Wallet ledger

0x5a21…9318

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

192

Realized PnL

$778

Win rate

48%

Realized edge

+0.047

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge +0.047 across 192 resolved positions, 95% CI [+0.01, +0.09]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (499 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25? Yes	Open	2,820	9¢	$2.3K	+909%	2026-08-25
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 24? Yes	Open	2,525	23¢	$1.9K	+320%	2026-08-24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes	Open	11,683	75¢	$887	+10%	2026-12-31
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes	Open	1,274	2¢	$853	+2798%	2026-08-11
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	1,300	2¢	$773	+3407%	2026-10-31
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Yes	Open	1,298	39¢	$762	+151%	2026-06-01
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No	Open	2,000	54¢	$745	+69%	2027-01-01
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026? Yes	Open	1,595	51¢	$672	+82%	2026-09-01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	704	4¢	$665	+2547%	2026-08-31
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	2,497	8¢	$662	+331%	2027-01-01
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23? Yes	Open	700	11¢	$613	+789%	2026-08-23
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	1,799	62¢	$598	+54%	2026-08-31
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on August 26? Yes	Open	2,100	9¢	$584	+306%	2026-08-26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? No	Open	2,000	70¢	$581	+41%	2026-09-01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? Yes	Open	700	9¢	$576	+899%	2026-09-30
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Open	700	3¢	$570	+2604%	2026-10-31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? No	Open	1,000	13¢	$560	+447%	2026-10-01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Open	643	3¢	$530	+2636%	2026-10-31
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Open	700	3¢	$518	+2518%	2026-10-31
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	1,100	50¢	$515	+94%	2026-08-31
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	704	3¢	$475	+2227%	2026-09-30
Will "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? Yes	Open	599	20¢	$472	+394%	2026-08-23
Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 20m? Yes	Open	604	20¢	$471	+390%	2026-08-23
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? No	Open	1,205	43¢	$463	+90%	2026-12-31
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? Yes	Open	706	6¢	$460	+1107%	2026-09-02
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m? Yes	Open	597	22¢	$456	+349%	2026-08-23
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23? Yes	Open	700	20¢	$455	+325%	2026-08-23
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	700	30¢	$435	+208%	2026-09-30
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes	Open	1,102	50¢	$424	+77%	2027-01-31
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	700	3¢	$416	+1900%	2026-10-04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	4,143	89¢	$414	+11%	2026-08-31
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	698	40¢	$409	+148%	2026-08-31
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? Yes	Open	600	10¢	$393	+655%	2026-08-24
Will "The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? Yes	Open	525	21¢	$377	+339%	2026-08-23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	630	33¢	$362	+174%	2026-09-30
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes	Open	1,273	2¢	$360	+1286%	2026-08-11
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on August 26? Yes	Open	2,100	9¢	$349	+183%	2026-08-26
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? Yes	Open	944	31¢	$335	+113%	2027-01-01
Will MrBeast's next video get between 43 and 45 million views on day 2? Yes	Open	600	14¢	$334	+390%	2026-08-24
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes	Open	1,301	50¢	$325	+50%	2027-12-31
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? Yes	Open	700	29¢	$319	+156%	2026-09-30
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes	Open	1,304	50¢	$314	+48%	2026-12-06
Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 24, 2026? Yes	Open	660	43¢	$308	+107%	2026-08-24
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Yes	Open	601	14¢	$307	+353%	2026-08-29
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	700	52¢	$301	+83%	2026-11-03
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30? Yes	Open	700	20¢	$301	+215%	2026-08-30
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	620	50¢	$286	+92%	2026-08-31
Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 31, 2026? Yes	Open	700	25¢	$284	+162%	2026-08-31
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes	Open	625	27¢	$283	+166%	2026-12-31
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026? Yes	Open	600	9¢	$272	+500%	2026-08-25
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	600	9¢	$260	+478%	2026-08-28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes	Open	700	32¢	$259	+114%	2026-12-31
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	708	50¢	$258	+73%	2027-01-01
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m? Yes	Open	786	28¢	$256	+117%	2026-08-23
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	600	50¢	$231	+77%	2026-09-30
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? No	Open	849	69¢	$230	+39%	2026-09-01
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? No	Open	1,655	74¢	$225	+18%	2027-01-01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes	Open	443	44¢	$220	+112%	2027-01-01
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? No	Open	1,960	87¢	$213	+12%	2027-07-01
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on August 24? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$211	+663%	2026-08-24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on August 26? Yes	Open	2,100	9¢	$208	+109%	2026-08-26
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	700	3¢	$208	+951%	2026-10-04
