Wallet ledger

0x7dcf…a7bd

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

300

Realized PnL

-$198

Win rate

82%

Realized edge

+0.009

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge +0.009 across 300 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.01, +0.03]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (500 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31? Yes	Open	4	12¢	$3	+719%	2026-08-31
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	0¢	$2	0%	2026-09-01
Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat? Yes	Open	3	13¢	$2	+612%	2026-11-03
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? Yes	Open	4	20¢	$2	+295%	2026-08-31
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? Yes	Open	4	14¢	$2	+410%	2026-12-31
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City? Yes	Open	3	3¢	$2	+2332%	2026-09-02
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? Yes	Open	4	31¢	$2	+185%	2026-10-28
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	2	0¢	$2	+21363%	2026-08-31
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31? Yes	Open	3	3¢	$2	+2397%	2026-03-31
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? Yes	Open	3	20¢	$2	+298%	2026-09-30
Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes	Open	3	1¢	$2	+3933%	2028-11-06
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	4	45¢	$2	+108%	2026-08-31
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	3	2¢	$2	+2629%	2026-10-04
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	3	4¢	$2	+1324%	2026-08-31
Will Angel Reese have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? Yes	Open	2	3¢	$2	+2801%	2026-09-24
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes	Open	4	50¢	$2	+89%	2026-12-31
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes	Open	2	1¢	$2	+6321%	2026-11-30
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	2	5¢	$2	+1395%	2026-12-31
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Yes	Open	3	50¢	$2	+94%	2026-06-01
Will Ramzan Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections? Yes	Open	3	50¢	$1	+96%	2026-09-20
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	4	50¢	$1	+75%	2026-08-31
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	4	3¢	$1	+1277%	2026-09-20
Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? Yes	Open	3	50¢	$1	+98%	2026-10-31
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? Yes	Open	3	4¢	$1	+1174%	2026-10-04
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	4	3¢	$1	+1073%	2026-09-20
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes	Open	2	8¢	$1	+719%	1970-01-01
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? Yes	Open	4	4¢	$1	+813%	2026-10-31
Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? Yes	Open	3	2¢	$1	+2081%	2026-10-04
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	3	4¢	$1	+799%	2026-08-31
Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat? Yes	Open	1	13¢	$1	+656%	2026-11-03
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	3	4¢	$1	+927%	2026-08-28
Will Jake Auchincloss be the MA-04 Democratic nominee? Yes	Open	1	13¢	$1	+664%	2026-09-01
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes	Open	3	8¢	$1	+387%	1970-01-01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	3	4¢	$1	+849%	2026-08-28
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 27? Yes	Open	1	9¢	$1	+642%	2026-08-27
Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31? Yes	Open	3	3¢	$1	+1043%	2026-03-31
Will Thursday be the most viewed day of ABC World News Tonight for the week of August 17 - August 23? Yes	Open	135	14¢	$1	+4%	2026-08-27
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes	Open	1	8¢	$1	+1019%	1970-01-01
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 27? Yes	Open	3	9¢	$1	+296%	2026-08-27
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 150 and 160? Yes	Open	4	17¢	$1	+119%	2026-12-31
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat? Yes	Open	1	13¢	$1	+576%	2026-11-03
Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes	Open	3	1¢	$1	+1713%	2028-11-06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 28? Yes	Open	4	9¢	$1	+197%	2026-08-28
Will the New York Yankees hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes	Open	2	3¢	$1	+1250%	2026-10-11
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes	Open	1	0¢	$1	0%	2026-12-31
Will the Baltimore Orioles hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes	Open	2	3¢	$1	+1187%	2026-10-11
Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31? Yes	Open	3	3¢	$1	+851%	2026-03-31
Will the San Francisco Giants hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes	Open	2	3¢	$1	+1129%	2026-10-11
Will Steve Ballmer be 2nd richest person on December 31? Yes	Open	3	3¢	$1	+797%	2026-03-31
Will the New York Mets hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes	Open	2	3¢	$1	+1072%	2026-10-11
Will the Colorado Rockies hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes	Open	2	3¢	$1	+1045%	2026-10-11
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 160 and 170? Yes	Open	4	17¢	$1	+89%	2026-12-31
Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 31? Yes	Open	3	3¢	$1	+708%	2026-03-31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 28? Yes	Open	4	9¢	$1	+147%	2026-08-28
Will Sandefjord win Norway Eliteserien? Yes	Open	4	6¢	$1	+258%	2026-12-20
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	1	8¢	$1	+589%	2026-12-31
Will Hanwha Life Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4? Yes	Open	1	50¢	$1	+99%	1970-01-01
Will St. Louis Shock win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship? Yes	Open	1	4¢	$1	+1040%	2026-09-01
