Wallet ledger

0xaaca…f5d5

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

1209

Realized PnL

-$28.7K

Win rate

62.2%

Realized edge

-0.6 pp

Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge -0.6 pp across 1209 resolved positions, 95% CI [-2.5, +1.3], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (168 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? Yes	Open	2,209	18¢	$1.8K	+471%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 2 Hull City AFC? Yes	Open	1,751	6¢	$1.6K	+1541%	2026-09-12
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? Yes	Open	2,305	31¢	$1.6K	+222%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Charlton Athletic FC 0 - 0 Portsmouth FC? Yes	Open	1,399	6¢	$1.3K	+1657%	2026-09-12
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-12? Yes	Open	1,302	28¢	$937	+257%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes	Open	1,178	6¢	$417	+578%	2026-09-12
Will Plymouth Argyle FC win on 2026-09-12? Yes	Open	599	40¢	$362	+153%	2026-09-12
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05? Yes	Open	1,617	28¢	$234	+53%	2026-09-05
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC end in a draw? Yes	Open	232	40¢	$141	+153%	2026-09-12
Will SS Lazio vs. AC Milan end in a draw? Yes	Open	7,641	28¢	$140	+7%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes	Open	261	6¢	$125	+774%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Al Taawoun Saudi Club 0 - 2 Al Hilal Saudi Club? Yes	Open	261	6¢	$118	+733%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Al Taawoun Saudi Club 2 - 3 Al Hilal Saudi Club? Yes	Open	261	6¢	$114	+709%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Al Taawoun Saudi Club 1 - 1 Al Hilal Saudi Club? Yes	Open	261	6¢	$114	+709%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Al Taawoun Saudi Club 2 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club? Yes	Open	261	6¢	$114	+709%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Al Taawoun Saudi Club 0 - 3 Al Hilal Saudi Club? Yes	Open	261	6¢	$114	+709%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Al Taawoun Saudi Club 2 - 2 Al Hilal Saudi Club? Yes	Open	261	6¢	$114	+709%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Al Taawoun Saudi Club 3 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club? Yes	Open	261	6¢	$114	+708%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Al Taawoun Saudi Club 2 - 1 Al Hilal Saudi Club? Yes	Open	261	6¢	$113	+700%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Al Taawoun Saudi Club 3 - 3 Al Hilal Saudi Club? Yes	Open	261	6¢	$110	+681%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Al Taawoun Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club? Yes	Open	261	6¢	$109	+678%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Al Taawoun Saudi Club 1 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club? Yes	Open	261	6¢	$107	+664%	2026-09-12
Will FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw? Yes	Open	963	33¢	$103	+32%	2026-09-05
Exact Score: Al Taawoun Saudi Club 1 - 2 Al Hilal Saudi Club? Yes	Open	261	6¢	$103	+636%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Al Taawoun Saudi Club 0 - 1 Al Hilal Saudi Club? Yes	Open	261	6¢	$95	+588%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Al Taawoun Saudi Club 1 - 3 Al Hilal Saudi Club? Yes	Open	261	6¢	$95	+588%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: AC Oulu 0 - 1 IF Gnistan? Yes	Open	154	7¢	$66	+614%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: AC Oulu 1 - 0 IF Gnistan? Yes	Open	157	8¢	$66	+525%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? Yes	Open	1,178	6¢	$52	+72%	2026-09-12
Will IF Gnistan win on 2026-09-12? Yes	Open	360	28¢	$50	+51%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? Yes	Open	1,178	6¢	$40	+55%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? Yes	Open	1,178	6¢	$28	+39%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 0 Cagliari Calcio? Yes	Open	328	6¢	$20	+104%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 1 Cagliari Calcio? Yes	Open	328	6¢	$20	+104%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 0 - 0 Fulham FC? Yes	Open	19	3¢	$18	+3119%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? Yes	Open	1,178	6¢	$16	+23%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 2 - 0 Cagliari Calcio? Yes	Open	328	6¢	$15	+79%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 2 - 1 Cagliari Calcio? Yes	Open	328	6¢	$15	+79%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes	Open	328	6¢	$15	+79%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: FF Jaro 1 - 1 Seinajoen JK? Yes	Open	34	12¢	$13	+317%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 0 Fulham FC? No	Open	147	92¢	$12	+9%	2026-09-12
