Wallet positions

0x4f1d…8de2

Current holdings from Polymarket, with the saved analysis of this wallet's resolved record.

Resolved positions

249

Realized PnL

-$1.5K

Win rate

69.5%

Realized edge

-0.9 pp

Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge -0.9 pp across 249 resolved positions, 95% CI [-3.9, +1.9], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current holdings

500 positions returned. Up to 500 by current value; venue filters can omit holdings. Display limit reached; more positions may exist.

Checked 2026-10-02 03:54:10 UTC.

About this snapshot

Checked is our request time, not the venue's update time. Prices, values and PnL are venue snapshot figures; missing values show a dash. Held does not establish whether a market has resolved; Redeemable is the venue's flag. Snapshot PnL is separate from the saved resolved record above. This is not the full trading history.


Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No	Held	346.8102	40.43¢	39.3¢	$136.30	$34.3K	-2.8%	2026-10-05
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No	Held	62.8152	30.75¢	26.5¢	$16.65	$19.3K	-13.8%	2026-10-05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Held	738.2913	3.12¢	24.35¢	$179.77	$9.9K	+679.2%	2026-10-05
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Held	41,745.5428	3.11¢	0.05¢	$20.87	$9.7K	-98.4%	2026-10-05
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No	Held	20.8909	62.28¢	61.5¢	$12.85	$7.1K	-1.3%	2026-11-04
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes	Held	7,649.1376	2.77¢	2.15¢	$164.46	$5.5K	-22.6%	2026-09-14
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No	Held	86.6695	17.77¢	17.35¢	$15.04	$5.5K	-2.4%	2026-11-04
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes	Held	777.5826	2.77¢	2.2¢	$17.11	$4.0K	-20.8%	2026-09-14
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No	Held	1,199.9527	28.53¢	27.5¢	$329.99	$3.9K	-3.6%	2026-10-05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No	Held	161.2518	43.55¢	47.5¢	$76.59	$3.4K	+9.1%	2026-12-31
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No	Held	173.8976	37.1¢	37.5¢	$65.21	$3.3K	+1.1%	2026-11-04
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No	Held	24.9833	40.06¢	38.5¢	$9.62	$3.2K	-3.9%	2027-05-30
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Held	68,822.4631	3.11¢	0.05¢	$34.41	$2.6K	-98.4%	2026-10-05
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No	Held	271.2578	18.12¢	17.5¢	$47.47	$2.6K	-3.5%	2026-11-04
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? No	Held	50.8302	26.24¢	30.5¢	$15.50	$2.5K	+16.2%	2026-10-05
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes	Held	3,779.9823	4.16¢	0.5¢	$18.90	$2.3K	-88.0%	2027-05-30
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes	Held	6,516.3556	37.47¢	63.5¢	$4.1K	$2.0K	+69.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No	Held	44.4239	69.99¢	72.5¢	$32.21	$1.8K	+3.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No	Held	6,240.1309	13.44¢	7.5¢	$468.01	$1.8K	-44.2%	2026-11-04
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Held	56.2822	3.12¢	26.2¢	$14.75	$1.7K	+738.4%	2026-10-05
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes	Held	6,582.7366	4.16¢	0.15¢	$9.87	$1.7K	-96.4%	2027-06-15
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No	Held	37.7845	61¢	58.5¢	$22.10	$1.6K	-4.1%	2026-11-04
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes	Held	7,092.7666	4.16¢	0.15¢	$10.64	$1.4K	-96.4%	2027-05-30
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes	Held	7,816.38	7.56¢	0.15¢	$11.72	$1.2K	-98.0%	2026-11-04
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No	Held	25.1249	80.03¢	84.5¢	$21.23	$1.1K	+5.6%	2026-10-26
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No	Held	60.7615	47.22¢	49.5¢	$30.08	$1.0K	+4.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No	Held	31.5364	60.99¢	63.5¢	$20.03	$1.0K	+4.1%	2026-11-04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? Yes	Held	799.368	10.46¢	57.5¢	$459.64	$1.0K	+449.3%	2026-10-05
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes	Held	6,040.6512	29.89¢	29.5¢	$1.8K	$954.55	-1.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No	Held	184.65	29¢	26¢	$48.01	$948.41	-10.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No	Held	260.3462	56.29¢	58.5¢	$152.30	$826.74	+3.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No	Held	260.212	7.35¢	8.5¢	$22.12	$738.09	+15.6%	2026-11-04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? Yes	Held	799.3444	8.98¢	2.75¢	$21.98	$725.04	-69.4%	2026-10-05
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No	Held	52.0337	49.94¢	47¢	$24.46	$695.50	-5.9%	2026-11-04
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No	Held	724.6015	85.3¢	85.35¢	$618.45	$615.79	+0.0%	2027-01-01
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? Yes	Held	799.3115	11.3¢	14.5¢	$115.90	$558.82	+28.2%	2026-10-05
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No	Held	81.4573	73.06¢	78.5¢	$63.94	$495.46	+7.4%	2026-11-04
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No	Held	11.541	90.86¢	98.15¢	$11.33	$482.98	+8.0%	2027-01-01
Will Jamilu Isyaku Gwamna win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election? No	Held	55.6556	56¢	38¢	$21.15	$451.37	-32.1%	2027-02-07
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No	Held	14.03	71.93¢	71.5¢	$10.03	$441.57	-0.6%	2026-11-04
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Held	2,152.44	3.57¢	0.55¢	$11.84	$371.26	-84.6%	2026-10-28
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes	Held	243.262	1.88¢	23.5¢	$57.17	$359.56	+1145.7%	2026-10-25
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? No	Held	31.25	40¢	37.5¢	$11.72	$320.36	-6.3%	2026-11-04
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Held	32.0867	1.35¢	53.25¢	$17.09	$277.93	+3840.6%	2027-01-02
Exact Score: FC Cincinnati 0 - 0 D.C. United SC? Yes	Held	599.7395	5.7¢	48.95¢	$293.57	$259.38	+758.7%	2026-10-21
Exact Score: FC Cincinnati 3 - 0 D.C. United SC? Yes	Held	549.75	5.88¢	49.9¢	$274.33	$241.99	+748.3%	2026-10-21
Exact Score: FC Cincinnati 2 - 0 D.C. United SC? Yes	Held	549.75	5.88¢	49.9¢	$274.33	$241.99	+748.3%	2026-10-21
Exact Score: FC Cincinnati 0 - 2 D.C. United SC? Yes	Held	549.75	5.88¢	49.8¢	$273.78	$241.44	+746.6%	2026-10-21
Exact Score: FC Cincinnati 1 - 0 D.C. United SC? Yes	Held	549.75	5.88¢	49.8¢	$273.78	$241.44	+746.6%	2026-10-21
Exact Score: FC Cincinnati 0 - 1 D.C. United SC? Yes	Held	549.75	5.88¢	49.7¢	$273.23	$240.89	+744.9%	2026-10-21
Exact Score: FC Cincinnati 2 - 1 D.C. United SC? Yes	Held	549.75	5.88¢	49.5¢	$272.13	$239.79	+741.5%	2026-10-21
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on October 6? Yes	Held	600	9.09¢	47.5¢	$285.00	$230.45	+422.5%	2026-10-06
Internacional de Bogotá vs. Once Caldas: O/U 5.5 Over	Held	600	9.52¢	47.5¢	$285.00	$227.85	+398.7%	2026-10-02
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on October 7? Yes	Held	600	9.09¢	44.5¢	$267.00	$212.45	+389.5%	2026-10-07
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes	Held	549.75	5.88¢	44.5¢	$244.64	$212.30	+656.5%	2026-10-21
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on October 6? Yes	Held	600	9.09¢	41¢	$246.00	$191.45	+351.0%	2026-10-06
