Wallet positions

0x3329…43a6

Current holdings from Polymarket, with the saved analysis of this wallet's resolved record.

Resolved positions

1944

Realized PnL

-$0.24

Win rate

0.1%

Realized edge

+0.0 pp

Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge +0.0 pp across 1944 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.1, +0.3], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current holdings

500 positions returned. Up to 500 by current value; venue filters can omit holdings. Display limit reached; more positions may exist.

Checked 2026-10-21 14:09:01 UTC.

About this snapshot

Checked is our request time, not the venue's update time. Prices, values and PnL are venue snapshot figures; missing values show a dash. Held does not establish whether a market has resolved; Redeemable is the venue's flag. Snapshot PnL is separate from the saved resolved record above. This is not the full trading history.


Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes	Held	500	0.1¢	76.55¢	$382.75	$382.25	+76450.0%	2027-01-01
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes	Held	499.993	0.1¢	67.2¢	$336.00	$335.50	+67100.0%	2027-01-01
Will Oliver Marmol win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? No	Held	100	0.1¢	99.95¢	$99.95	$99.85	+99850.0%	2026-12-19
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Yes	Held	499.996	0.1¢	12.05¢	$60.25	$59.75	+11950.0%	2027-01-01
Will Mark Zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on December 31? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	23¢	$23.00	$22.90	+22900.0%	2027-01-03
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	21.55¢	$21.55	$21.45	+21450.0%	2027-01-01
Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	19.55¢	$19.55	$19.45	+19450.0%	2026-12-19
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26? Up	Held	64.19	0.1¢	28.5¢	$18.29	$18.23	+28399.9%	2026-03-26
Will Novorizontino win Brazil Série B? Yes	Held	26.65	0.1¢	68.15¢	$18.16	$18.14	+68049.5%	2026-12-13
Will Atlético Goianiense win Brazil Série B? Yes	Held	26.65	0.1¢	50.85¢	$13.55	$13.52	+50749.7%	2026-12-13
Will Criciúma win Brazil Série B? Yes	Held	26.65	0.1¢	46.95¢	$12.51	$12.49	+46849.5%	2026-12-13
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	11.35¢	$11.35	$11.25	+11250.0%	2027-01-10
Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League? Yes	Held	84.34	0.1¢	12.7¢	$10.71	$10.63	+12599.8%	2026-12-02
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 20? Yes	Held	9.994	0.1¢	97.9¢	$9.78	$9.77	+97799.7%	2026-10-20
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes	Held	499.983	0.1¢	2.05¢	$10.25	$9.75	+1950.0%	2026-12-31
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes	Held	31.314	0.1¢	30.2¢	$9.46	$9.43	+30099.6%	2026-10-28
Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	9¢	$9.00	$8.90	+8900.0%	2027-01-18
Will Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	87.45¢	$8.74	$8.73	+87350.0%	2026-10-05
Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes	Held	99.992	0.1¢	7.6¢	$7.60	$7.50	+7499.9%	2026-11-08
Will Drew Mestemaker win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes	Held	78	0.1¢	9.35¢	$7.29	$7.21	+9250.0%	—
Will Axis Bank Ltd be the largest Indian company? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	7.25¢	$7.25	$7.15	+7150.0%	2027-01-01
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	70.25¢	$7.03	$7.01	+70150.0%	2026-10-20
Will the National Party win 50 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes	Held	98.33	0.1¢	7.1¢	$6.98	$6.88	+6999.9%	2026-11-08
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	99.991	0.1¢	6.8¢	$6.80	$6.70	+6699.9%	2027-01-01
British Pound / US Dollar (GBP/USD) Up or Down on September 8? Up	Held	10	0.1¢	64.55¢	$6.46	$6.45	+64450.0%	2026-09-08
US Dollar / Swedish Krona (USD/SEK) Up or Down on September 8? Up	Held	10	0.1¢	64.55¢	$6.46	$6.45	+64450.0%	2026-09-08
US Dollar / Mexican Peso (USD/MXN) Up or Down on September 8? Up	Held	10	0.1¢	64.55¢	$6.46	$6.45	+64450.0%	2026-09-08
Will Ondřej Tichý be the next Mayor of Pardubice? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	64.55¢	$6.46	$6.45	+64450.0%	2027-06-30
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	62.65¢	$6.26	$6.25	+62550.0%	2028-01-01
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat? No	Held	100	0.1¢	6.3¢	$6.30	$6.20	+6200.0%	2026-11-04
Will Sean 'Diddy' Combs be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? Yes	Held	100	0¢	5.9¢	$5.90	$5.90	0.0%	2026-12-31
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	5.9¢	$5.90	$5.80	+5800.0%	2027-02-01
Will Geovanna Bañuelos de la Torre win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? Yes	Held	43.98	0.1¢	12.5¢	$5.50	$5.45	+12400.0%	2027-06-07
Will Discord’s market cap be between $14B and $17B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	5.5¢	$5.50	$5.40	+5400.0%	2028-01-01
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	85.06	0.1¢	6.3¢	$5.36	$5.27	+6199.9%	2027-03-14
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31? Up	Held	20	0.1¢	26¢	$5.20	$5.18	+25900.0%	2026-03-31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	5.1¢	$5.10	$5.00	+5000.0%	2026-11-04
Will Zdravko Ponoš win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	5.1¢	$5.10	$5.00	+5000.0%	2027-05-02
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 5°C on October 20? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	49.95¢	$5.00	$4.99	+49850.0%	2026-10-20
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 19 above $0.50? No	Held	10	0.1¢	49.95¢	$5.00	$4.99	+49850.0%	2026-10-23
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 20? No	Held	10	0.1¢	49.9¢	$4.99	$4.98	+49800.0%	2026-10-20
Will Valve release a new Dota 2 hero by December 31? No	Held	10	0.1¢	49.9¢	$4.99	$4.98	+49800.0%	2027-01-01
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 20? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	49.9¢	$4.99	$4.98	+49800.0%	2026-10-20
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 6°C on October 20? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	49.9¢	$4.99	$4.98	+49800.0%	2026-10-20
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on October 20? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	49.85¢	$4.99	$4.97	+49750.0%	2026-10-20
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 24°C on October 21? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	49.85¢	$4.99	$4.97	+49750.0%	2026-10-21
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 20°C on October 20? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	49.85¢	$4.99	$4.97	+49750.0%	2026-10-20
Will Sara Gunnarsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	5¢	$5.00	$4.90	+4900.0%	2026-09-14
Will Lance Oppenheim win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	98.72	0.1¢	5.05¢	$4.99	$4.89	+4949.9%	2027-03-14
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 24°C on October 20? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	48.8¢	$4.88	$4.87	+48700.0%	2026-10-20
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	4.95¢	$4.95	$4.85	+4850.0%	2027-06-07
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes	Held	48.17	0.1¢	9.9¢	$4.77	$4.72	+9799.9%	2026-12-31
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 23°C on October 21? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	46.85¢	$4.68	$4.67	+46750.0%	2026-10-21
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	4.75¢	$4.75	$4.65	+4650.0%	2026-11-04
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 17°C on October 20? Yes	Held	9.994	0.1¢	46.25¢	$4.62	$4.61	+46149.7%	2026-10-20
