Wallet positions

0x2d0f…81aa

Current holdings from Polymarket, with the saved analysis of this wallet's resolved record.

Resolved positions

101

Realized PnL

-$137.2K

Win rate

89.1%

Realized edge

-0.6 pp

Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge -0.6 pp across 101 resolved positions, 95% CI [-6.2, +4.1], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current holdings

75 positions returned. Up to 500 by current value; venue filters can omit holdings.

Checked 2026-10-08 04:19:14 UTC.

About this snapshot

Checked is our request time, not the venue's update time. Prices, values and PnL are venue snapshot figures; missing values show a dash. Held does not establish whether a market has resolved; Redeemable is the venue's flag. Snapshot PnL is separate from the saved resolved record above. This is not the full trading history.


Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3? Yes	Redeemable	20.5227	62.88¢	0¢	$0.00	$24.73	-100.0%	2026-07-03
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29? Yes	Redeemable	1.8043	69.99¢	0¢	$0.00	$24.10	-100.0%	2026-06-29
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 7? No	Held	800.0097	99¢	99.95¢	$799.61	$6.20	+1.0%	2026-10-07
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 7? No	Held	685.77	99.3¢	99.95¢	$685.43	$4.39	+0.6%	2026-10-07
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20? No	Redeemable	9.6	63.47¢	0¢	$0.00	$1.92	-100.0%	2026-07-20
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14? Yes	Redeemable	3.55	20.22¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.15	-100.0%	2026-07-14
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 31? Yes	Redeemable	9.15	23.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.28	-100.0%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 4? Yes	Redeemable	3	76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.31	-100.0%	2026-08-04
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 20? Yes	Redeemable	6.25	52¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.33	-100.0%	2026-08-20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 3? No	Redeemable	5	69¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.50	-100.0%	2026-07-03
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 31? Yes	Redeemable	49.6	7.6¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.95	-100.0%	2026-07-31
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 2? No	Redeemable	5	90¢	0¢	$0.00	-$4.52	-100.0%	2026-07-02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down	Redeemable	10	50¢	0¢	$0.00	-$5.17	-100.0%	2026-09-17
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 7? Yes	Redeemable	7.17	77.3¢	0¢	$0.00	-$5.61	-100.0%	2026-10-07
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 2? Yes	Redeemable	16.16	33.68¢	0¢	$0.00	-$5.62	-100.0%	2026-08-02
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10? No	Redeemable	94.27	6.42¢	0¢	$0.00	-$6.34	-100.0%	2026-07-10
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 3? Yes	Redeemable	42.42	15.94¢	0¢	$0.00	-$7.04	-100.0%	2026-09-03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 25? Yes	Redeemable	9.87	79.92¢	0¢	$0.00	-$7.97	-100.0%	2026-07-25
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 6? Yes	Redeemable	126.15	6.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$9.16	-100.0%	2026-10-06
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26? Yes	Redeemable	28.9927	68.91¢	0¢	$0.00	-$10.28	-100.0%	2026-06-26
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29? Yes	Redeemable	39.48	26.98¢	0¢	$0.00	-$11.04	-100.0%	2026-07-29
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 6? Yes	Redeemable	17.5	66¢	0¢	$0.00	-$11.75	-100.0%	2026-07-06
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 7? Yes	Redeemable	20	58¢	0¢	$0.00	-$11.84	-100.0%	2026-08-07
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15? Yes	Redeemable	30.1	45.98¢	0¢	$0.00	-$14.21	-100.0%	2026-07-15
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 27? Yes	Redeemable	100.5	15.92¢	0¢	$0.00	-$16.67	-100.0%	2026-08-27
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 7? No	Redeemable	54	30.88¢	0¢	$0.00	-$17.24	-100.0%	2026-09-07
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 2? Yes	Redeemable	27.8225	61.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$17.58	-100.0%	2026-08-02
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 27? Yes	Redeemable	25.646	69.21¢	0¢	$0.00	-$18.02	-100.0%	2026-07-27
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on July 14? Yes	Redeemable	26.7481	68.22¢	0¢	$0.00	-$18.54	-100.0%	2026-07-14
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 11? Yes	Redeemable	29.2595	62.37¢	0¢	$0.00	-$18.59	-100.0%	2026-08-11
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 26? Yes	Redeemable	26.35	70.2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$18.78	-100.0%	2026-08-26
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 2? Yes	Redeemable	56	33.58¢	0¢	$0.00	-$19.43	-100.0%	2026-09-02
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20? Yes	Redeemable	69.04	29.28¢	0¢	$0.00	-$20.93	-100.0%	2026-08-20
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 7? Yes	Redeemable	28.26	76.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$22.01	-100.0%	2026-07-07
