Wallet positions

0x6dd6…f5f4

Current holdings from Polymarket, with the saved analysis of this wallet's resolved record.

Resolved positions

113

Realized PnL

$11.0K

Win rate

67.3%

Realized edge

-3.5 pp

Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge -3.5 pp across 113 resolved positions, 95% CI [-10.0, +2.9], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current holdings

226 positions returned. Up to 500 by current value; venue filters can omit holdings.

Checked 2026-10-08 04:18:40 UTC.

About this snapshot

Checked is our request time, not the venue's update time. Prices, values and PnL are venue snapshot figures; missing values show a dash. Held does not establish whether a market has resolved; Redeemable is the venue's flag. Snapshot PnL is separate from the saved resolved record above. This is not the full trading history.


Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes	Held	30,443.8768	88.68¢	96.65¢	$29.4K	$3.3K	+9.0%	2026-12-06
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No	Held	4,088.1314	85.06¢	89.5¢	$3.7K	$1.6K	+5.2%	2027-01-01
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes	Held	6,918.6978	89.21¢	98.8¢	$6.8K	$1.2K	+10.7%	2027-04-01
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No	Held	9,765.0703	87.69¢	95.5¢	$9.3K	$998.73	+8.9%	2027-01-01
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No	Held	12,570.2708	90.9¢	96.85¢	$12.2K	$884.47	+6.5%	2027-01-01
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims) Bruno Silva	Redeemable	329.889	62.55¢	0¢	$0.00	$836.55	-100.0%	2026-03-15
SBF released from custody in 2026? No	Held	1,960.2667	89.09¢	98.4¢	$1.9K	$674.63	+10.4%	2027-01-01
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Yes	Redeemable	349.9984	10.54¢	100¢	$350.00	$536.92	+848.0%	2026-09-13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No	Held	8,191.9912	90.88¢	94.5¢	$7.7K	$420.94	+4.0%	2027-01-01
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Held	258.7731	24.46¢	17.05¢	$44.12	$334.87	-30.3%	2028-11-08
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No	Held	600.3663	90.34¢	99.3¢	$596.16	$297.52	+9.9%	2027-01-01
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Held	900.0084	75.95¢	83.95¢	$755.56	$282.85	+10.5%	2026-10-05
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No	Held	2,579.9992	87.94¢	94.5¢	$2.4K	$267.34	+7.5%	2027-01-01
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No	Held	2,870.3635	89.13¢	95.5¢	$2.7K	$239.60	+7.1%	2027-01-01
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	1,347.89	78.59¢	95¢	$1.3K	$221.06	+20.9%	2027-01-01
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? No	Held	1,980.4786	84¢	92.5¢	$1.8K	$192.31	+10.1%	2027-01-01
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes	Held	2,749.9976	86.57¢	91.5¢	$2.5K	$160.75	+5.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes	Held	2,175.0049	58.52¢	63.5¢	$1.4K	$155.34	+8.5%	2026-11-04
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No	Held	217.2533	85.14¢	94.5¢	$205.30	$137.36	+11.0%	2027-01-01
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No	Held	601.0194	83.97¢	94¢	$564.96	$136.38	+11.9%	2027-01-01
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No	Held	4,750.0628	93.7¢	96.15¢	$4.6K	$121.32	+2.6%	2027-01-01
Trump out as President before 2027? No	Held	900	85¢	95.95¢	$863.55	$109.55	+12.9%	2027-01-01
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No	Held	1,630.2647	91.14¢	97.4¢	$1.6K	$106.89	+6.9%	2027-01-01
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No	Held	260.7322	58.78¢	87.5¢	$228.14	$105.71	+48.9%	2027-01-01
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No	Held	199.99	34¢	82.5¢	$164.99	$97.00	+142.6%	2027-01-01
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Held	600.0085	6.15¢	15.05¢	$90.30	$96.33	+144.7%	2028-11-08
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No	Held	254.9552	89.15¢	96.35¢	$245.65	$93.65	+8.1%	2027-01-01
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No	Held	1,100.0094	91.3¢	98.05¢	$1.1K	$92.55	+7.4%	2027-01-01
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? No	Held	677.9199	87.96¢	96.5¢	$654.19	$83.41	+9.7%	2027-01-01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No	Held	576.4355	92.56¢	97.75¢	$563.47	$82.52	+5.6%	2027-01-01
