0%	2026-10-01
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C or higher on September 17? Yes	Redeemable	50	1¢	0¢	$0.00	>-$0.01	-100.0%	2026-09-17
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 13? Yes	Redeemable	20	0.1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.02	-100.0%	2026-10-13
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on October 22? Yes	Held	79.3375	1.26¢	1.2¢	$0.95	-$0.05	-4.8%	2026-10-22
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 4? Yes	Redeemable	1.0526	5¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.05	-99.9%	2026-10-04
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 20? Yes	Held	60	0.3¢	0.15¢	$0.09	-$0.09	-50.0%	2026-10-20
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 10? Yes	Redeemable	50	0.2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.10	-100.0%	2026-10-10
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on October 5? Yes	Redeemable	50	0.2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.10	-100.0%	2026-10-05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 25? Yes	Redeemable	50	0.2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.10	-100.0%	2026-09-25
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on October 11? Yes	Redeemable	50	0.2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.11	-100.0%	2026-10-11
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on September 22? Yes	Redeemable	99.9995	0.2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.20	-100.0%	2026-09-22
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 7? Yes	Redeemable	20	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.20	-100.0%	2026-10-07
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 6? Yes	Redeemable	50	0.5¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.25	-100.0%	2026-10-06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up	Redeemable	50.0014	2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.29	-100.0%	2026-09-17
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on October 7? Yes	Redeemable	100	0.3¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.30	-100.0%	2026-10-07
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 20? Yes	Held	48.0704	0.7¢	0.05¢	$0.02	-$0.31	-92.8%	2026-10-20
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 14? Yes	Redeemable	50.1296	1.13¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.44	-100.0%	2026-10-14
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on October 2? Yes	Redeemable	19.9956	2.5¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.50	-100.0%	2026-10-02
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 27? No	Redeemable	50	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.50	-100.0%	2026-09-27
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 5? Yes	Redeemable	100	0.5¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.50	-100.0%	2026-10-05
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 22? Yes	Held	27.0204	3.7¢	1.75¢	$0.47	-$0.53	-52.7%	2026-10-22
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 19? Yes	Redeemable	200	0.3¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.60	-100.0%	2026-10-19
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 30? Yes	Redeemable	10	7¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.70	-100.0%	2026-09-30
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 11? Yes	Redeemable	46.6666	1.49¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.74	-100.0%	2026-10-11
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4? Yes	Redeemable	156.338	0.42¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.79	-100.0%	2026-10-04
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 23? Yes	Redeemable	79.992	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.80	-100.0%	2026-09-23
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 20? Yes	Redeemable	85	2.29¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.81	-100.0%	2026-09-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up	Redeemable	1.3406	74.93¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.86	-100.0%	2026-09-17
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 1? Yes	Redeemable	14.99	6¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.90	-100.0%	2026-10-01
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 1? Yes	Redeemable	20	4.49¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.90	-100.0%	2026-10-01
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 12? Yes	Redeemable	49.9963	2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.00	-100.0%	2026-09-12
Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 26°C on September 18? No	Redeemable	100	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.00	-100.0%	2026-09-18
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 7? Yes	Redeemable	1.0638	93.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.00	-100.0%	2026-10-07
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? No	Redeemable	1.0683	93.59¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.00	-100.0%	2026-10-09
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 14? No	Redeemable	1.0989	90.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.00	-100.0%	2026-10-14
Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 25°C on September 16? Yes	Redeemable	1.1235	88.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.01	-100.0%	2026-09-16
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 7? Yes	Redeemable	1.1764	84.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.01	-100.0%	2026-10-07
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 24? No	Redeemable	1.2048	82.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.01	-100.0%	2026-09-24
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 13? Yes	Redeemable	1.2658	78.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.01	-100.0%	2026-10-13
Will Panama win on 2026-09-25? Yes	Redeemable	1.282	77.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.01	-100.0%	2026-09-25
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 17? No	Redeemable	1.3157	75.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.01	-100.0%	2026-10-17
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 14? No	Redeemable	1.4705	67.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.02	-100.0%	2026-10-14
Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on September 18? No	Redeemable	1.5384	64.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.02	-100.0%	2026-09-18
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? Yes	Redeemable	1.5384	64.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.02	-100.0%	2026-10-12
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 27? No	Redeemable	1.5625	64¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.02	-100.0%	2026-09-27
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on October 14? No	Redeemable	1.5625	64¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.02	-100.0%	2026-10-14
Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on September 23? Yes	Redeemable	1.6666	59.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.02	-100.0%	2026-09-23
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 3? Yes	Redeemable	1.9342	51.69¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.02	-100.0%	2026-10-03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up	Redeemable	1.5384	64.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.02	-100.0%	2026-09-17
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 1? Yes	Redeemable	2.6315	37.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.03	-100.0%	2026-10-01
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 9? Yes	Redeemable	2.9411	33.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.03	-100.0%	2026-10-09
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 8? Yes	Redeemable	136.1055	0.67¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.04	-100.0%	2026-10-08
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? Yes	Redeemable	4	25¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.04	-100.0%	2026-10-19
