Wallet positions

0x550f…7dad

Current holdings from Polymarket, with the saved analysis of this wallet's resolved record.

Resolved positions

294

Realized PnL

$47.83

Win rate

0.0%

Realized edge

-0.2 pp

Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge -0.2 pp across 294 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.2, -0.2], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current holdings

500 positions returned. Up to 500 by current value; venue filters can omit holdings. Display limit reached; more positions may exist.

Checked 2026-09-25 01:50:52 UTC.

About this snapshot

Checked is our request time, not the venue's update time. Prices, values and PnL are venue snapshot figures; missing values show a dash. Held does not establish whether a market has resolved; Redeemable is the venue's flag. Snapshot PnL is separate from the saved resolved record above. This is not the full trading history.


Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on September 27? Yes	Held	800	0.1¢	0.6¢	$4.80	$4.00	+500.0%	2026-09-27
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on September 25? Yes	Held	585	0.1¢	0.5¢	$2.92	$2.34	+400.0%	2026-09-25
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on September 25? Yes	Held	485	0.1¢	0.5¢	$2.42	$1.94	+400.0%	2026-09-25
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on September 25? Yes	Held	485	0.1¢	0.5¢	$2.42	$1.94	+400.0%	2026-09-25
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 21-27? Yes	Held	513	0.1¢	0.45¢	$2.31	$1.80	+350.0%	2026-09-28
Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on September 27? Yes	Held	390.16	0.1¢	0.55¢	$2.15	$1.76	+450.0%	2026-09-27
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on September 25? Yes	Held	67.88	0.1¢	2.15¢	$1.46	$1.39	+2049.9%	2026-09-25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? Yes	Held	59.12	0.2¢	2.55¢	$1.51	$1.39	+1174.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 0%-3%? Yes	Held	7.14	0.2¢	17.55¢	$1.25	$1.24	+8674.4%	2027-07-01
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in October 2026? Yes	Held	67.95	0.2¢	1.9¢	$1.29	$1.16	+850.0%	2026-11-01
Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down? Down	Held	57.82	0.2¢	2¢	$1.16	$1.04	+899.9%	2026-09-21
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on September 27? Yes	Held	199	0.1¢	0.6¢	$1.19	$0.99	+500.0%	2026-09-27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.65¢	$1.30	$0.90	+225.0%	2026-09-30
North Macedonia vs. Switzerland: North Macedonia O/U 5.5 Over	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
CD Guadalajara vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC O/U 5.5 Over	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
San Marino vs. Finland: San Marino O/U 5.5 Over	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: UD Las Palmas (-5.5) UD Las Palmas	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-27
Spread: Athletic Club (-4.5) Athletic Club	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-27
Cambridge United FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: AFC Wimbledon O/U 5.5 Over	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Woking FC (-5.5) Woking FC	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Belarus (-4.5) Belarus	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Estonia (-5.5) Estonia	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: CD Eldense (-5.5) CD Eldense	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-27
Spread: Rochdale AFC (-5.5) Rochdale AFC	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Armenia vs. Latvia: Latvia O/U 5.5 Over	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-25
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-5.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-25
Iceland vs. Estonia: Estonia O/U 5.5 Over	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: England (-4.5) England	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: CA Guemes (-5.5) CA Guemes	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Iceland vs. Estonia: Estonia 1st Half O/U 3.5 Over	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Moldova (-5.5) Moldova	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Slovakia vs. Moldova: Moldova O/U 5.5 Over	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-5.5) Real Sporting de Gijón	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-27
Spread: Burton Albion FC (-5.5) Burton Albion FC	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Atlético San Luis (-5.5) Atlético San Luis	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-27
Spread: Vanraure Hachinohe FC (-5.5) Vanraure Hachinohe FC	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: FC Tulsa (-5.5) FC Tulsa	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Club Puebla (-5.5) Club Puebla	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-27
Spread: FC Andorra (-5.5) FC Andorra	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Albania vs. Belarus: Belarus O/U 5.5 Over	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: FC Juárez (-5.5) FC Juárez	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-28
Spread: Chacarita Juniors (-5.5) Chacarita Juniors	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
CD Tenerife vs. Cádiz CF: Cádiz CF O/U 5.5 Over	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: UD Almería (-5.5) UD Almería	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-27
Spread: Ventforet Kōfu (-5.5) Ventforet Kōfu	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Luxembourg (-5.5) Luxembourg	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Newport County AFC (-5.5) Newport County AFC	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Exeter City FC (-5.5) Exeter City FC	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Albacete Balompié (-5.5) Albacete Balompié	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-25
Spread: D.C. United SC (-4.5) D.C. United SC	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-27
Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-5.5) Sporting Kansas City	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-27
Spread: North Macedonia (-5.5) North Macedonia	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Estonia (-4.5) Estonia	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Fortaleza FC (-5.5) Fortaleza FC	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-27
Spread: Moldova (-3.5) Moldova	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: CA Guemes (-4.5) CA Guemes	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. D.C. United SC: D.C. United SC O/U 5.5 Over	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-27
Spread: Querétaro FC (-4.5) Querétaro FC	Held	200	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
North Macedonia vs. Switzerland: North Macedonia 1st Half O/U 3.5 Over	Held	199.994	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.90	+450.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: D.C. United SC (-5.5) D.C. United SC	Held	197	0.1¢	0.55¢	$1.08	$0.89	+450.0%	2026-09-27
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 25%-30%? Yes	Held	24.352	0.2¢	3.8¢	$0.93	$0.88	+1799.6%	2027-07-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election by 25%-30%? Yes	Held	11.72	0.3¢	7.5¢	$0.88	$0.84	+2399.9%	2027-07-01
Spread: Australia (-4.5) Australia	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-25
Spread: Cádiz CF (-5.5) Cádiz CF	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Vanraure Hachinohe FC (-4.5) Vanraure Hachinohe FC	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
San Marino vs. Finland: San Marino O/U 4.5 Over	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: North Macedonia (-4.5) North Macedonia	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Moldova (-4.5) Moldova	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Belarus (-5.5) Belarus	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: San Marino (-5.5) San Marino	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Australia (-5.5) Australia	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-25
Spread: Türkiye (-5.5) Türkiye	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-25