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	4.65¢	$4.65	$4.55	+4550.0%	2027-04-01
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%? Yes	Held	60	0.1¢	7.25¢	$4.35	$4.29	+7150.0%	2026-10-30
Will Pia Lundin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	40.3¢	$4.03	$4.02	+40200.0%	2026-09-14
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 15°C on October 21? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	39.5¢	$3.95	$3.94	+39400.0%	2026-10-21
Will Adani Power Ltd be the largest Indian company? Yes	Held	84.64	0.1¢	4.75¢	$4.02	$3.94	+4649.9%	2027-01-01
Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in October? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	39.45¢	$3.94	$3.94	+39350.0%	2027-01-08
Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	39.4¢	$3.94	$3.93	+39300.0%	2026-10-06
Will Estudiantes LP win Copa Libertadores? Yes	Held	50.99	0.1¢	7.8¢	$3.98	$3.93	+7699.9%	2026-12-12
Will Richard Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	37.15¢	$3.71	$3.71	+37050.0%	2026-09-14
Will Manuel Añorve Baños win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	3.8¢	$3.80	$3.70	+3700.0%	2027-06-07
Will Carlos Reyes Torres win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? Yes	Held	99.997	0.1¢	3.8¢	$3.80	$3.70	+3699.9%	2027-06-07
Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	36.7¢	$3.67	$3.66	+36600.0%	2026-10-27
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	3.75¢	$3.75	$3.65	+3650.0%	2027-07-01
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	21.05	0.1¢	17.35¢	$3.65	$3.63	+17249.4%	2026-12-31
Will Matt Carroll win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes	Held	373.29	0.1¢	1.05¢	$3.92	$3.55	+950.0%	2026-11-30
Will La Bola Negra win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	35.15¢	$3.52	$3.50	+35050.0%	2027-07-01
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes	Held	68	0.1¢	5.25¢	$3.57	$3.50	+5150.0%	2028-01-01
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on October 20? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	35.05¢	$3.50	$3.50	+34950.0%	2026-10-20
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	3.45¢	$3.45	$3.35	+3350.0%	2027-01-01
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	3.45¢	$3.45	$3.35	+3350.0%	2027-01-01
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 20? Yes	Held	9.994	0.1¢	33¢	$3.30	$3.29	+32899.7%	2026-10-20
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 20? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	32.95¢	$3.29	$3.29	+32850.0%	2026-10-20
Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes	Held	58	0¢	5.6¢	$3.25	$3.25	0.0%	2027-02-07
Will Life Insurance Corporation of India be the largest Indian company? Yes	Held	86.81	0.1¢	3.8¢	$3.30	$3.21	+3699.8%	2027-01-01
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	32.05¢	$3.21	$3.19	+31950.0%	2026-10-31
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 20? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	31¢	$3.10	$3.09	+30900.0%	2026-10-20
Will Bajaj Finance Ltd be the largest Indian company? Yes	Held	65	0.1¢	4.8¢	$3.12	$3.06	+4700.0%	2027-01-01
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 20? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	30.2¢	$3.02	$3.01	+30100.0%	2026-10-20
Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	3.1¢	$3.10	$3.00	+3000.0%	2027-06-07
Will Seattle Kraken be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	3.05¢	$3.05	$2.95	+2950.0%	2027-07-01
Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes	Held	70.83	0.1¢	4.2¢	$2.97	$2.90	+4099.8%	2026-11-08
Will Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	2.9¢	$2.90	$2.80	+2800.0%	2027-06-07
Will Peter Farrelly win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	75	0.1¢	3.8¢	$2.85	$2.77	+3700.0%	2027-03-14
Will Dune: Messiah have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	2.85¢	$2.85	$2.75	+2750.0%	2027-01-01
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes	Held	60.42	0.1¢	4.55¢	$2.75	$2.69	+4449.9%	2027-07-01
Over $4B crypto hack value in 2026? Yes	Held	33.96	0.1¢	7.95¢	$2.70	$2.67	+7849.8%	2027-01-01
Will Anton Bergström Nord be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	2.7¢	$2.70	$2.60	+2600.0%	2026-09-14
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,200,000 and 1,275,000? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	25.65¢	$2.56	$2.56	+25550.0%	2026-11-04
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT? Yes	Held	48.1	0.1¢	5.35¢	$2.57	$2.53	+5249.9%	2026-11-08
Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31? Yes	Held	9.99	0.1¢	25.35¢	$2.53	$2.52	+25249.2%	2027-01-11
Will Larsen & Toubro Ltd be the largest Indian company? Yes	Held	65	0.1¢	3.95¢	$2.57	$2.50	+3850.0%	2027-01-01
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 20? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	25¢	$2.50	$2.49	+24900.0%	2026-10-20
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on October 20? Yes	Held	5	0.1¢	49.85¢	$2.49	$2.49	+49750.0%	2026-10-20
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	24.7¢	$2.47	$2.46	+24600.0%	2026-10-28
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 20? No	Held	10	0.1¢	24.35¢	$2.44	$2.42	+24250.0%	2026-10-20
Will Trump deport 200-300k people? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	2.5¢	$2.50	$2.40	+2400.0%	2027-03-01
Will Petr Yan be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? Yes	Held	279.63	0.1¢	0.95¢	$2.66	$2.38	+849.9%	2027-01-01
Will Digger win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	28.06	0.1¢	8.55¢	$2.40	$2.37	+8449.8%	2027-03-14
Will Nioh 3 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes	Held	40.1	0.1¢	5.9¢	$2.37	$2.33	+5800.0%	2026-12-10
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%? Yes	Held	85	0.1¢	2.8¢	$2.38	$2.29	+2700.0%	2026-10-28
Will Kenny Kunene be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes	Held	55	0.1¢	4.25¢	$2.34	$2.28	+4150.0%	2026-11-17
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 7°C or below on October 21? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	22.85¢	$2.29	$2.27	+22750.0%	2026-10-21
Will Chris Bryant be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	2.35¢	$2.35	$2.25	+2250.0%	2028-01-01
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 20? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	22.25¢	$2.23	$2.21	+22150.0%	2026-10-20
Will Meta be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	22.15¢	$2.21	$2.21	+22050.0%	2026-10-31
Will the Democratic Party win the WY-AL House seat? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	2.3¢	$2.30	$2.20	+2200.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party win the VA-11 House seat? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	2.3¢	$2.30	$2.20	+2200.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 10%-15%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	21.7¢	$2.17	$2.16	+21600.0%	2026-11-04
Will Elisabeth Björk be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	2.25¢	$2.25	$2.15	+2150.0%	2026-09-14
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	2.2¢	$2.20	$2.10	+2100.0%	2027-01-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 0%-3%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	20.65¢	$2.06	$2.06	+20550.0%	2026-11-04
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.2%? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	2.15¢	$2.15	$2.05	+2050.0%	2027-02-01
Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	20.6¢	$2.06	$2.05	+20500.0%	2027-06-07
