Wallet positions

0x8188…b1be

Current holdings from Polymarket, with the saved analysis of this wallet's resolved record.

Resolved positions

2501

Realized PnL

$1.4K

Win rate

91.2%

Realized edge

+2.0 pp

Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge +2.0 pp across 2501 resolved positions, 95% CI [+1.1, +2.8], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current holdings

117 positions returned. Up to 500 by current value; venue filters can omit holdings.

Checked 2026-10-08 04:24:35 UTC.

About this snapshot

Checked is our request time, not the venue's update time. Prices, values and PnL are venue snapshot figures; missing values show a dash. Held does not establish whether a market has resolved; Redeemable is the venue's flag. Snapshot PnL is separate from the saved resolved record above. This is not the full trading history.


Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	56	0.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.60	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up	Redeemable	59	0.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.63	-100.0%	2026-05-31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down	Redeemable	61	0.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.65	-100.0%	2026-06-13
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down	Redeemable	64	0.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.68	-100.0%	2026-06-18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up	Redeemable	65	0.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.69	-100.0%	2026-05-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down	Redeemable	67	0.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.72	-100.0%	2026-05-26
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up	Redeemable	67	0.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.72	-100.0%	2026-05-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	75	0.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.80	-100.0%	2026-05-09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up	Redeemable	10	11¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.17	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up	Redeemable	31	4¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.24	-100.0%	2026-05-05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down	Redeemable	77	1.51¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.25	-100.0%	2026-05-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down	Redeemable	65	2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.39	-100.0%	2026-05-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down	Redeemable	70	3.92¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.93	-100.0%	2026-05-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down	Redeemable	75	4¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.20	-100.0%	2026-05-31
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up	Redeemable	27	13¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.51	-100.0%	2026-05-05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down	Redeemable	44	13¢	0¢	$0.00	-$5.72	-100.0%	2026-05-13
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down	Redeemable	60	10¢	0¢	$0.00	-$6.00	-100.0%	2026-05-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down	Redeemable	51	12¢	0¢	$0.00	-$6.12	-100.0%	2026-05-21
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down	Redeemable	65	9.09¢	0¢	$0.00	-$6.29	-100.0%	2026-06-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up	Redeemable	60	11¢	0¢	$0.00	-$6.60	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down	Redeemable	56	12¢	0¢	$0.00	-$6.72	-100.0%	2026-05-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down	Redeemable	65	10.44¢	0¢	$0.00	-$7.22	-100.0%	2026-05-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down	Redeemable	68.9944	11¢	0¢	$0.00	-$7.59	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down	Redeemable	64	12¢	0¢	$0.00	-$7.68	-100.0%	2026-05-28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up	Redeemable	61	13¢	0¢	$0.00	-$7.93	-100.0%	2026-06-12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down	Redeemable	56	15¢	0¢	$0.00	-$8.40	-100.0%	2026-05-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down	Redeemable	66	13¢	0¢	$0.00	-$8.58	-100.0%	2026-06-13
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down	Redeemable	74	12¢	0¢	$0.00	-$8.88	-100.0%	2026-06-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down	Redeemable	68.9906	13¢	0¢	$0.00	-$8.97	-100.0%	2026-05-17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down	Redeemable	50	18¢	0¢	$0.00	-$9.00	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up	Redeemable	26	35¢	0¢	$0.00	-$9.10	-100.0%	2026-05-06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up	Redeemable	66	12.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$9.10	-100.0%	2026-05-28
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up	Redeemable	77	12¢	0¢	$0.00	-$9.24	-100.0%	2026-05-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down	Redeemable	59.9992	17¢	0¢	$0.00	-$10.20	-100.0%	2026-05-27
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down	Redeemable	39.8421	26¢	0¢	$0.00	-$10.36	-100.0%	2026-06-17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up	Redeemable	50	21¢	0¢	$0.00	-$10.50	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down	Redeemable	77.9634	14¢	0¢	$0.00	-$10.91	-100.0%	2026-05-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up	Redeemable	50	22¢	0¢	$0.00	-$11.00	-100.0%	2026-06-14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down	Redeemable	66	17¢	0¢	$0.00	-$11.22	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down	Redeemable	74.9938	16¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.00	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down	Redeemable	65	19¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.35	-100.0%	2026-06-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up	Redeemable	75	17¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.75	-100.0%	2026-06-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down	Redeemable	70.9941	18¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.78	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up	Redeemable	74.9909	18¢	0¢	$0.00	-$13.50	-100.0%	2026-05-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down	Redeemable	75	18¢	0¢	$0.00	-$13.50	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up	Redeemable	65	21¢	0¢	$0.00	-$13.65	-100.0%	2026-06-17
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up	Redeemable	55	25¢	0¢	$0.00	-$13.75	-100.0%	2026-05-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down	Redeemable	51	27¢	0¢	$0.00	-$13.77	-100.0%	2026-05-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	49.9927	28¢	0¢	$0.00	-$14.00	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down	Redeemable	68	21¢	0¢	$0.00	-$14.28	-100.0%	2026-05-27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down	Redeemable	40	36¢	0¢	$0.00	-$14.40	-100.0%	2026-05-16
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down	Redeemable	58	25¢	0¢	$0.00	-$14.50	-100.0%	2026-05-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down	Redeemable	55.9967	26¢	0¢	$0.00	-$14.56	-100.0%	2026-05-09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down	Redeemable	78	19¢	0¢	$0.00	-$14.82	-100.0%	2026-05-09