Spread: San Marino (-3.5) San Marino	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 5.5 Over	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-25
Spread: AFC Wimbledon (-5.5) AFC Wimbledon	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Slovakia vs. Moldova: Moldova O/U 4.5 Over	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Toronto FC (-5.5) Toronto FC	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-27
Spread: Ukraine (-5.5) Ukraine	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-25
Vila Nova FC vs. Londrina EC: Londrina EC O/U 5.5 Over	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-25
Hungary vs. Ukraine: Ukraine O/U 5.5 Over	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-25
Spread: Gillingham FC (-5.5) Gillingham FC	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Londrina EC (-5.5) Londrina EC	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-25
Spread: Northern Ireland (-5.5) Northern Ireland	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-25
Spread: Romania (-5.5) Romania	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-25
Spread: Orlando City SC (-5.5) Orlando City SC	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Cyprus (-5.5) Cyprus	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-25
Spread: Querétaro FC (-5.5) Querétaro FC	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: San Marino (-4.5) San Marino	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Londrina EC (-4.5) Londrina EC	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-25
Montenegro vs. Cyprus: Cyprus O/U 5.5 Over	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-25
Spread: Belgium (-5.5) Belgium	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-25
Spread: Atlas FC (-5.5) Atlas FC	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Exact Score: San Marino 3 - 0 Finland? Yes	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Chacarita Juniors (-4.5) Chacarita Juniors	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Latvia (-5.5) Latvia	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-25
Spread: Kazakhstan (-5.5) Kazakhstan	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Peterborough United FC (-5.5) Peterborough United FC	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Spread: Gateshead FC (-5.5) Gateshead FC	Held	200	0.1¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.80	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? Yes	Held	799.995	0.1¢	0.2¢	$1.60	$0.80	+100.0%	2026-10-01
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 10, 2026? Yes	Held	17.4	0.2¢	4.75¢	$0.83	$0.79	+2275.0%	2026-10-10
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in October 2026? Yes	Held	80	0.2¢	1.15¢	$0.92	$0.76	+475.0%	2026-11-01
Grêmio Novorizontino vs. São Bernardo FC: São Bernardo FC O/U 5.5 Over	Held	180.23	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.90	$0.72	+399.9%	2026-09-25
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in October 2026? Yes	Held	158.512	0.2¢	0.65¢	$1.03	$0.71	+225.0%	2026-11-01
Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.70	+175.0%	2026-10-07
Will Podemos (PODEMOS) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.55¢	$1.10	$0.70	+175.0%	2026-10-04
Will “House Tour” by Sabrina Carpenter win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? Yes	Held	56	0.2¢	1.45¢	$0.81	$0.70	+625.0%	2026-09-28
Australia vs. Brazil: Australia O/U 5.5 Over	Held	199.996	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.90	$0.70	+350.0%	2026-09-25
Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? Yes	Held	17	0.2¢	4.15¢	$0.71	$0.67	+1975.0%	2026-09-29
Will Google be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? Yes	Held	188.18	0.2¢	0.55¢	$1.03	$0.66	+175.0%	2026-10-01
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of September 2026? Yes	Held	185.8	0.2¢	0.55¢	$1.02	$0.65	+175.0%	2026-09-30
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election? Yes	Held	130	0.2¢	0.7¢	$0.91	$0.65	+250.0%	2027-07-01
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? Yes	Held	19.78	0.2¢	3.45¢	$0.68	$0.64	+1624.9%	2026-10-02
Will Lakhwinder Jhaj win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? Yes	Held	33.39	0.2¢	2.05¢	$0.68	$0.62	+924.8%	2026-09-26
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in September? Yes	Held	45.56	0.2¢	1.55¢	$0.71	$0.61	+674.8%	2026-10-15
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? Yes	Held	151.71	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.91	$0.61	+200.0%	2026-10-05
Will Gina Cruz Blackledge win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.60	+150.0%	2028-01-01
Will Angela Murray win Big Brother season 28? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.60	+150.0%	2026-10-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 0%-20%? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.60	+150.0%	2026-11-04
Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.60	+150.0%	2026-10-01
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.60	+150.0%	2026-09-29
Will Drake be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.60	+150.0%	2027-04-01
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	199.11	0.2¢	0.5¢	$1.00	$0.60	+150.0%	2026-11-01
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 11, 2026? Yes	Held	17.4	0.2¢	3.6¢	$0.63	$0.59	+1700.0%	2026-10-11
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 4, 2026? Yes	Held	17.4	0.2¢	3.6¢	$0.63	$0.59	+1700.0%	2026-10-04
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on September 27? Yes	Held	195.145	0.1¢	0.4¢	$0.78	$0.59	+299.9%	2026-09-27
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on September 26? Yes	Held	195.09	0.1¢	0.4¢	$0.78	$0.59	+300.0%	2026-09-26
Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.6M in August? Yes	Held	30.01	0.2¢	2.15¢	$0.65	$0.59	+974.8%	2026-09-29
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? Yes	Held	141	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.70	$0.56	+400.0%	2026-09-28
Will ByteDance be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	160.03	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.88	$0.56	+175.0%	2026-12-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 18% or more? Yes	Held	5	0.2¢	11.35¢	$0.57	$0.56	+5575.0%	2027-07-01
Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? Yes	Held	180.36	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.90	$0.54	+150.0%	2026-09-29
Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? Yes	Held	180.36	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.90	$0.54	+150.0%	2026-09-29
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 2, 2026? Yes	Held	17.4	0.2¢	3.3¢	$0.57	$0.54	+1550.0%	2026-10-02
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 3, 2026? Yes	Held	17.4	0.2¢	3.25¢	$0.57	$0.53	+1525.0%	2026-10-03
Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? Yes	Held	143.39	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.79	$0.50	+175.0%	2026-10-05
Will Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.90	$0.50	+125.0%	2027-04-01
Will Grażyna Zofia Świat win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.90	$0.50	+125.0%	2026-09-27
Will the Republican Party win the MI-12 House seat? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.90	$0.50	+125.0%	2026-11-04
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.90	$0.50	+125.0%	2026-09-25
Will Barrett Pfeiffer come in second-place on Big Brother season 28? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.90	$0.50	+125.0%	2027-01-01
Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.90	$0.50	+125.0%	2026-09-25
Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September? Yes	Held	124.01	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.62	$0.50	+399.9%	2026-09-30
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 30% or more? Yes	Held	34	0.2¢	1.65¢	$0.56	$0.49	+725.0%	2026-11-03
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $168-$170 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? Yes	Held	5	0.2¢	9.95¢	$0.50	$0.49	+4875.0%	2026-09-25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 45%-55%? Yes	Held	24.89	0.2¢	2.15¢	$0.54	$0.49	+974.9%	2026-11-03
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	188.62	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.85	$0.47	+125.0%	2026-12-01
