Wallet ledger

0x9e8e…8db8

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

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Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (218 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No	Open	55,000	50¢	$27.5K	+100%	2028-11-07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No	Open	45,000	50¢	$18.9K	+84%	2028-11-07
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No	Open	14,000	50¢	$6.7K	+96%	2028-11-07
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes	Open	2,216	28¢	$647	+105%	2027-01-01
Will "By Any Means" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No	Open	432	20¢	$346	+409%	2026-09-14
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes	Open	1,000	37¢	$315	+85%	2027-01-01
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No	Open	500	33¢	$180	+109%	2027-01-01
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes	Open	567	18¢	$109	+110%	2026-12-31
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? Yes	Open	492	54¢	$103	+39%	2026-12-18
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? Yes	Open	485	58¢	$99	+35%	2026-12-18
Will Trump say "Hyperliquid" in September? No	Open	300	53¢	$83	+52%	2026-09-30
Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond? No	Open	866	91¢	$76	+10%	2026-12-31
Will Trump say "Migrant Criminal" this week? No	Open	153	30¢	$73	+158%	2026-09-13
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Open	145	52¢	$62	+83%	2027-01-21
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? Yes	Open	569	42¢	$56	+24%	2026-12-18
No one announced as next James Bond? No	Open	1,712	76¢	$54	+4%	2026-12-31
Will Trump say "Discord" in September? No	Open	200	57¢	$54	+47%	2026-09-30
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? Yes	Open	762	0¢	$54	+2312%	2026-12-31
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes	Open	1,113	7¢	$53	+68%	2026-12-31
Will Trump say "Darth Vader" in September? Yes	Open	467	5¢	$49	+210%	2026-09-30
ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30? Yes	Open	1,563	19¢	$47	+15%	2026-09-30
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30? No	Open	78	34¢	$41	+151%	2026-10-01
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No	Open	500	90¢	$26	+6%	2026-12-31
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No	Open	700	66¢	$24	+5%	2026-12-31
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond? Yes	Open	881	1¢	$23	+196%	2026-12-31
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? No	Open	156	74¢	$20	+18%	2026-12-18
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary? No	Open	241	90¢	$20	+9%	2026-12-31
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? No	Open	55	54¢	$19	+65%	2027-01-01
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? No	Open	77	57¢	$17	+39%	2026-12-18
Richard Madden announced as next James Bond? Yes	Open	712	0¢	$15	+841%	2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No	Open	128	82¢	$15	+14%	2026-12-31
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes	Open	53	37¢	$15	+74%	2027-01-01
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? No	Open	500	84¢	$14	+3%	2026-12-31
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? Yes	Open	1,336	3¢	$14	+40%	2026-12-31
Will The Batman: Part II be delayed? No	Open	90	73¢	$13	+20%	2028-02-17
Trump on $250 bill this year? No	Open	200	91¢	$12	+7%	2026-12-31
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Khamzat Chimaev next? No	Open	100	84¢	$12	+14%	2027-07-18
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? No	Open	12	14¢	$10	+610%	2027-07-01
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No	Open	160	88¢	$10	+7%	2026-12-31
Will "Runner" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes	Open	45	78¢	$9	+26%	2026-09-14
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	30	51¢	$9	+59%	2027-01-21
Trump meets with Putin by September 30? No	Open	500	96¢	$8	+2%	2026-10-01
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No	Open	32	70¢	$8	+35%	2027-01-01
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? No	Open	61	87¢	$8	+14%	2027-01-01
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No	Open	500	82¢	$7	+2%	2026-10-31
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? Yes	Open	50	80¢	$7	+18%	2026-12-18
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026? No	Open	55	79¢	$7	+15%	2027-01-01
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Open	13	21¢	$6	+240%	2027-01-21
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? Yes	Open	28	72¢	$6	+30%	2026-12-18
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31? Yes	Open	540	2¢	$6	+48%	2027-01-01
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? No	Open	7	14¢	$6	+597%	2026-09-01
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Open	23	56¢	$6	+46%	2027-03-14
Will "Practical Magic 2" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No	Open	18	69¢	$6	+45%	2026-09-14
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No	Open	21	5¢	$5	+400%	2026-10-04
