ConvexlyWallet ledger
0x5268…135d
This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).
Resolved positions
381
Realized PnL
$39.5K
Win rate
51%
Realized edge
-0.001
Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge -0.001 across 381 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.02, +0.02]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current open positions
Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (119 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.
| Open | 29,996 | 55¢ | $6.0K | +37% | 2026-08-23 | |
Washington Mystics | Open | 6,431 | 46¢ | $3.5K | +117% | 2026-08-23 |
| Open | 10,110 | 31¢ | $2.7K | +86% | 2026-08-23 | |
Portland Fire | Open | 5,157 | 54¢ | $2.4K | +86% | 2026-08-23 |
| Open | 6,112 | 33¢ | $2.2K | +109% | 2026-08-30 | |
Hubert Hurkacz | Open | 6,368 | 42¢ | $2.0K | +75% | 2026-08-31 |
Washington Mystics | Open | 3,554 | 50¢ | $1.8K | +100% | 2026-08-23 |
Atlanta Braves | Open | 12,645 | 64¢ | $1.7K | +21% | 2026-08-30 |
| Open | 3,120 | 66¢ | $751 | +36% | 2026-08-23 | |
Atlanta Braves | Open | 2,605 | 69¢ | $513 | +29% | 2026-08-23 |
| Open | 1,078 | 54¢ | $311 | +53% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 1,771 | 46¢ | $294 | +36% | 2026-09-04 | |
Yulia Starodubtseva | Open | 2,548 | 40¢ | $201 | +20% | 2026-08-31 |
Rinky Hijikata | Open | 1,502 | 87¢ | $192 | +15% | 2026-08-31 |
| Open | 360 | 60¢ | $142 | +66% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 1,095 | 50¢ | $120 | +22% | 2026-08-29 | |
Milwaukee Brewers | Open | 821 | 77¢ | $117 | +19% | 2026-08-23 |
Detroit Tigers | Open | 954 | 50¢ | $86 | +18% | 2026-09-11 |
New York Yankees | Open | 437 | 63¢ | $74 | +27% | 2026-08-29 |
Milwaukee Brewers | Open | 173 | 35¢ | $67 | +110% | 2026-08-23 |
Atlanta Braves | Open | 1,770 | 56¢ | $62 | +6% | 2026-09-07 |
| Open | 103 | 52¢ | $49 | +92% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 201 | 24¢ | $20 | +42% | 2026-08-29 | |
| Open | 852 | 52¢ | $17 | +4% | 2026-08-23 | |
Rakuten Monkeys | Open | 159 | 39¢ | $14 | +23% | 2026-08-26 |
| Open | 1,074 | 19¢ | $12 | +6% | 2026-09-04 | |
Boston Red Sox | Open | 193 | 72¢ | $10 | +7% | 2026-08-29 |
Cleveland Guardians | Open | 320 | 33¢ | $10 | +9% | 2026-09-04 |
San Francisco Giants | Open | 1,596 | 41¢ | $8 | +1% | 2026-09-01 |
British Columbia Lions | Open | 18 | 60¢ | $7 | +63% | 2026-08-30 |
Boston Red Sox | Open | 62 | 63¢ | $6 | +14% | 2026-08-29 |
| Open | 132 | 30¢ | $5 | +13% | 2026-09-04 | |
| Open | 320 | 60¢ | $5 | +2% | 2026-08-24 | |
LG Twins | Open | 86 | 56¢ | $3 | +7% | 2026-08-29 |
| Open | 26 | 42¢ | $3 | +29% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 305 | 60¢ | $3 | +2% | 2026-08-25 | |
Joshua Sheehy | Open | 53 | 95¢ | $3 | +5% | 2026-08-30 |
| Open | 17 | 53¢ | $2 | +26% | 2026-08-31 | |
Hanshin Tigers | Open | 25 | 43¢ | $2 | +21% | 2026-08-29 |
Chicago Cubs | Open | 205 | 72¢ | $2 | +1% | 2026-08-25 |
| Open | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | +102% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 145 | 56¢ | $2 | +2% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 20 | 54¢ | $2 | +17% | 2026-08-29 | |
| Open | 12 | 31¢ | $2 | +40% | 2026-08-29 | |
| Open | 23 | 61¢ | $1 | +11% | 2026-08-29 | |
| Open | 69 | 51¢ | $1 | +3% | 2026-08-25 | |
San Francisco Giants | Open | 6 | 60¢ | $1 | +31% | 2026-08-31 |
| Open | 40 | 40¢ | $1 | +6% | 2026-09-04 | |
| Open | 25 | 61¢ | $1 | +6% | 2026-09-04 | |
| Open | 80 | 50¢ | $1 | +2% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 150 | 57¢ | $1 | +1% | 2026-08-25 | |
Atlanta Braves | Open | 50 | 68¢ | $1 | +2% | 2026-08-31 |
Minnesota Twins | Open | 140 | 58¢ | $1 | +1% | 2026-09-01 |
TSG Hawks | Open | 10 | 44¢ | $1 | +14% | 2026-08-30 |
San Francisco Giants | Open | 24 | 79¢ | $0 | +3% | 2026-08-31 |
| Open | 28 | 48¢ | $0 | +3% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 42 | 63¢ | $0 | +2% | 2026-08-31 | |