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 3? Yes	Held	154.656	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.77	$0.46	+149.9%	2026-09-29
Will Henry Yao win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? Yes	Held	113.928	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.68	$0.46	+200.0%	2026-10-18
Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? Yes	Held	149	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.74	$0.45	+150.0%	2026-09-29
Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? Yes	Held	149	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.74	$0.45	+150.0%	2026-09-29
Will Hong Kong have between 275-300mm of precipitation in September? Yes	Held	99	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.54	$0.45	+450.0%	2026-12-08
Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes	Held	68.48	0.2¢	0.85¢	$0.58	$0.45	+324.9%	1970-01-01
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes	Held	58.19	0.2¢	0.95¢	$0.55	$0.44	+375.0%	2028-06-30
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? Yes	Held	118.71	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.65	$0.42	+175.0%	2026-09-25
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be less than $1.00T at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	5	0.2¢	8.3¢	$0.41	$0.41	+4050.0%	2026-10-31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 30%-35%? Yes	Held	19.74	0.2¢	2.25¢	$0.44	$0.40	+1024.8%	2026-11-04
Will Luma AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026? Yes	Held	161.54	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.73	$0.40	+125.0%	2026-09-30
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of summit? Yes	Held	72.85	0.2¢	0.75¢	$0.55	$0.40	+274.9%	2026-10-08
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in September? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.4¢	$0.80	$0.40	+100.0%	2026-10-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-09 House election by 45% or more? Yes	Held	133.0095	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.67	$0.40	+150.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 50 bps or more at the October 2026 meeting? Yes	Held	99.59	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.60	$0.40	+200.0%	2026-10-22
Will Julie Tourangeau win the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election? Yes	Held	87.71	0.2¢	0.65¢	$0.57	$0.39	+224.9%	2026-10-05
Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.4% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026? Yes	Held	18.33	0.2¢	2.35¢	$0.43	$0.39	+1074.7%	2026-10-14
Will Thinky be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	97	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.58	$0.39	+200.0%	2026-12-01
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	188.62	0.2¢	0.4¢	$0.75	$0.38	+100.0%	2026-12-01
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	188.62	0.2¢	0.4¢	$0.75	$0.38	+100.0%	2026-12-01
Will Charles Hudon win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election? Yes	Held	30.98	0.2¢	1.4¢	$0.43	$0.37	+599.9%	2026-10-05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 25%-30%? Yes	Held	100	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.35	+175.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election? Yes	Held	99.08	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.54	$0.35	+175.0%	2027-07-01
Will Gabrielle Williams be the next Premier of Victoria? Yes	Held	9.77	0.2¢	3.75¢	$0.37	$0.35	+1774.3%	2027-07-01
Will Meituan be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	97	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.53	$0.34	+175.0%	2026-12-01
Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	19.18	0.2¢	1.95¢	$0.37	$0.34	+874.9%	2026-12-01
Will PQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? Yes	Held	24.7	0.2¢	1.55¢	$0.38	$0.33	+674.9%	2026-10-05
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 5, 2026? Yes	Held	17.4	0.2¢	2.1¢	$0.37	$0.33	+950.0%	2026-10-05
Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? Yes	Held	130.36	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.59	$0.33	+125.0%	2026-09-29
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	23.17	0.2¢	1.6¢	$0.37	$0.32	+699.8%	2026-12-01
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	49.57	0.2¢	0.85¢	$0.42	$0.32	+324.9%	2027-01-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MA-09 House election? Yes	Held	92.03	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.51	$0.32	+174.9%	2027-07-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 0%-10%? Yes	Held	22.96	0.2¢	1.6¢	$0.37	$0.32	+699.7%	2026-11-03
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September? Yes	Held	80	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.48	$0.32	+200.0%	2026-10-01
Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? Yes	Held	13.04	0.2¢	2.55¢	$0.33	$0.31	+1174.8%	2026-09-28
Will the price of Solana be above $135 on September 25? Yes	Held	87.102	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.39	$0.30	+349.8%	2026-09-25
Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	87	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.48	$0.30	+175.0%	2026-12-01
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 3? Yes	Held	101	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.51	$0.30	+150.0%	2026-09-29
Will "Be Her - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 3? Yes	Held	101	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.51	$0.30	+150.0%	2026-09-29
Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 3? Yes	Held	101	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.51	$0.30	+150.0%	2026-09-29
Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.50	$0.30	+150.0%	2026-09-29
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election? Yes	Held	20	0.2¢	1.7¢	$0.34	$0.30	+750.0%	2026-11-04
Will Emily Lowan be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes	Held	199.996	0.2¢	0.35¢	$0.70	$0.30	+75.0%	2026-10-24
Will Atanas Atanasov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? Yes	Held	85.44	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.47	$0.30	+175.0%	2026-10-25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-08 House election? Yes	Held	85	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.47	$0.30	+175.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-06 House election by 30%-40%? Yes	Held	83.8	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.46	$0.29	+175.0%	2026-11-04
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? Yes	Held	44.9325	0.2¢	0.85¢	$0.38	$0.29	+324.9%	2026-09-29
Will Nvidia be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	97	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.48	$0.29	+150.0%	2026-12-01
Will Slayyyter win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes	Held	16.14	0.2¢	2¢	$0.32	$0.29	+899.9%	2027-02-07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 65% or more? Yes	Held	16.79	0.2¢	1.9¢	$0.32	$0.29	+849.9%	2026-11-04
Will Natalia Kiselova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? Yes	Held	81	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.45	$0.28	+175.0%	2026-10-25
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in August? Yes	Held	80	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.44	$0.28	+175.0%	2026-09-30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election by 20%-30%? Yes	Held	10	0.2¢	3¢	$0.30	$0.28	+1400.0%	2026-11-04
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 50k and 60k? Yes	Held	110.37	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.50	$0.28	+124.9%	2027-01-01
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% or more in September? Yes	Held	110.3	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.50	$0.28	+125.0%	2026-10-15
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	7.07	0.2¢	4.1¢	$0.29	$0.28	+1949.1%	2027-01-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 35% or more? Yes	Held	91.09	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.46	$0.27	+150.0%	2027-07-01
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Turkey by December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	19.42	0.2¢	1.6¢	$0.31	$0.27	+699.8%	2027-01-01