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No	Held	1,000	92¢	99.05¢	$990.50	$70.50	+7.7%	2026-12-06
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No	Held	750	87.33¢	95¢	$712.50	$57.50	+8.8%	2027-01-01
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No	Held	100	32¢	88.5¢	$88.50	$56.50	+176.6%	2027-01-01
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No	Held	36.991	89.29¢	99.35¢	$36.75	$54.81	+11.3%	2026-12-06
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? Yes	Held	224.9693	41.66¢	65.5¢	$147.35	$53.62	+57.2%	2027-01-01
Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No	Held	399.9853	85.49¢	96.85¢	$387.39	$45.40	+13.3%	2027-01-01
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	100	40.2¢	83.3¢	$83.30	$43.10	+107.2%	2027-01-01
Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	604.71	86.49¢	93.5¢	$565.40	$42.34	+8.1%	2027-01-01
Will Tatsuro Taira be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Held	126.93	71.75¢	99.95¢	$126.87	$35.79	+39.3%	2027-01-01
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No	Held	277.75	69.38¢	77.5¢	$215.26	$30.80	+11.7%	2027-01-01
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? No	Held	200	73.4¢	88¢	$176.00	$29.20	+19.9%	2027-01-01
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No	Held	399.9894	94.3¢	97.35¢	$389.39	$26.60	+3.2%	2027-01-01
Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? Yes	Held	213.06	78.7¢	90.5¢	$192.82	$25.12	+15.0%	2026-12-31
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova Karolina Muchova	Redeemable	0.58	40.93¢	0¢	$0.00	$22.76	-100.0%	2026-07-18
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No	Held	1,439.9777	80.59¢	82.05¢	$1.2K	$22.10	+1.8%	2028-11-08
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? No	Held	283.6904	93¢	98.45¢	$279.29	$19.46	+5.9%	2027-01-01
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes	Held	250	85¢	87.5¢	$218.75	$17.25	+2.9%	2028-01-01
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time? Yes	Held	23.5832	70¢	92.25¢	$21.76	$16.34	+31.8%	2026-11-01
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No	Held	4.9959	87¢	96.75¢	$4.83	$16.24	+11.2%	2027-01-01
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open? Yes	Redeemable	1,050.0214	2.3¢	0¢	$0.00	$14.95	-100.0%	2026-02-01
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No	Held	190.9984	86.52¢	93.5¢	$178.58	$13.32	+8.1%	2027-01-01
Will Sean O'Malley be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Held	68.6894	81¢	99.5¢	$68.35	$12.71	+22.8%	2027-01-01
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	32.49	57.76¢	96.45¢	$31.34	$12.57	+67.0%	2027-01-01
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No	Held	200	89.5¢	95.2¢	$190.40	$11.40	+6.4%	2027-01-01
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Held	384.8484	4.53¢	6.05¢	$23.28	$10.49	+33.5%	2028-11-08
Will Solana reach $160 in October? No	Held	300	92¢	94.5¢	$283.50	$7.50	+2.7%	2026-11-01
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	200	80¢	81.5¢	$163.00	$7.00	+1.9%	2027-01-01
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Held	400	2.9¢	4.45¢	$17.80	$6.20	+53.4%	2028-11-08
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	899.9869	61.37¢	62¢	$557.99	$5.62	+1.0%	2027-01-01
Will Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	193.0966	24¢	26.45¢	$51.07	$5.03	+10.2%	2027-01-01
Will Lerone Murphy be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Held	80	93.98¢	99.95¢	$79.96	$4.77	+6.3%	2027-01-01
Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026? No	Held	20	76¢	91¢	$18.20	$3.00	+19.7%	2027-01-15
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? No	Held	100	90¢	92.5¢	$92.50	$2.50	+2.8%	2027-01-01
UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan (Welterweight, Prelims) Leon Shahbazyan	Held	411.0476	58¢	58.5¢	$240.46	$2.06	+0.9%	2026-10-11
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? Yes	Held	299.992	97¢	97.55¢	$292.64	$1.65	+0.6%	2027-07-01
Will GBP/USD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026? No	Held	30	94¢	96.75¢	$29.02	$0.82	+2.9%	2026-12-31
