Wallet ledger

0x6f7c…34e7

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

1875

Realized PnL

-$1.2K

Win rate

52%

Realized edge

-0.019

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge -0.019 across 1875 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.04, -0.00]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (113 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 29? No	Open	25	54¢	$11	+85%	2026-08-29
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 30? No	Open	16	39¢	$10	+156%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 30? No	Open	26	65¢	$9	+54%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or below on August 31? No	Open	38	32¢	$8	+67%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 29? No	Open	24	71¢	$7	+41%	2026-08-29
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 30? No	Open	14	57¢	$6	+75%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 30? No	Open	17	66¢	$6	+51%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 30? No	Open	14	56¢	$5	+64%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 30? No	Open	13	63¢	$4	+48%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 30? No	Open	12	69¢	$4	+45%	2026-08-30
Luis Torres Valenzuela vs. Jordan White Jordan White	Open	5	30¢	$3	+230%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29? No	Open	11	69¢	$3	+45%	2026-08-29
US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Open	49	33¢	$3	+20%	2026-09-06
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 30? No	Open	11	71¢	$3	+40%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 30? No	Open	28	48¢	$3	+22%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 30? No	Open	22	77¢	$2	+10%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 30? No	Open	10	74¢	$2	+22%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 31? No	Open	11	47¢	$1	+29%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 31? No	Open	8	56¢	$1	+29%	2026-08-31
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5 Over	Open	29	44¢	$1	+10%	2026-09-03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 29? No	Open	5	76¢	$1	+32%	2026-08-29
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 31? No	Open	9	76¢	$1	+14%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 30? No	Open	11	73¢	$1	+8%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 30? No	Open	13	64¢	$0	+5%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 30? No	Open	5	70¢	$0	+11%	2026-08-30
Minnesota Lynx vs. Atlanta Dream Atlanta Dream	Open	24	42¢	$0	+4%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 31? No	Open	22	55¢	$0	+3%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 31? No	Open	5	76¢	$0	+7%	2026-08-31
Chelsea FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 Under	Open	40	41¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-30
KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte Giants Lotte Giants	Open	5	41¢	$0	+10%	2026-09-04
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 30? No	Open	5	86¢	$0	+4%	2026-08-30
Game Spread: Alcaraz (-6.5) vs Safiullin (+6.5) Safiullin	Open	5	57¢	$0	+6%	2026-09-06
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 3.5 Under	Open	5	43¢	$0	+8%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 31? No	Open	5	68¢	$0	+4%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 30? No	Open	18	66¢	$0	+1%	2026-08-30
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta Pablo Carreno Busta	Open	5	23¢	$0	+2%	2026-09-06
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes	Open	82	21¢	$0	0%	2026-12-31
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions Samsung Lions	Open	5	49¢	-$0	-1%	2026-09-04
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Seattle Storm	Open	5	48¢	-$0	-1%	2026-08-30
Game Spread: Andreeva (-5.5) vs Tjen (+5.5) Tjen	Open	5	46¢	-$0	-1%	2026-09-06
US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro Francesco Passaro	Open	5	45¢	-$0	-1%	2026-09-06
US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery	Open	5	43¢	-$0	-1%	2026-09-06
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card) Nursulton Ruziboev	Open	5	41¢	-$0	-1%	2026-09-06
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers	Open	5	40¢	-$0	-1%	2026-09-06
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5) Busta	Open	5	39¢	-$0	-1%	2026-09-06
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Vit Kopriva Vit Kopriva	Open	5	38¢	-$0	-1%	2026-09-06
Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire Portland Fire	Open	5	35¢	-$0	-1%	2026-08-30
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs J.J. Wolf J.J. Wolf	Open	5	32¢	-$0	-2%	2026-09-06
US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Harry Wendelken Harry Wendelken	Open	5	28¢	-$0	-2%	2026-09-06
US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Federico Cina Federico Cina	Open	6	22¢	-$0	-2%	2026-09-06
US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth James Duckworth	Open	5	41¢	-$0	-2%	2026-09-06
US Open WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Panna Udvardy Panna Udvardy	Open	5	40¢	-$0	-3%	2026-09-06
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 30? No	Open	10	87¢	-$0	-1%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 31? No	Open	14	75¢	-$0	-1%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 30? No	Open	15	55¢	-$0	-1%	2026-08-30
