ConvexlyWallet ledger
0x4155…fa41
This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).
Resolved positions
883
Realized PnL
$18.7K
Win rate
81%
Realized edge
+0.105
Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge +0.105 across 883 resolved positions, 95% CI [+0.08, +0.13]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current open positions
Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (16 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.
| Open | 2,060 | 42¢ | $1.2K | +140% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 704 | 48¢ | $366 | +108% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 1,122 | 73¢ | $297 | +36% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 1,383 | 83¢ | $234 | +20% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 1,701 | 88¢ | $204 | +14% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 3,537 | 95¢ | $175 | +5% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 824 | 90¢ | $82 | +11% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 566 | 90¢ | $56 | +11% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 582 | 93¢ | $40 | +7% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 55 | 65¢ | $19 | +54% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 357 | 95¢ | $17 | +5% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 44 | 78¢ | $10 | +28% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 29 | 72¢ | $8 | +38% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 13 | 66¢ | $4 | +51% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | +104% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 85 | 95¢ | -$38 | -47% | 2026-08-11 |