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No	Held	10	88¢	94.5¢	$9.45	$0.65	+7.4%	2027-01-01
UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) Julius Walker	Held	5.05	70.99¢	72.5¢	$3.66	$0.08	+2.1%	2026-10-11
Will Sergei Pavlovich become UFC champion in 2026? No	Held	5.89	95.99¢	97¢	$5.71	$0.06	+1.0%	2027-01-01
Will Mateusz Gamrot fight Paddy Pimblett next? Yes	Redeemable	33.18	7¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.25	-100.0%	2027-01-01
Will Tai Tuivasa win in Round 1? Yes	Redeemable	10	15¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.56	-100.0%	2026-09-20
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No	Held	515.4165	72.31¢	69.5¢	$358.21	-$3.85	-3.9%	2027-01-01
Lalit Modi to announce new MMA league by the end of 2026? No	Held	160	84.99¢	82¢	$131.20	-$4.80	-3.5%	2027-01-01
UFC Fight Night: Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Welterweight, Prelims) Phil Rowe	Redeemable	500	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$5.00	-100.0%	2026-02-22
Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	116.0825	5.16¢	0.05¢	$0.06	-$5.75	-99.0%	2027-01-01
Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	18	7¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$5.88	-99.3%	2027-01-01
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes	Redeemable	200	3.6¢	0¢	$0.00	-$7.20	-100.0%	2026-06-07
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	100	32.99¢	25¢	$25.00	-$8.00	-24.2%	2027-01-01
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Fox & Friends appearance on September 12? No	Redeemable	20	46¢	0¢	$0.00	-$9.20	-100.0%	2025-09-12
Will Christian Leroy Duncan win by KO or TKO? Yes	Redeemable	23.3249	41¢	0¢	$0.00	-$9.56	-100.0%	2026-03-22
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Fox & Friends appearance on September 12? No	Redeemable	20	49¢	0¢	$0.00	-$9.80	-100.0%	2025-09-12
Will the fight be won by submission? Yes	Redeemable	199.9931	5¢	0¢	$0.00	-$10.00	-100.0%	2026-06-15
Will King Green win by KO or TKO? Yes	Redeemable	50	20¢	0¢	$0.00	-$10.00	-100.0%	2026-05-10
Boxing: Will Canelo vs. Crawford end in a Draw? Yes	Redeemable	200	5.49¢	0¢	$0.00	-$11.00	-100.0%	2025-09-15
Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg? Yes	Redeemable	14.6366	76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$11.12	-100.0%	2026-05-25
Will Michael Morales be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	98.62	12¢	0.05¢	$0.05	-$11.74	-99.6%	2027-01-01
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Held	3,000	7.52¢	6.9¢	$207.00	-$13.89	-8.3%	2028-11-08
Boxing: Lopez vs. Stevenson Lopez	Redeemable	99.9924	25¢	0¢	$0.00	-$16.00	-100.0%	2026-01-31
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No	Held	27.69	89.2¢	29.15¢	$8.07	-$16.63	-67.3%	2027-01-01
Will Umar Nurmagomedov be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	105	18.19¢	0.05¢	$0.05	-$19.05	-99.7%	2027-01-01
Boxing: Serrano vs. Taylor Serrano	Redeemable	36.0638	53¢	0¢	$0.00	-$19.11	-100.0%	2025-07-13
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	122	81.99¢	64.5¢	$78.69	-$21.35	-21.3%	2027-01-01
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing? Yes	Redeemable	104.844	20.81¢	0¢	$0.00	-$21.82	-100.0%	2025-07-31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? Yes	Redeemable	0.9884	63.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$22.24	-100.0%	2025-12-31
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	154.8809	21¢	4.55¢	$7.05	-$24.94	-78.3%	2027-01-01
Will the fight be won by submission? Yes	Redeemable	100	25¢	0¢	$0.00	-$25.00	-100.0%	2026-08-09
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles? Yes	Redeemable	300	10¢	0¢	$0.00	-$30.00	-100.0%	2026-06-08
Will the fight be won by submission? Yes	Redeemable	99.99	33.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$34.05	-100.0%	2026-08-23
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Tallison Teixeira	Redeemable	200	17¢	0¢	$0.00	-$34.85	-100.0%	2026-05-31
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Held	5,803.0794	44.09¢	43.25¢	$2.5K	-$34.96	-1.9%	2027-04-19
