Wallet ledger

0x8b7f…498c

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

166

Realized PnL

$673

Win rate

72.3%

Realized edge

-3.3 pp

Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge -3.3 pp across 166 resolved positions, 95% CI [-8.9, +1.7], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (1 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11? No	Open	542	1¢	-$2	-29%	2026-09-11

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