Wallet positions

0x4b07…7912

Current holdings from Polymarket, with the saved analysis of this wallet's resolved record.

Resolved positions

1005

Realized PnL

$286.50

Win rate

88.3%

Realized edge

+0.3 pp

Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge +0.3 pp across 1005 resolved positions, 95% CI [-1.0, +1.5], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current holdings

95 positions returned. Up to 500 by current value; venue filters can omit holdings.

Checked 2026-10-05 10:51:42 UTC.

About this snapshot

Checked is our request time, not the venue's update time. Prices, values and PnL are venue snapshot figures; missing values show a dash. Held does not establish whether a market has resolved; Redeemable is the venue's flag. Snapshot PnL is separate from the saved resolved record above. This is not the full trading history.


BNB Up or Down - September 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up	Redeemable	5	18¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.95	-100.0%	2026-09-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up	Redeemable	105	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.05	-100.0%	2026-09-06
Solana Up or Down - August 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up	Redeemable	33.3333	2.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.07	-100.0%	2026-08-23
Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	14	8¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.12	-100.0%	2026-09-06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down	Redeemable	105	0.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.12	-100.0%	2026-09-04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up	Redeemable	105	0.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.12	-100.0%	2026-09-06
Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down	Redeemable	18	5.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.15	-100.0%	2026-09-08
BNB Up or Down - September 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down	Redeemable	9	13¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.17	-100.0%	2026-09-07
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up	Redeemable	10	12¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.27	-100.0%	2026-09-18
XRP Up or Down - September 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down	Redeemable	16.9986	8¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.36	-100.0%	2026-09-19
BNB Up or Down - September 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down	Redeemable	130	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.39	-100.0%	2026-09-11
BNB Up or Down - September 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down	Redeemable	22	5.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.41	-100.0%	2026-09-10
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up	Redeemable	18	7.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.53	-100.0%	2026-09-09
Solana Up or Down - September 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up	Redeemable	50	3¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.60	-100.0%	2026-09-08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up	Redeemable	56.0005	2.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.72	-100.0%	2026-09-13
Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	21	7.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.79	-100.0%	2026-09-06
XRP Up or Down - September 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up	Redeemable	10	20¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.00	-100.0%	2026-09-18
Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up	Redeemable	6.4492	30.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.07	-100.0%	2026-09-13
XRP Up or Down - August 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down	Redeemable	200	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.14	-100.0%	2026-08-21
XRP Up or Down - September 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down	Redeemable	5	45¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.34	-100.0%	2026-09-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up	Redeemable	55	4¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.35	-100.0%	2026-09-06
BNB Up or Down - September 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	10	24¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.40	-100.0%	2026-09-15
Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up	Redeemable	75	2.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.40	-100.0%	2026-09-04
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up	Redeemable	5.1063	46.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.49	-100.0%	2026-08-27
Solana Up or Down - August 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up	Redeemable	5	50¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.50	-100.0%	2026-08-29
XRP Up or Down - September 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up	Redeemable	10	26¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.60	-100.0%	2026-09-08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	15	16.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.70	-100.0%	2026-09-04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up	Redeemable	20	13¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.76	-100.0%	2026-09-06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up	Redeemable	93	2.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.98	-100.0%	2026-09-04
Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up	Redeemable	6	52¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.12	-100.0%	2026-09-07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down	Redeemable	5	63¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.23	-100.0%	2026-09-04
Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up	Redeemable	15	20.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.32	-100.0%	2026-09-04
Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up	Redeemable	45	6.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.35	-100.0%	2026-09-09
Solana Up or Down - September 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Up	Redeemable	5	68¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.48	-100.0%	2026-09-05
BNB Up or Down - September 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down	Redeemable	5	69¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.52	-100.0%	2026-09-06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up	Redeemable	51	6.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.80	-100.0%	2026-09-19
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up	Redeemable	17	24.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$4.39	-100.0%	2026-09-04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up	Redeemable	11.9947	38.41¢	0¢	$0.00	-$4.61	-100.0%	2026-09-04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	80	5.49¢	0¢	$0.00	-$4.69	-100.0%	2026-09-06
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down	Redeemable	5	95¢	0¢	$0.00	-$4.75	-100.0%	2026-08-23
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down	Redeemable	5	95¢	0¢	$0.00	-$4.77	-100.0%	2026-08-26
Solana Up or Down - September 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down	Redeemable	80	5.68¢	0¢	$0.00	-$4.85	-100.0%	2026-09-12
XRP Up or Down - August 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up	Redeemable	5	98¢	0¢	$0.00	-$4.91	-100.0%	2026-08-26