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes	Held	100	0¢	2.05¢	$2.05	$2.05	0.0%	2028-01-01
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	19.9¢	$1.99	$1.98	+19800.0%	2026-10-31
Will Barry Avotu Johnson win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	19.8¢	$1.98	$1.97	+19700.0%	2027-02-07
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	2.05¢	$2.05	$1.95	+1950.0%	2026-11-04
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	2.05¢	$2.05	$1.95	+1950.0%	2028-03-31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election? Yes	Held	33	0.1¢	6¢	$1.98	$1.95	+5900.0%	2026-11-04
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 4, 2026? No	Held	4.36	0.1¢	43.45¢	$1.89	$1.89	+43348.6%	2026-10-05
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,800,000 and 4,950,000? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	18.95¢	$1.90	$1.89	+18850.0%	2026-11-04
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,275,000 and 1,350,000? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	18.9¢	$1.89	$1.88	+18800.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 25%-30%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	18.85¢	$1.89	$1.88	+18750.0%	2026-11-04
Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	18.8¢	$1.88	$1.87	+18700.0%	2026-11-01
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #2 searched person on Google this year? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	18.65¢	$1.86	$1.85	+18550.0%	2026-12-31
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on October 20? Yes	Held	4	0.1¢	46.05¢	$1.84	$1.84	+45950.0%	2026-10-20
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	18.2¢	$1.82	$1.81	+18100.0%	2026-10-31
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by October 31, 2026? No	Held	10	0.1¢	18.15¢	$1.81	$1.80	+18050.0%	2026-10-31
Will John Turturro win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.9¢	$1.90	$1.80	+1800.0%	2027-07-01
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.9¢	$1.90	$1.80	+1800.0%	2026-10-06
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026? Yes	Held	77.55	0.1¢	2.4¢	$1.86	$1.78	+2299.9%	2027-01-01
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	17.85¢	$1.78	$1.77	+17750.0%	2026-12-10
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.85¢	$1.85	$1.75	+1750.0%	2027-01-01
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	179.075	0.1¢	1.05¢	$1.88	$1.70	+949.9%	2027-01-01
Will the Republican Party win the WI-02 House seat? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.8¢	$1.80	$1.70	+1700.0%	2026-11-04
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	16.75¢	$1.68	$1.67	+16650.0%	2026-10-27
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.75¢	$1.75	$1.65	+1650.0%	2027-01-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 60% or more? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	16.25¢	$1.63	$1.61	+16150.0%	2026-11-04
Will Sean Penn be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? Yes	Held	99.993	0.1¢	1.7¢	$1.70	$1.60	+1599.9%	2027-04-01
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	15.75¢	$1.57	$1.56	+15650.0%	2026-12-01
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.65¢	$1.65	$1.55	+1550.0%	2026-11-04
Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.65¢	$1.65	$1.55	+1550.0%	2026-08-13
Will Calgary Flames be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.65¢	$1.65	$1.55	+1550.0%	2027-07-01
Will there be under 25 tornadoes in the US in September 2026? Yes	Held	9.999	0.1¢	14.8¢	$1.48	$1.47	+14699.5%	2026-10-14
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	14.65¢	$1.47	$1.46	+14550.0%	2026-11-04
Will Aday Mara win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.55¢	$1.55	$1.45	+1450.0%	2027-05-01
Will Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.55¢	$1.55	$1.45	+1450.0%	2027-06-07
Will the Republican Party win the CA-44 House seat? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.55¢	$1.55	$1.45	+1450.0%	2026-11-04
Will Alvin Tedjo win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	14.6¢	$1.46	$1.45	+14500.0%	2026-10-27
Will Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	14.55¢	$1.46	$1.45	+14450.0%	2026-10-05
Will Zendaya be the #2 searched person on Google this year? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	14.55¢	$1.46	$1.45	+14450.0%	2026-12-31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 35%-40%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	14.3¢	$1.43	$1.42	+14200.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 75% or more? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	14.1¢	$1.41	$1.40	+14000.0%	2026-11-04
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 20? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	14¢	$1.40	$1.39	+13900.0%	2026-10-20
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	13.95¢	$1.40	$1.39	+13850.0%	2028-01-01
Will Rob Cooper win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	13.85¢	$1.39	$1.38	+13750.0%	2026-10-27
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 20? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	13.75¢	$1.38	$1.36	+13650.0%	2026-10-20
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.45¢	$1.45	$1.35	+1350.0%	2026-10-30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 30%-35%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	13.55¢	$1.35	$1.34	+13450.0%	2026-11-04
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	13.45¢	$1.34	$1.33	+13350.0%	2026-11-04
Will Ed Sheeran be the second most streamed artist for 2026? Yes	Held	99.991	0.1¢	1.4¢	$1.40	$1.30	+1299.9%	2027-02-01
Will Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas win the next Trujillo mayoral elections? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	12.75¢	$1.27	$1.26	+12650.0%	2026-10-05
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	20	0.1¢	6.4¢	$1.28	$1.26	+6300.0%	2027-01-01
Will Behcet Barsom be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	12.7¢	$1.27	$1.26	+12600.0%	2026-09-14
Will Alex Pretti be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.35¢	$1.35	$1.25	+1250.0%	2026-12-31
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-15 House election by 0%-10%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	12.45¢	$1.25	$1.24	+12350.0%	2026-11-04
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 21? No	Held	10	0.1¢	12.4¢	$1.24	$1.23	+12300.0%	2026-10-21
Will Martin Mudrák win the 2026 Košice mayoral election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	12.25¢	$1.23	$1.22	+12150.0%	2026-10-25
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? Yes	Held	99.984	0.1¢	1.3¢	$1.30	$1.20	+1199.9%	2027-01-01
Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 7.5% to 8.5%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	11.75¢	$1.18	$1.17	+11650.0%	2026-10-27
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? Yes	Held	99.99	0¢	1.15¢	$1.15	$1.15	0.0%	2027-04-01
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	6.05	0.1¢	18.6¢	$1.13	$1.12	+18499.2%	2026-12-31
Will Nevada be the closest Governor's race in 2026? Yes	Held	9.993	0.1¢	11.15¢	$1.11	$1.10	+11049.7%	2026-11-04
Will Azerbaijan win Junior Eurovision 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.2¢	$1.20	$1.10	+1100.0%	2027-08-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 3%-6%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	11¢	$1.10	$1.09	+10900.0%	2026-11-04
Will Derek Giberson win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	10.95¢	$1.09	$1.08	+10850.0%	2026-10-27
