Wallet positions

0x2b59…9db6

Current holdings from Polymarket, with the saved analysis of this wallet's resolved record.

Resolved positions

357

Realized PnL

$114.31

Win rate

56.6%

Realized edge

-0.7 pp

Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge -0.7 pp across 357 resolved positions, 95% CI [-2.0, +0.4], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current holdings

500 positions returned. Up to 500 by current value; venue filters can omit holdings. Display limit reached; more positions may exist.

Checked 2026-10-08 04:18:35 UTC.

About this snapshot

Checked is our request time, not the venue's update time. Prices, values and PnL are venue snapshot figures; missing values show a dash. Held does not establish whether a market has resolved; Redeemable is the venue's flag. Snapshot PnL is separate from the saved resolved record above. This is not the full trading history.


Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes	Held	409.26	2.43¢	25¢	$102.31	$93.28	+927.3%	2026-11-30
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? Yes	Held	20	46¢	77.5¢	$15.50	$49.43	+68.5%	2027-04-01
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? Yes	Held	40.28	16.91¢	71.5¢	$28.80	$46.58	+322.6%	2026-12-09
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? Yes	Held	66.34	51.31¢	97.95¢	$64.98	$38.13	+90.9%	2026-12-01
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026? Yes	Held	227.96	58.65¢	71.15¢	$162.19	$30.67	+21.3%	2026-11-02
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? Yes	Held	92.13	22.72¢	44.5¢	$41.00	$28.63	+95.8%	2027-01-01
Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	2.84	41.99¢	67¢	$1.90	$21.94	+59.5%	2026-11-04
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? Yes	Held	227.96	26.68¢	30¢	$68.39	$20.97	+12.4%	2026-11-02
Exact Score: FC Augsburg 4 - 5 FC Bayern München? Yes	Held	50.74	2.7¢	37.5¢	$19.03	$17.66	+1287.6%	2026-10-10
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes	Held	409.26	2.99¢	6.9¢	$28.24	$15.87	+130.0%	2026-11-30
Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes	Held	409.26	3.99¢	7.65¢	$31.31	$15.60	+91.2%	2026-11-30
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31? Yes	Held	18.6	26¢	89.5¢	$16.65	$12.50	+244.2%	2026-12-31
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? Yes	Held	30.11	3.63¢	43¢	$12.95	$11.85	+1084.3%	2026-10-21
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026? Yes	Held	95.63	6.87¢	20.3¢	$19.41	$11.57	+195.4%	2026-11-01
Exact Score: FC Augsburg 5 - 0 FC Bayern München? Yes	Held	50.74	2.7¢	25¢	$12.69	$11.31	+825.0%	2026-10-10
Exact Score: FC Augsburg 5 - 3 FC Bayern München? Yes	Held	50.74	2.7¢	25¢	$12.69	$11.31	+825.0%	2026-10-10
Exact Score: FC Augsburg 5 - 4 FC Bayern München? Yes	Held	50.74	2.7¢	25¢	$12.69	$11.31	+825.0%	2026-10-10
Exact Score: FC Augsburg 5 - 1 FC Bayern München? Yes	Held	50.74	2.7¢	25¢	$12.69	$11.31	+825.0%	2026-10-10
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes	Held	90.68	34.66¢	45.5¢	$41.26	$10.88	+31.3%	2027-02-01
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of September 2026? Yes	Held	5.16	79.79¢	75.95¢	$3.92	$9.68	-4.8%	2026-09-30
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes	Held	43.49	20.83¢	32¢	$13.92	$9.20	+53.6%	2026-11-05
Will Ayyoub Bouaddi win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Yes	Held	24	2.85¢	41¢	$9.84	$9.15	+1335.0%	2026-12-31
Will Konstantinos Karetsas win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Yes	Held	24	2.85¢	39¢	$9.36	$8.67	+1265.0%	2026-12-31