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	1	50¢	$1	+74%	2026-10-04
Will Fredrikstad win Norway Eliteserien? Yes	Open	4	6¢	$1	+235%	2026-12-20
Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? Yes	Open	3	2¢	$0	+952%	2026-10-04
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes	Open	2	17¢	$0	+143%	2026-12-31
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 140 and 150? Yes	Open	4	17¢	$0	+72%	2026-12-31
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 27? Yes	Open	3	9¢	$0	+175%	2026-08-27
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes	Open	1	3¢	$0	+1295%	2026-12-31
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30? Yes	Open	2	14¢	$0	+159%	2026-09-30
Will New Jersey 5s win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship? Yes	Open	1	4¢	$0	+858%	2026-09-01
Will the Milwaukee Brewers hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes	Open	2	3¢	$0	+737%	2026-10-11
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes	Open	2	3¢	$0	+674%	2027-07-01
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes	Open	2	3¢	$0	+695%	2026-10-11
Will the season series between the Lions and Packers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes	Open	4	33¢	$0	+34%	2027-01-12
Will Erika Kokay win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? Yes	Open	3	2¢	$0	+747%	2026-10-04
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? Yes	Open	4	4¢	$0	+275%	2026-10-31
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes	Open	2	3¢	$0	+880%	2026-11-30
Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	1	2¢	$0	+971%	2027-03-14
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%? Yes	Open	3	11¢	$0	+91%	2026-10-20
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	17¢	$0	+68%	2026-10-31
Will Lillestrøm win Norway Eliteserien? Yes	Open	4	6¢	$0	+134%	2026-12-20
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	5	2¢	$0	+354%	2026-10-31
Will The Invite win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	1	2¢	$0	+803%	2027-03-14
Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next? Yes	Open	1	7¢	$0	+285%	2027-05-09
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	3	4¢	$0	+225%	2026-08-28
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? Yes	Open	1	17¢	$0	+122%	2026-10-30
Will Alfredo Manuel Galindo Peralta win the next Trujillo mayoral elections? Yes	Open	22	2¢	$0	+42%	2026-10-04
Will Mark Zuckerberg be 2nd richest person on December 31? Yes	Open	3	3¢	$0	+270%	2026-03-31
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	17¢	$0	+50%	2026-10-31
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes	Open	3	13¢	$0	+56%	2026-11-03
Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31? Yes	Open	3	3¢	$0	+259%	2026-03-31
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%? Yes	Open	1	17¢	$0	+104%	2026-10-30
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? Yes	Open	1	50¢	$0	+32%	2027-01-19
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat? Yes	Open	4	13¢	$0	+36%	2026-11-03
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1	3¢	$0	+460%	2026-08-31
Will Donald Trump endorse Donald Trump in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes	Open	3	1¢	$0	+307%	2028-11-06
Will Donald Trump endorse Eric Trump in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes	Open	3	1¢	$0	+303%	2028-11-06
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	4	3¢	$0	+109%	2026-09-20
Will Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien? Yes	Open	4	50¢	$0	+7%	2026-12-20
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	2	0¢	$0	+1402%	2026-08-31
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes	Open	1	3¢	$0	+364%	2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump endorse Byron Donalds in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes	Open	3	1¢	$0	+277%	2028-11-06
Will Donald Trump endorse Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes	Open	3	1¢	$0	+274%	2028-11-06
Will Donald Trump endorse Greg Abbott in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes	Open	3	1¢	$0	+270%	2028-11-06
Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	2	9¢	$0	+86%	2026-08-28
Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? Yes	Open	1	22¢	$0	+45%	2026-09-13
Will Donald Trump endorse Thomas Massie in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes	Open	3	1¢	$0	+225%	2028-11-06
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? Yes	Open	2	4¢	$0	+100%	2026-09-30
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	1	2¢	$0	+255%	2027-03-14
Will the Houston Astros hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes	Open	2	3¢	$0	+141%	2026-10-11
Will Elon Musk be 2nd richest person on December 31? Yes	Open	3	3¢	$0	+100%	2026-03-31
Will Wildwood win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	1	2¢	$0	+233%	2027-03-14
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	1	2¢	$0	+219%	2027-03-14
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes	Open	2	50¢	$0	+7%	2026-12-31
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? Yes	Open	2	2¢	$0	+141%	2026-12-31
Will Tromsø win Norway Eliteserien? Yes	Open	4	6¢	$0	+30%	2026-12-20
Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in August? Yes	Open	4	50¢	$0	+3%	2026-08-31
Will Dallas Flash win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship? Yes	Open	1	4¢	$0	+119%	2026-09-01
Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes	Open	4	33¢	$0	+5%	2027-01-12
Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	1	2¢	$0	+173%	2027-03-14
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? Yes	Open	4	4¢	$0	+38%	2026-10-31