US Open WTA: Renata Zarazua vs Polina Iatcenko Polina Iatcenko	Open	5	46¢	-$0	-3%	2026-09-06
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays	Open	5	45¢	-$0	-3%	2026-09-06
US Open ATP: Toby Samuel vs Tomas Machac Tomas Machac	Open	5	45¢	-$0	-3%	2026-09-06
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5 Under	Open	5	28¢	-$0	-5%	2026-08-30
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka Stan Wawrinka	Open	5	22¢	-$0	-7%	2026-09-06
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 31? No	Open	17	70¢	-$0	-1%	2026-08-31
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 Under	Open	5	30¢	-$0	-8%	2026-08-31
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marton Fucsovics Marton Fucsovics	Open	5	22¢	-$0	-11%	2026-09-06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 31? No	Open	3	77¢	-$0	-10%	2026-08-31
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw? Yes	Open	47	27¢	-$0	-2%	2026-08-30
Will FC Augsburg vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw? Yes	Open	49	27¢	-$0	-2%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 31? No	Open	7	70¢	-$0	-5%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 31? No	Open	17	72¢	-$0	-2%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 30? No	Open	18	66¢	-$0	-2%	2026-08-30
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? Yes	Open	58	29¢	-$0	-2%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 31? No	Open	9	75¢	-$0	-5%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 31? No	Open	10	69¢	-$0	-5%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 31? No	Open	8	61¢	-$0	-7%	2026-08-31
Minnesota Lynx vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5 Over	Open	25	48¢	-$0	-3%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 31? No	Open	17	73¢	-$1	-4%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 31? No	Open	2	78¢	-$1	-33%	2026-08-31
Lester Martinez vs. Luka Plantic Luka Plantic	Open	5	23¢	-$1	-48%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 30? No	Open	12	65¢	-$1	-8%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31? No	Open	5	77¢	-$1	-16%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 31? No	Open	5	70¢	-$1	-18%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C or higher on August 31? No	Open	5	69¢	-$1	-18%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 31? No	Open	5	60¢	-$1	-23%	2026-08-31
US Open WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Tereza Valentova Anastasia Potapova	Open	35	37¢	-$1	-5%	2026-09-06
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 31? No	Open	8	61¢	-$1	-15%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 31? No	Open	8	55¢	-$1	-17%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 30? No	Open	23	66¢	-$1	-5%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 30? No	Open	11	75¢	-$1	-10%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 30? No	Open	24	56¢	-$1	-6%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 31? No	Open	17	70¢	-$1	-7%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 31? No	Open	11	62¢	-$1	-13%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 30? No	Open	15	53¢	-$1	-11%	2026-08-30
Kerala Cricket League T20: Kochi Blue Tigers vs Calicut Globstars Kochi Blue Tigers	Open	27	47¢	-$1	-7%	2026-09-06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 31? No	Open	12	56¢	-$1	-20%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 31? No	Open	12	60¢	-$1	-19%	2026-08-31
South Africa and Zimbabwe Tour of Namibia T20s: Namibia vs Zimbabwe Namibia	Open	32	43¢	-$1	-10%	2026-09-07
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 31? No	Open	10	69¢	-$2	-22%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 31? No	Open	8	70¢	-$2	-28%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 31? No	Open	8	67¢	-$2	-31%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 31? No	Open	18	77¢	-$2	-13%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 29? No	Open	5	55¢	-$3	-100%	2026-08-29
Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings Connecticut Sun	Open	79	15¢	-$3	-23%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 30? No	Open	13	59¢	-$4	-49%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 30? No	Open	13	62¢	-$4	-50%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 30? No	Open	24	71¢	-$6	-33%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 28? No	Open	10	69¢	-$7	-100%	2026-08-28
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 30? No	Open	17	48¢	-$7	-86%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 30? No	Open	27	65¢	-$7	-42%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 30? No	Open	11	72¢	-$8	-99%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 30? No	Open	12	69¢	-$8	-95%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on August 30? No	Open	17	75¢	-$11	-90%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 30? No	Open	27	63¢	-$17	-98%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 30? No	Open	23	74¢	-$17	-100%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 29? No	Open	33	52¢	-$17	-100%	2026-08-29

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