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? Yes	Held	149.9914	33¢	9.5¢	$14.25	-$35.25	-71.2%	2027-01-01
Will Robelis Despaigne win by KO or TKO? Yes	Redeemable	50	71¢	0¢	$0.00	-$35.50	-100.0%	2026-09-20
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025? Yes	Redeemable	42.52	84¢	0¢	$0.00	-$35.72	-100.0%	2025-12-31
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Yes	Redeemable	569.082	11.03¢	0¢	$0.00	-$36.22	-100.0%	2026-06-06
UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card) Josiah Harrell	Redeemable	200	19.92¢	0¢	$0.00	-$39.85	-100.0%	2026-02-22
Will Carlos Alcaraz win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026? Yes	Redeemable	500	8¢	0¢	$0.00	-$40.00	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Fight to Go the Distance? Yes	Redeemable	100	40¢	0¢	$0.00	-$41.20	-100.0%	2026-08-09
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	Held	800	26¢	20.05¢	$160.40	-$41.60	-22.9%	2028-11-08
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025? No	Redeemable	1	82¢	0¢	$0.00	-$45.64	-100.0%	2025-07-13
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire Ray J	Redeemable	200.0042	28¢	0¢	$0.00	-$47.49	-100.0%	2026-05-26
Will Trump say "America" during UFC 250? Yes	Redeemable	64.4659	76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$49.39	-100.0%	2026-06-15
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? No	Redeemable	49.9938	98.91¢	0¢	$0.00	-$49.45	-100.0%	2026-04-05
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	Held	4,999.9904	1.5¢	0.5¢	$25.00	-$50.00	-66.7%	2028-11-08
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? Yes	Held	25.1638	29.14¢	5.5¢	$1.38	-$50.19	-81.1%	2027-01-01
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No	Held	150	66¢	32.5¢	$48.75	-$50.25	-50.8%	2027-01-01
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? Yes	Redeemable	193.4558	26¢	0¢	$0.00	-$50.89	-100.0%	2026-06-30
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women's Australian Open? Yes	Redeemable	799.979	8¢	0¢	$0.00	-$52.00	-100.0%	2026-01-31
Will Shara Magomedov win by KO or TKO? Yes	Redeemable	100	51.49¢	0¢	$0.00	-$52.25	-100.0%	2026-06-28
Park vs. Aliskerov Park	Redeemable	146.8396	34.81¢	0¢	$0.00	-$53.04	-100.0%	2025-11-01
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open? Yes	Redeemable	162.8376	35¢	0¢	$0.00	-$56.99	-100.0%	2026-01-31
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Held	4,022.9041	46.64¢	48.55¢	$2.0K	-$58.50	+4.1%	2028-11-08
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? No	Redeemable	5,514.7039	0.75¢	0¢	$0.00	-$60.65	-100.0%	2026-04-15
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? No	Redeemable	100.0085	67.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$61.41	-100.0%	2026-05-31
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes	Held	308	29.02¢	8.5¢	$26.18	-$63.22	-70.7%	2027-01-01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	200	46¢	13.5¢	$27.00	-$65.00	-70.7%	2027-01-01
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Yes	Redeemable	12.019	61.87¢	0¢	$0.00	-$65.74	-100.0%	2025-12-07
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? Yes	Redeemable	99.9935	69¢	0¢	$0.00	-$68.63	-100.0%	2026-06-15
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims) Kai Kamaka III	Redeemable	249.99	28¢	0¢	$0.00	-$70.00	-100.0%	2026-07-12
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Carlos Alcaraz	Redeemable	149.19	49.19¢	0¢	$0.00	-$73.87	-100.0%	2026-04-19
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Gibson Jr. (Catchweight, Prelims) Gibson Jr.	Redeemable	200	40¢	0¢	$0.00	-$80.00	-100.0%	2025-12-14
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? Yes	Redeemable	120	69.95¢	0¢	$0.00	-$84.15	-100.0%	2026-09-13
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? Yes	Redeemable	200	35¢	0¢	$0.00	-$92.00	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Gian van Veen win the PDC World Darts Championship? Yes	Redeemable	890.1141	13.84¢	0¢	$0.00	-$93.33	-100.0%	2026-01-03
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? No	Held	849.3697	83.77¢	72¢	$611.55	-$94.58	-14.1%	2027-01-01
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 20 minutes? No	Redeemable	120	87.1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$104.52	-100.0%	2025-10-25