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes	Open	2	2¢	$0	+109%	2026-12-31
Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes	Open	1	3¢	$0	+142%	2026-12-31
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? Yes	Open	1	7¢	$0	+60%	2026-09-02
Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? Yes	Open	2	3¢	$0	+73%	2027-01-01
Will Donald Trump endorse Ron DeSantis in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes	Open	3	1¢	$0	+85%	2028-11-06
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? Yes	Open	2	50¢	$0	+3%	2026-10-28
Will the Tampa Bay Rays hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes	Open	2	3¢	$0	+51%	2026-10-11
Will Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections? Yes	Open	11	2¢	$0	+10%	2026-10-04
Will the Atlanta Braves hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes	Open	2	3¢	$0	+44%	2026-10-11
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? Yes	Open	2	14¢	$0	+5%	2026-09-30
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	3	2¢	$0	+20%	2026-10-04
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? Yes	Open	2	8¢	$0	+8%	2027-01-01
Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31? Yes	Open	4	14¢	$0	+2%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 28? No	Open	10	73¢	$0	0%	2026-08-28
Will Casimiro de Pina win the Cape Verde presidential election? Yes	Open	3	3¢	-$0	-3%	2026-11-15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on August 28? No	Open	10	100¢	-$0	-0%	2026-08-28
Will StepFun be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? Yes	Open	4	4¢	-$0	-8%	2026-10-31
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	3	4¢	-$0	-13%	2026-08-28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 28? No	Open	10	100¢	-$0	-0%	2026-08-28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 28? No	Open	10	100¢	-$0	-0%	2026-08-28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on August 28? No	Open	10	98¢	-$0	-0%	2026-08-28
Will Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios win the next Piura mayoral elections? Yes	Open	10	2¢	-$0	-8%	2026-10-04
Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? Yes	Open	4	4¢	-$0	-14%	2026-10-31
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes	Open	2	17¢	-$0	-7%	2026-12-31
Will London have between 70-80mm of precipitation in August? Yes	Open	1	14¢	-$0	-17%	2026-08-31
Will ByteDance be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? Yes	Open	4	4¢	-$0	-20%	2026-10-31
Will Meituan be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? Yes	Open	4	4¢	-$0	-21%	2026-10-31
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? Yes	Open	4	4¢	-$0	-25%	2026-10-31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 28? No	Open	10	100¢	-$0	-0%	2026-08-28
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30? Yes	Open	2	14¢	-$0	-15%	2026-09-30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 28? No	Open	10	99¢	-$0	-1%	2026-08-28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 28? No	Open	10	94¢	-$0	-1%	2026-08-28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 28? No	Open	10	78¢	-$0	-1%	2026-08-28
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 27? Yes	Open	1	9¢	-$0	-39%	2026-08-27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 28? Yes	Open	4	9¢	-$0	-18%	2026-08-28
Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? Yes	Open	2	8¢	-$0	-43%	2027-01-01
Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? Yes	Open	2	8¢	-$0	-45%	2027-01-01
Will Apple TV win the most Emmys? Yes	Open	2	11¢	-$0	-35%	2026-09-14
Will Centre Party (C) win at least 9% of all valid votes? Yes	Open	1	22¢	-$0	-35%	2026-09-13
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 27? Yes	Open	3	9¢	-$0	-34%	2026-08-27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 28? No	Open	10	61¢	-$0	-2%	2026-08-28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 28? Yes	Open	4	9¢	-$0	-29%	2026-08-28
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on October 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	17¢	-$0	-33%	2026-10-31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 28? No	Open	10	94¢	-$0	-2%	2026-08-28
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	17¢	-$0	-37%	2026-10-31
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? Yes	Open	3	14¢	-$0	-43%	2026-09-30
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%? Yes	Open	2	24¢	-$0	-45%	2026-10-30
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes	Open	4	46¢	-$0	-8%	2027-10-24
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes	Open	5	50¢	-$0	-7%	2026-10-27
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be less than 140? Yes	Open	4	17¢	-$0	-28%	2026-12-31
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.50 on October 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	17¢	-$0	-43%	2026-10-31
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$0	-15%	2026-12-31
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? Yes	Open	3	11¢	-$0	-65%	2026-10-20
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026? Yes	Open	1	50¢	-$0	-47%	2027-01-20
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31? Yes	Open	3	17¢	-$0	-48%	2026-08-31
Will Axel Storckenfeldt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland? Yes	Open	20	3¢	-$0	-46%	2026-09-13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on August 28? Yes	Open	4	9¢	-$0	-78%	2026-08-28
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%? Yes	Open	1	50¢	-$0	-56%	2027-01-19
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 170 and 180? Yes	Open	4	17¢	-$0	-52%	2026-12-31