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05? No	Open	46	41¢	$8	+43%	2026-09-05
Will Rosenborg BK vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw? Yes	Open	307	21¢	$8	+12%	2026-09-12
Will Samsunspor vs. Çorum FK end in a draw? No	Open	26	71¢	$8	+41%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 1 Fulham FC? No	Open	67	89¢	$7	+12%	2026-09-12
Will Stockport County FC win on 2026-09-12? No	Open	13	47¢	$7	+113%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 0 - 0 Cagliari Calcio? Yes	Open	328	6¢	$5	+28%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? Yes	Open	1,178	6¢	$4	+6%	2026-09-12
Will FC Twente vs. ADO Den Haag end in a draw? No	Open	70	86¢	$4	+7%	2026-09-12
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-09-12? No	Open	7	59¢	$3	+69%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Tampereen Ilves 2 - 2 FC Lahti? Yes	Open	4	6¢	$2	+733%	2026-09-12
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-09-12? No	Open	87	60¢	$1	+3%	2026-09-12
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-12? Yes	Open	246	13¢	$1	+4%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Cambridge United FC 2 - 3 Reading FC? No	Open	39	97¢	$1	+3%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Cambridge United FC 3 - 2 Reading FC? No	Open	40	97¢	$1	+3%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Blackburn Rovers FC 3 - 2 Millwall FC? No	Open	37	97¢	$1	+3%	2026-09-12
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-09-12? No	Open	90	41¢	$1	+2%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Rotherham United FC 2 - 3 Salford City FC? No	Open	31	97¢	$1	+3%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: IFK Mariehamn 3 - 2 Turun Palloseura? No	Open	31	97¢	$1	+3%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: IFK Mariehamn 2 - 3 Turun Palloseura? No	Open	31	97¢	$1	+3%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Colchester United FC 2 - 3 Crewe Alexandra FC? No	Open	33	97¢	$1	+3%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Gillingham FC 2 - 3 Tranmere Rovers FC? No	Open	40	97¢	$1	+2%	2026-09-12
Will FK Cukaricki Belgrade vs. FK Novi Pazar end in a draw? No	Open	140	70¢	$1	+1%	2026-09-12
Will Granada CF vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw? No	Open	80	72¢	$1	+1%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Barnet FC 3 - 2 Accrington Stanley FC? No	Open	14	96¢	$1	+4%	2026-09-12
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-09-12? Yes	Open	31	48¢	$0	+3%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: RC Strasbourg Alsace 2 - 3 AS Monaco FC? No	Open	13	96¢	$0	+3%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 3 - 0 Cagliari Calcio? Yes	Open	328	6¢	$0	+2%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: CA Mineiro 2 - 3 Fluminense FC? No	Open	55	98¢	$0	+0%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: 1. FC Köln 3 - 3 SV Werder Bremen? No	Open	184	98¢	$0	+0%	2026-09-12
Will FF Jaro vs. Seinajoen JK end in a draw? Yes	Open	27	27¢	$0	+2%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Girona FC 0 - 3 CD Castellón? Yes	Open	65	2¢	$0	+8%	2026-09-12
Will CD Maipu win on 2026-09-12? No	Open	17	71¢	$0	+1%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: FC Lorient 1 - 1 Toulouse FC? No	Open	15	86¢	$0	+1%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Al Khaleej Saudi Club 1 - 0 Al Nassr Saudi Club? No	Open	32	97¢	$0	+0%	2026-09-12
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12? No	Open	7	53¢	$0	+1%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: FC St. Pauli 1910 1 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg? Yes	Open	5	6¢	$0	+8%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Al Khaleej Saudi Club 2 - 3 Al Nassr Saudi Club? No	Open	13	96¢	$0	+0%	2026-09-12
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Philadelphia Phillies	Open	122	44¢	$0	+0%	2026-09-19
Exact Score: IFK Mariehamn 2 - 2 Turun Palloseura? Yes	Open	1	6¢	-$0	-92%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Mansfield Town FC 1 - 0 Huddersfield Town AFC? Yes	Open	3	5¢	-$0	-90%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: CA All Boys 2 - 1 CA San Telmo? Yes	Open	13	10¢	-$0	-15%	2026-09-12