Will there be between 105m and 110m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	10.9¢	$1.09	$1.08	+10800.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 12% or more? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	10.9¢	$1.09	$1.08	+10800.0%	2026-11-04
Will Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	10.85¢	$1.08	$1.07	+10750.0%	2027-02-07
Will John Kelly win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	10.75¢	$1.07	$1.06	+10650.0%	2027-04-06
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	10.7¢	$1.07	$1.06	+10600.0%	2027-08-01
Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.15¢	$1.15	$1.05	+1050.0%	2027-02-01
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.15¢	$1.15	$1.05	+1050.0%	2026-12-31
Will the Republican Party win the OH-11 House seat? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.15¢	$1.15	$1.05	+1050.0%	2026-11-04
Will Noah Redden win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.15¢	$1.15	$1.05	+1050.0%	2026-10-29
Will Anneliese Midgley be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? Yes	Held	60	0.1¢	1.85¢	$1.11	$1.05	+1750.0%	2028-01-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-02 House election by 50% or more? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	10.55¢	$1.05	$1.04	+10450.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-04 House election by 0%-5%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	10.5¢	$1.05	$1.04	+10400.0%	2026-11-04
Will Kassim Gana Geidam win the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	10.5¢	$1.05	$1.04	+10400.0%	2027-02-07
Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? No	Held	10	0.1¢	10.45¢	$1.04	$1.03	+10350.0%	2026-10-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 10%-15%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	10.35¢	$1.03	$1.02	+10250.0%	2026-11-04
Will Kansas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes	Held	25	0.1¢	4.15¢	$1.04	$1.01	+4050.0%	2026-11-04
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? Yes	Held	9.19	0.1¢	11.1¢	$1.02	$1.01	+10998.9%	2026-10-25
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	10.2¢	$1.02	$1.01	+10100.0%	2026-10-23
Will Ohio be the closest Governor's race in 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	10.15¢	$1.01	$1.00	+10050.0%	2026-11-04
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes	Held	500	0.1¢	0.3¢	$1.50	$1.00	+200.0%	2027-01-01
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.9%? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.1¢	$1.10	$1.00	+1000.0%	2026-10-30
Will David O. Russell win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.1¢	$1.10	$1.00	+1000.0%	2027-03-14
Will Nashville Predators be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.1¢	$1.10	$1.00	+1000.0%	2027-07-01
Will Jonny Lundin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1.1¢	$1.10	$1.00	+1000.0%	2026-09-14
Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? Yes	Held	24	0.1¢	4.25¢	$1.02	$1.00	+4150.0%	2028-01-01
Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	10.05¢	$1.00	$0.99	+9950.0%	2027-06-07
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 19 above $1.00? No	Held	10	0.1¢	10¢	$1.00	$0.99	+9900.0%	2026-10-23
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 10%-20%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	10¢	$1.00	$0.99	+9900.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 50%-55%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	10¢	$1.00	$0.99	+9900.0%	2026-11-04
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 0%-10%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	9.95¢	$0.99	$0.98	+9850.0%	2026-11-03
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	9.95¢	$0.99	$0.98	+9850.0%	2026-10-19
Will Florida be the closest Governor's race in 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	9.9¢	$0.99	$0.98	+9800.0%	2026-11-04
Will Joe Bartolozzi win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards? Yes	Held	8.69	0.1¢	11.35¢	$0.99	$0.98	+11249.7%	2026-11-12
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	9.8¢	$0.98	$0.97	+9700.0%	2026-10-29
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 21? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	9.8¢	$0.98	$0.97	+9700.0%	2026-10-21
Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	9.8¢	$0.98	$0.97	+9700.0%	2026-11-04
Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? No	Held	40	0.1¢	2.5¢	$1.00	$0.96	+2400.0%	2027-05-01
Will Billie Eilish be the second most streamed artist for 2026? Yes	Held	99.991	0.1¢	1.05¢	$1.05	$0.95	+950.0%	2027-02-01
Will Kewan Lacy win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes	Held	59	0.1¢	1.7¢	$1.00	$0.94	+1600.0%	—
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	9.45¢	$0.94	$0.94	+9350.0%	2026-11-04
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	9.25¢	$0.93	$0.92	+9150.0%	2026-10-30
Will Stefan Frei win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year? Yes	Held	7.9	0.1¢	11.65¢	$0.92	$0.91	+11549.4%	2027-01-01
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	9.2¢	$0.92	$0.91	+9100.0%	2027-08-01
Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1¢	$1.00	$0.90	+900.0%	2027-03-01
Will Claudia Wittig be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1¢	$1.00	$0.90	+900.0%	2026-09-07
Will Marco Rubio be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1¢	$1.00	$0.90	+900.0%	2026-12-31
Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	1¢	$1.00	$0.90	+900.0%	2026-11-12
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 15%-20%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	9.05¢	$0.91	$0.90	+8950.0%	2026-11-04
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 August 24-30? Yes	Redeemable	0.895	0.1¢	100¢	$0.90	$0.89	+99899.4%	2026-08-31
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-07 House Election? No	Held	10	0.1¢	9¢	$0.90	$0.89	+8900.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	9¢	$0.90	$0.89	+8900.0%	2028-01-01
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 19 above $3.50? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	9¢	$0.90	$0.89	+8900.0%	2026-10-23
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-04 House Election? No	Held	10	0.1¢	8.85¢	$0.89	$0.88	+8750.0%	2026-11-04
Will Jio Platforms be the largest Indian company?; Yes	Held	19	0.1¢	4.7¢	$0.89	$0.87	+4600.0%	2027-01-01
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? Yes	Held	54	0.1¢	1.7¢	$0.92	$0.86	+1600.0%	2027-06-07
Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.95¢	$0.95	$0.85	+850.0%	2026-08-13
Will Sergio De Larrea win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.95¢	$0.95	$0.85	+850.0%	2027-05-01
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 14,000,000 and 14,500,000? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	8.5¢	$0.85	$0.84	+8400.0%	2026-11-04
Will Ewa-May Karlsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? Yes	Held	45.03	0.1¢	1.95¢	$0.88	$0.83	+1849.7%	2026-09-14
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be 60°F or higher on October 19? No	Redeemable	0.829	0.1¢	100¢	$0.83	$0.83	+99891.4%	2026-10-19
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 0%-10%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	8.25¢	$0.82	$0.81	+8150.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 35% or more? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	8.2¢	$0.82	$0.81	+8100.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-06 House election by 35% or more? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	8.15¢	$0.81	$0.81	+8050.0%	2026-11-04
