Wallet ledger

0x4a1e…86d3

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

1448

Realized PnL

-$20.9K

Win rate

54%

Realized edge

-0.013

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge -0.013 across 1448 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.04, +0.01]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (1 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? No	Open	94	41¢	$55	+143%	1970-01-01

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