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on October 7? Yes	Held	600	9.09¢	40¢	$240.00	$185.45	+340.0%	2026-10-07
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? Yes	Held	61.8413	12.49¢	83.45¢	$51.61	$147.97	+567.6%	2027-01-01
Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? No	Held	99.132	61.64¢	60.5¢	$59.97	$130.62	-1.9%	2026-10-05
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No	Held	199.9766	45.87¢	49.5¢	$98.99	$129.52	+7.9%	2026-08-19
Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election? No	Held	438.1449	29.77¢	36¢	$157.73	$126.19	+20.9%	2026-10-05
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026? No	Held	599.9938	3.94¢	3.5¢	$21.00	$117.56	-11.2%	2026-11-04
Will Ciro Nogueira win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election? No	Held	105.5714	40.05¢	84.5¢	$89.21	$112.97	+111.0%	2026-10-05
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No	Held	1,019.99	85.62¢	96.7¢	$986.33	$112.94	+12.9%	2026-10-05
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? No	Held	24.9943	56.71¢	49.8¢	$12.45	$107.29	-12.2%	2027-01-13
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat? No	Held	39.9814	48.55¢	47¢	$18.79	$106.02	-3.2%	2026-11-04
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No	Held	757.6502	27.26¢	33.5¢	$253.81	$105.71	+22.9%	2026-12-31
Will Esperidião Amin win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? Yes	Held	40.2284	2.49¢	31.5¢	$12.67	$104.38	+1160.1%	2026-10-05
Exact Score: FC Cincinnati 1 - 2 D.C. United SC? Yes	Held	549.75	5.88¢	24.6¢	$135.24	$102.90	+318.2%	2026-10-21
Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? No	Held	103.7081	59.15¢	80.5¢	$83.48	$98.92	+36.1%	2026-10-05
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat? No	Held	41.4112	28.72¢	27.5¢	$11.39	$98.09	-4.3%	2026-11-04
Will South Africa win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group D? Yes	Held	76.1308	14.28¢	68.5¢	$52.15	$97.66	+379.5%	2027-03-31
Will Gracinha Caiado win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election? No	Held	95.53	28.86¢	33¢	$31.52	$95.16	+14.3%	2026-10-05
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? No	Held	214.7366	89.9¢	95¢	$204.00	$91.67	+5.7%	2027-01-01
Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes	Held	191.2219	2.17¢	24.4¢	$46.66	$88.56	+1022.7%	2026-12-19
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? No	Held	32.7347	34.97¢	36.5¢	$11.95	$75.05	+4.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? No	Held	52.83	34.47¢	40.5¢	$21.40	$74.11	+17.5%	2026-11-04
Will Ciro Nogueira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election? No	Held	105.56	61.53¢	81.5¢	$86.03	$71.93	+32.5%	2026-10-05
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 4? Yes	Held	210.21	9.09¢	43¢	$90.39	$71.28	+373.0%	2026-10-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes	Held	274.78	8.33¢	32¢	$87.93	$65.03	+284.0%	2026-11-04
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? No	Held	52.2416	88.48¢	97.3¢	$50.83	$64.33	+10.0%	2026-10-05
Will Rastislav Johanes win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election? Yes	Held	301.99	3.12¢	24¢	$72.48	$63.04	+668.0%	2026-10-25
Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? No	Held	49.0046	50.63¢	50¢	$24.50	$61.47	-1.2%	2026-10-05
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2? Yes	Held	131.14	9.09¢	54.5¢	$71.47	$59.55	+499.5%	2026-10-02
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? Yes	Held	298.26	9.09¢	26.5¢	$79.04	$59.21	+191.5%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 5? Yes	Held	214.74	9.09¢	36.5¢	$78.38	$58.86	+301.5%	2026-10-05
Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election? No	Held	52.75	40.64¢	47¢	$24.79	$58.42	+15.6%	2026-10-05
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 6%-9%? Yes	Held	260.2	8.33¢	23.5¢	$61.15	$57.63	+182.0%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 4? Yes	Held	210.21	9.09¢	35¢	$73.57	$54.46	+285.0%	2026-10-04
Exact Score: FC Cincinnati 1 - 1 D.C. United SC? Yes	Held	549.75	5.88¢	15.5¢	$85.21	$52.87	+163.5%	2026-10-21
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? No	Held	33.74	40.81¢	95.6¢	$32.26	$49.77	+134.2%	2027-06-07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? Yes	Held	271.1222	13.22¢	28.5¢	$77.27	$48.74	+115.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes	Held	260.2	8.33¢	19.9¢	$51.78	$48.26	+138.8%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 5? Yes	Held	214.74	9.09¢	31.5¢	$67.64	$48.12	+246.5%	2026-10-05
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No	Held	19.98	92.11¢	95.05¢	$18.99	$47.29	+3.2%	2027-01-26
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? No	Held	30.82	79.99¢	82.5¢	$25.43	$45.86	+3.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes	Held	260.2	8.33¢	18.5¢	$48.14	$44.62	+122.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? No	Held	347.21	3.89¢	2.85¢	$9.90	$42.94	-26.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? Yes	Held	298.26	9.09¢	20.5¢	$61.14	$41.31	+125.5%	2026-11-04
Will Monza win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes	Held	1,551.96	4.16¢	0.85¢	$13.19	$40.22	-79.6%	2027-05-30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? Yes	Held	298.26	9.09¢	20¢	$59.65	$39.82	+120.0%	2026-11-04
Will Falcons Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? No	Held	29.8754	80.8¢	82.5¢	$24.65	$39.55	+2.1%	2026-10-26
Will Mauro Mendes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election? No	Held	17.94	78.38¢	88¢	$15.79	$38.90	+12.3%	2026-10-05
Will Guinea win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group D? No	Held	20.03	75.93¢	70.5¢	$14.12	$38.63	-7.2%	2027-03-31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 20%-25%? Yes	Held	76.8	9.09¢	29.5¢	$22.66	$37.21	+224.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No	Held	40.679	85.03¢	88.5¢	$36.00	$35.81	+4.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 9%-12%? Yes	Held	260.2	8.33¢	15¢	$39.03	$35.51	+80.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No	Held	69.2846	85.22¢	85.1¢	$58.96	$33.73	-0.2%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 8? Yes	Held	210.42	9.09¢	25¢	$52.60	$33.48	+175.0%	2026-10-08
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 10%-15%? Yes	Held	76.8	9.09¢	24.5¢	$18.82	$33.37	+169.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-02 House election by 6%-9%? Yes	Held	51.11	7.69¢	22¢	$11.24	$32.71	+186.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 15%-20%? Yes	Held	76.78	9.09¢	23.5¢	$18.04	$32.61	+158.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Yes	Held	271.16	12.01¢	21¢	$56.94	$31.94	+74.7%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 8? Yes	Held	210.42	9.09¢	24¢	$50.50	$31.37	+164.0%	2026-10-08
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat? No	Held	214.74	3.62¢	4.8¢	$10.31	$29.95	+32.5%	2026-11-04
Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? No	Held	20.03	69.85¢	56.6¢	$11.34	$29.01	-19.0%	—