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on October 20? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	8.15¢	$0.81	$0.81	+8050.0%	2026-10-20
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.9¢	$0.90	$0.80	+800.0%	2027-04-01
Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	8.1¢	$0.81	$0.80	+8000.0%	2026-10-28
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on October 20? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	8¢	$0.80	$0.79	+7900.0%	2026-10-20
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 40%-45%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	7.95¢	$0.80	$0.79	+7850.0%	2026-11-04
Will Peter Cibulka win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	7.95¢	$0.80	$0.79	+7850.0%	2026-10-25
Will Michigan be the closest Senate race in 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	7.95¢	$0.80	$0.79	+7850.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 9%-12%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	7.9¢	$0.79	$0.78	+7800.0%	2026-11-04
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in China by December 31, 2027? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	7.9¢	$0.79	$0.78	+7800.0%	2028-01-01
Will the Republican Party win the CA-19 House seat? Yes	Held	46	0.1¢	1.75¢	$0.81	$0.76	+1650.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 18% or more? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	7.65¢	$0.77	$0.76	+7550.0%	2026-11-04
Will Slayyyter win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes	Held	26.79	0.1¢	2.9¢	$0.78	$0.75	+2799.9%	2027-02-07
Will Karen Castrejón Trujillo win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.85¢	$0.85	$0.75	+750.0%	2027-06-07
Will Crimson Desert win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.85¢	$0.85	$0.75	+750.0%	2027-01-01
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.85¢	$0.85	$0.75	+750.0%	2027-01-01
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.85¢	$0.85	$0.75	+750.0%	2026-11-04
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be less than 1,000,000? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	7.6¢	$0.76	$0.75	+7500.0%	2026-11-04
Will David Seymour be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes	Held	99.993	0.1¢	0.85¢	$0.85	$0.75	+750.0%	2026-11-08
Will petal (Ariana Grande) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes	Held	99.996	0.1¢	0.85¢	$0.85	$0.75	+749.9%	2027-02-07
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes	Held	99.995	0.1¢	0.85¢	$0.85	$0.75	+749.9%	2028-01-01
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? Yes	Held	44.9	0.1¢	1.75¢	$0.79	$0.74	+1649.9%	2026-05-17
Will Wildwood win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	7.5¢	$0.75	$0.74	+7400.0%	2027-03-14
Will A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes	Held	21.43	0.1¢	3.55¢	$0.76	$0.74	+3449.4%	2026-12-31
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	7.45¢	$0.74	$0.73	+7350.0%	2026-10-25
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes	Held	50	0.1¢	1.55¢	$0.78	$0.72	+1450.0%	2027-01-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-16 House election by 0%-3%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	7.35¢	$0.73	$0.72	+7250.0%	2026-11-04
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto Something	Held	40	0.1¢	1.9¢	$0.76	$0.72	+1800.0%	2027-01-01
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on October 31, 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	7.3¢	$0.73	$0.72	+7200.0%	2026-10-31
Will Werwulf win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	12	0.1¢	6.05¢	$0.73	$0.71	+5950.0%	2027-03-14
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be 490,000 or more? Yes	Held	5	0.1¢	14.25¢	$0.71	$0.71	+14150.0%	2026-11-04
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	7.15¢	$0.71	$0.70	+7050.0%	2028-01-01
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 11,000,000 and 11,500,000? Yes	Held	8.85	0.1¢	8.05¢	$0.71	$0.70	+7949.2%	2026-11-04
Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? Yes	Held	12.2	0.1¢	5.85¢	$0.71	$0.70	+5750.0%	2027-06-07
Will Jean Silva be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.8¢	$0.80	$0.70	+700.0%	2027-01-01
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.8¢	$0.80	$0.70	+700.0%	2027-07-01
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00 and $2.10 in October? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	7.1¢	$0.71	$0.70	+7000.0%	2026-11-11
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting? Yes	Held	99.995	0.1¢	0.8¢	$0.80	$0.70	+699.9%	2026-10-28
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No	Held	2.115	0.1¢	33¢	$0.70	$0.70	+32893.6%	2027-01-01
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + V? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	7.05¢	$0.70	$0.69	+6950.0%	2027-08-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election by 70%-75%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	7.05¢	$0.70	$0.69	+6950.0%	2026-11-04
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.5% and 1.7%? Yes	Held	57.9	0.1¢	1.3¢	$0.75	$0.69	+1200.0%	2027-01-01
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 on October 21? No	Held	10	0.1¢	6.95¢	$0.69	$0.69	+6850.0%	2026-10-21
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 45% or more? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.95¢	$0.69	$0.69	+6850.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election by 40%-50%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.95¢	$0.69	$0.69	+6850.0%	2026-11-04
Will Democrats win fewer than 8 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.9¢	$0.69	$0.68	+6800.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.75¢	$0.68	$0.67	+6650.0%	2026-11-04
Will PASOK – Movement for Change (PASOK-KINAL) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? Yes	Held	69.79	0.1¢	1.05¢	$0.73	$0.66	+949.8%	2027-07-26
Will Hembe Herman Iorwase C. win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.7¢	$0.67	$0.66	+6600.0%	2027-02-07
Will Sam Leavitt win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes	Held	27.99	0.1¢	2.45¢	$0.69	$0.66	+2349.8%	—
Will Microsoft be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.65¢	$0.67	$0.66	+6550.0%	2027-01-01
Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.65¢	$0.67	$0.66	+6550.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.75¢	$0.75	$0.65	+650.0%	2026-11-04
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 22? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.6¢	$0.66	$0.65	+6500.0%	2026-10-22
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-01 House election by 0%-20%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.6¢	$0.66	$0.65	+6500.0%	2026-11-04
Will Michael Lucid win the 2026 Niagara Falls mayoral election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.55¢	$0.66	$0.65	+6450.0%	2026-10-27
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? No	Held	10	0.1¢	6.5¢	$0.65	$0.64	+6400.0%	2026-10-19
Will no Lemonade Stand episode air? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.5¢	$0.65	$0.64	+6400.0%	2026-10-22
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C on October 21? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.45¢	$0.65	$0.64	+6350.0%	2026-10-21
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2027? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.45¢	$0.65	$0.64	+6350.0%	2028-01-01
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 19 above $4.50? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.4¢	$0.64	$0.63	+6300.0%	2026-10-23