Spain snap election called in 2026? No	Redeemable	152.6275	76.84¢	0¢	$0.00	-$109.67	-100.0%	2027-01-01
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles? Yes	Redeemable	1,000	11¢	0¢	$0.00	-$110.00	-100.0%	2026-06-08
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Roland Garros Women's Singles? Yes	Redeemable	1,000	11¢	0¢	$0.00	-$110.00	-100.0%	2026-06-08
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	1,306.3605	72.29¢	67.5¢	$881.79	-$113.96	-6.6%	2027-01-01
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No	Held	353.9156	74.96¢	71¢	$251.28	-$115.62	-5.3%	2027-01-01
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Rodolfo Vieira (Middleweight, Main Card) Robert Bryczek	Redeemable	1,488.8788	7.66¢	0¢	$0.00	-$115.84	-100.0%	2026-09-27
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) Bruno Lopes	Redeemable	500	24.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$126.44	-100.0%	2026-08-09
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	164.3368	58.56¢	1.25¢	$2.05	-$126.74	-97.9%	2027-01-01
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No	Redeemable	200	66.5¢	0¢	$0.00	-$133.00	-100.0%	2026-12-31
Will Lebron announce final season Tuesday? Yes	Redeemable	420	32.04¢	0¢	$0.00	-$134.60	-100.0%	—
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month? No	Redeemable	234.2224	79.95¢	0¢	$0.00	-$140.36	-100.0%	2026-04-30
Noche UFC: Sezinando vs. Donchenko Sezinando	Redeemable	400	38¢	0¢	$0.00	-$152.00	-100.0%	2025-09-14
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati? Yes	Redeemable	300	59.37¢	0¢	$0.00	-$155.00	-100.0%	2025-08-20
UFC 323: McKinney vs. Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims) McKinney	Redeemable	209.237	50.01¢	0¢	$0.00	-$158.77	-100.0%	2025-12-07
Will France win? Yes	Redeemable	65.34	81.22¢	0¢	$0.00	-$161.75	-100.0%	2026-03-14
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025? No	Redeemable	22.7986	72.4¢	0¢	$0.00	-$168.32	-100.0%	2025-12-31
Dana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) Summer Onley	Redeemable	350	47.25¢	0¢	$0.00	-$168.47	-100.0%	2026-10-07
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Held	3,879.8546	19.37¢	15.15¢	$587.80	-$173.73	-21.8%	2028-11-08
Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card) Douglas Rodrigues	Redeemable	199.9976	81.46¢	0¢	$0.00	-$175.03	-100.0%	2026-08-19
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes	Held	2,743.1331	80.4¢	73.5¢	$2.0K	-$185.49	-8.6%	2028-04-01
Will Ethyn Ewing win by KO or TKO? No	Redeemable	199.7538	95.59¢	0¢	$0.00	-$190.95	-100.0%	2026-04-05
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14? No	Redeemable	199.9957	96.2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$192.40	-100.0%	2026-08-14
Will England win? Yes	Redeemable	250	78¢	0¢	$0.00	-$195.00	-100.0%	2026-03-14
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes	Redeemable	300.0222	75.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$196.49	-100.0%	2026-06-14
UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) Vanessa Demopoulos	Redeemable	1,736.1376	12.2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$197.65	-100.0%	2026-09-27
Wimbledon: Draper vs. Cilic Draper	Redeemable	233	86¢	0¢	$0.00	-$200.38	-100.0%	2025-07-03
UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. Pulyaev Klein	Redeemable	582.3796	49.12¢	0¢	$0.00	-$207.88	-100.0%	2025-08-03
UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims) Santiago Ponzinibbio	Redeemable	1,000	21¢	0¢	$0.00	-$210.00	-100.0%	2026-07-26
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14? No	Redeemable	400	56¢	0¢	$0.00	-$224.00	-100.0%	2026-02-14
Will the fight end before Round 2? Yes	Redeemable	350	63¢	0¢	$0.00	-$224.58	-100.0%	2026-09-20
Haqparast vs. Salkilld Haqparast	Redeemable	420	54.85¢	0¢	$0.00	-$230.40	-100.0%	2025-11-01
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims) Allan Nascimento	Redeemable	1,195.0773	14.41¢	0¢	$0.00	-$236.15	-100.0%	2026-06-21
Fiorot vs. Jasudavicius Jasudavicius	Redeemable	800.0187	32.39¢	0¢	$0.00	-$240.01	-100.0%	2025-10-25
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims) Geoff Neal	Redeemable	399.9849	64¢	0¢	$0.00	-$255.99	-100.0%	2026-02-22