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? No	Open	27	83¢	$4	+19%	2026-10-04
Will "Digger" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes	Open	142	12¢	$4	+25%	2026-10-05
Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes	Open	10	26¢	$4	+142%	2026-09-28
Will Martin McDonagh win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	73	2¢	$4	+247%	2027-03-14
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No	Open	40	70¢	$4	+13%	2026-10-26
Will "Primetime" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes	Open	30	87¢	$4	+13%	2026-09-28
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by October 31, 2026? No	Open	35	86¢	$3	+11%	2026-11-01
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No	Open	88	57¢	$3	+7%	2026-10-26
Theo James announced as next James Bond? No	Open	50	93¢	$3	+7%	2026-12-31
Will Jesse Eisenberg win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	64	1¢	$3	+500%	2027-03-14
Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? No	Open	99	97¢	$3	+3%	2026-10-04
Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? No	Open	99	97¢	$3	+3%	2026-10-04
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? No	Open	98	97¢	$3	+3%	2026-10-04
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? No	Open	99	97¢	$3	+3%	2026-10-04
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31? No	Open	28	84¢	$3	+12%	2027-01-01
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? No	Open	46	94¢	$3	+6%	2026-10-04
Will Rodri be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? No	Open	30	90¢	$3	+10%	2026-12-31
Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? No	Open	72	96¢	$3	+4%	2026-10-04
Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? No	Open	60	96¢	$3	+5%	2026-10-04
Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? No	Open	58	96¢	$3	+5%	2026-10-04
Will Samara win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? No	Open	54	95¢	$2	+5%	2026-10-04
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? No	Open	54	95¢	$2	+5%	2026-10-04
Will Jordan Firstman win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	45	0¢	$2	+1800%	2027-03-14
Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? No	Open	88	97¢	$2	+3%	2027-12-31
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? No	Open	9	65¢	$2	+39%	2026-12-31
Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? No	Open	66	96¢	$2	+4%	2026-10-04
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	34	54¢	$2	+12%	2027-01-21
Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond? Yes	Open	717	0¢	$2	+111%	2026-12-31
Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? No	Open	5	50¢	$2	+79%	2027-02-14
Will Aaron Sorkin win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	52	1¢	$2	+370%	2027-03-14
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No	Open	43	83¢	$2	+5%	2026-12-31
Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? No	Open	47	97¢	$2	+4%	2026-10-04
Jonathan Majors as Kang? No	Open	20	85¢	$2	+9%	2026-12-18
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? No	Open	60	93¢	$2	+3%	2027-01-01
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? No	Open	38	45¢	$2	+9%	2026-12-18
Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? No	Open	60	97¢	$2	+3%	2026-10-04
Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? No	Open	73	98¢	$1	+2%	2026-10-04
Will Samara win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? No	Open	73	98¢	$1	+2%	2026-10-04
Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? No	Open	54	97¢	$1	+3%	2026-10-04
Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? No	Open	54	97¢	$1	+3%	2026-10-04
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? No	Open	137	99¢	$1	+1%	2026-10-04
Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? No	Open	137	99¢	$1	+1%	2026-10-04
Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? No	Open	137	99¢	$1	+1%	2026-10-04
Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? No	Open	137	99¢	$1	+1%	2026-10-04
Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? No	Open	137	99¢	$1	+1%	2026-10-04
Will Samara win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? No	Open	137	99¢	$1	+1%	2026-10-04
Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? No	Open	137	99¢	$1	+1%	2026-10-04
Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná? No	Open	48	97¢	$1	+3%	2026-10-04
Will Phil Lord or Christopher Miller win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	23	1¢	$1	+555%	2027-03-14
Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? No	Open	125	99¢	$1	+1%	2026-10-04
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? No	Open	137	99¢	$1	+1%	2026-10-04
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? No	Open	13	91¢	$1	+9%	2026-12-31
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No	Open	31	90¢	$1	+4%	2026-12-31
Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31? No	Open	22	93¢	$1	+5%	2027-01-01
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? Yes	Open	10	79¢	$1	+13%	2026-12-18
Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed? No	Open	38	92¢	$1	+3%	2026-12-18
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná? No	Open	35	97¢	$1	+3%	2026-10-04
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No	Open	9	89¢	$1	+11%	2026-12-31
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31? No	Open	19	92¢	$1	+5%	2027-01-01
Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31? No	Open	42	95¢	$1	+2%	2026-11-01
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC? No	Open	100	98¢	$1	+1%	2027-12-31
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No	Open	115	94¢	$1	+1%	2027-01-01
Will Alejandro G. Iñárritu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	145	6¢	$1	+8%	2027-03-14
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? No	Open	9	93¢	$1	+7%	2027-12-31
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? No	Open	2	71¢	$1	+39%	2027-01-01
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	10	45¢	$1	+11%	2027-03-14
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? No	Open	14	97¢	$0	+3%	2027-12-31
Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No	Open	30	99¢	$0	+1%	2026-10-04
Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? No	Open	28	99¢	$0	+1%	2026-10-04
Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? No	Open	28	99¢	$0	+1%	2026-10-04
Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? No	Open	28	99¢	$0	+1%	2026-10-04
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? No	Open	28	99¢	$0	+1%	2026-10-04
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? No	Open	28	99¢	$0	+1%	2026-10-04
Will Samara win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? No	Open	20	99¢	$0	+1%	2026-10-04
Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? No	Open	20	99¢	$0	+1%	2026-10-04
Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September? Yes	Open	1	7¢	$0	+193%	2026-09-30
Will Islam Makhachev fight Carlos Prates next? No	Open	2	10¢	$0	+60%	1970-01-01
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Jiri Prochazka next? Yes	Open	1	3¢	$0	+316%	2027-07-25
Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed? Yes	Open	16	5¢	$0	+10%	2026-12-18
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes	Open	5	2¢	$0	+48%	2026-12-31
Will Shrek 5 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes	Open	5	3¢	$0	+17%	2026-12-31
Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina? Yes	Open	5	0¢	$0	+500%	2026-10-04
Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina? Yes	Open	5	0¢	$0	+250%	2026-10-04
Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes	Open	834	0¢	$0	+0%	2026-12-31
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Open	500	50¢	$0	0%	2027-03-14
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes	Open	1	5¢	-$0	-51%	2026-12-31
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	6¢	-$0	-48%	2027-01-01
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? No	Open	3	12¢	-$0	-50%	2026-12-18
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? Yes	Open	11	6¢	-$0	-26%	2027-01-01
Will "By Any Means" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes	Open	21	1¢	-$0	-85%	2026-09-14
Will "Primetime" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No	Open	2	9¢	-$0	-86%	2026-09-28
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Jiri Prochazka next? No	Open	40	88¢	-$0	-1%	2027-07-25
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU? No	Open	200	98¢	-$0	-0%	2027-12-31
Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? Yes	Open	30	1¢	-$0	-94%	2027-12-31
Jonathan Majors as Kang? Yes	Open	3	17¢	-$0	-57%	2026-12-18
Nicholas Galitzine announced as next James Bond? Yes	Open	817	0¢	-$0	-17%	2026-12-31
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by October 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	13¢	-$0	-65%	2026-11-01
GTA VI released by October 31? Yes	Open	18	3¢	-$0	-54%	2026-11-01
Will "By Any Means" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes	Open	21	2¢	-$0	-88%	2026-09-14
Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? Yes	Open	29	1¢	-$0	-96%	2027-12-31
Will Matthew Boyle be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes	Open	417	0¢	-$0	-25%	2026-12-31
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? No	Open	10	90¢	-$0	-5%	2026-12-18
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? No	Open	5	16¢	-$0	-59%	2026-12-18
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes	Open	2	57¢	-$0	-46%	2027-01-01
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima? No	Open	27	5¢	-$1	-39%	2026-10-04
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026? Yes	Open	24	9¢	-$1	-26%	2027-01-01
Will Minions & Monsters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes	Open	56	2¢	-$1	-50%	2026-12-31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No	Open	7	86¢	-$1	-10%	2026-12-31
Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes	Open	40	2¢	-$1	-83%	2026-12-31
Will Dune: Messiah be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes	Open	37	2¢	-$1	-93%	2026-12-31