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 15%-20%? Yes	Held	44.46	9.09¢	31.5¢	$14.00	$28.15	+246.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NM-02 House election by 5%-10%? Yes	Held	76.8	9.09¢	16.15¢	$12.40	$26.96	+77.7%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 2? Yes	Held	131.14	9.09¢	29.5¢	$38.69	$26.76	+224.5%	2026-10-02
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? No	Held	19.37	67.57¢	83.5¢	$16.17	$26.08	+23.6%	2026-11-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 10%-15%? Yes	Held	63.14	9.09¢	25.8¢	$16.29	$26.03	+183.8%	2026-11-04
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? Yes	Held	233.3546	2.38¢	13.5¢	$31.50	$25.95	+467.2%	2027-05-30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? Yes	Held	271.15	10.12¢	16.5¢	$44.74	$25.30	+63.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No	Held	51.11	18.12¢	19.5¢	$9.97	$24.70	+7.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 5%-10%? Yes	Held	63.14	9.09¢	23.2¢	$14.65	$24.38	+155.2%	2026-11-04
Exact Score: India 0 - 0 Brazil? Yes	Held	52	2¢	46.55¢	$24.21	$23.17	+2227.5%	2026-10-03
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election? Yes	Held	69.77	10.62¢	15.5¢	$10.81	$23.11	+45.9%	2026-11-04
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting? Yes	Held	543.3458	19.99¢	3.5¢	$19.02	$21.96	-82.5%	2026-10-28
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? Yes	Held	25.99	1.42¢	47.1¢	$12.24	$21.60	+3197.1%	2027-04-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? Yes	Held	118.74	11.22¢	29¢	$34.43	$21.10	+158.3%	2026-11-04
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? No	Held	12.8	60.71¢	93.3¢	$11.94	$21.05	+53.7%	2026-11-01
Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? No	Held	48.9638	78.78¢	52.5¢	$25.71	$19.27	-33.4%	2026-10-05
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No	Held	18.4126	90.7¢	89.9¢	$16.55	$18.74	-0.9%	2026-11-29
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? No	Held	39	49.58¢	97.6¢	$38.06	$18.72	+96.8%	2027-01-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? Yes	Held	81.44	8.33¢	13¢	$10.59	$18.60	+56.0%	2026-11-04
Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? Yes	Held	20	4.76¢	77.35¢	$15.47	$18.14	+1524.3%	2027-01-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 10%-15%? Yes	Held	43.23	9.09¢	32¢	$13.83	$18.10	+252.0%	2026-11-04
Will Teresa Surita win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election? No	Held	439.0181	72.34¢	70.5¢	$309.51	$18.06	-2.5%	2026-10-05
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? No	Held	16.9756	59¢	69¢	$11.71	$17.66	+16.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 12%-15%? Yes	Held	260.2	8.33¢	8.1¢	$21.08	$17.56	-2.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? Yes	Held	298.26	9.09¢	12.5¢	$37.28	$17.45	+37.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? Yes	Held	107.91	8.33¢	24.5¢	$26.44	$17.45	+194.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026? Yes	Held	259.84	4.84¢	4.75¢	$12.34	$17.11	-1.9%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on October 8? Yes	Held	210.42	9.09¢	17¢	$35.77	$16.64	+87.0%	2026-10-08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 3? No	Held	343.59	92.6¢	97.3¢	$334.31	$16.15	+5.1%	2026-10-03
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 5%-10%? Yes	Held	43.23	9.09¢	27.35¢	$11.82	$16.09	+200.8%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on October 5? Yes	Held	214.74	9.09¢	16.5¢	$35.43	$15.91	+81.5%	2026-10-05
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? Yes	Held	18	0¢	85¢	$15.30	$15.30	0.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Yes	Held	107.91	8.33¢	22.5¢	$24.28	$15.29	+170.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? Yes	Held	118.74	11.4¢	23¢	$27.31	$13.77	+101.7%	2026-11-04
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No	Held	724.63	85.94¢	85.5¢	$619.56	$13.65	-0.5%	2027-01-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-01 House election by 18%-21%? Yes	Held	67.93	7.69¢	21¢	$14.27	$13.29	+173.0%	2026-11-04
Will Roseana Sarney win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election? No	Held	52.73	78.65¢	78.5¢	$41.39	$13.01	-0.2%	2026-10-05
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? Yes	Held	118.74	12.09¢	23¢	$27.31	$12.94	+90.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 12% or more? Yes	Held	271.15	6.22¢	7.65¢	$20.74	$12.76	+22.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 15%-20%? No	Held	332.77	90.03¢	96.1¢	$319.79	$12.51	+6.7%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 8? Yes	Held	210.42	9.09¢	14.5¢	$30.51	$11.38	+59.5%	2026-10-08
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on October 4? Yes	Held	210.21	9.09¢	14.5¢	$30.48	$11.37	+59.5%	2026-10-04
Will Michael Dell be 2nd richest person on December 31? Yes	Held	65.96	2.7¢	19¢	$12.53	$10.75	+603.1%	2026-03-31
Exact Score: CDPJuniorFC 1 - 3 Deportivo Pereira? Yes	Held	25	5.88¢	48.05¢	$12.01	$10.54	+716.9%	2026-10-14
Exact Score: CDPJuniorFC 2 - 3 Deportivo Pereira? Yes	Held	25	5.88¢	48.05¢	$12.01	$10.54	+716.9%	2026-10-14
Exact Score: CDPJuniorFC 1 - 0 Deportivo Pereira? Yes	Held	25	5.88¢	48.05¢	$12.01	$10.54	+716.9%	2026-10-14
Exact Score: CDPJuniorFC 0 - 1 Deportivo Pereira? Yes	Held	25	5.88¢	48.05¢	$12.01	$10.54	+716.9%	2026-10-14
Exact Score: CDPJuniorFC 0 - 2 Deportivo Pereira? Yes	Held	25	5.88¢	48.05¢	$12.01	$10.54	+716.9%	2026-10-14
Exact Score: CDPJuniorFC 3 - 2 Deportivo Pereira? Yes	Held	25	5.88¢	48.05¢	$12.01	$10.54	+716.9%	2026-10-14
Exact Score: CDPJuniorFC 1 - 2 Deportivo Pereira? Yes	Held	25	5.88¢	48.05¢	$12.01	$10.54	+716.9%	2026-10-14
Exact Score: CDPJuniorFC 3 - 1 Deportivo Pereira? Yes	Held	25	5.88¢	47.5¢	$11.88	$10.40	+707.5%	2026-10-14
Exact Score: CDPJuniorFC 2 - 0 Deportivo Pereira? Yes	Held	25	5.88¢	47.5¢	$11.88	$10.40	+707.5%	2026-10-14
Exact Score: CDPJuniorFC 3 - 0 Deportivo Pereira? Yes	Held	25	5.88¢	47.5¢	$11.88	$10.40	+707.5%	2026-10-14
Exact Score: CDPJuniorFC 2 - 1 Deportivo Pereira? Yes	Held	25	5.88¢	47.5¢	$11.88	$10.40	+707.5%	2026-10-14
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-07 House election by 3%-6%? Yes	Held	50.71	7.69¢	21.5¢	$10.90	$10.39	+179.5%	2026-11-04
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes	Held	25	5.88¢	47.4¢	$11.85	$10.38	+705.8%	2026-10-14
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 15%-18%? Yes	Held	260.2	8.33¢	5.3¢	$13.79	$10.27	-36.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? Yes	Held	31.77	14.63¢	33¢	$10.48	$10.16	+125.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 9%-12%? Yes	Held	62.29	8.33¢	24¢	$14.95	$9.76	+188.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 3%-6%? Yes	Held	49.6666	7.69¢	20.5¢	$10.18	$9.75	+166.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 6%-9%? Yes	Held	49.6666	7.69¢	20¢	$9.93	$9.50	+160.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-01 House election by 21% or more? Yes	Held	67.93	7.69¢	14.85¢	$10.09	$9.11	+93.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-07 House election by 6%-9%? Yes	Held	50.71	7.69¢	18.95¢	$9.61	$9.09	+146.3%	2026-11-04
Will Robert Thunfors be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland? Yes	Held	150	2.85¢	8.9¢	$13.35	$9.06	+211.5%	2026-09-14
