Wallet ledger

0x6b3a…2841

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

476

Realized PnL

-$4.8K

Win rate

61%

Realized edge

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (110 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


SEA vs. TEN: O/U 38.5 Over	Open	300	45¢	$66	+49%	2026-08-24
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No	Open	2,000	93¢	$60	+3%	2027-03-31
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? No	Open	386	78¢	$40	+13%	2026-12-19
Will Conor McGregor fight Charles Oliveira next? No	Open	607	93¢	$40	+7%	2027-03-01
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	193	72¢	$33	+23%	2026-12-31
Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Open	130	76¢	$31	+32%	2026-12-31
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No	Open	600	91¢	$29	+5%	2026-12-31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No	Open	200	82¢	$28	+17%	2027-01-01
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes	Open	142	29¢	$27	+66%	2026-12-19
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No	Open	700	89¢	$27	+4%	2027-03-31
Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Open	174	85¢	$25	+17%	2026-12-31
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) New York Yankees	Open	229	68¢	$24	+15%	2026-09-22
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes	Open	1,210	6¢	$22	+31%	2027-03-31
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	773	52¢	$20	+5%	2026-12-31
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship? No	Open	606	88¢	$18	+3%	2026-08-31
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No	Open	200	85¢	$17	+10%	2026-12-31
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes	Open	1,228	2¢	$16	+57%	2027-03-31
Will Rihanna release an album in 2026? No	Open	156	76¢	$15	+12%	2026-12-31
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	224	46¢	$12	+12%	2026-12-31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No	Open	66	71¢	$8	+18%	2026-12-31
Will Tennessee Titans win the 2026 AFC South? No	Open	300	90¢	$8	+3%	2027-01-04
Will Petr Yan fight Umar Nurmagomedov next? No	Open	94	92¢	$7	+9%	2026-12-31
Will Petr Yan fight Alexander Volkanovski next? No	Open	312	98¢	$7	+2%	2026-12-31
Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2026 AFC South? Yes	Open	686	18¢	$7	+5%	2027-01-04
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No	Open	100	93¢	$7	+7%	2026-11-03
Trump out as President before 2027? No	Open	100	87¢	$7	+7%	2026-12-31
Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026? No	Open	58	87¢	$6	+12%	2026-12-31
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes	Open	44	86¢	$6	+15%	2026-09-15
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No	Open	275	92¢	$4	+2%	2027-03-31
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes	Open	2,564	3¢	$4	+5%	2027-03-31
Will Dominick Reyes be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Open	92	96¢	$4	+4%	2026-12-31
Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026? No	Open	117	90¢	$3	+3%	2026-12-31
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card) Song Yadong	Open	500	19¢	$3	+3%	2026-08-30
Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Open	118	96¢	$3	+2%	2026-12-31
Will Petr Yan fight Pedro Munhoz next? No	Open	102	97¢	$3	+3%	2026-12-31
Will Petr Yan fight Henry Cejudo next? No	Open	675	100¢	$2	+0%	2026-12-31
Will Petr Yan fight Ricky Simón next? No	Open	89	97¢	$2	+3%	2026-12-31
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 TOUR Championship? No	Open	82	93¢	$2	+3%	2026-08-31
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No	Open	100	93¢	$2	+2%	2026-11-03
Will Petr Yan fight Dominick Cruz next? No	Open	98	98¢	$2	+2%	2026-12-31
Will the Chicago Bears make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No	Open	212	51¢	$2	+2%	2027-01-05
Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? No	Open	59	69¢	$2	+5%	2027-04-30
Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026? No	Open	50	70¢	$2	+6%	2026-12-31
Will Diego Lopes be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Open	29	93¢	$2	+7%	2026-12-31
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West? Yes	Open	886	31¢	$2	+1%	2027-01-04
Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Open	60	97¢	$2	+3%	2026-12-31
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes	Open	28	43¢	$2	+13%	2027-01-01
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next? No	Open	5	60¢	$2	+51%	2027-03-01
Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East? No	Open	306	60¢	$2	+1%	2027-01-04
Will Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North? Yes	Open	151	35¢	$2	+3%	2027-01-04
49ers vs. Rams Rams	Open	135	63¢	$1	+2%	2026-09-11
Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	167	90¢	$1	+1%	2026-12-31
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Alexandre Pantoja next? No	Open	46	97¢	$1	+3%	2026-12-31
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North? No	Open	70	71¢	$1	+2%	2027-01-04