Will DeepSeek be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.4¢	$0.64	$0.63	+6300.0%	2026-12-01
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 19 above $5.00? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.4¢	$0.64	$0.63	+6300.0%	2026-10-23
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.4¢	$0.64	$0.63	+6300.0%	2026-10-27
Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.4¢	$0.64	$0.63	+6300.0%	2026-12-01
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be 1,050,000 or more? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.3¢	$0.63	$0.62	+6200.0%	2026-11-04
Will Blade Runner 2099 be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes	Held	68.27	0.1¢	1¢	$0.68	$0.61	+900.0%	2027-04-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 0%-5%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.2¢	$0.62	$0.61	+6100.0%	2026-11-04
LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent? Yes	Held	4.204	0.1¢	14.5¢	$0.61	$0.61	+14395.8%	2027-11-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 10%-15%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.15¢	$0.61	$0.60	+6050.0%	2026-11-04
Will Baidu be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.15¢	$0.61	$0.60	+6050.0%	2027-01-01
Will voter turnout be 84% or higher in the 2026 New Zealand general election? Yes	Held	11.8	0.1¢	5.2¢	$0.61	$0.60	+5100.0%	2026-11-08
Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.7¢	$0.70	$0.60	+600.0%	2027-05-01
Will Eminem be the third most streamed artist for 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.7¢	$0.70	$0.60	+600.0%	2027-02-01
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.7¢	$0.70	$0.60	+600.0%	2026-10-25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 25% or more? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.1¢	$0.61	$0.60	+6000.0%	2026-11-04
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.1¢	$0.61	$0.60	+6000.0%	2027-01-01
Will Noemí Berenice Luna Ayala win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? Yes	Held	99.998	0.1¢	0.7¢	$0.70	$0.60	+599.9%	2027-06-07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 6%-9%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.05¢	$0.60	$0.59	+5950.0%	2026-11-04
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.05¢	$0.60	$0.59	+5950.0%	2026-10-31
Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6.05¢	$0.60	$0.59	+5950.0%	2026-12-01
Will Croatia win Junior Eurovision 2026? Yes	Held	40.974	0.1¢	1.55¢	$0.64	$0.59	+1449.7%	2027-08-01
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 22? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	6¢	$0.60	$0.59	+5900.0%	2026-10-22
Will Nthabiseng Tshivenga be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? Yes	Held	6.04	0.1¢	9.8¢	$0.59	$0.59	+9698.7%	2026-11-05
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 21? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.95¢	$0.59	$0.58	+5850.0%	2026-10-21
Will Shohei Ohtani be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes	Held	89.99	0.1¢	0.75¢	$0.67	$0.58	+650.0%	2027-04-01
Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? Yes	Held	116.816	0.1¢	0.6¢	$0.70	$0.58	+499.8%	2027-07-01
Will Meta be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.9¢	$0.59	$0.58	+5800.0%	2026-11-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 80%-85%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.9¢	$0.59	$0.58	+5800.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.85¢	$0.58	$0.57	+5750.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-04 House election by 0%-10%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.85¢	$0.58	$0.57	+5750.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%? Yes	Held	2.77	0.1¢	20.7¢	$0.57	$0.57	+20595.7%	2026-11-04
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.8¢	$0.58	$0.57	+5700.0%	2027-01-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.8¢	$0.58	$0.57	+5700.0%	2026-11-04
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.75¢	$0.57	$0.56	+5650.0%	2026-10-25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-13 House election by 15%-25%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.65¢	$0.56	$0.56	+5550.0%	2026-11-04
Will Miguel Flores Serna win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? Yes	Held	64.8	0.1¢	0.95¢	$0.62	$0.55	+850.0%	2027-06-07
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.65¢	$0.65	$0.55	+550.0%	2027-01-01
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.65¢	$0.65	$0.55	+550.0%	2027-04-19
Will Andrés Giménez win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.65¢	$0.65	$0.55	+550.0%	2027-01-01
Will EUR/USD hit 1.35 (High) in 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.65¢	$0.65	$0.55	+550.0%	2026-12-31
Will Starling Marte win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.65¢	$0.65	$0.55	+550.0%	2027-01-01
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be less than 2.0? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.65¢	$0.65	$0.55	+550.0%	2027-02-01
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.65¢	$0.65	$0.55	+550.0%	2027-07-01
Will Stefan Krkobabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.65¢	$0.65	$0.55	+550.0%	2026-10-25
Will Kerry Carpenter win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.65¢	$0.65	$0.55	+550.0%	2027-01-01
Will Greek Solution (EL) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.65¢	$0.65	$0.55	+550.0%	2027-07-26
Will Chou Ni-an win the next Penghu County Magistrate election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.6¢	$0.56	$0.55	+5500.0%	2026-11-29
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%? Yes	Held	99.994	0.1¢	0.65¢	$0.65	$0.55	+549.9%	2027-01-09
Will there be exactly 9 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? Yes	Held	99.993	0.1¢	0.65¢	$0.65	$0.55	+549.9%	2027-01-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 15%-25%? Yes	Held	5	0.1¢	11¢	$0.55	$0.55	+10900.0%	2026-11-04
Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.5¢	$0.55	$0.54	+5400.0%	2026-11-03
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes	Held	33.7	0.1¢	1.7¢	$0.57	$0.54	+1600.0%	2026-12-31
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on October 21? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.45¢	$0.55	$0.54	+5350.0%	2026-10-21
Will Ignacio Buse Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? Yes	Held	16.36	0.1¢	3.35¢	$0.55	$0.53	+3249.4%	—
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 0%-10%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.35¢	$0.54	$0.53	+5250.0%	2026-11-04
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.35¢	$0.54	$0.53	+5250.0%	2026-10-31
Will Sam Matiase be the next mayor of Mangaung? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.35¢	$0.54	$0.53	+5250.0%	2026-11-05
Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.3¢	$0.53	$0.52	+5200.0%	2026-10-05
Will Love Island be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes	Held	64.7	0.1¢	0.9¢	$0.58	$0.52	+800.0%	2027-04-01
Will the median home value in the US be at least $423,000 on December 31? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.25¢	$0.53	$0.52	+5150.0%	2027-01-11
Will Michael Vogiatzakis win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.2¢	$0.52	$0.51	+5100.0%	2026-10-29
Will Omar Suleiman win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.2¢	$0.52	$0.51	+5100.0%	2027-02-07
Will Yair Golan be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.2¢	$0.52	$0.51	+5100.0%	2027-03-01