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down	Redeemable	127	3.8¢	0¢	$0.00	-$5.05	-100.0%	2026-09-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up	Redeemable	6.4935	76.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$5.08	-100.0%	2026-08-21
XRP Up or Down - August 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down	Redeemable	12.8205	38.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$5.21	-100.0%	2026-08-23
Solana Up or Down - September 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up	Redeemable	17	13.61¢	0¢	$0.00	-$5.23	-100.0%	2026-09-10
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down	Redeemable	14.7058	33.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$5.23	-100.0%	2026-08-23
Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down	Redeemable	31.5625	15.84¢	0¢	$0.00	-$5.29	-100.0%	2026-08-23
BNB Up or Down - September 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up	Redeemable	18	28.77¢	0¢	$0.00	-$5.32	-100.0%	2026-09-06
XRP Up or Down - August 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up	Redeemable	92.5	5.4¢	0¢	$0.00	-$5.33	-100.0%	2026-08-23
Over $8M committed to the RipCars public sale? No	Redeemable	20	27¢	0¢	$0.00	-$5.40	-100.0%	2026-09-01
Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up	Redeemable	12.06	48.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$6.12	-100.0%	2026-09-17
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down	Redeemable	15	44.66¢	0¢	$0.00	-$6.96	-100.0%	2026-09-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up	Redeemable	21	33.95¢	0¢	$0.00	-$7.46	-100.0%	2026-09-05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up	Redeemable	57.9949	13¢	0¢	$0.00	-$7.54	-100.0%	2026-09-13
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down	Redeemable	15	48.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$7.61	-100.0%	2026-09-16
Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down	Redeemable	12	61.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$7.64	-100.0%	2026-09-06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down	Redeemable	27	27.77¢	0¢	$0.00	-$7.72	-100.0%	2026-09-18
BNB Up or Down - September 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down	Redeemable	17	49.41¢	0¢	$0.00	-$8.70	-100.0%	2026-09-13
Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up	Redeemable	12	73.49¢	0¢	$0.00	-$8.98	-100.0%	2026-09-07
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down	Redeemable	10	95¢	0¢	$0.00	-$9.50	-100.0%	2026-08-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down	Redeemable	35.7142	27.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$10.50	-100.0%	2026-08-23
Solana Up or Down - September 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down	Redeemable	29	34.82¢	0¢	$0.00	-$10.56	-100.0%	2026-09-04
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up	Redeemable	15	72.66¢	0¢	$0.00	-$10.90	-100.0%	2026-08-23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up	Redeemable	141	8.29¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.44	-100.0%	2026-09-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up	Redeemable	22	62.72¢	0¢	$0.00	-$14.06	-100.0%	2026-09-06
Solana Up or Down - August 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up	Redeemable	20.2702	73.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$15.27	-100.0%	2026-08-23
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down	Redeemable	41.6666	35.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$15.67	-100.0%	2026-08-23
XRP Up or Down - October 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up	Redeemable	16	98.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$15.85	-100.0%	2026-10-03
BNB Up or Down - September 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up	Redeemable	22	70.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$15.94	-100.0%	2026-09-08
Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up	Redeemable	36	46.66¢	0¢	$0.00	-$17.21	-100.0%	2026-09-04
Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up	Redeemable	133.59	13.49¢	0¢	$0.00	-$18.94	-100.0%	2026-09-09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down	Redeemable	139.9873	13.45¢	0¢	$0.00	-$19.44	-100.0%	2026-09-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up	Redeemable	21.7391	91.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$20.11	-100.0%	2026-08-22
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down	Redeemable	27.027	73.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$20.36	-100.0%	2026-08-21
Solana Up or Down - August 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down	Redeemable	29.4117	67.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$20.45	-100.0%	2026-08-23
Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up	Redeemable	30.9242	64.67¢	0¢	$0.00	-$20.49	-100.0%	2026-08-22
Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down	Redeemable	31.3281	63.84¢	0¢	$0.00	-$20.51	-100.0%	2026-08-22
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down	Redeemable	37.037	53.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$20.64	-100.0%	2026-08-22
XRP Up or Down - September 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up	Redeemable	108	18.94¢	0¢	$0.00	-$21.45	-100.0%	2026-09-17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down	Redeemable	28.66	74.86¢	0¢	$0.00	-$21.46	-100.0%	2026-09-04
BNB Up or Down - September 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down	Redeemable	37	58.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$22.46	-100.0%	2026-09-06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down	Redeemable	49.9805	47.36¢	0¢	$0.00	-$24.31	-100.0%	2026-09-07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up	Redeemable	105	22.37¢	0¢	$0.00	-$24.66	-100.0%	2026-09-09
Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down	Redeemable	32.4675	76.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$25.40	-100.0%	2026-08-21
XRP Up or Down - August 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down	Redeemable	33.3333	74.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$25.44	-100.0%	2026-08-21
Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down	Redeemable	33.3333	74.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$25.44	-100.0%	2026-08-21
Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up	Redeemable	35.7142	69.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$25.52	-100.0%	2026-08-21
Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down	Redeemable	123	22.63¢	0¢	$0.00	-$29.24	-100.0%	2026-09-07
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down	Redeemable	57.8431	50.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$30.51	-100.0%	2026-08-27
XRP Up or Down - September 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	138	47.74¢	0¢	$0.00	-$68.03	-100.0%	2026-09-09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	140	50.28¢	0¢	$0.00	-$72.85	-100.0%	2026-09-09
Solana Up or Down - September 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down	Redeemable	202	36.89¢	0¢	$0.00	-$77.73	-100.0%	2026-09-12
Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down	Redeemable	105	98.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$104.02	-100.0%	2026-10-05

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