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	77.52	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.43	$0.27	+174.9%	2026-12-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election? Yes	Held	90	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.45	$0.27	+150.0%	2026-11-04
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? Yes	Held	6.42	0.2¢	4.4¢	$0.28	$0.27	+2098.9%	2026-09-29
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? Yes	Held	107.659	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.48	$0.27	+124.9%	2027-02-01
Will Francois Hollande win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? Yes	Held	89.05	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.45	$0.27	+150.0%	2026-10-31
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by September 30? Yes	Held	89.002	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.45	$0.27	+149.9%	2026-10-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-16 House election by 30%-35%? Yes	Held	75.05	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.41	$0.26	+174.9%	2026-11-04
Will Éder Mauro win the Governor of Pará election? Yes	Held	174.81	0.2¢	0.35¢	$0.61	$0.26	+75.0%	2027-07-01
Will Tencent be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	87	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.43	$0.26	+150.0%	2026-12-01
Will Enrique Augusto Rodríguez Morales win the next Maynas mayoral elections? Yes	Held	104	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.47	$0.26	+125.0%	2026-10-04
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? Yes	Held	57.49	0.2¢	0.65¢	$0.37	$0.26	+224.9%	2026-10-18
Will “Dance...” by Slayyyter win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? Yes	Held	15.03	0.2¢	1.9¢	$0.29	$0.26	+849.6%	2026-09-28
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	19.32	0.2¢	1.5¢	$0.29	$0.25	+649.8%	2027-03-14
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in September? Yes	Held	7.36	0.2¢	3.6¢	$0.26	$0.25	+1699.0%	2026-10-15
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Austria by December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	10.8	0.2¢	2.5¢	$0.27	$0.25	+1150.0%	2027-01-01
Will Melody Morris win Big Brother season 28? Yes	Held	70.816	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.39	$0.25	+174.9%	2026-10-01
Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? Yes	Held	120.24	0.2¢	0.4¢	$0.48	$0.24	+100.0%	2026-09-25
Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? Yes	Held	120.24	0.2¢	0.4¢	$0.48	$0.24	+100.0%	2026-09-25
Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on September 26? Yes	Held	60	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.30	$0.24	+400.0%	2026-09-26
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%? Yes	Held	95.34	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.43	$0.24	+125.0%	2026-10-30
Will Pedro Taques win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election? Yes	Held	47.62	0.2¢	0.7¢	$0.33	$0.24	+249.9%	2026-10-05
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-06 House election by 18% or more? Yes	Held	52.358	0.2¢	0.65¢	$0.34	$0.24	+224.9%	2026-11-04
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + C? Yes	Held	10	0.2¢	2.55¢	$0.26	$0.23	+1175.0%	2027-08-01
Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	15.86	0.2¢	1.65¢	$0.26	$0.23	+724.5%	2026-12-01
Will Lady A win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? Yes	Held	65.5	0.3¢	0.65¢	$0.43	$0.23	+116.6%	2026-11-19
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 0%-5%? Yes	Held	5	0.2¢	4.75¢	$0.24	$0.23	+2275.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 15%-25%? Yes	Held	17.43	0.2¢	1.5¢	$0.26	$0.23	+649.7%	2026-11-04
Will BNB dip to $400 in September? Yes	Held	50.255	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.28	$0.23	+449.9%	2026-10-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 50% or more? Yes	Held	50	0.2¢	0.65¢	$0.33	$0.23	+225.0%	2026-11-04
Will KFUM Oslo be runner-up in the 2026 Norway Eliteserien? Yes	Held	50	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.28	$0.23	+450.0%	2027-01-01
Will FBC Melgar be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1? Yes	Held	50	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.28	$0.23	+450.0%	2027-01-01
Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? Yes	Held	12.46	0.2¢	2¢	$0.25	$0.22	+899.7%	2026-09-29
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-08 House election by 40%-45%? Yes	Held	5	0.2¢	4.65¢	$0.23	$0.22	+2225.0%	2026-11-04
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? Yes	Held	27.44	0.2¢	1¢	$0.27	$0.22	+400.0%	2026-09-25
Will Nvidia have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	54.88	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.33	$0.22	+199.9%	2026-12-01
Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	54.88	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.33	$0.22	+199.9%	2026-12-01
Will BNB dip to $200 in September? Yes	Held	62.575	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.28	$0.22	+349.8%	2026-10-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 20%-30%? Yes	Held	108.71	0.2¢	0.4¢	$0.43	$0.22	+99.9%	2027-07-01
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	53.81	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.32	$0.22	+199.9%	2026-12-01
Will "Wonka's The Golden Ticket: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? Yes	Held	12.46	0.2¢	1.9¢	$0.24	$0.21	+849.5%	2026-09-29
Will Dominic Bouffard win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election? Yes	Held	14.38	0.2¢	1.65¢	$0.24	$0.21	+724.6%	2026-10-05
Will New Zealand First Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes	Held	46	0.2¢	0.65¢	$0.30	$0.21	+225.0%	2026-11-08
Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? Yes	Held	82.37	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.37	$0.21	+124.9%	2026-09-25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 0%-20%? Yes	Held	14.18	0.2¢	1.65¢	$0.23	$0.21	+724.6%	2026-11-04
Will The Beloved win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.3¢	$0.60	$0.20	+50.0%	2027-03-14
Will SAILORR win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes	Held	50	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.30	$0.20	+200.0%	2027-02-07
Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) be in the next Swedish government? Yes	Held	50	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.30	$0.20	+200.0%	2027-02-01
Will Donald Trump endorse Ted Cruz in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes	Held	50	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.30	$0.20	+200.0%	2028-11-07
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes	Held	50	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.30	$0.20	+200.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 25%-35%? Yes	Held	50	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.30	$0.20	+200.0%	2027-07-01
Will Sandefjord be runner-up in the 2026 Norway Eliteserien? Yes	Held	50	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.25	$0.20	+400.0%	2027-01-01
Will John Rustad be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes	Held	199.997	0.2¢	0.3¢	$0.60	$0.20	+50.0%	2026-10-24
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? Yes	Held	199.994	0.2¢	0.3¢	$0.60	$0.20	+50.0%	2026-10-04
Will annual inflation be 3.0% in September? Yes	Held	56.9	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.31	$0.20	+175.0%	2026-10-15
Will Mistral be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	49.68	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.30	$0.20	+199.9%	2026-12-01
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? Yes	Held	66.15	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.33	$0.20	+150.0%	2026-10-05
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% in September? Yes	Held	49	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.29	$0.20	+200.0%	2026-10-16
Will Nancy Joannette win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election? Yes	Held	13.97	0.2¢	1.6¢	$0.22	$0.20	+699.7%	2026-10-05
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 0%-5%? Yes	Held	12.87	0.2¢	1.7¢	$0.22	$0.19	+749.4%	2027-07-01