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 31, 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.15¢	$0.52	$0.51	+5050.0%	2026-11-01
Will Hilton win the 2026 California gubernatorial election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.15¢	$0.52	$0.51	+5050.0%	2026-11-03
Will the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election? Yes	Held	7.37	0.1¢	6.9¢	$0.51	$0.50	+6799.2%	2027-01-17
Will "The Fall-Off - J-Cole" be the top album for 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.6¢	$0.60	$0.50	+500.0%	2027-02-01
Will Stephen Vogt win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.6¢	$0.60	$0.50	+500.0%	2027-01-01
Will there be at least 10 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.6¢	$0.60	$0.50	+500.0%	2027-01-01
Will Coalition of the Radical Left – Progressive Alliance (SYRIZA) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.6¢	$0.60	$0.50	+500.0%	2027-07-26
Will Josué Guerrero Trápala win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.6¢	$0.60	$0.50	+500.0%	2027-06-07
Will George Springer win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.6¢	$0.60	$0.50	+500.0%	2027-01-01
Will Donald Trump endorse Glenn Youngkin in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.6¢	$0.60	$0.50	+500.0%	2028-11-06
Will Lindsey Graham be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.6¢	$0.60	$0.50	+500.0%	2027-04-01
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.6¢	$0.60	$0.50	+500.0%	2026-12-31
Will Jeremy Strong win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.6¢	$0.60	$0.50	+500.0%	2027-07-01
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in October? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.1¢	$0.51	$0.50	+5000.0%	2026-11-11
Will Jalen Brunson be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? Yes	Held	99.999	0¢	0.5¢	$0.50	$0.50	0.0%	2027-04-01
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.05¢	$0.51	$0.49	+4950.0%	2026-11-11
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.05¢	$0.51	$0.49	+4950.0%	2026-10-27
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5.05¢	$0.51	$0.49	+4950.0%	2026-11-04
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 19 above $4.00? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	5¢	$0.50	$0.49	+4900.0%	2026-10-23
Will Lanterns be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes	Held	69.7	0.1¢	0.8¢	$0.56	$0.49	+700.0%	2027-04-01
Will Democrats win exactly 44 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	18.05	0.1¢	2.8¢	$0.51	$0.49	+2699.7%	2026-11-04
Will Possible Love win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.95¢	$0.49	$0.48	+4850.0%	2027-03-14
Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.95¢	$0.49	$0.48	+4850.0%	2026-11-03
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 20? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.95¢	$0.49	$0.48	+4850.0%	2026-10-20
Will Ireland win Junior Eurovision 2026? Yes	Held	25.974	0.1¢	1.95¢	$0.51	$0.48	+1849.5%	2027-08-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.9¢	$0.49	$0.48	+4800.0%	2026-11-04
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.60 and $2.70 in October? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.9¢	$0.49	$0.48	+4800.0%	2026-11-11
Will KlingAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.9¢	$0.49	$0.48	+4800.0%	2026-10-31
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 16°C on October 21? Yes	Held	9.994	0.1¢	4.9¢	$0.49	$0.48	+4799.9%	2026-10-21
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 9%-12%? Yes	Held	29.46	0.1¢	1.7¢	$0.50	$0.47	+1599.8%	2026-11-04
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 550,000 and 600,000? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.8¢	$0.48	$0.47	+4700.0%	2026-11-04
Will Yoav Segalovich be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.8¢	$0.48	$0.47	+4700.0%	2027-03-01
Will Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? Yes	Held	9.6	0.1¢	4.95¢	$0.48	$0.47	+4850.0%	2027-06-07
Will MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.75¢	$0.47	$0.47	+4650.0%	2026-10-31
Will Yugalkeesor Ramdhonee win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.7¢	$0.47	$0.46	+4600.0%	2026-10-27
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 25%-30%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.65¢	$0.47	$0.46	+4550.0%	2026-11-04
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Qatar by December 31, 2027? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.65¢	$0.47	$0.46	+4550.0%	2028-01-01
Will Arturo Nahle García win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2027-06-07
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2027-07-01
Will Bruno Mars be the third most streamed artist for 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2027-02-01
Will Donald Trump endorse Sarah Huckabee Sanders in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2028-11-07
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 2.0%? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2026-10-30
Will the Nashville Predators be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2027-07-01
Will Son Heung-min win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2027-01-01
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2026-10-28
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.5 and 3.9% in 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2027-01-22
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2027-01-01
Will Isabella Rossellini win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2027-07-01
Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2027-01-01
Will Ariana Grande be the third most streamed artist for 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2027-02-01
Will Donald Trump endorse Tulsi Gabbard in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2028-11-07
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + Labour? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2026-11-08
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2026-10-30
Will Donald Trump endorse Brian Kemp in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2028-11-07
Will Donald Trump endorse Ron DeSantis in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2028-11-07
Will Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2027-06-07
Will "Bully - Ye" be the top album for 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2026-12-31
Will Derrick Henry win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2027-03-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 25%-35%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.6¢	$0.46	$0.45	+4500.0%	2026-11-04
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.6¢	$0.46	$0.45	+4500.0%	2028-01-01
Will DF win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.6¢	$0.46	$0.45	+4500.0%	2026-10-04
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 3.0%? Yes	Held	99.986	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.55	$0.45	+450.0%	2027-02-01
Will Republicans win 6 or more Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? Yes	Held	9.62	0¢	4.65¢	$0.45	$0.45	0.0%	2026-11-04
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be 2,200,000 or more? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.55¢	$0.46	$0.45	+4450.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-03 House election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.55¢	$0.46	$0.45	+4450.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 35%-40%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.55¢	$0.46	$0.45	+4450.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on October 31, 2026? Yes	Held	9.99	0.1¢	4.55¢	$0.45	$0.44	+4449.4%	2026-11-01