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026? Yes	Open	600	9¢	$190	+349%	2026-08-25
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 23? Yes	Open	205	9¢	$186	+953%	2026-08-23
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? Yes	Open	700	50¢	$186	+53%	2027-12-31
Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 0°C on August 23? Yes	Open	270	30¢	$185	+232%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on August 23? Yes	Open	216	13¢	$183	+639%	2026-08-23
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 91°F or below on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$182	+999%	2026-08-23
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$182	+999%	2026-08-23
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$182	+999%	2026-08-23
Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$182	+999%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 21? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$182	+998%	2026-08-21
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	1,300	2¢	$181	+895%	2026-10-31
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August? Yes	Open	1,000	16¢	$180	+116%	2026-09-01
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on August 25? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$180	+565%	2026-08-25
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on August 23? Yes	Open	198	9¢	$179	+999%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$179	+984%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 22°C or higher on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$179	+984%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$178	+978%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$178	+978%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$176	+967%	2026-08-24
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes	Open	630	0¢	$175	0%	2026-12-31
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$175	+962%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$175	+962%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$171	+940%	2026-08-23
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? Yes	Open	500	4¢	$170	+885%	2026-08-25
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 23? Yes	Open	185	9¢	$168	+999%	2026-08-23
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City? Yes	Open	791	6¢	$166	+350%	2026-09-02
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on August 23? Yes	Open	400	9¢	$166	+456%	2026-08-23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No	Open	600	66¢	$159	+40%	2026-10-31
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on August 24? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$159	+500%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on August 23? Yes	Open	175	9¢	$159	+999%	2026-08-23
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? No	Open	310	39¢	$157	+129%	2026-10-01
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? Yes	Open	610	50¢	$156	+51%	2026-09-30
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 23? Yes	Open	170	9¢	$154	+999%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or below on August 24? Yes	Open	170	9¢	$154	+999%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 24? Yes	Open	170	9¢	$153	+992%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on August 23? Yes	Open	400	9¢	$152	+417%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 25°C on August 24? Yes	Open	170	9¢	$150	+973%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 23? Yes	Open	201	27¢	$148	+275%	2026-08-23
Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026? Yes	Open	700	25¢	$147	+84%	2026-09-07
Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on August 23? Yes	Open	170	9¢	$147	+951%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 24? Yes	Open	164	9¢	$144	+967%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 21? Yes	Open	193	25¢	$143	+292%	2026-08-21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 23? Yes	Open	176	19¢	$143	+440%	2026-08-23
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 23? Yes	Open	157	10¢	$142	+945%	2026-08-23
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 23? Yes	Open	156	9¢	$142	+999%	2026-08-23
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 23? Yes	Open	156	9¢	$142	+999%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on August 23? Yes	Open	400	9¢	$142	+390%	2026-08-23
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on August 24? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$141	+442%	2026-08-24
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on August 24? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$140	+441%	2026-08-24
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	700	3¢	$137	+662%	2026-09-30
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on August 25? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$136	+428%	2026-08-25
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes	Open	630	0¢	$136	0%	2026-12-31
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$135	+742%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 23? Yes	Open	213	37¢	$134	+171%	2026-08-23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No	Open	351	54¢	$133	+71%	2026-11-01
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI? Yes	Open	1,300	50¢	$130	+20%	2027-12-31
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$128	+703%	2026-08-24
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No	Open	740	75¢	$127	+23%	2027-01-01
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 23? Yes	Open	140	9¢	$127	+996%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 24? Yes	Open	154	17¢	$126	+491%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 22? Yes	Open	138	9¢	$125	+997%	2026-08-22
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 23? Yes	Open	141	9¢	$123	+928%	2026-08-23
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes	Open	1,140	43¢	$123	+25%	2028-01-01
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 23? Yes	Open	133	9¢	$121	+999%	2026-08-23