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	70	22¢	0¢	$0.00	-$15.40	-100.0%	2026-06-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down	Redeemable	51	31¢	0¢	$0.00	-$15.81	-100.0%	2026-05-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up	Redeemable	50	32¢	0¢	$0.00	-$16.00	-100.0%	2026-05-26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	54	30¢	0¢	$0.00	-$16.20	-100.0%	2026-05-09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	23	68.95¢	0¢	$0.00	-$16.20	-100.0%	2026-05-08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down	Redeemable	64	26¢	0¢	$0.00	-$16.64	-100.0%	2026-06-03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down	Redeemable	59	29¢	0¢	$0.00	-$17.11	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down	Redeemable	49.9841	35¢	0¢	$0.00	-$17.49	-100.0%	2026-05-09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down	Redeemable	54	34¢	0¢	$0.00	-$18.36	-100.0%	2026-05-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up	Redeemable	26	73¢	0¢	$0.00	-$18.98	-100.0%	2026-05-06
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up	Redeemable	60	32¢	0¢	$0.00	-$19.20	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down	Redeemable	51	38¢	0¢	$0.00	-$19.38	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down	Redeemable	63	30¢	0¢	$0.00	-$19.83	-100.0%	2026-05-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down	Redeemable	59	35.66¢	0¢	$0.00	-$21.36	-100.0%	2026-05-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up	Redeemable	57	39¢	0¢	$0.00	-$22.23	-100.0%	2026-05-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up	Redeemable	59	38¢	0¢	$0.00	-$22.42	-100.0%	2026-05-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up	Redeemable	56	40¢	0¢	$0.00	-$22.68	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down	Redeemable	63	36¢	0¢	$0.00	-$22.68	-100.0%	2026-06-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up	Redeemable	63	38.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$24.82	-100.0%	2026-05-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	55.9963	45¢	0¢	$0.00	-$25.20	-100.0%	2026-05-17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down	Redeemable	57	46¢	0¢	$0.00	-$26.22	-100.0%	2026-05-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down	Redeemable	78	35.3¢	0¢	$0.00	-$27.90	-100.0%	2026-05-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	29	99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$28.71	-100.0%	2026-05-08
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down	Redeemable	62.9773	46¢	0¢	$0.00	-$28.97	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down	Redeemable	52.9988	55¢	0¢	$0.00	-$29.15	-100.0%	2026-05-29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down	Redeemable	71.9937	41¢	0¢	$0.00	-$29.52	-100.0%	2026-05-28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down	Redeemable	53.9866	55¢	0¢	$0.00	-$29.69	-100.0%	2026-05-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up	Redeemable	58.9542	51¢	0¢	$0.00	-$30.07	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	31	97.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$30.42	-100.0%	2026-05-08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up	Redeemable	50	61¢	0¢	$0.00	-$30.50	-100.0%	2026-05-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down	Redeemable	65	48¢	0¢	$0.00	-$32.34	-100.0%	2026-05-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down	Redeemable	50	65¢	0¢	$0.00	-$33.30	-100.0%	2026-05-28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down	Redeemable	54	62¢	0¢	$0.00	-$33.48	-100.0%	2026-05-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up	Redeemable	54	64¢	0¢	$0.00	-$34.56	-100.0%	2026-06-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up	Redeemable	63	53.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$34.72	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down	Redeemable	53.9758	66¢	0¢	$0.00	-$35.62	-100.0%	2026-06-02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	50.9906	70¢	0¢	$0.00	-$35.69	-100.0%	2026-05-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down	Redeemable	51.9986	70¢	0¢	$0.00	-$36.40	-100.0%	2026-06-08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down	Redeemable	66	56¢	0¢	$0.00	-$36.96	-100.0%	2026-05-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down	Redeemable	51	73¢	0¢	$0.00	-$37.23	-100.0%	2026-05-26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down	Redeemable	63	58.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$38.24	-100.0%	2026-05-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down	Redeemable	62.9997	61¢	0¢	$0.00	-$38.43	-100.0%	2026-05-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up	Redeemable	51	80¢	0¢	$0.00	-$40.80	-100.0%	2026-05-09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up	Redeemable	50	83¢	0¢	$0.00	-$41.50	-100.0%	2026-06-13
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up	Redeemable	52	80¢	0¢	$0.00	-$41.60	-100.0%	2026-05-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down	Redeemable	51	85¢	0¢	$0.00	-$43.35	-100.0%	2026-05-21
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down	Redeemable	59	72.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$43.88	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up	Redeemable	63	68.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$44.41	-100.0%	2026-05-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down	Redeemable	63	68.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$44.41	-100.0%	2026-05-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down	Redeemable	69.995	68¢	0¢	$0.00	-$47.60	-100.0%	2026-05-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up	Redeemable	63	74.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$48.08	-100.0%	2026-05-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down	Redeemable	63	79¢	0¢	$0.00	-$49.77	-100.0%	2026-05-26
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down	Redeemable	55.999	89¢	0¢	$0.00	-$49.84	-100.0%	2026-06-07
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down	Redeemable	66	79¢	0¢	$0.00	-$52.14	-100.0%	2026-06-09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down	Redeemable	63	84¢	0¢	$0.00	-$52.92	-100.0%	2026-06-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up	Redeemable	63	86¢	0¢	$0.00	-$54.18	-100.0%	2026-05-15
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up	Redeemable	62.9963	89¢	0¢	$0.00	-$56.07	-100.0%	2026-06-08
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down	Redeemable	66	85¢	0¢	$0.00	-$56.10	-100.0%	2026-05-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up	Redeemable	63	96¢	0¢	$0.00	-$60.48	-100.0%	2026-05-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up	Redeemable	64	98.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$63.40	-100.0%	2026-06-06
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up	Redeemable	68	94.85¢	0¢	$0.00	-$64.54	-100.0%	2026-06-12
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down	Redeemable	84	81¢	0¢	$0.00	-$68.04	-100.0%	2026-06-05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down	Redeemable	72	98¢	0¢	$0.00	-$70.56	-100.0%	2026-05-25

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