Will Pia Lundin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland? Yes	Held	150	2.85¢	8.75¢	$13.13	$8.84	+206.3%	2026-09-14
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-01 House election? No	Held	243.9	93.91¢	97.35¢	$237.44	$8.38	+3.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat? No	Held	11.4302	86.64¢	84.5¢	$9.66	$7.76	-2.5%	2026-11-04
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? No	Held	26.4841	98.25¢	98.25¢	$26.02	$7.72	-0.0%	2026-10-05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 6%-9%? Yes	Held	62.29	8.33¢	20.5¢	$12.77	$7.58	+146.0%	2026-11-04
Will Adam Telle be the next confirmed Army Secretary? No	Held	20	56¢	73¢	$14.60	$7.05	+30.4%	2029-01-19
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 6%-9%? Yes	Held	52.78	7.69¢	21¢	$11.08	$7.02	+173.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? Yes	Held	298.26	9.09¢	9¢	$26.84	$7.01	-1.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes	Held	62.29	8.33¢	19.5¢	$12.15	$6.96	+134.0%	2026-11-04
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? No	Held	600	2.29¢	3.45¢	$20.70	$6.90	+50.0%	2027-01-01
Will Aaron Maluleka be the next mayor of Tshwane? Yes	Held	134.03	3.22¢	8.35¢	$11.19	$6.87	+158.8%	2026-11-05
Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026? No	Held	542.2	4.09¢	3.45¢	$18.71	$6.72	-15.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? Yes	Held	53.45	8.33¢	20.5¢	$10.96	$6.50	+146.0%	2026-11-04
Exact Score: FC Cincinnati 0 - 3 D.C. United SC? Yes	Held	549.75	5.88¢	7.05¢	$38.76	$6.42	+19.9%	2026-10-21
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? Yes	Held	107.91	8.33¢	14¢	$15.11	$6.11	+68.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Yes	Held	53.45	8.33¢	19.5¢	$10.42	$5.97	+134.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-08 House election? No	Held	55.67	89.37¢	99.85¢	$55.59	$5.83	+11.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat? Yes	Held	35.7953	28.73¢	34.5¢	$12.35	$5.57	+20.1%	2026-11-04
Will Fredrik Larsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? Yes	Held	134.03	3.22¢	7.3¢	$9.78	$5.46	+126.3%	2026-09-14
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on October 7? Yes	Held	600	9.09¢	10¢	$60.00	$5.45	+10.0%	2026-10-07
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? No	Held	25.1426	37.22¢	38.5¢	$9.68	$5.22	+3.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election? No	Held	292.9	97.5¢	99.6¢	$291.73	$5.21	+2.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 0%-3%? No	Held	12.8	44¢	80.5¢	$10.30	$4.93	+83.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes	Held	62.29	8.33¢	16¢	$9.97	$4.78	+92.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 6%-9%? Yes	Held	274.78	8.33¢	10¢	$27.48	$4.58	+20.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 21% or more? Yes	Held	32.75	30.99¢	44¢	$14.41	$4.26	+41.9%	2026-11-04
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No	Held	554.53	99.03¢	99.8¢	$553.42	$4.22	+0.8%	2026-10-05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? Yes	Held	272.15	17.32¢	16.5¢	$44.90	$4.14	-4.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election? No	Held	115.7	95.2¢	98.7¢	$114.20	$4.04	+3.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? Yes	Held	107.91	8.33¢	12¢	$12.95	$3.96	+44.0%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 2? Yes	Held	131.14	9.09¢	12¢	$15.74	$3.81	+32.0%	2026-10-02
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election? No	Held	42.7	88.84¢	95.05¢	$40.59	$3.13	+7.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 6%-9%? No	Held	32.75	88.99¢	98.5¢	$32.26	$3.11	+10.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election? No	Held	35.64	91.32¢	99.75¢	$35.55	$3.00	+9.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election? No	Held	78.75	94.85¢	98.8¢	$77.81	$2.97	+4.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election? No	Held	32.75	90.35¢	99.3¢	$32.52	$2.93	+9.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election? No	Held	38.02	92¢	99.3¢	$37.75	$2.78	+7.9%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 2? No	Held	91.88	96.15¢	99.05¢	$91.01	$2.66	+3.0%	2026-10-02
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes	Held	274.78	8.33¢	9.3¢	$25.55	$2.66	+11.6%	2026-11-04
Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes	Held	1,090.2368	1.55¢	1.8¢	$19.62	$2.65	+15.6%	2027-10-25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election? No	Held	22.22	89¢	98.85¢	$21.96	$2.53	+11.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-11 House election? No	Held	21.6875	84¢	95.4¢	$20.69	$2.47	+13.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election? No	Held	40.1728	93.49¢	99.65¢	$40.03	$2.47	+6.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election? No	Held	26.11	87.3¢	94¢	$24.54	$2.44	+7.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-06 House election? No	Held	50.67	94.06¢	99.5¢	$50.42	$2.43	+5.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election? No	Held	35.1	92.61¢	99.75¢	$35.01	$2.38	+7.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election? No	Held	239.1	98.7¢	99.95¢	$238.98	$2.36	+1.3%	2026-11-04
Will Lainey Wilson win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? No	Held	51.61	78.78¢	79.5¢	$41.03	$2.35	+0.9%	2026-11-19
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election? No	Held	27.05	90.69¢	99.35¢	$26.87	$2.34	+9.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election? No	Held	69.8	95.05¢	99.1¢	$69.17	$2.30	+4.3%	2026-11-04
Exact Score: Grêmio Novorizontino 3 - 3 Goiás EC? No	Held	600	99.59¢	99.95¢	$599.70	$2.10	+0.4%	2026-10-02
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-25 House election? No	Held	31.4	93.75¢	99.45¢	$31.23	$2.10	+6.1%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 7? Yes	Held	409.99	98.64¢	99.15¢	$406.50	$2.06	+0.5%	2026-10-07
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election? No	Held	36.03	93.54¢	99.6¢	$35.89	$2.04	+6.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election? No	Held	33	91¢	97.15¢	$32.06	$2.03	+6.8%	2026-11-04
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No	Held	53.48	95.97¢	99.75¢	$53.35	$2.02	+3.9%	2026-10-05
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-04 House election? No	Held	18.22	91.26¢	99.55¢	$18.14	$2.01	+9.1%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 5? Yes	Held	214.74	9.09¢	10¢	$21.47	$1.95	+10.0%	2026-10-05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TN-01 House election? No	Held	35.97	94.83¢	99.85¢	$35.92	$1.80	+5.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election? No	Held	20.85	89¢	97.25¢	$20.28	$1.73	+9.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-03 House election? No	Held	19.67	89¢	97.55¢	$19.19	$1.68	+9.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election? No	Held	17.6	90¢	99.4¢	$17.49	$1.65	+10.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-13 House election? No	Held	21.24	91¢	98.7¢	$20.96	$1.64	+8.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-12 House election? No	Held	110	98¢	99.45¢	$109.39	$1.59	+1.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election? No	Held	34.875	93.45¢	98.35¢	$34.30	$1.56	+5.2%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 4? Yes	Held	32.75	94.6¢	99.35¢	$32.54	$1.56	+5.0%	2026-10-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election? No	Held	37.57	94.69¢	99.85¢	$37.51	$1.54	+5.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-04 House seat? Yes	Held	17.98	88.9¢	97.4¢	$17.51	$1.53	+9.6%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 3? Yes	Held	253.74	99.05¢	99.65¢	$252.85	$1.50	+0.6%	2026-10-03