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Yes	Open	3	20¢	-$0	-58%	2026-09-30
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? Yes	Open	3	14¢	-$0	-79%	2026-12-31
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? Yes	Open	1	50¢	-$0	-62%	2027-01-20
Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$0	-42%	2027-12-31
Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026? Yes	Open	1	50¢	-$0	-79%	2027-01-20
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes	Open	1	50¢	-$0	-75%	2026-11-03
Will Benjamin Danyluk win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election? Yes	Open	16	4¢	-$0	-82%	2026-10-26
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	2	45¢	-$0	-52%	2026-12-31
Will Aaron Day win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election? Yes	Open	16	4¢	-$0	-84%	2026-10-26
Will Brooklyn Pickleball Team win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship? Yes	Open	1	50¢	-$0	-82%	2026-09-01
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes	Open	1	50¢	-$1	-75%	2027-07-01
Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? Yes	Open	3	35¢	-$1	-47%	2026-08-31
Will South African inflation be between 3.8% and 4.1% in 2026? Yes	Open	1	50¢	-$1	-86%	2027-01-20
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-42%	2026-09-01
Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-59%	2027-06-05
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-60%	2027-12-31
Will Ron DeSantis be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-68%	2027-12-31
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-69%	2027-12-31
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-59%	2027-07-01
Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-73%	2027-12-31
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-63%	2026-12-31
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes	Open	2	45¢	-$1	-66%	2026-12-31
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-81%	2026-12-31
Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-73%	2027-06-05
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in August 2026? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-64%	2026-09-01
Will Marco Rubio be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-88%	2027-12-31
Will Donald Trump Jr. be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-88%	2027-12-31
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	46¢	-$1	-69%	2026-12-31
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	46¢	-$1	-70%	2026-12-31
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-77%	2027-07-01
Will the Detroit Pistons be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-83%	2027-06-05
Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-83%	2027-06-05
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 55,000 and 60,000? Yes	Open	5	50¢	-$1	-37%	2026-12-31
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-85%	2027-06-05
Will the Toronto Raptors be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-87%	2027-06-05
Will the Indiana Pacers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-91%	2027-06-05
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	46¢	-$1	-82%	2026-12-31
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes	Open	4	31¢	-$1	-87%	2026-10-28
Will David Seymour be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes	Open	40	3¢	-$1	-83%	2026-11-07
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-60%	2026-12-31
Will Chlöe Swarbrick be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes	Open	40	3¢	-$1	-85%	2026-11-07
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	46¢	-$1	-85%	2026-12-31
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-91%	2027-07-01
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-82%	2026-09-01
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-92%	2027-07-01
Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $3.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	46¢	-$1	-88%	2026-12-31
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	46¢	-$1	-91%	2026-12-31
Will Carmel Sepuloni be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes	Open	40	3¢	-$1	-91%	2026-11-07
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	46¢	-$1	-92%	2026-12-31
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-89%	2026-09-01
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-67%	2026-12-31
Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-78%	2027-06-06
Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-90%	2027-06-06
Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-82%	2027-06-06
Will Linda Frohm be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-90%	2026-09-13
Will Kenneth Backgård be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-93%	2026-09-13
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$2	-94%	2026-09-10
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	4	50¢	-$2	-82%	2026-08-31
Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Belal Muhammad in his next UFC bout? Yes	Open	30	6¢	-$2	-87%	2027-06-02
Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Carlos Prates in his next UFC bout? Yes	Open	30	6¢	-$2	-88%	2027-06-02
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	4	48¢	-$2	-89%	2026-09-30
Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Michael Morales in his next UFC bout? Yes	Open	30	6¢	-$2	-90%	2027-06-02
Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Open	58	3¢	-$2	-95%	2026-10-31
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	4	50¢	-$2	-94%	2026-08-31
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes	Open	4	50¢	-$2	-88%	2027-10-24
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? Yes	Open	60	3¢	-$2	-96%	2026-09-30