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	407.0244	59.34¢	0.75¢	$3.05	-$259.19	-98.7%	2027-01-01
UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) Melissa Amaya	Redeemable	250	39.98¢	0¢	$0.00	-$266.57	-100.0%	2026-09-27
UFC Fight Night: Sean Woodson vs. Jack Jenkins (Featherweight, Prelims) Jack Jenkins	Redeemable	1,122.6324	28.31¢	0¢	$0.00	-$284.86	-100.0%	2026-08-30
UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) Norma Dumont	Redeemable	899.2004	63.74¢	0¢	$0.00	-$305.34	-100.0%	2026-09-27
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Carlos Alcaraz	Redeemable	400	81¢	0¢	$0.00	-$324.00	-100.0%	2026-03-21
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election? Yes	Redeemable	366.598	86.13¢	0¢	$0.00	-$330.61	-100.0%	2025-11-30
UFC 332: Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead (Welterweight, Early Prelims) Bruce Whitehead	Redeemable	804.5772	20.86¢	0¢	$0.00	-$346.84	-100.0%	2026-10-04
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims) Losene Keita	Redeemable	648.8495	58.72¢	0¢	$0.00	-$363.90	-100.0%	2026-03-22
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? No	Redeemable	458.8374	89.14¢	0¢	$0.00	-$366.91	-100.0%	2026-09-30
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card) Kennedy Nzechukwu	Redeemable	999.8999	45.44¢	0¢	$0.00	-$433.52	-100.0%	2026-08-23
Grant vs. Jourdain Grant	Redeemable	1,200.0118	37¢	0¢	$0.00	-$440.00	-100.0%	2025-10-25
O/U 1.5 Rounds Under	Redeemable	594.194	61.7¢	0¢	$0.00	-$504.73	-100.0%	2026-06-15
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims) Eduardo Chapolin	Redeemable	377.3849	67.81¢	0¢	$0.00	-$515.30	-100.0%	2026-08-16
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Yes	Redeemable	500.0097	72.27¢	0¢	$0.00	-$567.77	-100.0%	2026-06-03
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? No	Redeemable	403.184	66.39¢	0¢	$0.00	-$575.78	-100.0%	2026-06-30
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? Yes	Redeemable	34.6857	81.6¢	0¢	$0.00	-$583.99	-100.0%	2026-08-30
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Nora Cornolle (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) Cornolle	Redeemable	1,573.7961	33.02¢	0¢	$0.00	-$592.01	-100.0%	2026-02-22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No	Held	3,530.1016	80.45¢	84.5¢	$3.0K	-$604.77	+5.0%	2027-01-01
Will the fight be won by submission? Yes	Redeemable	565.28	98.5¢	0¢	$0.00	-$617.58	-100.0%	2026-08-16
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) Julia Polastri	Redeemable	901.3271	24.44¢	0¢	$0.00	-$622.99	-100.0%	2026-04-26
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? Yes	Redeemable	1,000	62.8¢	0¢	$0.00	-$628.00	-100.0%	2027-06-30
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? Yes	Redeemable	33.686	74.22¢	0¢	$0.00	-$646.44	-100.0%	2026-07-12
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) Farés Ziam	Redeemable	543.9628	28.23¢	0¢	$0.00	-$680.70	-100.0%	2026-06-07
Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) Waldo Cortes Acosta	Redeemable	2,561.2382	9.06¢	0¢	$0.00	-$690.39	-100.0%	2026-09-13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No	Redeemable	799.9972	46.64¢	0¢	$0.00	-$708.99	-100.0%	2026-07-31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No	Redeemable	829.9507	80.83¢	0¢	$0.00	-$792.75	-100.0%	2026-06-15
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card) Steve Erceg	Redeemable	1,499.9711	55¢	0¢	$0.00	-$824.98	-100.0%	2026-07-26
UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card) Hyder Amil	Redeemable	2,768.6123	27.94¢	0¢	$0.00	-$833.89	-100.0%	2026-06-21
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? No	Redeemable	339.6793	74.01¢	0¢	$0.00	-$862.86	-100.0%	2026-09-01
UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) Rodolfo Bellato	Redeemable	1,200	72.94¢	0¢	$0.00	-$877.34	-100.0%	2026-09-27
Dana White's Contender Series: Kaik Brito vs. Namo Fazil (Welterweight, Main Card) Namo Fazil	Redeemable	1,243.0896	73.97¢	0¢	$0.00	-$879.13	-100.0%	2026-08-19
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes	Redeemable	1,079.5157	48.02¢	0¢	$0.00	-$885.95	-100.0%	2026-09-13