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election? No	Held	22	93¢	99.5¢	$21.89	$1.43	+7.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 9%-12%? No	Held	32.75	94¢	98.35¢	$32.21	$1.42	+4.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 6% or more? No	Held	31.8571	93¢	97.25¢	$30.98	$1.35	+4.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the PA-14 House seat? Yes	Held	45.4	94.56¢	97.4¢	$44.22	$1.29	+3.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election? No	Held	14.4	91.78¢	99.95¢	$14.39	$1.20	+8.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 25% or more? Yes	Held	298.26	9.09¢	7.05¢	$21.03	$1.19	-22.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 3%-6%? No	Held	31.85	93.99¢	97.5¢	$31.05	$1.11	+3.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election? No	Held	50	95.62¢	99.25¢	$49.63	$1.11	+3.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election? No	Held	16.9	90¢	96.5¢	$16.31	$1.10	+7.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-09 House election? No	Held	40.125	93.58¢	96.7¢	$38.80	$1.09	+3.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CT-04 House election? No	Held	24	95¢	99.45¢	$23.87	$1.07	+4.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election? No	Held	33.75	96¢	99.15¢	$33.46	$1.06	+3.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-22 House election? No	Held	35.7	94.18¢	99.05¢	$35.36	$1.06	+5.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OK-02 House election? No	Held	60.18	95.77¢	99.15¢	$59.67	$1.01	+3.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? No	Held	19.99	92.31¢	91.5¢	$18.29	$1.00	-0.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election? No	Held	19.8557	94.67¢	99.9¢	$19.84	$0.97	+5.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 12% or more? No	Held	32.75	93.99¢	96.95¢	$31.75	$0.97	+3.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-01 House election? No	Held	18.3	91.95¢	97.1¢	$17.77	$0.96	+5.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election? No	Held	21	95¢	99.55¢	$20.91	$0.96	+4.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat? No	Held	17.66	91.49¢	97.4¢	$17.20	$0.94	+6.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election? No	Held	34.42	94.04¢	99.75¢	$34.33	$0.91	+6.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election? No	Held	25.58	94.95¢	99.4¢	$25.43	$0.91	+4.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election? No	Held	14.7142	93¢	98.95¢	$14.56	$0.88	+6.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TN-06 House election? No	Held	12.5	92¢	98.8¢	$12.35	$0.85	+7.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 3%-6%? No	Held	32.75	90.99¢	93.5¢	$30.62	$0.82	+2.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election? No	Held	21	92¢	95.85¢	$20.13	$0.81	+4.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-17 House seat? Yes	Held	12.8	90¢	96.05¢	$12.29	$0.77	+6.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-07 House election? No	Held	15.125	93.91¢	99.55¢	$15.06	$0.77	+6.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election? No	Held	32.75	96.26¢	99.55¢	$32.60	$0.75	+3.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election? No	Held	20	93.31¢	99¢	$19.80	$0.73	+6.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026? No	Held	39.15	95.25¢	97.7¢	$38.25	$0.70	+2.6%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on October 5? No	Held	344.02	99.19¢	99.4¢	$341.96	$0.69	+0.2%	2026-10-05
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election? No	Held	58.6053	98.15¢	99.85¢	$58.52	$0.68	+1.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat? Yes	Held	22.2	83.99¢	87¢	$19.31	$0.67	+3.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the NC-10 House seat? Yes	Held	12.8	88.99¢	93.85¢	$12.01	$0.62	+5.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026? No	Held	40.19	94.63¢	98.1¢	$39.43	$0.60	+3.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election? No	Held	14.59	93.98¢	99.6¢	$14.53	$0.59	+6.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-07 House election? No	Held	63.73	96.65¢	99.85¢	$63.63	$0.58	+3.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-09 House election? No	Held	18.0833	94.3¢	98.3¢	$17.78	$0.57	+4.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat? Yes	Held	20.03	91.99¢	94.5¢	$18.93	$0.50	+2.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 0%-3%? No	Held	32.75	91.99¢	93.5¢	$30.62	$0.49	+1.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat? Yes	Held	63.06	30.72¢	31.5¢	$19.86	$0.49	+2.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-08 House seat? Yes	Held	36.42	95.99¢	97.25¢	$35.42	$0.46	+1.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election? No	Held	52.0295	96.44¢	99.8¢	$51.93	$0.45	+3.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the OK-02 House seat? Yes	Held	12.8	95¢	98.5¢	$12.61	$0.45	+3.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the PA-16 House seat? Yes	Held	17.8	88.99¢	91.5¢	$16.29	$0.45	+2.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election? No	Held	36.43	94.5¢	96.1¢	$35.01	$0.43	+1.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat? Yes	Held	19.79	91.19¢	93.35¢	$18.47	$0.43	+2.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Dolphins win the season series against the Jets during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No	Held	20.03	82.6¢	84.65¢	$16.96	$0.41	+2.5%	2027-01-27
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-05 House seat? Yes	Held	20.03	89.99¢	92¢	$18.43	$0.40	+2.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-01 House election? No	Held	25.05	95.78¢	99.5¢	$24.92	$0.37	+3.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-07 House seat? Yes	Held	20.03	93.99¢	95.8¢	$19.19	$0.36	+1.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the DE-AL House seat? Yes	Held	20.03	94.99¢	96.75¢	$19.38	$0.35	+1.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026? Yes	Held	10.99	96.09¢	99.25¢	$10.91	$0.35	+3.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat? Yes	Held	22.21	92.99¢	94.5¢	$20.99	$0.33	+1.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election? No	Held	19.8571	93¢	94.65¢	$18.79	$0.33	+1.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election? No	Held	51.87	96.11¢	99.55¢	$51.64	$0.33	+3.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election? No	Held	47.35	93.7¢	96.25¢	$45.57	$0.32	+2.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-10 House election? No	Held	134.03	98.42¢	99.7¢	$133.63	$0.31	+1.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026? No	Held	37	96.71¢	97.55¢	$36.09	$0.31	+0.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat? Yes	Held	20.03	84.99¢	86.5¢	$17.33	$0.30	+1.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-07 House election? No	Held	11.97	91.36¢	95.05¢	$11.38	$0.29	+4.0%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 2? Yes	Held	113.92	99.69¢	99.95¢	$113.86	$0.28	+0.3%	2026-10-02
Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? No	Held	25	96.9¢	97.85¢	$24.46	$0.24	+1.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-06 House seat? Yes	Held	12.8	95¢	96.85¢	$12.40	$0.24	+1.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-26 House seat? Yes	Held	17.8	95¢	96.3¢	$17.14	$0.23	+1.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election? No	Held	105.68	96.85¢	98.1¢	$103.67	$0.22	+1.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat? Yes	Held	20.03	92.99¢	94.1¢	$18.85	$0.22	+1.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-03 House seat? Yes	Held	12.8	95¢	96.6¢	$12.36	$0.20	+1.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the TX-01 House seat? Yes	Held	12.8	95¢	96.35¢	$12.33	$0.17	+1.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election? No	Held	22.1428	96.95¢	99.85¢	$22.11	$0.15	+3.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat? Yes	Held	22.79	97.65¢	98.3¢	$22.40	$0.15	+0.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat? Yes	Held	12.8	96.99¢	98.05¢	$12.55	$0.13	+1.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-04 House election? No	Held	22.66	95.64¢	99.05¢	$22.44	$0.13	+3.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election? No	Held	16.7	95.29¢	98.3¢	$16.42	$0.13	+3.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat? Yes	Held	12.8	93.99¢	95¢	$12.16	$0.13	+1.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the UT-04 House seat? Yes	Held	12.8	95¢	95.95¢	$12.28	$0.12	+1.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-10 House election? No	Held	44.1666	96.23¢	98.5¢	$43.50	$0.12	+2.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the TX-29 House seat? No	Held	10	96¢	97.05¢	$9.71	$0.10	+1.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-04 House seat? Yes	Held	18	95¢	95.5¢	$17.19	$0.09	+0.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the SC-07 House seat? Yes	Held	18	95¢	95.5¢	$17.19	$0.09	+0.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the SC-03 House seat? Yes	Held	12.8	95¢	95.5¢	$12.22	$0.06	+0.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat? Yes	Held	12.8	92.99¢	93.5¢	$11.97	$0.06	+0.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat? Yes	Held	12.8	75¢	75.5¢	$9.66	$0.06	+0.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the SC-05 House seat? Yes	Held	12.71	90.99¢	91.5¢	$11.63	$0.06	+0.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election? No	Held	10.95	99.09¢	99.5¢	$10.90	$0.04	+0.4%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 2? No	Held	541.9039	98.91¢	99.65¢	$540.01	$0.04	+0.7%	2026-10-02
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-13 House seat? Yes	Held	20.8	97.12¢	97.25¢	$20.23	$0.03	+0.1%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 5? Yes	Held	47.6	99.38¢	99.4¢	$47.31	<$0.01	+0.0%	2026-10-05
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat? Yes	Held	12.8	95.47¢	95.5¢	$12.22	<$0.01	+0.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat? Yes	Held	15.61	65.99¢	66¢	$10.30	$0.00	0.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat? Yes	Held	20.03	97.29¢	97.25¢	$19.48	-$0.01	-0.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Democrats win the Wyoming governor race in 2026? No	Held	19.39	97.39¢	97.3¢	$18.87	-$0.02	-0.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-05 House election by 70%-75%? No	Held	52.03	92.8¢	92.75¢	$48.26	-$0.03	-0.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat? Yes	Held	20.03	92.65¢	92.5¢	$18.53	-$0.03	-0.2%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 4? Yes	Held	76.92	99.19¢	99.15¢	$76.27	-$0.04	-0.1%	2026-10-04
Will Marília Arraes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? No	Held	17.7956	82.06¢	73.45¢	$13.07	-$0.05	-10.5%	2026-10-05
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-08 House seat? Yes	Held	20.03	96.99¢	96.7¢	$19.37	-$0.06	-0.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat? Yes	Held	12.8	95.99¢	95.5¢	$12.22	-$0.06	-0.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the TX-36 House seat? Yes	Held	12.8	92.99¢	92.5¢	$11.84	-$0.06	-0.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election? No	Held	12.8	99.69¢	99.15¢	$12.69	-$0.07	-0.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the CO-05 House seat? No	Held	40.07	30.69¢	30.5¢	$12.22	-$0.08	-0.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-10 House seat? Yes	Held	12.8	97.66¢	97.05¢	$12.42	-$0.08	-0.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat? Yes	Held	12.8	98.39¢	97.75¢	$12.51	-$0.08	-0.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the FL-02 House seat? Yes	Held	20.03	89.99¢	89.5¢	$17.93	-$0.10	-0.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat? Yes	Held	20.0207	93.99¢	93.5¢	$18.72	-$0.10	-0.5%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 5? No	Held	9.99	99.19¢	98.15¢	$9.81	-$0.10	-1.1%	2026-10-05
Will the Republican Party win the IN-06 House seat? Yes	Held	12.8	95.99¢	95¢	$12.16	-$0.13	-1.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the MS-04 House seat? Yes	Held	20.03	96.99¢	96.2¢	$19.27	-$0.16	-0.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-04 House seat? Yes	Held	20.03	98.59¢	97.4¢	$19.51	-$0.24	-1.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-03 House seat? Yes	Held	12.8	98.19¢	95.95¢	$12.28	-$0.29	-2.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 0%-3%? No	Held	31.85	93.99¢	93¢	$29.62	-$0.32	-1.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election? No	Held	237.85	98.16¢	99.75¢	$237.26	-$0.37	+1.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election? No	Held	39.03	97.65¢	99.75¢	$38.93	-$0.39	+2.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat? Yes	Held	20.7726	78.42¢	76.5¢	$15.89	-$0.40	-2.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? Yes	Held	118.74	10.86¢	10.5¢	$12.47	-$0.43	-3.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-04 House election? No	Held	14.4	95.67¢	99.4¢	$14.31	-$0.44	+3.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election? No	Held	62.03	97.24¢	99.5¢	$61.72	-$0.46	+2.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Packers win the season series against the Bears during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes	Held	57.99	33.33¢	23.5¢	$13.63	-$0.48	-29.5%	2027-01-27
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election? No	Held	47.69	97.42¢	99.45¢	$47.43	-$0.48	+2.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the MI-05 House seat? Yes	Held	22.8	93.99¢	91.9¢	$20.95	-$0.48	-2.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election? No	Held	134.28	98.59¢	99.7¢	$133.88	-$0.50	+1.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-03 House election? No	Held	20.7097	96.63¢	98¢	$20.30	-$0.54	+1.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-15 House election? No	Held	16.7142	97.44¢	98.05¢	$16.39	-$0.60	+0.6%	2026-11-04
Will Renato Casagrande win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election? No	Held	32.4142	98.31¢	98.4¢	$31.90	-$0.60	+0.1%	2026-10-05