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics Athletics	Open	42	39¢	-$0	-1%	2026-09-20
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-09-12? No	Open	12	93¢	-$0	-2%	2026-09-12
Will Racing Club Montevideo win on 2026-09-12? No	Open	44	49¢	-$0	-2%	2026-09-12
Will Doncaster Rovers FC win on 2026-09-12? Yes	Open	2	37¢	-$1	-100%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Rotherham United FC 0 - 1 Salford City FC? Yes	Open	11	7¢	-$1	-93%	2026-09-12
Will Seinajoen JK win on 2026-09-12? No	Open	76	53¢	-$1	-2%	2026-09-12
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-12? No	Open	165	54¢	-$1	-1%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Rotherham United FC 1 - 0 Salford City FC? Yes	Open	16	7¢	-$1	-93%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 2 - 2 Cagliari Calcio? Yes	Open	328	6¢	-$1	-6%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 0 - 1 Cagliari Calcio? Yes	Open	328	6¢	-$1	-6%	2026-09-12
New York Mets vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees	Open	63	62¢	-$2	-4%	2026-09-19
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Baltimore Orioles	Open	101	47¢	-$2	-3%	2026-09-19
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 2 Cagliari Calcio? Yes	Open	328	6¢	-$3	-15%	2026-09-12
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-09-12? Yes	Open	170	79¢	-$6	-4%	2026-09-12
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-09-12? Yes	Open	307	21¢	-$6	-10%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Colchester United FC 2 - 2 Crewe Alexandra FC? Yes	Open	123	6¢	-$7	-92%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: FC Twente 2 - 3 ADO Den Haag? No	Open	15	99¢	-$7	-49%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Al Taawoun Saudi Club 3 - 2 Al Hilal Saudi Club? Yes	Open	261	6¢	-$8	-49%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: FC Twente 3 - 2 ADO Den Haag? No	Open	20	96¢	-$9	-46%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: SS Lazio 2 - 3 AC Milan? No	Open	41	98¢	-$10	-24%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 3 - 3 Hull City AFC? Yes	Open	161	6¢	-$10	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 3 - 2 Cagliari Calcio? Yes	Open	328	6¢	-$10	-51%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: FF Jaro 2 - 3 Seinajoen JK? No	Open	33	97¢	-$11	-35%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 0 - 2 Cagliari Calcio? Yes	Open	328	6¢	-$11	-59%	2026-09-12
Will AC Oulu vs. IF Gnistan end in a draw? Yes	Open	360	28¢	-$14	-15%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 0 - 1 Hull City AFC? Yes	Open	234	6¢	-$14	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 3 Cagliari Calcio? Yes	Open	328	6¢	-$15	-76%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 2 - 3 Cagliari Calcio? Yes	Open	328	6¢	-$15	-77%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 3 - 3 Cagliari Calcio? Yes	Open	328	6¢	-$16	-84%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: AC Oulu 2 - 3 IF Gnistan? No	Open	35	97¢	-$16	-48%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 0 - 3 Cagliari Calcio? Yes	Open	328	6¢	-$17	-86%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 0 - 0 Hull City AFC? Yes	Open	272	6¢	-$17	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 3 - 2 Hull City AFC? Yes	Open	272	6¢	-$17	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 1 - 3 Hull City AFC? Yes	Open	306	6¢	-$19	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? Yes	Open	1,178	6¢	-$24	-34%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? Yes	Open	1,178	6¢	-$34	-48%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? Yes	Open	1,178	6¢	-$38	-53%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? Yes	Open	1,178	6¢	-$53	-73%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 1 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? Yes	Open	1,178	6¢	-$54	-75%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 0 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? Yes	Open	1,008	6¢	-$60	-96%	2026-09-12
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-09-12? No	Open	178	34¢	-$61	-100%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? Yes	Open	1,178	6¢	-$61	-84%	2026-09-12