Will Finn Jeltsch win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Yes	Held	24	2.85¢	38¢	$9.12	$8.43	+1230.0%	2026-12-31
Will Jon Martin win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Yes	Held	24	2.85¢	34.5¢	$8.28	$7.59	+1107.5%	2026-12-31
Will Xavi Espart win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Yes	Held	24	2.85¢	34.5¢	$8.28	$7.59	+1107.5%	2026-12-31
Exact Score: FC Augsburg 4 - 1 FC Bayern München? Yes	Held	50.74	2.7¢	17.5¢	$8.88	$7.51	+547.5%	2026-10-10
Will Charalampos Kostoulas win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Yes	Held	24	2.85¢	34¢	$8.16	$7.47	+1090.0%	2026-12-31
Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes	Held	43.49	24.31¢	39.5¢	$17.18	$7.35	+62.4%	2026-11-05
Will Nacional Potosí win Bolivia LFPB? Yes	Held	16.66	5.55¢	49.5¢	$8.25	$7.32	+791.0%	2027-01-01
Will Real Oruro win Bolivia LFPB? Yes	Held	16.66	5.55¢	49.5¢	$8.25	$7.32	+791.0%	2027-01-01
Will Blooming win Bolivia LFPB? Yes	Held	16.66	5.55¢	49.5¢	$8.25	$7.32	+791.0%	2027-01-01
Will Universitario de Vinto win Bolivia LFPB? Yes	Held	16.66	5.55¢	49.5¢	$8.25	$7.32	+791.0%	2027-01-01
Will Guabirá win Bolivia LFPB? Yes	Held	16.66	5.55¢	49.5¢	$8.25	$7.32	+791.0%	2027-01-01
Will Oriente Petrolero win Bolivia LFPB? Yes	Held	16.66	5.55¢	49.5¢	$8.25	$7.32	+791.0%	2027-01-01
Will Joane Gadou win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Yes	Held	24	2.85¢	33¢	$7.92	$7.23	+1055.0%	2026-12-31
Will Michael Dell be 2nd richest person on December 31? Yes	Held	14	0¢	33¢	$4.62	$4.62	0.0%	2026-03-31
Will Boaster play for Pcific Esports in 2027? Yes	Held	12	3.22¢	41.5¢	$4.98	$4.59	+1186.5%	2027-01-01
Will Boaster play for ULF Esports in 2027? Yes	Held	12	3.22¢	41.5¢	$4.98	$4.59	+1186.5%	2027-01-01
Will Boaster play for Wolves Esports in 2027? Yes	Held	12	3.22¢	41.5¢	$4.98	$4.59	+1186.5%	2027-01-01
Will Boaster play for Nova Esports in 2027? Yes	Held	12	3.22¢	41.5¢	$4.98	$4.59	+1186.5%	2027-01-01
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026? Yes	Held	95.63	39.01¢	39.5¢	$37.77	$4.58	+1.2%	2026-11-01
Will New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw? Yes	Held	43.49	17.56¢	28.5¢	$12.39	$4.48	+62.2%	2026-11-05
Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election? Yes	Held	15	20¢	6¢	$0.90	$4.48	-70.0%	2026-09-28
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	15.74	9.99¢	37.5¢	$5.90	$4.33	+275.0%	2026-11-04
Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026? Yes	Held	95.63	18.43¢	22.5¢	$21.52	$4.07	+22.0%	2026-11-01
Will Strava’s market cap be between $4B and $5B at market close on IPO day? Yes	Held	38.18	9.52¢	19.5¢	$7.45	$4.01	+104.8%	2028-01-01
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	15	33¢	53.5¢	$8.03	$3.98	+62.1%	2026-11-04
Will Boaster play for Trace Esports in 2027? Yes	Held	12	3.22¢	34.5¢	$4.14	$3.75	+969.5%	2027-01-01
Will Boaster play for Titan Esports Club in 2027? Yes	Held	12	3.22¢	34.5¢	$4.14	$3.75	+969.5%	2027-01-01
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? Yes	Held	23.89	30.99¢	33.5¢	$8.00	$3.69	+8.1%	2026-10-31
Will ADT win Peru Liga 1? Yes	Held	11.66	5¢	42¢	$4.90	$3.64	+740.0%	2026-12-15
Will Boaster play for FUT Esports in 2027? Yes	Held	12	3.22¢	33.5¢	$4.02	$3.63	+938.5%	2027-01-01
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%? Yes	Held	90.68	0.29¢	4.7¢	$4.26	$3.62	+1466.8%	2027-02-01
Will Sport Huancayo win Peru Liga 1? Yes	Held	11.66	5¢	35.5¢	$4.14	$3.35	+610.0%	2026-12-15