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North? Yes	Open	76	33¢	$1	+3%	2027-01-04
Will Waldo Cortes Acosta be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Open	10	93¢	$1	+7%	2026-12-31
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes	Open	5	24¢	$1	+54%	2026-12-19
Will Khalil Rountree Jr. be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Open	48	99¢	$1	+1%	2026-12-31
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	14	55¢	$1	+7%	2026-12-31
Will Petr Yan fight Rob Font next? No	Open	10	95¢	$1	+6%	2026-12-31
Will Sean O'Malley be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Open	11	89¢	$0	+5%	2026-12-31
Will Tatsuro Taira be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Open	25	98¢	$0	+2%	2026-12-31
Will Petr Yan fight Alexandre Pantoja next? No	Open	15	97¢	$0	+3%	2026-12-31
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West? No	Open	41	78¢	$0	+1%	2027-01-04
Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes	Open	200	8¢	$0	+2%	2027-02-15
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes	Open	735	4¢	$0	+1%	2027-03-31
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? Yes	Open	5	80¢	$0	+8%	2026-12-18
Will Petr Yan fight Deiveson Figueiredo next? No	Open	42	99¢	$0	+1%	2026-12-31
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West? Yes	Open	10	48¢	$0	+1%	2027-01-04
Will Cory Sandhagen become UFC champion in 2026? No	Open	6	98¢	$0	+0%	2026-12-31
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Open	43	86¢	$0	+0%	2026-12-31
Will Houston Texans win the 2026 AFC South? No	Open	500	56¢	$0	0%	2027-01-04
Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes	Open	8	2¢	-$0	-3%	2027-02-15
Benedict Wong as Wong? Yes	Open	5	80¢	-$0	-12%	2026-12-18
Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	25	5¢	-$1	-49%	2026-12-31
Will Josh Jacobs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns? No	Open	174	91¢	-$1	-1%	2027-01-12
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Open	185	97¢	-$1	-1%	2026-12-31
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes	Open	102	5¢	-$1	-26%	2027-03-31
Will Steve Garcia be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	35	6¢	-$1	-62%	2026-12-31
Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South? No	Open	305	70¢	-$2	-1%	2027-01-04
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	23	59¢	-$2	-14%	2026-12-31
Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP? No	Open	500	91¢	-$3	-1%	2027-02-15
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South? Yes	Open	633	33¢	-$3	-1%	2027-01-04
Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Open	430	95¢	-$3	-1%	2026-12-31
Will Youssef Zalal be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	35	9¢	-$3	-98%	2026-12-31
Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026? No	Open	129	93¢	-$4	-3%	2026-12-31
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes	Open	813	1¢	-$4	-52%	2027-03-31
Will Jordan Love win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes	Open	1,000	4¢	-$4	-10%	2027-02-15
Will the Minnesota Vikings make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes	Open	306	39¢	-$5	-4%	2027-01-05
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No	Open	100	91¢	-$6	-6%	2027-03-31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes	Open	200	7¢	-$6	-44%	2026-12-31
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? No	Open	300	93¢	-$7	-2%	2027-02-15
Will Michael Morales be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	76	10¢	-$7	-98%	2026-12-31
Will Anthony Hernandez be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	93	8¢	-$7	-98%	2026-12-31
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Open	49	62¢	-$8	-27%	2026-12-31
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes	Open	1,400	1¢	-$12	-61%	2027-03-31
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026? Yes	Open	88	69¢	-$12	-20%	2026-12-31
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes	Open	1,462	5¢	-$19	-25%	2027-03-31
Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Open	75	78¢	-$19	-33%	2026-12-31
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Open	494	91¢	-$20	-4%	2026-12-31
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? Yes	Open	86	94¢	-$34	-42%	2026-12-31
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Open	800	70¢	-$36	-6%	2026-12-31
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	821	86¢	-$37	-5%	2026-12-31
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026? Yes	Open	227	61¢	-$65	-47%	2026-12-31
Spread: TEN (-5.5) TEN	Open	200	44¢	-$72	-82%	2026-08-24
Spread: TEN (-4.5) TEN	Open	300	47¢	-$114	-81%	2026-08-24
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 84.5	Open	200	63¢	-$117	-93%	2026-10-05
Seahawks vs. Titans Titans	Open	300	64¢	-$126	-66%	2026-08-24
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No	Open	941	72¢	-$137	-20%	2026-12-31
Saskatchewan Roughriders vs. British Columbia Lions Saskatchewan Roughriders	Open	400	42¢	-$160	-95%	2026-08-30

Full skill analysis (Edge Score, calibration) →