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	5	51¢	-$2	-83%	2026-10-04
Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes	Open	5	50¢	-$2	-95%	2027-10-24
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes	Open	55	4¢	-$2	-96%	2027-05-30
Will Sonia Citron have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? Yes	Open	72	3¢	-$2	-95%	2026-09-24
Will Ingo Schramm win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? Yes	Open	57	4¢	-$2	-97%	2026-09-13
Will Timothy Rathjen win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? Yes	Open	60	4¢	-$3	-97%	2026-09-13
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? Yes	Open	1	273¢	-$3	-93%	2026-11-03
Will Omoyele Sowore win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? Yes	Open	85	5¢	-$4	-94%	2027-01-16
Will Azerbaijan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? Yes	Open	8	50¢	-$4	-93%	2026-09-28
Will Netherlands win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? Yes	Open	8	50¢	-$4	-94%	2026-09-28
Will Ukraine win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? Yes	Open	8	50¢	-$4	-94%	2026-09-28
Will England win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? Yes	Open	8	50¢	-$4	-94%	2026-09-28
Will Georgia win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? Yes	Open	8	50¢	-$4	-95%	2026-09-28
Will Spain win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? Yes	Open	8	50¢	-$4	-95%	2026-09-28
Will Poland win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? Yes	Open	8	50¢	-$4	-95%	2026-09-28
Will Hungary win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? Yes	Open	8	50¢	-$4	-96%	2026-09-28
Will England win the UEFA EURO 2028? Yes	Open	16	50¢	-$6	-69%	1970-01-01
Will Rodina win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	195	3¢	-$6	-98%	2026-09-20
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	195	3¢	-$6	-98%	2026-09-20
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	195	3¢	-$6	-98%	2026-09-20
Will Xiaomi have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	212	3¢	-$7	-98%	2026-08-31
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	316	2¢	-$7	-98%	2026-11-03
Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes	Open	168	4¢	-$7	-99%	2026-09-20
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes	Open	168	4¢	-$7	-99%	2026-09-20
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes	Open	168	4¢	-$7	-99%	2026-09-20
Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	231	3¢	-$7	-98%	2026-10-04
Will any Portuguese city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? Yes	Open	45	20¢	-$8	-93%	1970-01-01
Will Gustavo de Hoyos Walther win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election? Yes	Open	17	61¢	-$10	-95%	2027-06-06
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	325	3¢	-$10	-98%	2026-10-04
Will Eduardo Leite finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	325	3¢	-$10	-98%	2026-10-04
Will Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	325	3¢	-$10	-98%	2026-10-04
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	325	3¢	-$10	-98%	2026-10-04
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	325	3¢	-$10	-98%	2026-10-04
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	325	3¢	-$10	-98%	2026-10-04
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	325	3¢	-$10	-98%	2026-10-04
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	325	3¢	-$10	-98%	2026-10-04
Will Friday be the most viewed day of ABC World News Tonight for the week of August 17 - August 23? Yes	Open	77	14¢	-$10	-93%	2026-08-27
Will Jennifer Jenkins be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes	Open	209	5¢	-$10	-99%	2026-08-18
Will Charlie Crist be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes	Open	209	5¢	-$10	-99%	2026-08-18
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes	Open	209	5¢	-$10	-99%	2026-08-18
Will Josh Weil be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes	Open	209	5¢	-$10	-99%	2026-08-18
Will Alan Grayson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes	Open	209	5¢	-$10	-99%	2026-08-18
Will Joey Atkins be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes	Open	209	5¢	-$10	-99%	2026-08-18
Will Wales win the UEFA EURO 2028? Yes	Open	24	50¢	-$12	-99%	1970-01-01
Will Serghei Spivac be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	28	49¢	-$14	-99%	2026-12-31
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	330	4¢	-$14	-99%	2026-10-04
Will Helder Barbalho finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	330	4¢	-$14	-99%	2026-10-04
Will Tereza Cristina finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	330	4¢	-$14	-99%	2026-10-04
Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	182	9¢	-$16	-99%	2026-08-28
Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	182	9¢	-$16	-99%	2026-08-28
Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	182	9¢	-$16	-99%	2026-08-28
Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	182	9¢	-$16	-99%	2026-08-28
Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	182	9¢	-$16	-99%	2026-08-28
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	182	9¢	-$16	-99%	2026-08-28
Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	182	9¢	-$16	-99%	2026-08-28
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 3–4%? Yes	Open	250	7¢	-$17	-99%	2026-08-31
Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes	Open	204	8¢	-$17	-99%	2026-08-18
Will Microsoft be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? Yes	Open	35	50¢	-$17	-100%	2026-09-30
Will SpaceXAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? Yes	Open	35	50¢	-$17	-100%	2026-09-30
