Wallet ledger

0x9f12…4e57

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

Realized PnL

$586

Win rate

30%

Realized edge

-0.113

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge -0.113 across 23 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.26, +0.06]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (3 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day? Yes	Open	50	5¢	$1	+45%	2027-12-31
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes	Open	104	24¢	-$5	-19%	2026-12-31
Will Trump resign before 2027? Yes	Open	365	5¢	-$8	-40%	2026-12-31

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