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NM-03 House election? No	Held	39.98	97.15¢	99.45¢	$39.76	-$0.63	+2.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election? No	Held	20.99	97.25¢	99.75¢	$20.94	-$0.70	+2.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election? No	Held	39.82	97.34¢	97.95¢	$39.00	-$0.71	+0.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election? No	Held	32.75	99.7¢	99.5¢	$32.59	-$0.71	-0.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes	Held	19.8	80.99¢	77¢	$15.25	-$0.79	-4.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election? No	Held	15.4285	97.66¢	99.85¢	$15.41	-$0.81	+2.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026? Yes	Held	17.78	96.79¢	97.25¢	$17.29	-$0.98	+0.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election? No	Held	28.88	96.69¢	99.8¢	$28.82	-$0.99	+3.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election? No	Held	76.53	96.2¢	95.5¢	$73.09	-$1.13	-0.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat? No	Held	23.68	83.11¢	83¢	$19.65	-$1.15	-0.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election? No	Held	27.6455	97.04¢	96.05¢	$26.55	-$1.19	-1.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election? No	Held	46.28	97.3¢	99.75¢	$46.16	-$1.21	+2.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election? No	Held	23.97	91.87¢	86.65¢	$20.77	-$1.21	-5.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 10%-15%? No	Held	32.75	92¢	88.25¢	$28.90	-$1.23	-4.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 9%-12%? No	Held	18.38	71.65¢	94¢	$17.28	-$1.32	+31.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election? No	Held	36.4671	96.97¢	97.7¢	$35.63	-$1.33	+0.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election? No	Held	20.605	97.06¢	99.25¢	$20.45	-$1.36	+2.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election? No	Held	18.6	97.97¢	99.35¢	$18.48	-$1.37	+1.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TN-03 House election? No	Held	15.99	97.61¢	99.8¢	$15.96	-$1.37	+2.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election? No	Held	28.85	97.55¢	99.35¢	$28.66	-$1.42	+1.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election? No	Held	24.41	97.39¢	99.7¢	$24.34	-$1.48	+2.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CT-03 House election? No	Held	22.09	97.56¢	99.55¢	$21.99	-$1.61	+2.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CT-01 House election? No	Held	18.4285	97.77¢	99.65¢	$18.36	-$1.67	+1.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election? No	Held	18.375	98.23¢	99.75¢	$18.33	-$1.68	+1.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election? No	Held	52.03	98.76¢	99.6¢	$51.82	-$1.69	+0.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election? No	Held	18.0928	97.55¢	99.35¢	$17.98	-$1.76	+1.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election? No	Held	34.01	98.55¢	99.1¢	$33.70	-$1.81	+0.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WV-02 House election? No	Held	29.51	98.32¢	99.8¢	$29.45	-$2.01	+1.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election? No	Held	14.46	99.33¢	99.85¢	$14.44	-$2.06	+0.5%	2026-11-04
Will Gracinha Caiado win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election? No	Held	87.5	73.77¢	63.65¢	$55.69	-$2.08	-13.7%	2026-10-05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election? No	Held	20	96.39¢	98.1¢	$19.62	-$2.12	+1.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026? No	Held	17.27	96.76¢	97.8¢	$16.89	-$2.21	+1.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election? No	Held	21.9954	98.87¢	96.85¢	$21.30	-$2.40	-2.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-03 House election? No	Held	22.5714	99.7¢	95.5¢	$21.56	-$2.49	-4.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election? No	Held	20.991	98¢	89.45¢	$18.78	-$2.54	-8.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election? No	Held	21.5714	97.45¢	99.3¢	$21.42	-$2.62	+1.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election? No	Held	20.4285	98.56¢	99.95¢	$20.42	-$2.71	+1.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election? No	Held	18.32	98.3¢	99.05¢	$18.15	-$2.72	+0.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election? No	Held	42.0566	99.3¢	99.75¢	$41.95	-$2.83	+0.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-05 House election? No	Held	12.875	99.59¢	94.45¢	$12.16	-$2.90	-5.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat? Yes	Held	17.6	85.45¢	84¢	$14.78	-$3.02	-1.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election? No	Held	83.8511	94.05¢	91.7¢	$76.89	-$3.04	-2.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-06 House election? No	Held	21.18	98.95¢	99.1¢	$20.99	-$3.16	+0.1%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election? No	Held	50.9	98.17¢	99.7¢	$50.75	-$3.28	+1.5%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on October 8? Yes	Held	210.42	9.09¢	7.5¢	$15.78	-$3.35	-17.5%	2026-10-08
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-07 House election? No	Held	14.7042	98.67¢	99.85¢	$14.68	-$3.54	+1.2%	2026-11-04
Will Dandelion (Ella Langley) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? No	Held	25	97.83¢	97.1¢	$24.27	-$3.57	-0.7%	2027-02-07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election? No	Held	16.82	96.85¢	93.6¢	$15.74	-$3.65	-3.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-06 House election? No	Held	11.4222	99.12¢	99.6¢	$11.38	-$3.88	+0.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election? No	Held	32.5	98.95¢	99.85¢	$32.45	-$3.91	+0.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election? No	Held	20.25	99.31¢	99.6¢	$20.17	-$3.95	+0.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election? No	Held	14.98	98.87¢	95.55¢	$14.31	-$4.07	-3.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election? No	Held	39.14	97.32¢	89.55¢	$35.05	-$4.10	-8.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-29 House seat? Yes	Held	10.03	94.99¢	96.55¢	$9.68	-$4.36	+1.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat? No	Held	20.03	98.79¢	93.7¢	$18.77	-$4.42	-5.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election? No	Held	14.99	99.84¢	99.45¢	$14.91	-$4.48	-0.4%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election? No	Held	82.7163	96.92¢	93¢	$76.93	-$4.75	-4.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? No	Held	147.7074	94.38¢	94.95¢	$140.25	-$4.77	+0.6%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election? No	Held	32.75	97.45¢	95.95¢	$31.42	-$5.43	-1.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? No	Held	63.3775	95.29¢	98.3¢	$62.30	-$5.43	+3.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election? No	Held	20.66	97.34¢	97.1¢	$20.06	-$5.46	-0.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election? No	Held	20.5205	99.75¢	99.6¢	$20.44	-$5.58	-0.2%	2026-11-04
Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Neither team to score first? No	Held	160	94.99¢	91.5¢	$146.40	-$5.60	-3.7%	2026-10-07
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 8? Yes	Held	210.42	9.09¢	6¢	$12.63	-$6.50	-34.0%	2026-10-08