Will Jesse Joe win AGT Season 21? Yes	Open	35	82¢	-$20	-69%	2026-12-31
Will Akira win AGT Season 21? Yes	Open	35	82¢	-$20	-71%	2026-12-31
Will Tyrone and Margo win AGT Season 21? Yes	Open	35	82¢	-$21	-71%	2026-12-31
Will Cesar Dias win AGT Season 21? Yes	Open	35	82¢	-$21	-73%	2026-12-31
Will Nyjah Music & Zyah Rhythm win AGT Season 21? Yes	Open	35	82¢	-$21	-74%	2026-12-31
Will Patrox win AGT Season 21? Yes	Open	35	82¢	-$22	-75%	2026-12-31
Will Cameron Logsdon win AGT Season 21? Yes	Open	35	82¢	-$22	-78%	2026-12-31
Will Guy Kelton Jones I win AGT Season 21? Yes	Open	35	82¢	-$23	-79%	2026-12-31
Will Elsie win AGT Season 21? Yes	Open	35	82¢	-$23	-79%	2026-12-31
Will Béty win AGT Season 21? Yes	Open	35	82¢	-$23	-79%	2026-12-31
Will Kameron Marshall win AGT Season 21? Yes	Open	35	82¢	-$23	-81%	2026-12-31
Will Daniel Alvarez win AGT Season 21? Yes	Open	35	82¢	-$24	-82%	2026-12-31
Will Cris Sosa win AGT Season 21? Yes	Open	35	82¢	-$24	-83%	2026-12-31
Will Butter & Grit win AGT Season 21? Yes	Open	35	82¢	-$24	-83%	2026-12-31
Will Brook Lynn win AGT Season 21? Yes	Open	35	82¢	-$28	-96%	2026-12-31
Will James & Marina win AGT Season 21? Yes	Open	35	82¢	-$28	-96%	2026-12-31
Will Maria win AGT Season 21? Yes	Open	40	110¢	-$29	-66%	2026-12-31
Will Enzo Fernandez join Paris Saint-Germain? Yes	Open	306	10¢	-$29	-99%	2026-09-02
Will Michael Foust win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes	Open	360	8¢	-$30	-99%	2026-08-18
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31? Yes	Open	187	17¢	-$31	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	127	25¢	-$31	-99%	2026-09-30
Will ACRO Crew win AGT Season 21? Yes	Open	40	110¢	-$35	-79%	2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes	Open	72	50¢	-$36	-99%	2026-12-31
Will the Bank of Israel cut by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting? Yes	Open	181	20¢	-$36	-99%	2026-08-31
Will Paramount+ win the most Emmys? Yes	Open	331	11¢	-$37	-100%	2026-09-14
Will Enzo Fernandez join Barcelona? Yes	Open	334	11¢	-$38	-100%	2026-09-02
Will Sando win AGT Season 21? Yes	Open	40	110¢	-$42	-96%	2026-12-31
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Open	410	11¢	-$43	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Open	410	11¢	-$43	-100%	2026-12-31
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Open	410	11¢	-$43	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Open	410	11¢	-$43	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Open	410	11¢	-$43	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Open	410	11¢	-$43	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Open	410	11¢	-$43	-100%	2026-12-31
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Open	410	11¢	-$43	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Open	410	11¢	-$43	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Troy Van Vliet win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election? Yes	Open	485	9¢	-$45	-99%	2026-10-17
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting? Yes	Open	231	20¢	-$46	-100%	2026-09-29
Will Dan Caine be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes	Open	96	50¢	-$48	-99%	2026-12-31
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting? Yes	Open	254	20¢	-$51	-100%	2026-09-29
Will the Bank of Israel hike by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting? Yes	Open	295	20¢	-$59	-100%	2026-08-31
Will the Bank of Israel hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? Yes	Open	295	20¢	-$59	-100%	2026-08-31
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes	Open	127	50¢	-$63	-100%	2027-07-01
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes	Open	127	50¢	-$63	-100%	2027-07-01
Will Steph Curry's next team be Philadelphia 76ers? Yes	Open	134	50¢	-$67	-100%	2027-02-11
Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	192	35¢	-$68	-100%	2026-08-31
Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	192	35¢	-$68	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	192	35¢	-$68	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	192	35¢	-$68	-100%	2026-08-31
Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	192	35¢	-$68	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	192	35¢	-$68	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	192	35¢	-$68	-100%	2026-08-31
Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	192	35¢	-$68	-100%	2026-08-31
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	192	35¢	-$68	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	192	35¢	-$68	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	192	35¢	-$68	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	192	35¢	-$68	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	192	35¢	-$68	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	192	35¢	-$68	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	140	50¢	-$70	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	140	50¢	-$70	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	140	50¢	-$70	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	140	50¢	-$70	-100%	2028-11-07
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	140	50¢	-$70	-100%	2028-11-07
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	140	50¢	-$70	-100%	2028-11-07
Will Dada Morero be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes	Open	150	50¢	-$75	-100%	2026-11-17
Will James Harden play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? Yes	Open	163	50¢	-$81	-100%	2026-10-31
Will James Harden play for the LA Clippers in 2026-27? Yes	Open	163	50¢	-$81	-100%	2026-10-31
