Wallet ledger

0x3fec…728e

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

213

Realized PnL

-$76.6K

Win rate

57%

Realized edge

+0.009

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge +0.009 across 213 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.03, +0.04]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (3 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes	Open	100	50¢	-$39	-77%	2027-01-01
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	100	61¢	-$48	-79%	1970-01-01
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes	Open	1,328	78¢	-$755	-73%	2027-01-01

Full skill analysis (Edge Score, calibration) →