Wallet ledger

0xa1d7…c6a2

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

Realized PnL

$1.3K

Win rate

46%

Realized edge

-0.021

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge -0.021 across 35 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.11, +0.06]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (4 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	40	44¢	$8	+43%	2026-10-04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes	Open	6	82¢	$1	+18%	2026-10-04
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	9	33¢	-$2	-80%	2026-10-31
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	78	7¢	-$5	-94%	2026-10-04

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