Boston Red Sox | Open | 20 | 80¢ | $0 | +3% | 2026-08-29 |
Chicago Cubs | Open | 79 | 56¢ | $0 | +1% | 2026-09-01 |
| Open | 3 | 40¢ | $0 | +25% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 311 | 46¢ | $0 | +0% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 10 | 41¢ | $0 | +7% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 7 | 46¢ | $0 | +9% | 2026-08-31 | |
San Francisco Giants | Open | 2 | 71¢ | $0 | +21% | 2026-08-31 |
| Open | 4 | 46¢ | $0 | +9% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 2 | 41¢ | $0 | +11% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 16 | 51¢ | $0 | +1% | 2026-08-24 | |
Cincinnati Reds | Open | 5 | 73¢ | $0 | +2% | 2026-08-25 |
| Open | 15 | 53¢ | $0 | +1% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 2 | 36¢ | $0 | +7% | 2026-08-24 | |
New York Yankees | Open | 10 | 18¢ | $0 | 0% | 2026-08-29 |
| Open | 7 | 51¢ | -$0 | -2% | 2026-08-30 | |
| Open | 129 | 80¢ | -$0 | -0% | 2026-09-04 | |
New York Yankees | Open | 6 | 26¢ | -$0 | -12% | 2026-08-29 |
| Open | 7 | 53¢ | -$0 | -6% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 5 | 74¢ | -$0 | -11% | 2026-08-29 | |
| Open | 5 | 59¢ | -$0 | -15% | 2026-08-30 | |
| Open | 7 | 56¢ | -$0 | -11% | 2026-08-30 | |
| Open | 4 | 72¢ | -$1 | -27% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 30 | 53¢ | -$1 | -7% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 66 | 59¢ | -$1 | -3% | 2026-09-04 | |
| Open | 42 | 76¢ | -$1 | -5% | 2026-09-04 | |
| Open | 7 | 37¢ | -$2 | -100% | 2026-08-31 | |
Rakuten Monkeys | Open | 70 | 54¢ | -$3 | -7% | 2026-08-30 |
| Open | 7 | 42¢ | -$3 | -100% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 808 | 36¢ | -$4 | -2% | 2026-09-04 | |
Milwaukee Brewers | Open | 59 | 13¢ | -$5 | -64% | 2026-08-23 |
| Open | 327 | 68¢ | -$7 | -3% | 2026-09-04 | |
New York Yankees | Open | 111 | 34¢ | -$7 | -18% | 2026-08-29 |
Doosan Bears | Open | 570 | 60¢ | -$8 | -2% | 2026-08-29 |
| Open | 61 | 51¢ | -$9 | -27% | 2026-09-04 | |
| Open | 18 | 49¢ | -$9 | -100% | 2026-08-31 | |
Milwaukee Brewers | Open | 177 | 19¢ | -$12 | -38% | 2026-08-23 |
Fubon Guardians | Open | 212 | 58¢ | -$13 | -10% | 2026-08-26 |
Cleveland Guardians | Open | 191 | 51¢ | -$19 | -20% | 2026-09-11 |
Detroit Tigers | Open | 1,594 | 65¢ | -$24 | -2% | 2026-09-04 |
Yokohama BayStars | Open | 481 | 54¢ | -$27 | -10% | 2026-08-29 |
Luis Britto | Open | 735 | 5¢ | -$35 | -99% | 2026-08-30 |
| Open | 84 | 54¢ | -$45 | -100% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 461 | 68¢ | -$53 | -17% | 2026-08-29 | |
Atlanta Braves | Open | 832 | 37¢ | -$86 | -28% | 2026-08-23 |
Milwaukee Brewers | Open | 14,699 | 23¢ | -$117 | -3% | 2026-08-30 |
New York Yankees | Open | 2,358 | 53¢ | -$129 | -10% | 2026-09-05 |
Nippon Ham Fighters | Open | 775 | 57¢ | -$187 | -43% | 2026-08-29 |
Atlanta Braves | Open | 3,128 | 22¢ | -$391 | -58% | 2026-08-23 |
| Open | 4,811 | 49¢ | -$463 | -20% | 2026-08-29 | |
Saskatchewan Roughriders | Open | 1,364 | 43¢ | -$559 | -95% | 2026-08-30 |
| Open | 6,623 | 56¢ | -$599 | -16% | 2026-08-29 | |
| Open | 2,850 | 69¢ | -$768 | -39% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 7,377 | 48¢ | -$1.1K | -31% | 2026-08-31 | |
Washington Mystics | Open | 2,890 | 48¢ | -$1.4K | -100% | 2026-08-23 |
Yulia Putintseva | Open | 4,811 | 62¢ | -$1.5K | -49% | 2026-08-30 |
Portland Fire | Open | 4,659 | 45¢ | -$2.1K | -100% | 2026-08-23 |
Darwin Blanch | Open | 17,371 | 17¢ | -$2.9K | -100% | 2026-08-31 |
Sebastian Baez | Open | 9,212 | 59¢ | -$3.0K | -55% | 2026-08-31 |
| Open | 12,119 | 47¢ | -$3.6K | -64% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 11,316 | 58¢ | -$3.7K | -56% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 23,109 | 32¢ | -$5.2K | -69% | 2026-08-23 | |
Portland Fire | Open | 10,758 | 50¢ | -$5.3K | -100% | 2026-08-23 |