Wallet ledger

0x9418…4f2a

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

1194

Realized PnL

$1.2K

Win rate

39%

Realized edge

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (35 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	67	3¢	$4	+225%	2028-11-07
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	11	30¢	$2	+57%	2028-11-07
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes	Open	74	47¢	$2	+4%	2026-11-03
Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat? No	Open	5	41¢	$0	+24%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No	Open	5	43¢	$0	+20%	1970-01-01
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes	Open	5	44¢	$0	+15%	1970-01-01
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	3	87¢	$0	+7%	1970-01-01
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes	Open	2	85¢	$0	+8%	1970-01-01
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes	Open	5	38¢	$0	+7%	1970-01-01
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No	Open	4	49¢	$0	+3%	1970-01-01
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes	Open	3	70¢	-$0	-3%	2029-01-20
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Open	19	27¢	-$0	-2%	1970-01-01
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes	Open	8	63¢	-$0	-2%	2026-11-03
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-04 House seat? Yes	Open	11	9¢	-$0	-17%	2026-11-03
Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat? No	Open	11	9¢	-$0	-17%	2026-11-03
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes	Open	3	78¢	-$0	-10%	1970-01-01
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	23	22¢	-$0	-6%	2028-11-07
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	5	41¢	-$0	-19%	2026-10-04
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes	Open	2	52¢	-$0	-43%	2026-12-31
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	125	1¢	-$0	-44%	2028-11-07
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No	Open	19	53¢	-$0	-5%	2026-11-03
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat? Yes	Open	5	37¢	-$0	-24%	2026-11-03
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes	Open	13	15¢	-$1	-27%	1970-01-01
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat? Yes	Open	4	50¢	-$1	-30%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No	Open	13	16¢	-$1	-31%	1970-01-01
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	53	2¢	-$1	-63%	2028-11-07
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat? Yes	Open	3	63¢	-$1	-34%	2026-11-03
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	4	25¢	-$1	-99%	2026-11-03
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes	Open	3	63¢	-$1	-60%	2026-12-31
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes	Open	8	24¢	-$1	-69%	2026-12-31
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes	Open	9	44¢	-$2	-56%	2026-12-31
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes	Open	11	47¢	-$2	-48%	2026-12-31
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes	Open	8	64¢	-$3	-62%	2027-01-01
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes	Open	92	4¢	-$4	-94%	2026-11-03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes	Open	19	43¢	-$5	-61%	2026-12-31

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