Wallet ledger

0x73b8…f6b5

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

Realized PnL

-$14.8K

Win rate

43%

Realized edge

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (9 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No	Open	4,994	50¢	$1.3K	+53%	2028-11-07
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes	Open	204	11¢	$36	+162%	2026-12-31
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? Yes	Open	28	16¢	$8	+171%	2026-12-31
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? No	Open	15	90¢	$0	+2%	2027-01-01
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No	Open	115	89¢	-$1	-1%	2026-12-31
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes	Open	25	16¢	-$1	-28%	2026-11-03
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No	Open	89	90¢	-$2	-3%	2026-12-31
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? Yes	Open	28	77¢	-$4	-17%	2026-12-31
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Open	4,994	50¢	-$1.3K	-53%	2028-11-07

Full skill analysis (Edge Score, calibration) →