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-09-12? No	Open	81	78¢	-$63	-100%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 0 - 2 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? Yes	Open	1,132	6¢	-$63	-91%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? Yes	Open	1,178	6¢	-$64	-89%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 1 - 3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid? Yes	Open	1,178	6¢	-$66	-91%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes	Open	1,399	6¢	-$73	-91%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Charlton Athletic FC 3 - 1 Portsmouth FC? Yes	Open	1,399	6¢	-$79	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Charlton Athletic FC 1 - 3 Portsmouth FC? Yes	Open	1,399	6¢	-$79	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Charlton Athletic FC 2 - 0 Portsmouth FC? Yes	Open	1,399	6¢	-$79	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Charlton Athletic FC 0 - 2 Portsmouth FC? Yes	Open	1,399	6¢	-$79	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Charlton Athletic FC 0 - 1 Portsmouth FC? Yes	Open	1,399	6¢	-$79	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Charlton Athletic FC 1 - 0 Portsmouth FC? Yes	Open	1,399	6¢	-$79	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Charlton Athletic FC 2 - 1 Portsmouth FC? Yes	Open	1,399	6¢	-$79	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Charlton Athletic FC 3 - 2 Portsmouth FC? Yes	Open	1,399	6¢	-$79	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Charlton Athletic FC 3 - 3 Portsmouth FC? Yes	Open	1,399	6¢	-$79	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Charlton Athletic FC 3 - 0 Portsmouth FC? Yes	Open	1,399	6¢	-$79	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Charlton Athletic FC 0 - 3 Portsmouth FC? Yes	Open	1,399	6¢	-$79	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Charlton Athletic FC 1 - 1 Portsmouth FC? Yes	Open	1,399	6¢	-$79	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Charlton Athletic FC 2 - 2 Portsmouth FC? Yes	Open	1,399	6¢	-$79	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Charlton Athletic FC 2 - 3 Portsmouth FC? Yes	Open	1,399	6¢	-$79	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 0 - 3 Hull City AFC? Yes	Open	1,479	6¢	-$89	-99%	2026-09-12
Will Barnet FC vs. Accrington Stanley FC end in a draw? Yes	Open	535	18¢	-$93	-100%	2026-09-12
Will Accrington Stanley FC win on 2026-09-12? Yes	Open	535	18¢	-$93	-100%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes	Open	1,751	6¢	-$98	-92%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 1 Hull City AFC? Yes	Open	1,751	6¢	-$106	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 3 - 1 Hull City AFC? Yes	Open	1,751	6¢	-$106	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 0 - 2 Hull City AFC? Yes	Open	1,751	6¢	-$106	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 1 - 2 Hull City AFC? Yes	Open	1,751	6¢	-$106	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 3 - 0 Hull City AFC? Yes	Open	1,751	6¢	-$106	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 1 - 1 Hull City AFC? Yes	Open	1,751	6¢	-$106	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 1 - 0 Hull City AFC? Yes	Open	1,751	6¢	-$106	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 0 Hull City AFC? Yes	Open	1,751	6¢	-$106	-99%	2026-09-12
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 3 Hull City AFC? Yes	Open	1,751	6¢	-$106	-99%	2026-09-12
Will Plymouth Argyle FC vs. Barnsley FC end in a draw? Yes	Open	599	40¢	-$236	-100%	2026-09-12
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-09-12? Yes	Open	868	34¢	-$295	-100%	2026-09-12
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-12? Yes	Open	7,641	28¢	-$356	-17%	2026-09-12
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-09-12? Yes	Open	727	52¢	-$379	-100%	2026-09-12
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-12? Yes	Open	2,209	18¢	-$385	-100%	2026-09-12
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-12? Yes	Open	955	45¢	-$429	-100%	2026-09-12
Will Lillestrøm SK vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw? Yes	Open	2,091	24¢	-$506	-100%	2026-09-12
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-09-12? Yes	Open	2,091	24¢	-$506	-100%	2026-09-12
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-12? Yes	Open	1,399	42¢	-$587	-100%	2026-09-12
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-12? Yes	Open	2,305	31¢	-$713	-100%	2026-09-12
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? Yes	Open	4,864	28¢	-$1.4K	-100%	2026-09-12
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? Yes	Open	4,488	64¢	-$2.9K	-100%	2026-09-12

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