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 27? Yes	Redeemable	32.7861	71.07¢	0¢	$0.00	-$23.60	-100.0%	2026-07-27
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 28? Yes	Redeemable	88	25.9¢	0¢	$0.00	-$23.64	-100.0%	2026-08-28
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20? Yes	Redeemable	27.02	90¢	0¢	$0.00	-$24.44	-100.0%	2026-09-20
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 7? Yes	Redeemable	28.71	87.58¢	0¢	$0.00	-$25.30	-100.0%	2026-09-07
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15? No	Redeemable	55.43	44.57¢	0¢	$0.00	-$25.39	-100.0%	2026-07-15
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on August 28? No	Redeemable	109.32	23.78¢	0¢	$0.00	-$26.99	-100.0%	2026-08-28
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7? Yes	Redeemable	479.45	5.78¢	0¢	$0.00	-$27.72	-100.0%	2026-10-07
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 4? Yes	Redeemable	73.17	39.9¢	0¢	$0.00	-$30.07	-100.0%	2026-08-04
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 4? Yes	Redeemable	106.0862	28.27¢	0¢	$0.00	-$31.08	-100.0%	2026-09-04
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 30? No	Redeemable	54	61.14¢	0¢	$0.00	-$33.66	-100.0%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 20? Yes	Redeemable	38.87	88.36¢	0¢	$0.00	-$34.55	-100.0%	2026-09-20
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 27? No	Redeemable	71.53	47.91¢	0¢	$0.00	-$35.15	-100.0%	2026-07-27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 2? Yes	Redeemable	56.8809	61.53¢	0¢	$0.00	-$35.67	-100.0%	2026-10-02
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 27? Yes	Redeemable	92.87	47.53¢	0¢	$0.00	-$45.25	-100.0%	2026-07-27
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 30? Yes	Redeemable	92.35	58.32¢	0¢	$0.00	-$54.94	-100.0%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 26? Yes	Redeemable	141.3333	39.95¢	0¢	$0.00	-$58.09	-100.0%	2026-08-26
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 24? No	Redeemable	105.0052	71.42¢	0¢	$0.00	-$75.00	-100.0%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 24? Yes	Redeemable	119.0289	66.7¢	0¢	$0.00	-$79.40	-100.0%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 21? No	Redeemable	110	91.58¢	0¢	$0.00	-$101.17	-100.0%	2026-07-21
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30? No	Redeemable	181.0053	58.52¢	0¢	$0.00	-$108.12	-100.0%	2026-09-30
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 7? Yes	Redeemable	368.397	29.58¢	0¢	$0.00	-$112.66	-100.0%	2026-09-07
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 8? Yes	Redeemable	141.26	79.7¢	0¢	$0.00	-$113.73	-100.0%	2026-09-08
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 2? Yes	Redeemable	113.5011	85.86¢	0¢	$0.00	-$114.29	-100.0%	2026-07-02
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 30? Yes	Redeemable	215.0753	56.72¢	0¢	$0.00	-$124.64	-100.0%	2026-09-30
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 18? No	Redeemable	6,221.1658	2.2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$156.07	-100.0%	2026-09-18
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 26? Yes	Redeemable	303.77	65.02¢	0¢	$0.00	-$200.31	-100.0%	2026-07-26
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 11? Yes	Redeemable	245.2272	84.41¢	0¢	$0.00	-$208.61	-100.0%	2026-08-11
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 3? Yes	Redeemable	338.5005	68.91¢	0¢	$0.00	-$235.88	-100.0%	2026-09-03
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 4? Yes	Redeemable	323.4554	88.19¢	0¢	$0.00	-$286.04	-100.0%	2026-07-04
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 5? Yes	Redeemable	1,000	28.45¢	0¢	$0.00	-$289.44	-100.0%	2026-07-05
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? Yes	Redeemable	18,003.2953	1.57¢	0¢	$0.00	-$308.15	-100.0%	2026-09-18
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 14? Yes	Redeemable	500	80.27¢	0¢	$0.00	-$403.71	-100.0%	2026-08-14
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 29? No	Redeemable	480.18	83.7¢	0¢	$0.00	-$405.23	-100.0%	2026-06-29
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 3? No	Redeemable	652.42	84.32¢	0¢	$0.00	-$810.65	-100.0%	2026-08-03
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 30? No	Redeemable	1,000	93.17¢	0¢	$0.00	-$934.78	-100.0%	2026-08-30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? No	Redeemable	974.39	98.98¢	0¢	$0.00	-$964.64	-100.0%	2026-09-20
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 5? No	Redeemable	2,000	51.96¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.1K	-100.0%	2026-07-05
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 29? No	Redeemable	1,500	89.86¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.4K	-100.0%	2026-07-29
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 22? No	Redeemable	1,500	99.16¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.5K	-100.0%	2026-06-22
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24? No	Redeemable	2,000	97.33¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.9K	-100.0%	2026-06-24
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20? No	Redeemable	5,316	99.33¢	0¢	$0.00	-$5.3K	-100.0%	2026-09-20

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