Will Tencent have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	54.88	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.30	$0.19	+174.9%	2026-12-01
Will MiniMax have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	54.88	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.30	$0.19	+174.9%	2026-12-01
Will Xiaomi have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	54.88	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.30	$0.19	+174.9%	2026-12-01
Will ByteDance have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	54.88	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.30	$0.19	+174.9%	2026-12-01
Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? Yes	Held	187.79	0.2¢	0.3¢	$0.56	$0.19	+50.0%	2026-09-30
Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? Yes	Held	28.88	0.2¢	0.85¢	$0.25	$0.19	+324.8%	2026-09-28
Will Krum Zarkov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? Yes	Held	61.31	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.31	$0.18	+149.9%	2026-10-25
Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? Yes	Held	60.6	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.30	$0.18	+150.0%	2026-10-01
Will Mallory Aurichio come in third-place on Big Brother season 28? Yes	Held	51.96	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.29	$0.18	+174.8%	2027-01-01
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Held	12.5	0.2¢	1.65¢	$0.21	$0.18	+724.8%	2026-10-04
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iraq by December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	13.41	0.2¢	1.55¢	$0.21	$0.18	+674.5%	2027-01-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-05 House election by 25% or more? Yes	Held	60	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.30	$0.18	+150.0%	2026-11-03
Will Kylian Mbappé be the #2 searched person on Google this year? Yes	Held	10	0.2¢	2¢	$0.20	$0.18	+900.0%	2026-12-31
Will Thomas Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes	Held	51.4	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.28	$0.18	+175.0%	2027-06-01
Will ByteDance be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	5	0.2¢	3.75¢	$0.19	$0.18	+1775.0%	2026-12-01
Will SpaceXAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? Yes	Held	117.8	0.2¢	0.35¢	$0.41	$0.18	+75.0%	2026-10-01
Will BigXthaPlug win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes	Held	44.14	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.26	$0.18	+199.9%	2027-07-01
Will Sally Doyle win the next Huon Valley mayoral election? Yes	Held	70	0.3¢	0.55¢	$0.39	$0.17	+83.3%	2026-10-28
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 2.0%? Yes	Held	50	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.28	$0.17	+175.0%	2026-10-30
Will Ariana Grande be the #2 searched person on Google this year? Yes	Held	50	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.28	$0.17	+175.0%	2026-12-31
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting? Yes	Held	6.34	0.2¢	2.95¢	$0.19	$0.17	+1374.6%	2026-10-07
Will Yanaki Stoilov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? Yes	Held	49.31	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.27	$0.17	+174.9%	2026-10-25
Will Solana dip to $50 September 21-27? Yes	Held	43.058	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.22	$0.17	+399.7%	2026-09-28
Will “Nobody's Girl” by Tate McRae win Best Pop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? Yes	Held	68.717	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.31	$0.17	+124.9%	2026-09-28
Will Muscadine Bloodline win Vocal Duo of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? Yes	Held	38	0.2¢	0.65¢	$0.25	$0.17	+225.0%	2026-11-19
Will ByteDance have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	6.36	0.2¢	2.85¢	$0.18	$0.17	+1323.9%	2026-11-01
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? Yes	Held	5	0.2¢	3.55¢	$0.18	$0.17	+1675.0%	2026-10-02
Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? Yes	Held	5.216	0.2¢	3.4¢	$0.18	$0.17	+1598.9%	2026-09-30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 0%-5%? Yes	Held	47.5	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.26	$0.17	+174.9%	2026-11-04
Will “Storm” by Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? Yes	Held	15.76	0.2¢	1.25¢	$0.20	$0.17	+524.7%	2026-09-28
Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? Yes	Held	4.96	0.2¢	3.5¢	$0.17	$0.16	+1649.2%	2026-12-10
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes	Held	54	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.27	$0.16	+150.0%	2026-12-18
Will Dean Young win the next Clarence mayoral election? Yes	Held	40	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.24	$0.16	+200.0%	2026-10-28
Will Michal Sedláček be the next Mayor of Brno? Yes	Held	40	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.24	$0.16	+200.0%	2027-07-01
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 29, 2026? Yes	Held	40	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.24	$0.16	+200.0%	2026-09-30
Will Jordan Firstman win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	40	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.24	$0.16	+200.0%	2027-03-14
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 30, 2026? Yes	Held	40	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.24	$0.16	+200.0%	2026-10-01
Will Zendaya be the #2 searched person on Google this year? Yes	Held	5	0.2¢	3.4¢	$0.17	$0.16	+1600.0%	2026-12-31
Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,017,000 on September 30? Yes	Held	26.62	0.2¢	0.8¢	$0.21	$0.16	+299.8%	2026-10-11
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 40% or more? Yes	Held	6.25	0.2¢	2.75¢	$0.17	$0.16	+1274.4%	2026-11-04
Will Timothée Chalamet be the #2 searched person on Google this year? Yes	Held	53	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.27	$0.16	+150.0%	2026-12-31
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? Yes	Held	35.19	0.2¢	0.65¢	$0.23	$0.16	+224.9%	2026-10-30
Will Seattle have more than 4 inches of precipitation in September? Yes	Held	39.57	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.20	$0.16	+399.8%	2026-09-30
Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 25, 2026? Yes	Held	17.4	0.2¢	1.1¢	$0.19	$0.16	+450.0%	2026-10-25
Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? Yes	Held	60.126	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.27	$0.15	+124.9%	2026-09-29
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 25%-30%? Yes	Held	9.1	0.2¢	1.85¢	$0.17	$0.15	+824.7%	2026-11-04
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.5 on September 25, 2026? Yes	Held	60	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.27	$0.15	+125.0%	2026-09-25
Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? Yes	Held	50	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.25	$0.15	+150.0%	2026-09-29
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 55% or more? Yes	Held	12.5	0.2¢	1.4¢	$0.17	$0.15	+600.0%	2026-11-04
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 24? Yes	Held	148.84	0.1¢	0.2¢	$0.30	$0.15	+99.9%	2026-09-24
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 60% or more? Yes	Held	8	0.2¢	2.05¢	$0.16	$0.15	+925.0%	2026-11-04
Will Nikolai Denkov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? Yes	Held	49.31	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.25	$0.15	+149.9%	2026-10-25
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? Yes	Held	49.31	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.25	$0.15	+149.9%	2026-10-25
Will Delyan Peevski win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? Yes	Held	49.31	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.25	$0.15	+149.9%	2026-10-25
Will Boyko Borissov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? Yes	Held	49.31	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.25	$0.15	+149.9%	2026-10-25
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? Yes	Held	49.31	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.25	$0.15	+149.9%	2026-10-25
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? Yes	Held	49.31	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.25	$0.15	+149.9%	2026-10-25
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes	Held	14.5266	0.3¢	1.3¢	$0.19	$0.15	+333.2%	2026-12-31