Will Juventude win Brazil Série B? Yes	Held	2.18	0.1¢	20.35¢	$0.44	$0.44	+20247.7%	2026-12-13
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 10%-20%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.5¢	$0.45	$0.44	+4400.0%	2026-11-04
Will Chen Wan-hui win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.45¢	$0.45	$0.43	+4350.0%	2026-11-29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-02 House election by 0%-5%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.45¢	$0.45	$0.43	+4350.0%	2026-11-04
Will Donald Trump endorse Byron Donalds in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes	Held	95.89	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.53	$0.43	+449.9%	2028-11-07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 15%-20%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.4¢	$0.44	$0.43	+4300.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 65%-70%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.35¢	$0.43	$0.42	+4250.0%	2026-11-04
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.3¢	$0.43	$0.42	+4200.0%	2027-01-01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 10%-15%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.3¢	$0.43	$0.42	+4200.0%	2026-11-04
Will Greens win the most seats in the next New South Wales state election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.25¢	$0.42	$0.41	+4150.0%	2027-03-28
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 18% or more? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.25¢	$0.42	$0.41	+4150.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.25¢	$0.42	$0.41	+4150.0%	2026-11-04
Will Werwulf win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.2¢	$0.42	$0.41	+4100.0%	2027-03-14
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.2¢	$0.42	$0.41	+4100.0%	2026-11-04
Will Obsession win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.15¢	$0.41	$0.41	+4050.0%	2027-07-01
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on October 31? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.15¢	$0.41	$0.41	+4050.0%	2026-11-01
Will drop dead (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.15¢	$0.41	$0.41	+4050.0%	2027-07-01
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.50	$0.40	+400.0%	2028-04-01
Will the Republican Party win the NY-12 House seat? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.50	$0.40	+400.0%	2026-11-04
Will Jean-Philippe Tanguy be the next President of the National Rally in 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.50	$0.40	+400.0%	2027-01-01
Will Marcell Ozuna win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.50	$0.40	+400.0%	2027-01-01
Will Adriana Dávila Fernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.50	$0.40	+400.0%	2027-06-07
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 9%-12%? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.50	$0.40	+400.0%	2026-11-04
Will exactly 0 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.50	$0.40	+400.0%	2026-10-27
Will Kingston Flemings win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.50	$0.40	+400.0%	2027-05-01
Will Ed Sheeran be the third most streamed artist for 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.50	$0.40	+400.0%	2027-01-01
Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.50	$0.40	+400.0%	2027-05-01
Will Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.50	$0.40	+400.0%	2027-06-07
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.0%? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.50	$0.40	+400.0%	2026-10-30
Will Savo Manojlović win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.50	$0.40	+400.0%	2027-05-02
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.50	$0.40	+400.0%	2026-10-28
Will Craig Albernaz win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.5¢	$0.50	$0.40	+400.0%	2027-01-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.1¢	$0.41	$0.40	+4000.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.1¢	$0.41	$0.40	+4000.0%	2026-11-04
Will NiP win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.1¢	$0.41	$0.40	+4000.0%	2026-10-04
Will David Southwick be the next Premier of Victoria? Yes	Held	10	0.1¢	4.1¢	$0.41	$0.40	+4000.0%	2026-11-29
Will Elle be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes	Held	42.59	0.1¢	1¢	$0.43	$0.38	+900.0%	2027-04-01
Will Ahmad Hardy win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes	Held	78	0.1¢	0.55¢	$0.43	$0.35	+450.0%	—
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + NZF? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2026-11-08
Will Clarissa win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2027-03-14
Will Skip Schumaker win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2027-01-01
Will Communist Party of Greece (KKE) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2027-07-26
Will Montserrat Caballero Ramírez win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2027-06-07
Will Joc Pederson win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2027-01-01
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2026-11-04
Will "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the top album for 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2026-12-31
Will Dinorah Figuera be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2026-12-31
Will Alberto López Rosas win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2027-06-07
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2027-04-01
Will Ryan O'Hearn win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2027-01-01
Will Rogelio Ortega Martínez win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2027-06-07
Will Bruno Mars be the second most streamed artist for 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2027-02-01
Will Donald Trump endorse Thomas Massie in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2028-11-07
Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2026-10-25
Will Replaced win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2027-01-01
Will the Sacramento Kings be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2027-07-01
Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2027-06-30
Will Irma Yordana Garay Loredo win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? Yes	Held	100	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2027-06-07
Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026? Yes	Held	99.992	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+349.9%	2027-01-01
Will Justin Bieber be the third most streamed artist for 2026? Yes	Held	99.982	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+350.0%	2027-01-01
Will Ariana Grande be the second most streamed artist for 2026? Yes	Held	99.991	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.45	$0.35	+349.9%	2027-02-01
Will Toy Story 5 win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	96	0.1¢	0.45¢	$0.43	$0.34	+350.0%	2027-03-14
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes	Held	500	0.1¢	0.15¢	$0.75	$0.25	+50.0%	2026-12-31
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes	Held	499.917	0.1¢	0.15¢	$0.75	$0.25	+50.0%	2026-12-31
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Held	499.98	0.1¢	0.1¢	$0.50	$0.00	0.0%	2026-10-28
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Held	499.986	0.1¢	0.1¢	$0.50	$0.00	0.0%	2026-10-28

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