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? No	Open	21	88¢	-$1	-5%	2026-12-31
Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31? Yes	Open	14	11¢	-$1	-63%	2027-01-01
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? Yes	Open	26	4¢	-$1	-99%	2027-12-31
Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes	Open	20	6¢	-$1	-96%	2026-12-31
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026? Yes	Open	20	15¢	-$1	-37%	2027-01-01
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond? Yes	Open	60	3¢	-$2	-88%	2026-12-31
Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes	Open	60	88¢	-$2	-3%	2026-10-05
Will Zendaya and Robert Pattinson star in another film together announced in 2026? Yes	Open	434	11¢	-$2	-4%	2027-01-01
Will Michael be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes	Open	100	7¢	-$2	-31%	2026-12-31
Will "By Any Means" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes	Open	25	9¢	-$2	-98%	2026-09-14
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? Yes	Open	768	1¢	-$3	-57%	2026-12-31
Will Trump attend UFC 331? Yes	Open	59	8¢	-$3	-60%	2026-09-19
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Open	9	44¢	-$3	-67%	2027-02-28
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? Yes	Open	71	4¢	-$3	-99%	2027-12-31
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? Yes	Open	160	2¢	-$3	-95%	2027-12-31
Will Project Hail Mary be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes	Open	160	3¢	-$3	-68%	2026-12-31
Will "Digger" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes	Open	30	68¢	-$5	-26%	2026-10-05
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? Yes	Open	148	6¢	-$6	-68%	2026-12-31
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? Yes	Open	125	91¢	-$7	-6%	2028-07-25
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? No	Open	60	82¢	-$7	-13%	2027-07-25
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? Yes	Open	195	4¢	-$8	-92%	2027-12-31
Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday? No	Open	60	45¢	-$8	-31%	2026-07-18
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No	Open	200	82¢	-$9	-5%	2026-12-31
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31? Yes	Open	250	8¢	-$10	-52%	2027-01-01
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? Yes	Open	98	15¢	-$11	-72%	2026-12-31
Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	300	5¢	-$12	-86%	2027-02-28
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards? No	Open	400	56¢	-$12	-5%	2026-09-14
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes	Open	350	16¢	-$14	-24%	2026-12-31
Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday? No	Open	394	33¢	-$14	-11%	2026-07-18
Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" in September? Yes	Open	82	78¢	-$14	-22%	2026-09-30
Will "Runner" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No	Open	39	40¢	-$14	-93%	2026-09-14
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No	Open	200	86¢	-$18	-10%	2026-10-04
Will "Runner" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No	Open	71	74¢	-$18	-34%	2026-09-14
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? Yes	Open	29	73¢	-$18	-85%	2027-01-01
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 12? Yes	Open	50	85¢	-$19	-44%	2026-09-12
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No	Open	300	88¢	-$21	-8%	2026-12-31
Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No	Open	80	29¢	-$23	-99%	2026-09-14
Will Drake release a new album by September 30? No	Open	100	91¢	-$24	-26%	2026-10-01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? Yes	Open	308	10¢	-$24	-82%	2026-09-15
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? Yes	Open	36	71¢	-$25	-97%	2026-09-01
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	1,409	2¢	-$30	-93%	2026-10-04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? Yes	Open	800	17¢	-$36	-26%	2026-09-22
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No	Open	1,000	68¢	-$48	-7%	2026-12-31
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes	Open	624	24¢	-$68	-46%	2026-12-31
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes	Open	561	23¢	-$87	-67%	2026-12-31
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? No	Open	200	71¢	-$104	-73%	2027-12-31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? Yes	Open	1,000	31¢	-$105	-34%	2026-10-01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	1,300	73¢	-$117	-12%	2027-01-01
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes	Open	1,659	36¢	-$145	-24%	2027-01-01
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	2,283	61¢	-$382	-27%	2026-10-04
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No	Open	1,943	35¢	-$504	-73%	2027-01-01
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	14,000	50¢	-$6.7K	-96%	2028-11-07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	45,000	50¢	-$18.9K	-84%	2028-11-07
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	55,000	50¢	-$27.5K	-100%	2028-11-07

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