Will ByteDance be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	41.49	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.23	$0.15	+174.9%	2026-12-01
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + L? Yes	Held	10	0.2¢	1.65¢	$0.17	$0.14	+725.0%	2027-08-01
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in April 2027 (ET)? Yes	Held	6.01	0.2¢	2.6¢	$0.16	$0.14	+1198.8%	2028-01-01
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	18	0.2¢	1¢	$0.18	$0.14	+400.0%	2027-01-01
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%? Yes	Held	31.92	0.2¢	0.65¢	$0.21	$0.14	+224.8%	2026-10-28
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 searched person on Google this year? Yes	Held	11	0.2¢	1.5¢	$0.17	$0.14	+650.0%	2026-12-31
Will Loe Shimmy win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes	Held	35.61	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.21	$0.14	+199.8%	2027-07-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 0%-5%? Yes	Held	40	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.22	$0.14	+175.0%	2026-11-03
Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026? Yes	Held	40	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.22	$0.14	+175.0%	2027-02-01
Will Kyle Busch be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? Yes	Held	40	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.22	$0.14	+175.0%	2026-12-31
Will Amazon be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	40	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.22	$0.14	+175.0%	2026-12-01
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #2 searched person on Google this year? Yes	Held	5	0.2¢	3¢	$0.15	$0.14	+1400.0%	2026-12-31
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	27.82	0.2¢	0.7¢	$0.19	$0.14	+249.8%	2026-12-01
Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 70k and 80k? Yes	Held	27.6	0.2¢	0.7¢	$0.19	$0.14	+250.0%	2026-09-26
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 40% or more? Yes	Held	9.5	0.2¢	1.65¢	$0.16	$0.14	+724.7%	2026-11-03
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	18.34	0.3¢	1.05¢	$0.19	$0.14	+249.7%	2027-01-01
Will Microsoft be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	39	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.21	$0.14	+175.0%	2026-12-01
Will Philippe Brun win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? Yes	Held	39	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.21	$0.14	+175.0%	2026-10-31
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in September? Yes	Held	44.727	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.22	$0.13	+149.9%	2026-09-25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-05 House election? Yes	Held	9.22	0.2¢	1.65¢	$0.15	$0.13	+724.5%	2027-07-01
Will Olivia Rodrigo be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes	Held	32.88	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.20	$0.13	+199.8%	2027-04-01
Will White House post 160-179 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? Yes	Held	32.6666	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.20	$0.13	+199.7%	2026-09-29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-01 House election by 50% or more? Yes	Held	5.2	0.2¢	2.7¢	$0.14	$0.13	+1250.0%	2026-11-04
Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? Yes	Held	43.12	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.22	$0.13	+149.9%	2026-09-30
Will Bad Bunny be the second most streamed artist for 2026? Yes	Held	42.8	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.21	$0.13	+150.0%	2027-02-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election by 0%-5%? Yes	Held	42.75	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.21	$0.13	+149.9%	2027-07-01
Will Daniel Cousins win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election? Yes	Held	42.56	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.21	$0.13	+149.9%	2026-11-02
Will Tencent have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	31.72	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.19	$0.13	+199.9%	2026-12-01
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? Yes	Held	12	0.1¢	1.15¢	$0.14	$0.13	+1050.0%	2027-01-31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election? Yes	Held	35.96	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.20	$0.13	+174.8%	2026-11-03
Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? Yes	Held	35.782	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.20	$0.13	+174.9%	2026-10-02
Will Dijon win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes	Held	31.14	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.19	$0.12	+199.9%	2027-02-07
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-08 House election? Yes	Held	41.48	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.21	$0.12	+150.0%	2026-11-04
Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? Yes	Held	41.05	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.21	$0.12	+149.9%	2026-09-25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election? Yes	Held	30.7	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.18	$0.12	+200.0%	2026-11-03
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election? Yes	Held	35	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.19	$0.12	+175.0%	2026-11-04
Will The Duskbloods win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes	Held	81.45	0.2¢	0.35¢	$0.28	$0.12	+75.0%	2027-01-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 10%-15%? Yes	Held	34.8	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.19	$0.12	+175.0%	2026-11-04
Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? Yes	Held	34.78	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.19	$0.12	+174.8%	2026-10-02
Will The Great Divide (Noah Kahan) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes	Held	26.83	0.2¢	0.65¢	$0.17	$0.12	+224.7%	2027-02-07
Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? Yes	Held	40	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.20	$0.12	+150.0%	2026-10-02
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? Yes	Held	40	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.20	$0.12	+150.0%	2026-09-25
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? Yes	Held	40	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.20	$0.12	+150.0%	2026-10-02
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? Yes	Held	40	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.20	$0.12	+150.0%	2026-10-02
Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? Yes	Held	40	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.20	$0.12	+150.0%	2026-10-02
Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? Yes	Held	40	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.20	$0.12	+150.0%	2026-10-02
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? Yes	Held	40	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.20	$0.12	+150.0%	2026-10-02
Will Bruno Mars win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? Yes	Held	29.94	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.18	$0.12	+199.9%	2026-09-28
Will Sabrina Carpenter win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? Yes	Held	14.79	0.2¢	1¢	$0.15	$0.12	+399.9%	2026-09-28
Will SpaceXAI have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	33.15	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.18	$0.12	+175.0%	2026-12-01
Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	33.15	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.18	$0.12	+175.0%	2026-12-01
Will Amazon have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	33.15	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.18	$0.12	+175.0%	2026-12-01
Will Meta have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	32.95	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.18	$0.12	+175.0%	2026-12-01
Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	5	0.2¢	2.5¢	$0.13	$0.12	+1150.0%	2026-12-01
Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? Yes	Held	5	0.2¢	2.5¢	$0.13	$0.12	+1150.0%	2026-09-25
Will Arda Guler win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Yes	Held	22.7	0.1¢	0.6¢	$0.14	$0.11	+500.0%	2026-12-31
Will Thinky be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	25	0.2¢	0.65¢	$0.16	$0.11	+225.0%	2026-12-01
Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	31.73	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.17	$0.11	+174.9%	2026-12-01
Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	31.69	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.17	$0.11	+174.8%	2026-12-01
Will September 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? Yes	Held	20	0.1¢	0.65¢	$0.13	$0.11	+550.0%	2026-10-01
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? Yes	Held	31.25	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.17	$0.11	+174.9%	2026-10-02
Will Mario Moreno Arcos win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? Yes	Held	12.008	0.1¢	1¢	$0.12	$0.11	+898.6%	2027-06-07
Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? Yes	Held	30.636	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.17	$0.11	+174.8%	2026-09-29
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be 490,000 or more? Yes	Held	41.53	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.19	$0.10	+124.8%	2027-04-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 6% or more? Yes	Held	22.94	0.2¢	0.65¢	$0.15	$0.10	+224.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election? Yes	Held	13.55	0.2¢	0.95¢	$0.13	$0.10	+374.9%	2026-11-04
Will Xiaomi have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.25¢	$0.50	$0.10	+25.0%	2026-09-30
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.25¢	$0.50	$0.10	+25.0%	2026-09-25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 55% or more? Yes	Held	25	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.15	$0.10	+200.0%	2026-11-04
Will Charles Melton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	25	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.15	$0.10	+200.0%	2027-07-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 25%-30%? Yes	Held	25	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.15	$0.10	+200.0%	2027-07-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-33 House election? Yes	Held	20	0.2¢	0.7¢	$0.14	$0.10	+250.0%	2027-07-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 5%-15%? Yes	Held	20	0.2¢	0.7¢	$0.14	$0.10	+250.0%	2027-07-01
Will Cheslyn Steenberg be the next mayor of Cape Town? Yes	Held	20	0.2¢	0.7¢	$0.14	$0.10	+250.0%	2027-07-01
Will Arsenal score the most goals in the UCL league phase? Yes	Held	20	0.1¢	0.6¢	$0.12	$0.10	+500.0%	2027-02-28
Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? Yes	Held	12.32	0.2¢	1¢	$0.12	$0.10	+399.8%	2026-10-01
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	27.94	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.15	$0.10	+174.8%	2026-12-01
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	27.84	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.15	$0.10	+174.9%	2026-12-01
Will "Wonka's The Golden Ticket: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? Yes	Held	27.63	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.15	$0.10	+174.8%	2026-09-29
Will StepFun have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	31.73	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.16	$0.10	+149.9%	2026-12-01
Will MiniMax have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	31.72	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.16	$0.10	+149.9%	2026-12-01
Will Thinky have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	31.72	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.16	$0.10	+149.9%	2026-12-01
Will Xiaomi have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	31.69	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.16	$0.10	+149.9%	2026-12-01
Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	31.68	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.16	$0.10	+149.9%	2026-12-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-06 House election by 15%-18%? Yes	Held	91.59	0.2¢	0.3¢	$0.27	$0.09	+50.0%	2026-11-04
Will Robert Downey Jr. be the #2 searched person on Google this year? Yes	Held	25.81	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.14	$0.09	+174.7%	2026-12-31
Will Chappell Roan be the #2 searched person on Google this year? Yes	Held	25.81	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.14	$0.09	+174.7%	2026-12-31
Will Luka Dončić be the #2 searched person on Google this year? Yes	Held	25.81	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.14	$0.09	+174.7%	2026-12-31
Will Jake Paul be the #2 searched person on Google this year? Yes	Held	25.81	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.14	$0.09	+174.7%	2026-12-31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-07 House election by 0%-10%? Yes	Held	30	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.15	$0.09	+150.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 75% or more? Yes	Held	20	0.2¢	0.65¢	$0.13	$0.09	+225.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 35%-40%? Yes	Held	20	0.2¢	0.65¢	$0.13	$0.09	+225.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election? Yes	Held	29.95	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.15	$0.09	+149.9%	2027-07-01
Netanyahu and Pezeshkian meet by September 30? Yes	Held	22	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.13	$0.09	+200.0%	2026-10-01
Will Pika have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	25	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.14	$0.09	+175.0%	2026-12-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-07 House election by 50% or more? Yes	Held	25	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.14	$0.09	+175.0%	2026-11-04
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? Yes	Held	34.9	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.16	$0.09	+124.9%	2027-01-05
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? Yes	Held	29	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.14	$0.09	+150.0%	2026-09-29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election? Yes	Held	43.12	0.2¢	0.4¢	$0.17	$0.09	+99.8%	2026-11-04
Will MIO: Memories in Orbit win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes	Held	21.4	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.13	$0.09	+200.0%	2027-01-01
Will Reanimal win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes	Held	21.4	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.13	$0.09	+200.0%	2027-01-01
Will Coward win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	170	0.2¢	0.25¢	$0.42	$0.09	+25.0%	2027-03-14
Will Ideogram have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	28.26	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.14	$0.08	+149.9%	2026-10-31
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	28.23	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.14	$0.08	+149.8%	2026-12-01
Will Meituan be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	24.14	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.13	$0.08	+174.8%	2026-12-01
Will Tencent be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	24	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.13	$0.08	+175.0%	2026-12-01
Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026? Yes	Held	41.13	0.2¢	0.4¢	$0.16	$0.08	+99.9%	2027-01-01
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	23.25	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.13	$0.08	+174.8%	2026-12-01
Will DeepSeek be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	20.3	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.12	$0.08	+200.0%	2026-12-01
Will Mistral be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	20.3	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.12	$0.08	+200.0%	2026-12-01
Will Meituan be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	20.3	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.12	$0.08	+200.0%	2026-12-01
Will StepFun be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	20.3	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.12	$0.08	+200.0%	2026-12-01
Will Thinky be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	20.3	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.12	$0.08	+200.0%	2026-12-01
Will Tencent be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	20.3	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.12	$0.08	+200.0%	2026-12-01
Will Matt Damon be the #2 searched person on Google this year? Yes	Held	27	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.14	$0.08	+150.0%	2026-12-31