Will James Harden play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27? Yes	Open	163	50¢	-$81	-100%	2026-10-31
Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	172	50¢	-$86	-100%	2026-08-31
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31? Yes	Open	542	17¢	-$90	-100%	2026-08-31
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 490m and 510m by August 31? Yes	Open	542	17¢	-$90	-100%	2026-08-31
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting? Yes	Open	183	50¢	-$91	-100%	2026-09-17
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	330	28¢	-$94	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	330	28¢	-$94	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	330	28¢	-$94	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	330	28¢	-$94	-100%	2026-08-31
Will DeepSeek be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	180	56¢	-$101	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes	Open	210	50¢	-$105	-100%	2026-12-06
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes	Open	210	50¢	-$105	-100%	2026-12-06
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes	Open	210	50¢	-$105	-100%	2026-12-06
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes	Open	210	50¢	-$105	-100%	2026-12-06
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes	Open	210	50¢	-$105	-100%	2026-12-06
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes	Open	210	50¢	-$105	-100%	2026-12-06
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes	Open	210	50¢	-$105	-100%	2026-12-06
Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	211	50¢	-$105	-100%	2026-09-30
Will Mistral have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	212	51¢	-$107	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Amazon have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	212	51¢	-$107	-100%	2026-08-31
Will ByteDance have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	212	51¢	-$107	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Meituan have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	212	51¢	-$107	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Nvidia have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	212	51¢	-$107	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Team C win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes	Open	237	50¢	-$119	-100%	2027-05-30
Will Meituan be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	254	54¢	-$138	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	347	40¢	-$140	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	315	45¢	-$141	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Hulu win the most Emmys? Yes	Open	282	50¢	-$141	-100%	2026-09-14
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	316	45¢	-$141	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	316	45¢	-$141	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	316	45¢	-$141	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	316	45¢	-$141	-100%	2026-11-03
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 400m by August 31? Yes	Open	1,033	14¢	-$147	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Peacock win the most Emmys? Yes	Open	309	50¢	-$154	-100%	2026-09-14
Will Disney+ win the most Emmys? Yes	Open	310	50¢	-$155	-100%	2026-09-14
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	346	45¢	-$156	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	346	45¢	-$156	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	346	45¢	-$156	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	346	45¢	-$156	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	346	45¢	-$156	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	346	45¢	-$156	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	346	45¢	-$156	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	346	45¢	-$156	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	346	45¢	-$156	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	346	45¢	-$156	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	346	45¢	-$156	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	346	45¢	-$156	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	346	45¢	-$156	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	314	50¢	-$157	-100%	2026-08-31
Will ByteDance be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	206	77¢	-$158	-100%	2026-09-30
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	372	46¢	-$169	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	372	46¢	-$169	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	372	46¢	-$169	-100%	2026-08-31
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 980m and 1000m by August 31? Yes	Open	223	76¢	-$170	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	593	29¢	-$172	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	594	29¢	-$172	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	413	42¢	-$173	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	417	42¢	-$175	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	417	42¢	-$175	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	422	42¢	-$177	-100%	2026-10-31
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? Yes	Open	356	50¢	-$177	-100%	2026-09-15
Will Tencent be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	342	53¢	-$182	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	231	79¢	-$182	-100%	2026-09-30
Will Meituan be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	231	79¢	-$182	-100%	2026-09-30
Will Thinky be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	231	79¢	-$182	-100%	2026-09-30
Will StepFun be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	231	79¢	-$182	-100%	2026-09-30