Will Atlético Grau win Peru Liga 1? Yes	Held	11.66	5¢	35.5¢	$4.14	$3.35	+610.0%	2026-12-15
Will FBC Melgar win Peru Liga 1? Yes	Held	11.66	5¢	35.5¢	$4.14	$3.35	+610.0%	2026-12-15
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes	Held	92.13	4.87¢	9.85¢	$9.07	$3.08	+102.0%	2027-01-01
Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be between 50-100mm? Yes	Held	10	29¢	49.5¢	$4.95	$2.05	+70.7%	2026-10-18
Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-08-10? Yes	Held	5	26¢	65.5¢	$3.27	$1.98	+151.9%	2026-10-14
Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? Yes	Held	66.34	0.41¢	2.05¢	$1.36	$1.95	+391.2%	2026-12-01
Will Strava’s market cap be less than $2B at market close on IPO day? Yes	Held	38.18	3.62¢	7.45¢	$2.84	$1.92	+105.3%	2028-01-01
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Held	3,810.05	0¢	0.05¢	$1.91	$1.91	0.0%	2028-11-07
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on November 30, 2026? Yes	Held	15	8¢	20.5¢	$3.08	$1.88	+156.3%	2026-12-01
Will Sport Boys win Peru Liga 1? Yes	Held	6.66	5¢	35.5¢	$2.36	$1.83	+610.0%	2026-12-15
Will Comerciantes Unidos win Peru Liga 1? Yes	Held	6.66	5¢	45¢	$3.00	$1.80	+800.0%	2026-12-15
Will Strava’s market cap be between $5B and $7B at market close on IPO day? Yes	Held	38.18	0.58¢	5.3¢	$2.02	$1.79	+813.5%	2028-01-01
Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day? Yes	Held	38.18	8.79¢	7.55¢	$2.88	$1.74	-14.2%	2028-01-01
Will Alianza Atlético Sullana win Peru Liga 1? Yes	Held	6.66	5¢	44¢	$2.93	$1.73	+780.0%	2026-12-15
Will Cusco FC win Peru Liga 1? Yes	Held	6.66	5¢	44¢	$2.93	$1.73	+780.0%	2026-12-15
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-07-25? Yes	Held	11.37	49.74¢	57.5¢	$6.54	$1.73	+15.6%	2026-10-17
Will Boaster play for JDG Esports in 2027? Yes	Held	12	3.22¢	17¢	$2.04	$1.65	+427.0%	2027-01-01
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes	Held	23.89	56.99¢	67.5¢	$16.13	$1.65	+18.4%	2026-11-01
Will Yan Diomande win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Yes	Held	24	2.85¢	9.5¢	$2.28	$1.59	+232.5%	2026-12-31
Will Juan Pablo II win Peru Liga 1? Yes	Held	6.66	5¢	35.5¢	$2.36	$1.59	+610.0%	2026-12-15
Will Deportivo Moquegua win Peru Liga 1? Yes	Held	6.66	5¢	41.5¢	$2.76	$1.57	+730.0%	2026-12-15
Will the lowest temperature in Austin be 78°F or higher on October 9? Yes	Held	5	9.09¢	39.5¢	$1.98	$1.52	+334.5%	2026-10-09
Will Union Centriste have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election? Yes	Held	15	69.79¢	81.15¢	$12.17	$1.46	+16.3%	2026-09-28
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes	Held	90.68	0.19¢	2.3¢	$2.09	$1.46	+1050.3%	2027-02-01
Will FC Cajamarca win Peru Liga 1? Yes	Held	6.66	5¢	35.5¢	$2.36	$1.38	+610.0%	2026-12-15
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%? Yes	Held	90.68	0.19¢	1.9¢	$1.72	$1.31	+850.2%	2027-02-01
Will Endrick win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Yes	Held	19	2.85¢	10.3¢	$1.96	$1.28	+260.5%	2026-12-31
Will Lennart Karl win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Yes	Held	19	2.85¢	10.3¢	$1.96	$1.28	+260.5%	2026-12-31
Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day? Yes	Held	38.18	21.89¢	25.6¢	$9.77	$1.22	+16.9%	2028-01-01
Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 9? Yes	Held	5	9.09¢	32.5¢	$1.63	$1.17	+257.5%	2026-10-09
Will Deportivo Garcilaso win Peru Liga 1? Yes	Held	6.66	5¢	35.5¢	$2.36	$1.17	+610.0%	2026-12-15
Will Los Chankas win Peru Liga 1? Yes	Held	6.66	5¢	35.5¢	$2.36	$1.17	+610.0%	2026-12-15
