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Convexly

Wallet positions

0x4a1e…86d3

Current holdings from Polymarket, with the saved analysis of this wallet's resolved record.

Resolved positions
1448
Realized PnL
-$20.9K
Win rate
53.9%
Realized edge
-1.3 pp

Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge -1.3 pp across 1448 resolved positions, 95% CI [-3.5, +0.9], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current holdings

54 positions returned. Up to 500 by current value; venue filters can omit holdings.

Checked 2026-10-13 04:49:32 UTC.

About this snapshot

Checked is our request time, not the venue's update time. Prices, values and PnL are venue snapshot figures; missing values show a dash. Held does not establish whether a market has resolved; Redeemable is the venue's flag. Snapshot PnL is separate from the saved resolved record above. This is not the full trading history.

Held1,341.9585.76¢91.5¢$1.2K$76.97+6.7%2026-10-28
Held42073.11¢89¢$373.80$66.70+21.7%2026-12-31
Held60087¢97.1¢$582.60$60.60+11.6%2026-10-16
Held1,283.3634.99¢38.5¢$494.09$44.92+10.0%2026-11-04
Held6,329.0135.99¢36.5¢$2.3K$31.65+1.4%2026-11-04
Held50086¢86.5¢$432.50$2.50+0.6%2026-10-15
Redeemable9.4534¢0¢$0.00$1.87-100.0%2026-10-02
Held5188.99¢89.5¢$45.65$0.26+0.6%2026-12-31
Held9099.89¢99.95¢$89.95$0.04+0.1%2026-10-13
Held19.0890.99¢87¢$16.60-$0.76-4.4%2027-01-01
Redeemable126.181.94¢0¢$0.00-$2.57-100.0%2027-04-01
Redeemable5012¢0¢$0.00-$6.21-100.0%2026-10-04
Redeemable275.352.99¢0¢$0.00-$8.66-100.0%2027-04-01
Redeemable127.789.49¢0¢$0.00-$12.69-100.0%2026-10-10
Held215.0942.85¢33¢$70.98-$21.21-23.0%2026-10-14
Redeemable97.9924.78¢0¢$0.00-$25.20-100.0%2026-09-30
Redeemable15019¢0¢$0.00-$29.65-100.0%2026-10-02
Redeemable134.4729.99¢0¢$0.00-$41.47-100.0%2026-10-05
Held1,70072¢69.5¢$1.2K-$42.50-3.5%2026-10-28
Redeemable20021¢0¢$0.00-$43.66-100.0%2026-10-06
Redeemable15029¢0¢$0.00-$45.04-100.0%2026-10-06
Held204.9941.97¢20¢$41.00-$45.05-52.4%2026-10-14
Redeemable13142.99¢0¢$0.00-$57.94-100.0%2026-10-05
Redeemable10066¢0¢$0.00-$66.00-100.0%2026-10-02
Held60015¢2.9¢$17.40-$72.60-80.7%2026-10-16
Redeemable20339.78¢0¢$0.00-$83.19-100.0%2026-10-01
Redeemable20047¢0¢$0.00-$96.49-100.0%2026-10-13
Redeemable497.142819.99¢0¢$0.00-$102.20-100.0%2026-10-12
Redeemable199.978352¢0¢$0.00-$103.99-100.0%2026-10-01
Redeemable21556¢0¢$0.00-$120.40-100.0%2026-10-04
Redeemable45030¢0¢$0.00-$135.00-100.0%2026-10-03
Redeemable249.982756¢0¢$0.00-$139.99-100.0%2026-10-07
Redeemable999.991514¢0¢$0.00-$140.00-100.0%2026-09-30
Held378.6483.28¢44.5¢$168.49-$146.84-46.6%2026-12-31
Redeemable399.982744.49¢0¢$0.00-$177.99-100.0%2026-10-08
Redeemable672.6431.99¢0¢$0.00-$222.56-100.0%2026-10-14
Redeemable399.949761¢0¢$0.00-$243.97-100.0%2026-10-02
Redeemable50048¢0¢$0.00-$246.24-100.0%2026-10-03
Redeemable530.7948.78¢0¢$0.00-$258.96-100.0%2026-10-01
Redeemable599.97446¢0¢$0.00-$275.99-100.0%2026-10-08
Redeemable70053¢0¢$0.00-$379.72-100.0%2026-10-06
Redeemable83949¢0¢$0.00-$411.11-100.0%2026-10-04
Redeemable641.5369.99¢0¢$0.00-$455.81-100.0%2026-10-02
Redeemable999.995348¢0¢$0.00-$480.00-100.0%2026-10-06
Redeemable1,00050¢0¢$0.00-$500.00-100.0%2026-10-03
Redeemable1,00052.2¢0¢$0.00-$527.00-100.0%2026-10-13
Redeemable1,248.784755.2¢0¢$0.00-$689.34-100.0%2026-10-06
Redeemable85083¢0¢$0.00-$711.50-100.0%2026-10-02
Redeemable1,368.7268.27¢0¢$0.00-$939.84-100.0%2026-10-01
Redeemable1,337.8676.1¢0¢$0.00-$1.0K-100.0%2026-10-01
Redeemable1,999.991164¢0¢$0.00-$1.3K-100.0%2026-10-02
Redeemable1,85076¢0¢$0.00-$1.4K-100.0%2026-10-04
Redeemable3,272.113544.09¢0¢$0.00-$1.5K-100.0%2026-10-01
Redeemable2,90054¢0¢$0.00-$1.6K-100.0%2026-10-05
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