Wallet ledger

0x5188…c804

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

Realized PnL

$674.5K

Win rate

69%

Realized edge

+0.006

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge +0.006 across 45 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.06, +0.07]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (12 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? No	Open	7,064	79¢	$1.4K	+25%	2026-09-01
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? No	Open	30,275	62¢	$332	+2%	2026-10-01
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes	Open	1,523	25¢	$223	+59%	2026-12-31
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary? No	Open	158	71¢	$38	+34%	2026-12-31
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes	Open	100	7¢	$23	+329%	2026-12-31
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes	Open	17	13¢	$2	+112%	2026-12-31
Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes	Open	100	7¢	-$6	-86%	2026-12-31
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes	Open	301	8¢	-$11	-46%	2026-12-31
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No	Open	11,435	85¢	-$40	-0%	2026-12-31
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No	Open	145,341	96¢	-$287	-0%	2026-12-31
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No	Open	5,300	87¢	-$901	-20%	2026-12-31
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No	Open	34,632	42¢	-$2.8K	-20%	2027-01-01

Full skill analysis (Edge Score, calibration) →