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 23? Yes	Open	131	9¢	$119	+999%	2026-08-23
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes	Open	1,205	55¢	$118	+18%	2026-12-31
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on August 24? Yes	Open	345	9¢	$118	+377%	2026-08-24
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? Yes	Open	2,046	3¢	$117	+170%	2027-01-01
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 25? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$117	+368%	2026-08-25
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? Yes	Open	1,961	11¢	$117	+57%	2027-07-01
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on August 25? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$116	+365%	2026-08-25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 24? Yes	Open	168	9¢	$116	+758%	2026-08-24
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes	Open	401	9¢	$114	+317%	2028-01-01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in August? No	Open	511	78¢	$111	+28%	2026-09-01
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$111	+610%	2026-08-24
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on August 25? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$110	+346%	2026-08-25
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	2,000	9¢	$110	+61%	2027-01-01
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$110	+604%	2026-08-24
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on August 25? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$108	+341%	2026-08-25
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes	Open	630	0¢	$107	0%	2026-12-31
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$107	+588%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$107	+588%	2026-08-23
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 24? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$106	+335%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 23? Yes	Open	117	9¢	$106	+999%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$106	+582%	2026-08-24
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? Yes	Open	500	4¢	$106	+549%	2026-08-25
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$105	+577%	2026-08-24
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on August 24? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$105	+328%	2026-08-24
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 25? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$103	+324%	2026-08-25
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on August 25? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$103	+324%	2026-08-25
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$103	+566%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$103	+566%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 24? Yes	Open	136	15¢	$103	+516%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 24? Yes	Open	170	9¢	$103	+665%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 23? Yes	Open	117	13¢	$103	+696%	2026-08-23
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on August 24? Yes	Open	345	9¢	$102	+327%	2026-08-24
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 25? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$101	+318%	2026-08-25
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on August 25? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$101	+318%	2026-08-25
Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$101	+555%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$101	+554%	2026-08-24
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes	Open	700	50¢	$100	+28%	2026-12-31
Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$100	+549%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24? Yes	Open	156	9¢	$99	+703%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$99	+544%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$99	+544%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$99	+544%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$99	+543%	2026-08-24
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? Yes	Open	500	4¢	$97	+505%	2026-08-25
Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$96	+527%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$96	+527%	2026-08-24
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	600	4¢	$94	+407%	2026-08-28
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 24? Yes	Open	140	27¢	$93	+247%	2026-08-24
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes	Open	1,009	62¢	$93	+15%	1970-01-01
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$90	+494%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C or higher on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$90	+494%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 24? Yes	Open	199	9¢	$89	+494%	2026-08-24
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	600	4¢	$88	+381%	2026-08-28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24? Yes	Open	170	9¢	$87	+566%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$87	+478%	2026-08-24
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? No	Open	118	25¢	$87	+294%	1970-01-01
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? Yes	Open	195	50¢	$85	+87%	2026-10-11
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$85	+467%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$85	+467%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 24? Yes	Open	170	9¢	$84	+543%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$83	+456%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 22? Yes	Open	107	23¢	$82	+333%	2026-08-22
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on August 24? Yes	Open	164	9¢	$82	+549%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$81	+445%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$81	+445%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$81	+445%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 22°C on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$81	+445%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 21°C on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$81	+445%	2026-08-23