Will Brian Lumsden win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election? Yes	Held	20.05	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.12	$0.08	+200.0%	2026-10-27
Will Jacob Méthot win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election? Yes	Held	20.05	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.12	$0.08	+200.0%	2026-10-27
Will Edmilson Costa finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Held	20	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.12	$0.08	+200.0%	2026-10-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election? Yes	Held	20	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.12	$0.08	+200.0%	2026-11-04
Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? Yes	Held	20	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.12	$0.08	+200.0%	2026-10-02
Will Zema finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Held	20	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.12	$0.08	+200.0%	2026-10-04
Will ByteDance be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	20	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.12	$0.08	+200.0%	2026-12-01
Will Democrats win fewer than 4 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	20	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.12	$0.08	+200.0%	2026-11-03
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? Yes	Held	20	0.2¢	0.6¢	$0.12	$0.08	+200.0%	2026-10-02
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in October 2026? Yes	Held	52.96	0.2¢	0.35¢	$0.19	$0.08	+74.9%	2026-11-01
Will Scottie Scheffler be the #2 searched person on Google this year? Yes	Held	25.81	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.13	$0.08	+149.7%	2026-12-31
Will Anthony Edwards be the #2 searched person on Google this year? Yes	Held	25.81	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.13	$0.08	+149.7%	2026-12-31
Will Dario Amodei attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping? Yes	Held	22	0.2¢	0.55¢	$0.12	$0.08	+175.0%	2026-10-08
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 0%-15%? Yes	Held	50	0.2¢	0.35¢	$0.17	$0.07	+75.0%	2027-07-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election? Yes	Held	50	0.2¢	0.35¢	$0.17	$0.07	+75.0%	2026-11-04
Will MiniMax be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	25	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.13	$0.07	+150.0%	2026-12-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-07 House election by 10%-20%? Yes	Held	25	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.13	$0.07	+150.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election? Yes	Held	25	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.13	$0.07	+150.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 25%-30%? Yes	Held	24.91	0.2¢	0.5¢	$0.12	$0.07	+149.7%	2026-11-04
Will “Ever Since U Left Me” by French Montana and Max B win Best Collaboration at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? Yes	Held	29.2	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.13	$0.07	+125.0%	2026-09-28
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? Yes	Held	28.8	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.13	$0.07	+125.0%	2026-09-25
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 21-27? Yes	Held	141.893	0.1¢	0.15¢	$0.21	$0.07	+50.0%	2026-09-28
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election? Yes	Held	27.75	0.2¢	0.45¢	$0.12	$0.07	+124.9%	2026-11-04
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? Yes	Held	45.095	0.2¢	0.35¢	$0.16	$0.07	+75.0%	2026-09-25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 0%-5%? Yes	Held	32.75	0.2¢	0.4¢	$0.13	$0.07	+100.0%	2027-07-01
Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? Yes	Held	120.24	0.2¢	0.25¢	$0.30	$0.06	+25.0%	2026-09-25
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-03 House election by 0%-5%? Yes	Held	120	0.2¢	0.25¢	$0.30	$0.06	+25.0%	2026-11-03
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election? Yes	Held	104.2995	0.2¢	0.25¢	$0.26	$0.05	+25.0%	2026-11-04
Will Peter Freshney win the next Latrobe mayoral election? Yes	Held	100	0.2¢	0.25¢	$0.25	$0.05	+25.0%	2026-10-28
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election? Yes	Held	50	0.2¢	0.3¢	$0.15	$0.05	+50.0%	2026-11-04
Will Baidu be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? Yes	Held	50	0.2¢	0.3¢	$0.15	$0.05	+50.0%	2026-09-30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 15%-25%? Yes	Held	49.99	0.2¢	0.3¢	$0.15	$0.05	+49.9%	2027-07-01
Will Amazon be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	90.34	0.2¢	0.25¢	$0.23	$0.05	+25.0%	2026-12-01
Will Antonio Manríquez win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election? Yes	Held	42.13	0.2¢	0.3¢	$0.13	$0.04	+49.8%	2027-06-06
Will Mike Quigley win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election? Yes	Held	50.35	0.2¢	0.25¢	$0.13	$0.03	+24.9%	2027-04-06
Will "The One That Got Away - Katy Perry" be the #1 song this week? Yes	Held	50	0.2¢	0.25¢	$0.13	$0.03	+25.0%	2026-09-25
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 310,000 and 340,000? Yes	Held	50	0.2¢	0.25¢	$0.13	$0.03	+25.0%	2027-04-01
Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? Yes	Held	50	0.2¢	0.25¢	$0.13	$0.03	+25.0%	2026-10-02
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.2¢	$0.40	$0.00	0.0%	2026-10-25
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.2¢	$0.40	$0.00	0.0%	2026-10-25
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.2¢	$0.40	$0.00	0.0%	1970-01-01
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? Yes	Held	120.24	0.2¢	0.2¢	$0.24	$0.00	0.0%	2026-09-25
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? Yes	Held	120.24	0.2¢	0.2¢	$0.24	$0.00	0.0%	2026-09-25
Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? Yes	Held	120.24	0.2¢	0.2¢	$0.24	$0.00	0.0%	2026-09-25
Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? Yes	Held	90.18	0.2¢	0.2¢	$0.18	$0.00	0.0%	2026-09-25
Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? Yes	Held	90.18	0.2¢	0.2¢	$0.18	$0.00	0.0%	2026-09-25
Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? Yes	Held	90.18	0.2¢	0.2¢	$0.18	$0.00	0.0%	2026-09-25
Will annual inflation be 3.1% in September? Yes	Held	64.03	0.2¢	0.2¢	$0.13	$0.00	0.0%	2026-10-15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TN-01 House election? Yes	Held	80	0.2¢	0.15¢	$0.12	-$0.04	-25.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election? Yes	Held	82.63	0.2¢	0.15¢	$0.12	-$0.04	-25.0%	2026-11-04
Will Elon tweet 1400 or more times in September 2026? Yes	Held	83.6	0.2¢	0.15¢	$0.13	-$0.04	-25.0%	2026-10-01
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? Yes	Held	89.94	0.2¢	0.15¢	$0.13	-$0.04	-25.0%	2026-10-25
Will “Chains & Whips” by Clipse, Kendrick Lamar, Pusha T and Malice win Best Collaboration at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? Yes	Held	95	0.2¢	0.15¢	$0.14	-$0.05	-25.0%	2026-09-28
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election by 0%-40%? Yes	Held	96.89	0.2¢	0.15¢	$0.15	-$0.05	-25.0%	2027-07-01
Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? Yes	Held	120.24	0.2¢	0.15¢	$0.18	-$0.06	-25.0%	2026-09-25
Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? Yes	Held	120.24	0.2¢	0.15¢	$0.18	-$0.06	-25.0%	2026-09-25
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? Yes	Held	187.84	0.2¢	0.15¢	$0.28	-$0.09	-25.0%	2026-10-25
Will Yash Patel win Big Brother season 28? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.15¢	$0.30	-$0.10	-25.0%	2026-10-01
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down? Down	Held	200	0.2¢	0.15¢	$0.30	-$0.10	-25.0%	2026-09-21
Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.15¢	$0.30	-$0.10	-25.0%	2026-10-27
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? Yes	Held	199.996	0.2¢	0.15¢	$0.30	-$0.10	-25.0%	2026-10-25
Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? Yes	Held	200	0.2¢	0.1¢	$0.20	-$0.20	-50.0%	2027-07-01
Will the price of Solana be less than $70 on September 25? Yes	Held	640	0.1¢	0.05¢	$0.32	-$0.32	-50.0%	2026-09-25
Will Solana dip to $20 in September? Yes	Held	800	0.1¢	0.05¢	$0.40	-$0.40	-50.0%	2026-10-01

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