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 29? Yes	Redeemable	4.1666	23.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.04	-100.0%	2026-09-29
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 18? Yes	Redeemable	23.3612	2.97¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.04	-100.0%	2026-10-18
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 4? Yes	Redeemable	4.5454	21.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.04	-100.0%	2026-10-04
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on September 26? Yes	Redeemable	5.2631	18.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.04	-100.0%	2026-09-26
Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C on September 30? Yes	Redeemable	5.8823	16.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.04	-100.0%	2026-09-30
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 11? Yes	Redeemable	6.6666	14.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.04	-100.0%	2026-09-11
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on September 15? Yes	Redeemable	52.42	1.89¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.04	-100.0%	2026-09-15
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 8? No	Redeemable	10	10¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.04	-100.0%	2026-10-08
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 21? Yes	Redeemable	11.1111	8.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-21
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 12? Yes	Redeemable	11.2359	8.89¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-10-12
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 18? Yes	Redeemable	11.7222	8.53¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-18
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on September 21? Yes	Redeemable	12.5	8¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-21
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 12? No	Redeemable	12.5	8¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-12
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 13? Yes	Redeemable	15.8571	6.3¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-13
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 21? Yes	Redeemable	18.49	5.4¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-21
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 24? Yes	Redeemable	18.6666	5.35¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-24
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on September 27? Yes	Redeemable	19.1616	5.21¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-27
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 25? Yes	Redeemable	20.5102	4.87¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-25
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 23? Yes	Redeemable	21.25	4.7¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-23
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 26? Yes	Redeemable	24.894	4.01¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-26
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on September 15? Yes	Redeemable	25	4¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-15
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 11? Yes	Redeemable	25	4¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-11
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 4? Yes	Redeemable	27.182	3.67¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-10-04
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 12? Yes	Redeemable	33.3333	2.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-12
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on September 20? Yes	Redeemable	51.2303	1.95¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-20
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 9? Yes	Redeemable	51.4102	1.94¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-10-09
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on October 2? Yes	Redeemable	71.1275	1.4¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-10-02
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 19? Yes	Redeemable	190.3485	0.52¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-10-19
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 20? Yes	Redeemable	122.744	0.81¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 12? Yes	Redeemable	100	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-12
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on September 16? Yes	Redeemable	102.9334	0.97¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-16
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 1? Yes	Redeemable	170.9166	0.58¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-10-01
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on October 5? Yes	Redeemable	333.3333	0.29¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-10-05
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 13? Yes	Redeemable	164.09	0.6¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-10-13
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 11? Yes	Redeemable	200	0.49¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-10-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up	Redeemable	4.3478	22.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up	Redeemable	5.2631	18.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.06	-100.0%	2026-09-18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 30? No	Redeemable	16.6666	5.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.07	-100.0%	2026-09-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down	Redeemable	100	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.07	-100.0%	2026-09-18
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 13? Yes	Redeemable	9.0959	11.01¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.08	-100.0%	2026-09-13
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 16? Yes	Redeemable	109.986	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.10	-100.0%	2026-10-16
Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 26°C on September 16? No	Redeemable	300	0.4¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.20	-100.0%	2026-09-16
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on October 19? Yes	Redeemable	298.18	0.41¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.30	-100.0%	2026-10-19
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 7? Yes	Redeemable	12.5315	4.29¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.61	-100.0%	2026-10-07
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 19? Yes	Redeemable	50.0022	0.2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.76	-100.0%	2026-10-19
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15? No	Redeemable	3.641	54.92¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.04	-100.0%	2026-10-15
Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 27°C on September 14? Yes	Redeemable	5	40¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.06	-100.0%	2026-09-14
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 22? Yes	Redeemable	43.938	4.55¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.10	-100.0%	2026-09-22
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 16? Yes	Redeemable	58.3333	3.42¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.10	-100.0%	2026-09-16
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on September 13? Yes	Redeemable	61.3453	3.26¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.10	-100.0%	2026-09-13
Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 24? Yes	Redeemable	150	2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.00	-100.0%	2026-09-24
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 14? Yes	Redeemable	6.3866	46.97¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.08	-100.0%	2026-10-14
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on September 15? Yes	Redeemable	14.0845	70.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$10.14	-100.0%	2026-09-15

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