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$80	+439%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 20°C or below on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$80	+439%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or below on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$80	+439%	2026-08-23
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$79	+434%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$78	+428%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$78	+428%	2026-08-23
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$77	+423%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$77	+423%	2026-08-24
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? Yes	Open	700	11¢	$76	+98%	2026-08-31
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on August 25? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$75	+237%	2026-08-25
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	600	9¢	$74	+137%	2026-08-28
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$73	+401%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$73	+400%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$72	+395%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 21°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$71	+390%	2026-08-24
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Boston Red Sox	Open	244	43¢	$70	+67%	2026-08-29
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	600	4¢	$70	+303%	2026-08-28
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 24? Yes	Open	187	9¢	$70	+412%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$70	+384%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$69	+379%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 24? Yes	Open	167	13¢	$68	+311%	2026-08-24
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Open	700	3¢	$67	+325%	2026-10-31
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$67	+368%	2026-08-24
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	1,302	2¢	$66	+335%	2026-10-31
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 24? Yes	Open	170	9¢	$66	+428%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$66	+362%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 24? Yes	Open	193	9¢	$65	+373%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$65	+357%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$64	+351%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$64	+351%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$64	+351%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$62	+340%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$62	+340%	2026-08-24
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	702	50¢	$62	+18%	2026-12-31
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027? No	Open	448	34¢	$61	+41%	2027-07-01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 24? Yes	Open	187	9¢	$61	+357%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$60	+329%	2026-08-24
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on August 24? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$59	+187%	2026-08-24
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on August 25? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$59	+186%	2026-08-25
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$59	+324%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$59	+324%	2026-08-24
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? Yes	Open	700	11¢	$59	+76%	2026-08-31
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 25? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$58	+183%	2026-08-25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	600	4¢	$58	+251%	2026-08-28
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$58	+318%	2026-08-23
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes	Open	700	25¢	$57	+32%	2026-09-13
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$57	+313%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$57	+313%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$57	+313%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$57	+313%	2026-08-23
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$57	+313%	2026-08-24
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026? Yes	Open	700	25¢	$56	+32%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$56	+307%	2026-08-24
Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch? No	Open	240	71¢	$55	+32%	2027-01-01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$54	+296%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$53	+291%	2026-08-24
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? Yes	Open	600	14¢	$52	+61%	2026-08-29
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No	Open	437	21¢	$52	+57%	2027-01-01
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? No	Open	1,853	90¢	$52	+3%	2026-09-01
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No	Open	119	51¢	$52	+85%	2027-01-01
Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$51	+280%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$51	+280%	2026-08-24
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 24? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$50	+159%	2026-08-24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? Yes	Open	399	75¢	$50	+17%	2026-09-30
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C or below on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 24°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 9°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 25°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 26°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 25°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 26°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 19°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 18°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 17°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$50	+274%	2026-08-24
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes	Open	351	29¢	$49	+48%	2028-01-01
Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 25? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$49	+154%	2026-08-25
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 16°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$49	+269%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$49	+269%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$49	+269%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$49	+269%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$49	+269%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$49	+269%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$49	+269%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$49	+269%	2026-08-24
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? No	Open	424	48¢	$49	+24%	2028-01-01
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 24? Yes	Open	167	11¢	$48	+276%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$48	+263%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$48	+263%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$48	+263%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$48	+263%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$48	+263%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C or below on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$48	+263%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$48	+263%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 23°C on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$48	+263%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$47	+258%	2026-08-23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$47	+258%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$47	+257%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$46	+252%	2026-08-23
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$46	+252%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on August 23? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$46	+252%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$45	+247%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$45	+247%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$45	+247%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$45	+247%	2026-08-24
Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 24? Yes	Open	350	9¢	$45	+140%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 7°C or below on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$44	+241%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$44	+241%	2026-08-24
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes	Open	64	29¢	$42	+226%	2027-07-01
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$42	+230%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 6°C or below on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$42	+230%	2026-08-24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? No	Open	85	39¢	$41	+124%	2026-09-01
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? No	Open	75	40¢	$41	+137%	2026-10-01
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 24? Yes	Open	165	9¢	$41	+274%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$41	+225%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C or below on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$41	+225%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$41	+224%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 24? Yes	Open	189	9¢	$41	+236%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$40	+219%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$40	+219%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$40	+219%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$39	+214%	2026-08-24
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$39	+214%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$39	+214%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$39	+213%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 24? Yes	Open	200	9¢	$38	+208%	2026-08-24
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	147	65¢	$38	+40%	2027-07-01
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No	Open	97	35¢	$37	+111%	2027-01-01
Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026? No	Open	105	57¢	$36	+60%	2026-09-01
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes	Open	802	93¢	$35	+5%	2028-01-01
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30? Yes	Open	700	20¢	$35	+25%	2026-08-30
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No	Open	155	48¢	$34	+46%	2028-01-01
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	600	4¢	$34	+147%	2026-08-28
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? No	Open	726	95¢	$33	+5%	2026-09-01
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No	Open	624	79¢	$31	+6%	2028-01-01
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No	Open	1,140	55¢	$31	+5%	2028-01-01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? No	Open	627	90¢	$30	+5%	2027-01-01
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m? Yes	Open	784	37¢	$28	+10%	2026-08-23
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes	Open	407	75¢	$26	+9%	2027-01-01
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes	Open	700	16¢	$26	+23%	2026-09-13
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	600	9¢	$25	+46%	2026-08-28
Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes	Open	700	50¢	$25	+7%	2028-11-06
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes	Open	620	19¢	$22	+19%	2028-01-01
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No	Open	402	92¢	$20	+5%	2026-12-31
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No	Open	332	88¢	$18	+6%	2027-01-01
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No	Open	668	93¢	$18	+3%	2027-01-01
Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August? No	Open	1,273	99¢	$17	+1%	2026-09-01
Will MrBeast's next video get between 41 and 43 million views on day 2? Yes	Open	600	14¢	$16	+19%	2026-08-24
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? No	Open	300	61¢	$16	+9%	2028-01-01
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No	Open	951	31¢	$13	+4%	2028-01-01
