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Convexly

Wallet ledger

0xae3d…6b95

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions
471
Realized PnL
-$114
Win rate
93.6%
Realized edge
+1.8 pp

Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge +1.8 pp across 471 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.2, +3.5], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (16 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.

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