ConvexlyWallet ledger
0xa2fc…b1b4
This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).
Resolved positions
169
Realized PnL
$25.7K
Win rate
49%
Realized edge
-0.047
Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge -0.047 across 169 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.10, +0.00]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current open positions
Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (13 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.
Doosan Bears | Open | 453 | 42¢ | $48 | +25% | 2026-08-12 |
Lotte Giants | Open | 180 | 50¢ | $39 | +43% | 2026-08-12 |
Kia Tigers | Open | 205 | 51¢ | $18 | +17% | 2026-08-12 |
| Open | 500 | 54¢ | $12 | +5% | 2028-01-01 | |
| Open | 295 | 90¢ | $12 | +5% | 2028-01-01 | |
NC Dinos | Open | 46 | 46¢ | $4 | +20% | 2026-07-29 |
| Open | 45 | 45¢ | $3 | +14% | 2026-08-11 | |
Doosan Bears | Open | 17 | 59¢ | $2 | +17% | 2026-07-29 |
| Open | 9 | 23¢ | $0 | +11% | 2026-08-08 | |
SSG Landers | Open | 8 | 41¢ | -$1 | -17% | 2026-08-12 |
| Open | 110 | 57¢ | -$3 | -4% | 2028-01-01 | |
NC Dinos | Open | 22 | 62¢ | -$3 | -25% | 2026-08-09 |
NC Dinos | Open | 68 | 56¢ | -$18 | -47% | 2026-08-23 |