Will UTC Cajamarca win Peru Liga 1? Yes	Held	6.66	5¢	35.5¢	$2.36	$1.17	+610.0%	2026-12-15
Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 9? Yes	Held	5	9.09¢	32¢	$1.60	$1.15	+252.0%	2026-10-09
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 9? Yes	Held	5	9.09¢	30.5¢	$1.52	$1.07	+235.5%	2026-10-09
Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes	Held	1.02	11.99¢	36¢	$0.37	$1.06	+200.0%	2026-10-27
Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-07-25? Yes	Held	11.37	14.49¢	26.5¢	$3.01	$1.04	+82.8%	2026-10-17
Will Chase Meidroth win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	44.46	2.38¢	4.5¢	$2.00	$0.94	+89.0%	2026-12-19
Will Tanner Bibee win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	44.46	2.38¢	4.5¢	$2.00	$0.94	+89.0%	2026-12-19
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	44.46	2.38¢	4.5¢	$2.00	$0.94	+89.0%	2026-12-19
Will Luka Vuskovic win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Yes	Held	19	2.85¢	8.2¢	$1.56	$0.88	+187.0%	2026-12-31
Exact Score: FC Augsburg 4 - 0 FC Bayern München? Yes	Held	50.74	2.7¢	4.35¢	$2.21	$0.84	+60.9%	2026-10-10
Will Dems win 12-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes	Held	5	5¢	21.25¢	$1.06	$0.81	+325.0%	2026-10-27
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? Yes	Held	2.35	20.99¢	52.5¢	$1.23	$0.74	+150.0%	2026-10-30
Will Strava not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes	Held	38.18	3.91¢	7.55¢	$2.88	$0.69	+93.0%	2028-01-01
Will Boyacá Chicó FC vs. Atlético Nacional end in a draw? Yes	Held	11.37	20.99¢	26.5¢	$3.01	$0.64	+26.2%	2026-10-17
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? Yes	Held	90.68	50.85¢	47.7¢	$43.25	$0.61	-6.2%	2027-02-01
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	15	16.4¢	19.65¢	$2.95	$0.60	+19.8%	2026-11-04
Will Strava’s market cap be at least $15B at market close on IPO day? Yes	Held	38.18	2.76¢	4.15¢	$1.58	$0.57	+49.9%	2028-01-01
Will Arizona be the closest Governor's race in 2026? Yes	Held	5.63	2.43¢	9.95¢	$0.56	$0.42	+307.8%	2026-11-04
Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes	Held	5	29¢	36.5¢	$1.82	$0.38	+25.9%	2026-10-27
Will Buffalo Bills finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards? Yes	Held	20.01	2.63¢	4.5¢	$0.90	$0.37	+71.0%	2027-01-27
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31? Yes	Held	2.5	20.2¢	35.15¢	$0.88	$0.37	+74.0%	2026-11-01
Will Michael Dell be richest person on December 31? Yes	Held	609.03	0¢	0.05¢	$0.30	$0.30	0.0%	2026-12-31
Will César Aurelio Rodríguez Valderrama win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections? Yes	Held	3	2.22¢	0.65¢	$0.02	$0.28	-70.7%	2026-10-05
Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day? Yes	Held	38.18	27.39¢	30.5¢	$11.64	$0.18	+11.3%	2028-01-01
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%? Yes	Held	1.24	18.89¢	30.85¢	$0.38	$0.15	+63.2%	2026-10-30
Will Colston Loveland be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes	Held	3.51	0.9¢	5¢	$0.18	$0.14	+454.8%	2027-01-27
Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes	Held	1.02	11.99¢	17.5¢	$0.18	$0.13	+45.8%	2026-10-27
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%? Yes	Held	1.24	1.99¢	11.25¢	$0.14	$0.11	+462.5%	2026-10-30
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%? Yes	Held	2.35	12.99¢	17.5¢	$0.41	$0.11	+34.6%	2026-10-30
Will OpenAI raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO? Yes	Held	4.51	7.99¢	6.1¢	$0.28	$0.08	-23.7%	2028-01-01