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by December 31? No	Held	76.87	96¢	87.15¢	$66.99	-$6.80	-9.2%	2027-01-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? No	Held	37.75	87.54¢	83.65¢	$31.58	-$7.42	-4.5%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 4? Yes	Held	210.21	9.09¢	5.5¢	$11.56	-$7.55	-39.5%	2026-10-04
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No	Held	20.0255	70.17¢	63.55¢	$12.73	-$7.70	-9.4%	2027-07-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-16 House election by 15%-20%? No	Held	16.7948	70.43¢	74.5¢	$12.51	-$8.51	+5.8%	2026-11-04
Will an Independent win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election? Yes	Held	298.26	9.09¢	3.7¢	$11.04	-$8.80	-59.3%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on October 6? Yes	Held	600	9.09¢	7.5¢	$45.00	-$9.55	-17.5%	2026-10-06
Blue tsunami in 2026? No	Held	299.99	49.33¢	46¢	$138.00	-$10.00	-6.8%	2027-01-05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election? No	Held	49.06	97.09¢	98.4¢	$48.27	-$10.50	+1.3%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 12% or more? Yes	Held	274.78	8.33¢	4.5¢	$12.37	-$10.53	-46.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-02 House seat? No	Held	18	90.99¢	94.5¢	$17.01	-$10.93	+3.8%	2026-11-04
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026? No	Held	132.8735	95.68¢	95.65¢	$127.09	-$11.70	-0.0%	2026-11-04
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections? No	Held	32.7431	78¢	62¢	$20.30	-$12.02	-20.5%	2026-11-04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No	Held	1,818.49	3.18¢	2.45¢	$44.55	-$13.43	-23.2%	2026-10-05
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election? No	Held	16	99.33¢	99.85¢	$15.98	-$14.86	+0.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-01 House seat? No	Held	30.48	91.99¢	94¢	$28.65	-$17.11	+2.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No	Held	71.73	92.98¢	90.5¢	$64.92	-$17.34	-2.7%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election? No	Held	147.27	99.48¢	98.15¢	$144.55	-$19.70	-1.3%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on October 4? No	Held	600	99.89¢	99.5¢	$597.00	-$19.74	-0.4%	2026-10-04
FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: Neither team to score first? No	Held	49.98	95.99¢	54.15¢	$27.06	-$20.92	-43.6%	2026-10-21
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 7? Yes	Held	600	9.09¢	5.5¢	$33.00	-$21.55	-39.5%	2026-10-07
India vs. Brazil: Neither team to score first? No	Held	52	97.69¢	52.5¢	$27.30	-$23.50	-46.3%	2026-10-03
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 6? Yes	Held	600	9.09¢	4.5¢	$27.00	-$27.55	-50.5%	2026-10-06
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-27 House seat? No	Held	20.01	93.08¢	94.25¢	$18.86	-$30.46	+1.2%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-12 House seat? No	Held	12.8	92.63¢	93.5¢	$11.97	-$33.37	+0.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat? No	Held	145.9492	88.15¢	86.4¢	$126.10	-$39.47	-2.0%	2026-11-04
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on October 7? Yes	Held	600	9.09¢	2.25¢	$13.50	-$41.05	-75.2%	2026-10-07
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on October 6? Yes	Held	600	9.09¢	2.05¢	$12.30	-$42.25	-77.4%	2026-10-06
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on October 7? Yes	Held	600	9.09¢	2¢	$12.00	-$42.55	-78.0%	2026-10-07
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on October 6? Yes	Held	600	9.09¢	1.95¢	$11.70	-$42.85	-78.5%	2026-10-06
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on October 6? Yes	Held	600	9.09¢	1.95¢	$11.70	-$42.85	-78.5%	2026-10-06
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on October 7? Yes	Held	600	9.09¢	1.95¢	$11.70	-$42.85	-78.5%	2026-10-07
Will the price of Solana be greater than $160 on October 6? Yes	Held	600	9.09¢	1.95¢	$11.70	-$42.85	-78.5%	2026-10-06
Will the price of Solana be greater than $160 on October 7? Yes	Held	600	9.09¢	1.9¢	$11.40	-$43.15	-79.1%	2026-10-07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election? No	Held	75.36	94.76¢	93¢	$70.08	-$46.98	-1.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No	Held	44.9674	96.04¢	96.95¢	$43.60	-$70.39	+0.9%	2026-11-04
Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? No	Held	19.9949	97.68¢	99.55¢	$19.90	-$83.85	+1.9%	2026-10-01
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No	Held	1,019.72	9.48¢	1.15¢	$11.73	-$85.02	-87.9%	2026-10-05
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? No	Held	113.0194	94.68¢	95.45¢	$107.88	-$89.22	+0.8%	2026-11-04
FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5 Over	Held	549.75	48.99¢	31.5¢	$173.17	-$96.21	-35.7%	2026-10-21
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on October 5? No	Held	129.29	98.99¢	99.2¢	$128.26	-$105.11	+0.2%	2026-10-05
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Held	12,888.9961	1.34¢	0.1¢	$12.89	-$152.66	-92.6%	2026-12-31
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Held	21,678.9319	1.1¢	0.05¢	$10.84	-$164.13	-95.5%	2027-01-01
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Held	21,453.0919	1.1¢	0.05¢	$10.73	-$200.61	-95.5%	2026-10-31
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Held	21,687.6469	1.1¢	0.05¢	$10.84	-$205.52	-95.5%	2026-10-31
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Held	21,662.6229	1.1¢	0.05¢	$10.83	-$217.20	-95.5%	2026-10-31
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Held	21,662.6119	1.1¢	0.05¢	$10.83	-$217.52	-95.5%	2026-10-31
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Held	21,662.6119	1.1¢	0.05¢	$10.83	-$217.62	-95.5%	2026-10-31
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Held	78,186.0261	3.11¢	0.05¢	$39.09	-$291.87	-98.4%	2026-10-05
Exact Score: Internacional de Bogotá 3 - 3 Once Caldas? No	Held	600	99.83¢	50.15¢	$300.90	-$298.11	-49.8%	2026-10-02
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No	Held	143.116	92.99¢	92.5¢	$132.38	-$507.67	-0.5%	2026-11-04
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Held	24,950.7423	3.11¢	0.05¢	$12.48	-$732.59	-98.4%	2026-10-05
Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Held	25,652.7963	3.11¢	0.05¢	$12.83	-$787.44	-98.4%	2026-10-05
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Held	73,140.6774	3.11¢	0.05¢	$36.57	-$1.1K	-98.4%	2026-10-05
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Held	78,386.0861	3.11¢	0.05¢	$39.19	-$1.2K	-98.4%	2026-10-05
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Held	78,186.0261	3.11¢	0.05¢	$39.09	-$1.3K	-98.4%	2026-10-05
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Held	79,205.2761	3.12¢	0.05¢	$39.60	-$1.5K	-98.4%	2026-10-05
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Held	77,181.7321	3.11¢	0.05¢	$38.59	-$1.5K	-98.4%	2026-10-05
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Held	77,181.7321	3.11¢	0.05¢	$38.59	-$1.5K	-98.4%	2026-10-05
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Held	65,509.2758	3.11¢	0.05¢	$32.75	-$1.8K	-98.4%	2026-10-05
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Held	74,839.7759	3.11¢	0.05¢	$37.42	-$2.1K	-98.4%	2026-10-05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No	Held	24.9733	97.43¢	98.75¢	$24.66	-$3.5K	+1.4%	2026-12-09

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