ConvexlyWallet ledger
0x6dd6…f5f4
This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).
Resolved positions
32
Realized PnL
-$7.7K
Win rate
78%
Realized edge
+0.021
Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge +0.021 across 32 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.11, +0.13]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current open positions
Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (102 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.
| Open | 13,207 | 91¢ | $814 | +7% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 9,158 | 87¢ | $585 | +7% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 10,767 | 91¢ | $309 | +3% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 3,400 | 12¢ | $271 | +69% | 2026-09-13 | |
| Open | 3,960 | 89¢ | $268 | +8% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 5,639 | 80¢ | $192 | +4% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 5,338 | 84¢ | $174 | +4% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 2,000 | 90¢ | $168 | +9% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 2,750 | 88¢ | $153 | +6% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 2,023 | 40¢ | $141 | +17% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 1,323 | 78¢ | $138 | +13% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 7,027 | 72¢ | $132 | +3% | 2026-12-06 | |
| Open | 1,000 | 10¢ | $125 | +125% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 2,466 | 81¢ | $124 | +6% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 1,806 | 86¢ | $113 | +7% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 1,700 | 91¢ | $96 | +6% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 386 | 59¢ | $88 | +39% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 849 | 84¢ | $87 | +12% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 1,000 | 85¢ | $85 | +10% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 1,000 | 88¢ | $84 | +10% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 4,085 | 93¢ | $83 | +2% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 200 | 34¢ | $81 | +119% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 678 | 88¢ | $70 | +12% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 800 | 6¢ | $69 | +140% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 467 | 79¢ | $64 | +17% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 841 | 84¢ | $63 | +9% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 800 | 90¢ | $61 | +8% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 1,100 | 91¢ | $54 | +5% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 750 | 87¢ | $50 | +8% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 864 | 94¢ | $46 | +6% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 100 | 32¢ | $40 | +125% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 127 | 72¢ | $36 | +39% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 213 | 79¢ | $34 | +20% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 150 | 79¢ | $28 | +24% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 1,000 | 96¢ | $28 | +3% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 143 | 73¢ | $25 | +24% | 2026-08-26 | |
| Open | 1,816 | 84¢ | $24 | +2% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 700 | 94¢ | $24 | +4% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 671 | 90¢ | $23 | +4% | 2026-09-20 | |
| Open | 576 | 93¢ | $21 | +4% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 7,205 | 85¢ | $21 | +0% | 2026-12-06 | |
| Open | 451 | 86¢ | $20 | +5% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 354 | 75¢ | $20 | +7% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 100 | 40¢ | $19 | +48% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 750 | 60¢ | $19 | +4% | 2026-10-04 | |
| Open | 354 | 77¢ | $18 | +7% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 600 | 96¢ | $18 | +3% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 278 | 69¢ | $17 | +9% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 191 | 87¢ | $15 | +9% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 1,000 | 92¢ | $15 | +2% | 2026-12-06 | |
| Open | 284 | 93¢ | $13 | +5% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 337 | 89¢ | $13 | +4% | 2026-12-06 | |
| Open | 255 | 89¢ | $12 | +5% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 400 | 5¢ | $11 | +59% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 50 | 64¢ | $10 | +33% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 31 | 53¢ | $10 | +60% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 69 | 81¢ | $8 | +15% | 2026-12-31 | |
Mayweather | Open | 126 | 49¢ | $6 | +9% | 2026-09-20 |
| Open | 400 | 4¢ | $5 | +34% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 200 | 97¢ | $5 | +3% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 24 | 70¢ | $5 | +29% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 80 | 94¢ | $5 | +6% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 200 | 90¢ | $5 | +3% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 400 | 3¢ | $3 | +29% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 20 | 76¢ | $3 | +22% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 69 | 46¢ | $1 | +2% | 2026-09-20 | |
| Open | 5 | 87¢ | $0 | +9% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 198 | 94¢ | $0 | +0% | 2026-10-01 | |
| Open | 30 | 94¢ | $0 | +1% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 10 | 88¢ | $0 | +2% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 200 | 73¢ | -$1 | -1% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 400 | 85¢ | -$2 | -1% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 32 | 58¢ | -$2 | -12% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 36 | 7¢ | -$2 | -98% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 2,249 | 80¢ | -$3 | -0% | 2028-03-31 | |
| Open | 1,000 | 21¢ | -$4 | -2% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 25 | 29¢ | -$5 | -64% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 400 | 4¢ | -$6 | -35% | 2026-09-13 | |
| Open | 116 | 5¢ | -$6 | -97% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 300 | 97¢ | -$7 | -2% | 2026-11-19 | |
| Open | 200 | 92¢ | -$10 | -6% | 2026-09-06 | |
| Open | 99 | 12¢ | -$12 | -99% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 155 | 21¢ | -$13 | -39% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 3,100 | 3¢ | -$17 | -22% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 105 | 18¢ | -$19 | -99% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 28 | 89¢ | -$21 | -84% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 800 | 26¢ | -$21 | -10% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 150 | 33¢ | -$24 | -48% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 259 | 24¢ | -$25 | -39% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 840 | 95¢ | -$25 | -3% | 2026-09-19 | |
| Open | 308 | 29¢ | -$45 | -50% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 200 | 46¢ | -$45 | -49% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 5,000 | 2¢ | -$52 | -70% | 2028-11-07 | |
| Open | 100 | 69¢ | -$54 | -78% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 150 | 66¢ | -$71 | -72% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 164 | 59¢ | -$73 | -76% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 186 | 74¢ | -$73 | -53% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 527 | 83¢ | -$89 | -20% | 2026-09-13 | |
| Open | 340 | 74¢ | -$109 | -43% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 2,000 | 9¢ | -$111 | -60% | 2026-09-13 | |
| Open | 407 | 59¢ | -$228 | -95% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 11,016 | 93¢ | -$423 | -4% | 2026-09-13 |