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes	Held	162.93	0¢	0.05¢	$0.08	$0.08	0.0%	2026-11-04
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026? Yes	Held	15	52¢	52.5¢	$7.88	$0.07	+1.0%	2026-12-01
Will Rayan win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Yes	Held	19	2.85¢	3.9¢	$0.74	$0.06	+36.5%	2026-12-31
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes	Held	112.4	0¢	0.05¢	$0.06	$0.06	0.0%	2026-11-01
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.3%? Yes	Held	1.24	0.99¢	4.6¢	$0.06	$0.04	+359.7%	2026-10-30
Will Columbus Crew be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? Yes	Held	2.2	2.17¢	4.3¢	$0.09	$0.04	+97.6%	2027-01-01
Will LA Galaxy be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? Yes	Held	2.2	2.17¢	4.4¢	$0.10	$0.03	+102.2%	2027-01-01
Will the Republican Party hold 32 or more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	15.74	0.39¢	0.6¢	$0.09	$0.03	+49.9%	2026-11-04
Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? Yes	Held	5	1¢	1.4¢	$0.07	$0.02	+40.0%	2026-10-09
Will Kyren Williams be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes	Held	1.61	0.9¢	1.95¢	$0.03	<$0.01	+115.1%	2027-01-27
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be at least 0.6%? Yes	Held	2.35	6.69¢	6.55¢	$0.15	>-$0.01	-2.2%	2026-10-30
Will Ashton Jeanty be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes	Held	1.61	0.9¢	0.65¢	$0.01	>-$0.01	-28.3%	2027-01-27
Will Bucky Irving be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes	Held	1.61	0.9¢	0.6¢	<$0.01	>-$0.01	-33.8%	2027-01-27
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	15.74	0.79¢	0.75¢	$0.12	>-$0.01	-6.3%	2026-11-04
Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes	Held	1.02	12.99¢	7.5¢	$0.08	-$0.02	-42.2%	2026-10-27
Will Kyle Monangai be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes	Held	1.61	0.9¢	0.6¢	<$0.01	-$0.02	-33.8%	2027-01-27
Will Breece Hall be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes	Held	1.61	0.9¢	0.6¢	<$0.01	-$0.02	-33.8%	2027-01-27
Will Bhayshul Tuten be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes	Held	1.61	0.9¢	0.6¢	<$0.01	-$0.02	-33.8%	2027-01-27
Will TreVeyon Henderson be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes	Held	1.61	0.9¢	0.55¢	<$0.01	-$0.02	-39.3%	2027-01-27
Will Omarion Hampton be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes	Held	1.61	0.9¢	0.55¢	<$0.01	-$0.02	-39.3%	2027-01-27
Will Chase Brown be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes	Held	1.61	0.9¢	0.55¢	<$0.01	-$0.02	-39.3%	2027-01-27
Will Jonathon Brooks be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes	Held	1.61	0.9¢	0.55¢	<$0.01	-$0.02	-39.3%	2027-01-27
Will Cam Skattebo be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes	Held	1.61	0.9¢	0.55¢	<$0.01	-$0.02	-39.3%	2027-01-27
Will Javonte Williams be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes	Held	1.61	0.9¢	0.55¢	<$0.01	-$0.02	-39.3%	2027-01-27
Will Tony Pollard be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? Yes	Held	1.61	0.9¢	0.5¢	<$0.01	-$0.02	-44.8%	2027-01-27
Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? Yes	Held	5	1¢	0.45¢	$0.02	-$0.03	-55.0%	2026-10-09
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on November 30, 2026? Yes	Held	15	5.89¢	5.7¢	$0.85	-$0.03	-3.4%	2026-12-01
Will Democrats win fewer than 3 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	15	0.29¢	0.3¢	$0.04	-$0.03	0.0%	2026-11-04
Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO? Yes	Held	4.51	19.99¢	29.5¢	$1.33	-$0.03	+47.5%	2028-01-01
Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? Yes	Held	10	1.39¢	1¢	$0.10	-$0.04	-28.5%	2026-10-09
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be less than -0.2%? Yes	Held	2.35	4.99¢	3.2¢	$0.08	-$0.04	-35.9%	2026-10-30
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%? Yes	Held	2.35	4.89¢	3.05¢	$0.07	-$0.04	-37.8%	2026-10-30
Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.99¢	0.5¢	$0.05	-$0.05	-49.9%	2026-10-09
Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.99¢	0.5¢	$0.05	-$0.05	-49.9%	2026-10-09
Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.99¢	0.5¢	$0.05	-$0.05	-49.9%	2026-10-09
Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? Yes	Held	10	0.99¢	0.5¢	$0.05	-$0.05	-49.9%	2026-10-09
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31? Yes	Held	2.5	35¢	32.5¢	$0.81	-$0.06	-7.1%	2026-11-01
Will Alabama be the closest Governor's race in 2026? Yes	Held	5.63	2.43¢	1.15¢	$0.06	-$0.07	-52.9%	2026-11-04
Will Connecticut be the closest Governor's race in 2026? Yes	Held	5.63	2.43¢	1.15¢	$0.06	-$0.07	-52.9%	2026-11-04
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on November 30, 2026? Yes	Held	15	11¢	10.5¢	$1.57	-$0.07	-4.5%	2026-12-01
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	15.74	23.99¢	23.5¢	$3.70	-$0.08	-2.1%	2026-11-04
Will New York be the closest Governor's race in 2026? Yes	Held	1.23	2.43¢	3.35¢	$0.04	-$0.09	+37.3%	2026-11-04
Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? Yes	Held	10	1.71¢	0.75¢	$0.07	-$0.10	-56.3%	2026-10-09
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 8? Yes	Held	0.45	9.09¢	1.95¢	<$0.01	-$0.10	-78.7%	2026-10-08
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	15.74	3.19¢	2.55¢	$0.40	-$0.10	-20.3%	2026-11-04
Will ByteDance be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	4.18	3.33¢	0.45¢	$0.02	-$0.12	-86.5%	2026-10-31
Will Dems win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes	Held	5	18¢	15.5¢	$0.78	-$0.13	-13.9%	2026-10-27
Will there be 7+ hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? Yes	Held	86.34	0.19¢	0.05¢	$0.04	-$0.13	-75.0%	2026-12-01
Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Yes	Held	4.9	3.12¢	0.3¢	$0.01	-$0.14	-90.4%	2027-01-01
Will Brandon Moreno be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Held	3	5.26¢	0.6¢	$0.02	-$0.14	-88.5%	2027-01-01
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27? Yes	Held	18.87	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.14	-98.3%	2026-11-01
Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? Yes	Held	4.9	3.12¢	0.25¢	$0.01	-$0.14	-92.0%	2027-01-01
Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes	Held	5	26¢	23¢	$1.15	-$0.15	-11.5%	2026-10-27
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes	Held	1.02	4.39¢	2.7¢	$0.03	-$0.15	-38.5%	2026-11-30
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%? Yes	Held	1.24	63.99¢	51.5¢	$0.64	-$0.15	-19.5%	2026-10-30
Will Jorrel Hato win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Yes	Held	19	2.85¢	2.7¢	$0.51	-$0.17	-5.5%	2026-12-31
Exact Score: FC Augsburg 5 - 2 FC Bayern München? Yes	Held	37.75	2.7¢	3.15¢	$1.19	-$0.17	+16.5%	2026-10-10
Will Said El Mala win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Yes	Held	19	2.85¢	2.65¢	$0.50	-$0.18	-7.2%	2026-12-31
Will Kerim Alajbegovic win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Yes	Held	19	2.85¢	2.65¢	$0.50	-$0.18	-7.2%	2026-12-31