UFC Fight Night: Alatengheili vs. John Castaneda (Bantamweight, Prelims) John Castaneda	Redeemable	1,100.0097	80.06¢	0¢	$0.00	-$886.72	-100.0%	2026-09-27
UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card) Dooho Choi	Redeemable	1,299.9885	70.88¢	0¢	$0.00	-$921.49	-100.0%	2026-09-20
Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Vuelta a Espana? Yes	Redeemable	1,107.0272	90.7¢	0¢	$0.00	-$990.72	-100.0%	2026-09-20
UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) Brendson Ribeiro	Redeemable	3,337.1053	24.73¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.0K	-100.0%	2026-04-05
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) Ion Cutelaba	Redeemable	2,090.1165	38.85¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.0K	-100.0%	2026-06-21
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? Yes	Redeemable	1,487.7716	70.13¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.1K	-100.0%	2026-06-08
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims) Guilherme Pat	Redeemable	3,727.233	29.89¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.1K	-100.0%	2026-04-05
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card) Cory Sandhagen	Redeemable	7,480.4379	15.59¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.2K	-100.0%	2026-07-12
UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) Bukauskas	Redeemable	1,632.4886	59.4¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.3K	-100.0%	2026-01-25
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025? No	Redeemable	1,917.0877	78.12¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.5K	-100.0%	2025-12-31
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) Hailey Cowan	Redeemable	3,470.3444	46.43¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.6K	-100.0%	2026-04-05
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) Ian Machado Garry	Redeemable	5,137.6777	14.63¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.7K	-100.0%	2026-08-16
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims) Brad Tavares	Redeemable	2,688.0566	46.81¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.7K	-100.0%	2026-03-15
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims) Loopy Godínez	Redeemable	2,653.3312	42.35¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.8K	-100.0%	2026-04-12
UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims) Eduarda Moura	Redeemable	2,669.8966	69.06¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.8K	-100.0%	2026-09-20
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) Khamzat Chimaev	Redeemable	3,629.2349	67¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.9K	-100.0%	2026-05-10
Moises Itauma vs. Filip Hrgovic Moises Itauma	Redeemable	2,386.6888	86.95¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.0K	-100.0%	2026-08-30
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open? Yes	Redeemable	1,679.0706	50.97¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.2K	-100.0%	2026-02-01
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card) Farés Ziam	Redeemable	3,999.9716	58.37¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.3K	-100.0%	2026-09-06
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes	Redeemable	1,999.9532	72.35¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.4K	-100.0%	2026-06-07
UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card) Ateba Gautier	Redeemable	4,349.953	69.4¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.0K	-100.0%	2026-10-04
UFC Fight Night: Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura (Bantamweight, Main Card) Rinya Nakamura	Redeemable	4,380.6531	69.65¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.1K	-100.0%	2026-09-27
Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) Édgar Cháirez	Redeemable	675.8732	59.42¢	0¢	$0.00	-$4.1K	-100.0%	2026-09-13
UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims) Myktybek Orolbai	Redeemable	4,939.5402	89.92¢	0¢	$0.00	-$4.4K	-100.0%	2026-08-16
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card) Umar Nurmagomedov	Redeemable	6,593.5722	85.78¢	0¢	$0.00	-$5.6K	-100.0%	2026-08-30

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