ConvexlyWallet ledger
0x8852…c569
This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).
Resolved positions
149
Realized PnL
-$137
Win rate
45%
Realized edge
-0.040
Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge -0.040 across 149 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.07, -0.01]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current open positions
Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (8 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.
| Open | 96 | 61¢ | $36 | +62% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 112 | 90¢ | $11 | +11% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 7 | 52¢ | $3 | +84% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 175 | 98¢ | $3 | +2% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 100 | 17¢ | -$16 | -91% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 419 | 8¢ | -$30 | -94% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 188 | 19¢ | -$34 | -97% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 198 | 40¢ | -$73 | -91% | 2026-08-24 |