Will Amazon be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	231	79¢	-$182	-100%	2026-09-30
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	432	42¢	-$182	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Amazon be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	345	53¢	-$184	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	438	42¢	-$185	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	447	42¢	-$190	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	447	42¢	-$190	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	452	43¢	-$192	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Prime Video win the most Emmys? Yes	Open	387	50¢	-$194	-100%	2026-09-14
Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	457	43¢	-$195	-100%	2026-10-31
Will StepFun be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	368	53¢	-$195	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Nvidia be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	369	53¢	-$195	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	462	43¢	-$197	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	467	43¢	-$200	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Xiaomi be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	388	53¢	-$205	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? Yes	Open	211	101¢	-$213	-100%	2026-10-05
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? Yes	Open	220	99¢	-$217	-100%	2026-10-05
Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? Yes	Open	220	99¢	-$217	-100%	2026-10-05
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? Yes	Open	441	50¢	-$220	-100%	2026-09-15
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31? Yes	Open	650	38¢	-$247	-100%	2026-08-31
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31? Yes	Open	650	38¢	-$247	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	551	49¢	-$271	-100%	2026-08-31
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31? Yes	Open	722	39¢	-$283	-100%	2026-08-31
Will White House post 20-39 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026? Yes	Open	81	374¢	-$303	-100%	2026-09-01
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	920	33¢	-$305	-100%	2026-10-04
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 1040m and 1060m by August 31? Yes	Open	561	60¢	-$333	-100%	2026-08-31
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 1020m and 1040m by August 31? Yes	Open	561	60¢	-$333	-100%	2026-08-31
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 1060m and 1080m by August 31? Yes	Open	561	60¢	-$333	-100%	2026-08-31
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 1000m and 1020m by August 31? Yes	Open	561	60¢	-$333	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Holger Rune win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes	Open	473	70¢	-$334	-100%	2026-09-13
Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	786	46¢	-$359	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	786	46¢	-$359	-100%	2026-10-31
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 4–5%? Yes	Open	771	50¢	-$385	-100%	2026-08-13
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	1,170	35¢	-$404	-100%	2026-10-04
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–6%? Yes	Open	835	50¢	-$417	-100%	2026-08-13
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 6%? Yes	Open	835	50¢	-$417	-100%	2026-08-13
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes	Open	889	50¢	-$444	-100%	2026-12-31
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1,063	48¢	-$508	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1,073	48¢	-$513	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Bytedance have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1,073	48¢	-$513	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1,073	48¢	-$513	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1,073	48¢	-$513	-100%	2026-08-31
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1,073	48¢	-$513	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1,073	48¢	-$513	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1,073	48¢	-$513	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1,073	48¢	-$513	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1,073	48¢	-$513	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1,073	48¢	-$513	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1,073	48¢	-$513	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	1,060	49¢	-$524	-100%	2026-09-30
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	939	58¢	-$541	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? Yes	Open	200	286¢	-$570	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	1,049	57¢	-$596	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	1,585	39¢	-$612	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	2,025	41¢	-$832	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	2,205	42¢	-$921	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	2,205	42¢	-$921	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	2,205	42¢	-$921	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	2,205	42¢	-$921	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea? Yes	Open	285	380¢	-$1.1K	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	2,068	53¢	-$1.1K	-100%	2026-10-04
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026? Yes	Open	172	790¢	-$1.4K	-100%	2026-09-30
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	3,022	49¢	-$1.5K	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	3,445	49¢	-$1.7K	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia? Yes	Open	405	652¢	-$2.6K	-100%	2026-12-31

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