ConvexlyWallet ledger
0x2e62…b22e
This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).
Resolved positions
83
Realized PnL
$830
Win rate
48%
Realized edge
+0.013
Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge +0.013 across 83 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.07, +0.10]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current open positions
Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (98 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.
| Open | 199 | 36¢ | $127 | +176% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 294 | 24¢ | $64 | +93% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 284 | 61¢ | $42 | +24% | 2026-10-04 | |
| Open | 52 | 3¢ | $20 | +1141% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 131 | 17¢ | $19 | +89% | 2026-10-01 | |
| Open | 74 | 75¢ | $6 | +11% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 581 | 16¢ | $6 | +6% | 2026-11-03 | |
| Open | 942 | 0¢ | $3 | +88% | 1970-01-01 | |
| Open | 147 | 24¢ | $3 | +8% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 12 | 36¢ | $3 | +60% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 53 | 93¢ | $2 | +5% | 2026-10-04 | |
| Open | 5 | 5¢ | $2 | +850% | 1970-01-01 | |
| Open | 78 | 30¢ | $2 | +8% | 2026-09-16 | |
| Open | 95 | 68¢ | $2 | +3% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 78 | 50¢ | $2 | +5% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 94 | 75¢ | $2 | +3% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 317 | 10¢ | $2 | +5% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 300 | 13¢ | $2 | +4% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 97 | 82¢ | $1 | +2% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 85 | 28¢ | $1 | +5% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 80 | 89¢ | $1 | +2% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 34 | 75¢ | $1 | +5% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 200 | 2¢ | $1 | +24% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 12 | 63¢ | $1 | +13% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 14 | 40¢ | $1 | +18% | 2026-08-28 | |
| Open | 120 | 9¢ | $1 | +6% | 2026-10-04 | |
| Open | 29 | 76¢ | $1 | +3% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 45 | 18¢ | $0 | +6% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 66 | 73¢ | $0 | +1% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | +375% | 2028-01-01 | |
| Open | 18 | 39¢ | $0 | +3% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 3 | 43¢ | $0 | +9% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 6 | 17¢ | $0 | +9% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 5 | 19¢ | $0 | +8% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 3 | 96¢ | $0 | +1% | 2026-06-01 | |
| Open | 1 | 56¢ | $0 | +4% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 19 | 75¢ | $0 | +0% | 2026-09-02 | |
| Open | 66 | 41¢ | $0 | 0% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 22 | 74¢ | $0 | 0% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 2 | 1¢ | -$0 | -56% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 5 | 1¢ | -$0 | -76% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 18 | 0¢ | -$0 | -50% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 1 | 13¢ | -$0 | -27% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 38 | 23¢ | -$0 | -2% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 21 | 1¢ | -$0 | -96% | 2026-08-11 | |
| Open | 51 | 1¢ | -$0 | -86% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 20 | 53¢ | -$1 | -5% | 2026-11-03 | |
| Open | 3 | 35¢ | -$1 | -59% | 2026-09-02 | |
| Open | 71 | 60¢ | -$1 | -2% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 10 | 11¢ | -$1 | -70% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 299 | 7¢ | -$1 | -7% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 178 | 4¢ | -$1 | -20% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 100 | 13¢ | -$2 | -12% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 61 | 5¢ | -$2 | -52% | 2026-06-01 | |
| Open | 73 | 16¢ | -$2 | -14% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 6 | 94¢ | -$2 | -37% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 152 | 2¢ | -$2 | -85% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 88 | 22¢ | -$2 | -11% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 154 | 62¢ | -$2 | -2% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 110 | 32¢ | -$2 | -6% | 2026-11-01 | |
| Open | 85 | 7¢ | -$2 | -38% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 334 | 1¢ | -$2 | -78% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 7 | 39¢ | -$2 | -95% | 2026-10-01 | |
| Open | 81 | 21¢ | -$3 | -17% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 148 | 54¢ | -$3 | -4% | 2026-08-28 | |
| Open | 15 | 34¢ | -$3 | -57% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 187 | 42¢ | -$3 | -4% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 77 | 19¢ | -$3 | -22% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 168 | 36¢ | -$3 | -5% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 20 | 68¢ | -$3 | -24% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 113 | 5¢ | -$4 | -77% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 964 | 1¢ | -$4 | -56% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 97 | 36¢ | -$5 | -15% | 2026-08-28 | |
| Open | 197 | 4¢ | -$5 | -66% | 2026-09-16 | |
| Open | 41 | 30¢ | -$5 | -43% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 47 | 25¢ | -$5 | -45% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 288 | 3¢ | -$7 | -90% | 2026-09-16 | |
| Open | 260 | 45¢ | -$7 | -6% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 1,091 | 1¢ | -$9 | -94% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 863 | 1¢ | -$10 | -76% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 432 | 53¢ | -$11 | -5% | 2026-11-03 | |
| Open | 29 | 94¢ | -$12 | -42% | 2026-08-25 | |
| Open | 234 | 55¢ | -$13 | -10% | 2026-11-03 | |
| Open | 80 | 61¢ | -$14 | -28% | 2026-08-14 | |
| Open | 939 | 2¢ | -$14 | -91% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 770 | 16¢ | -$15 | -13% | 2026-08-18 | |
| Open | 82 | 34¢ | -$16 | -56% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 348 | 12¢ | -$20 | -47% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 227 | 13¢ | -$20 | -70% | 2026-10-04 | |
| Open | 156 | 20¢ | -$27 | -86% | 2026-10-04 | |
| Open | 462 | 27¢ | -$30 | -24% | 2026-10-01 | |
| Open | 300 | 11¢ | -$32 | -95% | 2026-11-30 | |
| Open | 299 | 23¢ | -$68 | -99% | 2026-10-04 | |
| Open | 600 | 18¢ | -$78 | -70% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 180 | 66¢ | -$103 | -86% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 461 | 36¢ | -$106 | -64% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 1,249 | 14¢ | -$152 | -84% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 1,273 | 23¢ | -$186 | -63% | 2026-09-30 |