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No	Open	238	56¢	$12	+9%	1970-01-01
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? No	Open	500	94¢	$11	+2%	2026-12-31
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes	Open	761	7¢	$10	+18%	2027-01-01
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? Yes	Open	600	10¢	$9	+15%	2026-08-24
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August? No	Open	500	97¢	$8	+2%	2026-09-01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? Yes	Open	507	94¢	$8	+2%	2027-01-01
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No	Open	500	96¢	$7	+2%	2026-12-31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes	Open	2,000	17¢	$7	+2%	2027-01-01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No	Open	399	24¢	$6	+6%	2026-10-31
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No	Open	224	93¢	$6	+3%	2027-01-01
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No	Open	498	98¢	$6	+1%	2026-12-31
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No	Open	500	96¢	$5	+1%	2027-01-01
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-01 House seat? No	Open	101	91¢	$5	+6%	2026-11-03
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August? No	Open	1,000	83¢	$5	+1%	2026-09-01
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No	Open	750	98¢	$5	+1%	2027-01-01
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? No	Open	126	75¢	$4	+4%	2028-01-01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in August? No	Open	500	99¢	$4	+1%	2026-09-01
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? No	Open	150	95¢	$3	+2%	2027-01-01
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No	Open	93	94¢	$3	+4%	2027-01-01
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m? No	Open	114	97¢	$3	+3%	2026-08-23
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? No	Open	500	99¢	$3	+1%	2026-09-01
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No	Open	101	95¢	$3	+3%	2026-12-31
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No	Open	500	93¢	$3	+1%	2027-01-01
Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? No	Open	296	98¢	$2	+1%	2026-09-01
Base FDV above $3B one day after launch? No	Open	101	61¢	$1	+2%	2028-01-01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 24? Yes	Open	60	98¢	$1	+2%	2026-08-24
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No	Open	500	99¢	$1	+0%	2026-12-31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 25? Yes	Open	57	98¢	$1	+2%	2026-08-25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No	Open	134	93¢	$1	+1%	2027-01-01
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? No	Open	80	94¢	$1	+1%	2028-01-01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 24? Yes	Open	100	99¢	$0	+0%	2026-08-24
Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? No	Open	60	93¢	$0	+0%	2026-08-25
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No	Open	500	98¢	$0	+0%	2026-12-31
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No	Open	356	100¢	$0	+0%	2026-12-31
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No	Open	749	81¢	$0	+0%	2027-01-01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24? Yes	Open	400	99¢	$0	0%	2026-08-24
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No	Open	183	100¢	-$0	-0%	2026-12-31
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No	Open	500	99¢	-$1	-0%	2026-12-31
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No	Open	500	98¢	-$1	-0%	2027-01-01
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No	Open	500	100¢	-$1	-0%	2026-12-31
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No	Open	498	99¢	-$1	-0%	2026-12-31
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? No	Open	351	70¢	-$1	-0%	2027-07-01
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No	Open	500	100¢	-$1	-0%	2026-12-31
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? Yes	Open	600	10¢	-$1	-2%	2026-08-24
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No	Open	265	99¢	-$2	-1%	2026-12-31
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No	Open	2,500	98¢	-$2	-0%	2027-01-01
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on August 26? Yes	Open	2,100	9¢	-$2	-1%	2026-08-26
Will Solana reach $130 in August? No	Open	250	96¢	-$2	-1%	2026-09-01
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 2? Yes	Open	600	14¢	-$3	-4%	2026-08-24
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? Yes	Open	79	94¢	-$4	-5%	2027-01-01
Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? Yes	Open	700	11¢	-$4	-5%	2026-08-31
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? Yes	Open	700	11¢	-$4	-5%	2026-08-31
Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? Yes	Open	700	11¢	-$4	-5%	2026-08-31
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026? Yes	Open	700	25¢	-$9	-5%	2026-09-07
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees	Open	249	53¢	-$12	-9%	2026-09-05
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes	Open	493	48¢	-$12	-5%	2028-01-01
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? Yes	Open	600	14¢	-$14	-16%	2026-08-29
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes	Open	700	50¢	-$18	-5%	2026-12-31
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No	Open	2,046	95¢	-$18	-1%	2027-01-01
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? Yes	Open	700	11¢	-$18	-23%	2026-08-31
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes	Open	940	76¢	-$19	-3%	2028-01-01
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? Yes	Open	700	11¢	-$22	-28%	2026-08-31
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes	Open	677	50¢	-$23	-7%	2026-12-31
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	310	60¢	-$25	-13%	2027-01-01
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? No	Open	765	36¢	-$33	-12%	1970-01-01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No	Open	335	64¢	-$35	-16%	2027-01-01
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes	Open	700	16¢	-$38	-35%	2026-09-13
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes	Open	539	20¢	-$50	-46%	2027-01-01
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026? Yes	Open	700	25¢	-$53	-30%	2026-09-07
Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2027? No	Open	262	79¢	-$58	-28%	2028-01-01
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes	Open	627	23¢	-$62	-42%	2026-12-31
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes	Open	270	59¢	-$62	-39%	2027-07-01
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes	Open	200	66¢	-$69	-52%	2027-01-01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	351	45¢	-$75	-48%	2027-01-01
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? Yes	Open	1,363	23¢	-$80	-25%	2027-01-01
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30? Yes	Open	700	20¢	-$84	-60%	2026-08-30
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes	Open	700	50¢	-$88	-25%	2026-12-31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes	Open	700	50¢	-$88	-25%	2026-12-31
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes	Open	629	24¢	-$93	-61%	2026-12-31
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes	Open	695	49¢	-$95	-28%	2026-12-31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	600	33¢	-$99	-50%	2026-12-31
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on August 25? Yes	Open	2,820	9¢	-$107	-42%	2026-08-25
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 26? Yes	Open	2,100	9¢	-$113	-59%	2026-08-26
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes	Open	700	50¢	-$116	-33%	2026-12-31
Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes	Open	354	50¢	-$119	-67%	2026-12-31
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Yes	Open	700	27¢	-$119	-64%	2026-09-30
Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	423	47¢	-$126	-63%	2027-01-01
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	807	50¢	-$148	-37%	2027-04-30
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes	Open	700	34¢	-$158	-67%	2026-12-31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	702	49¢	-$160	-46%	2026-12-31
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	1,500	19¢	-$163	-56%	2027-01-01
Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes	Open	700	50¢	-$179	-51%	2028-11-06
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? Yes	Open	610	50¢	-$180	-59%	2026-09-30
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes	Open	1,581	26¢	-$193	-48%	2027-01-01
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	810	50¢	-$204	-51%	2027-04-30
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes	Open	675	50¢	-$213	-63%	2026-12-31
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? Yes	Open	700	50¢	-$231	-66%	2027-12-31
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	523	73¢	-$253	-66%	2027-01-01
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes	Open	700	50¢	-$273	-78%	2026-12-31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes	Open	869	50¢	-$282	-65%	2026-12-31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes	Open	869	50¢	-$288	-66%	2026-12-31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes	Open	869	50¢	-$291	-67%	2026-12-31
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	811	49¢	-$291	-73%	2027-04-30
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes	Open	869	50¢	-$312	-72%	2026-12-31
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	1,799	21¢	-$313	-82%	2026-08-31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes	Open	869	50¢	-$337	-78%	2026-12-31
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	4,448	9¢	-$340	-85%	2026-08-31
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Yes	Open	1,253	50¢	-$345	-55%	2026-09-13
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes	Open	869	50¢	-$358	-82%	2026-12-31
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI? Yes	Open	1,300	50¢	-$377	-58%	2027-12-31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes	Open	869	50¢	-$378	-87%	2026-12-31
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No	Open	2,497	91¢	-$382	-17%	2027-01-01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes	Open	1,000	86¢	-$385	-45%	2026-11-01
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $CGPT? Yes	Open	1,296	50¢	-$399	-62%	2027-12-31
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Yes	Open	1,253	50¢	-$432	-69%	2026-09-13
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Yes	Open	1,253	50¢	-$432	-69%	2026-09-13
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? Yes	Open	1,100	49¢	-$454	-84%	2027-01-31
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OA? Yes	Open	1,300	50¢	-$460	-71%	2027-12-31
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	4,146	19¢	-$466	-60%	2026-10-31
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes	Open	1,338	50¢	-$476	-71%	2027-12-31
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AIX? Yes	Open	1,300	50¢	-$478	-74%	2027-12-31
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes	Open	1,302	49¢	-$517	-82%	2026-12-06
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AAGI? Yes	Open	1,300	50¢	-$530	-82%	2027-12-31
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Yes	Open	1,253	50¢	-$536	-86%	2026-09-13
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Yes	Open	1,253	50¢	-$545	-87%	2026-09-13
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes	Open	1,300	49¢	-$553	-87%	2026-12-06
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes	Open	1,303	50¢	-$557	-86%	2026-12-06
Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Yes	Open	1,253	50¢	-$558	-89%	2026-09-13
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes	Open	1,307	50¢	-$591	-91%	2027-12-31
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes	Open	12,181	23¢	-$932	-33%	2027-01-01
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 27, 2026? Yes	Open	3,450	46¢	-$1.5K	-95%	2026-08-28
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 30, 2026? Yes	Open	6,532	50¢	-$3.2K	-98%	2026-08-31
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 23, 2026? Yes	Open	6,757	50¢	-$3.3K	-98%	2026-08-24
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	28,864	35¢	-$10.1K	-99%	2026-10-04

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