Will the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on November 30, 2026? Yes	Held	15	1.79¢	0.6¢	$0.09	-$0.18	-66.6%	2026-12-01
Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? Yes	Held	5.45	3.09¢	0.15¢	<$0.01	-$0.19	-95.2%	2026-10-09
Will Marc Bernal win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Yes	Held	19	2.85¢	2.6¢	$0.49	-$0.19	-9.0%	2026-12-31
Will Victor Froholdt win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Yes	Held	19	2.85¢	2.6¢	$0.49	-$0.19	-9.0%	2026-12-31
Will Eli Junior Kroupi win the 2026 Golden Boy award? Yes	Held	19	2.85¢	2.55¢	$0.48	-$0.20	-10.7%	2026-12-31
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%? Yes	Held	2.35	36.99¢	28.5¢	$0.67	-$0.20	-23.0%	2026-10-30
Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be 100mm or more? Yes	Held	10	25.5¢	23.5¢	$2.35	-$0.20	-7.8%	2026-10-18
Will Christopher Nkunku score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? Yes	Held	22.33	0.83¢	0.25¢	$0.06	-$0.20	-70.0%	2027-06-19
Will Dems win 14 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes	Held	5	9.7¢	5.45¢	$0.27	-$0.21	-43.8%	2026-10-27
Will Strava’s market cap be between $10B and $15B at market close on IPO day? Yes	Held	38.18	5.83¢	5.5¢	$2.10	-$0.21	-5.8%	2028-01-01
Will Zach LaVine play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27? Yes	Held	5.17	3.03¢	1¢	$0.05	-$0.25	-67.0%	2026-11-01
Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on November 30, 2026? Yes	Held	15	3.8¢	2.15¢	$0.32	-$0.25	-43.4%	2026-12-01
Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	15	19¢	19¢	$2.85	-$0.25	0.0%	2026-11-04
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Held	20.05	1.35¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.26	-96.3%	2026-12-31
Will Sporting Cristal win Peru Liga 1? Yes	Held	6.66	5¢	9.5¢	$0.63	-$0.28	+90.0%	2026-12-15
Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes	Held	1.02	43.99¢	39.5¢	$0.40	-$0.29	-10.2%	2026-10-27
Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	15	6¢	4.5¢	$0.68	-$0.30	-25.0%	2026-11-04
Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? Yes	Held	6.28	0.09¢	2.35¢	$0.15	-$0.30	+2249.2%	2026-10-09
Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	12	3.12¢	0.5¢	$0.06	-$0.32	-84.0%	2026-12-01
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Held	25.45	1.35¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.33	-96.3%	2027-01-02
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Held	25.45	1.35¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.33	-96.3%	2026-12-31
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Held	25.45	1.35¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.33	-96.3%	2026-12-31
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	12	3.12¢	0.5¢	$0.06	-$0.36	-84.0%	2026-12-01
Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	5	3.12¢	0.5¢	$0.03	-$0.36	-84.0%	2026-12-01
Will Christian Nwachukwu score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? Yes	Held	22.33	0.83¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.37	-94.0%	2027-06-19
Will Viking finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? Yes	Held	6.89	2.38¢	0.15¢	$0.01	-$0.38	-93.7%	2027-02-28
Will AEK Athens finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? Yes	Held	6.89	2.38¢	0.15¢	$0.01	-$0.38	-93.7%	2027-02-28
Will Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes	Held	5	2.85¢	0.5¢	$0.03	-$0.39	-82.5%	2027-01-01
Will StepFun be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes	Held	5	2.85¢	0.5¢	$0.03	-$0.39	-82.5%	2027-01-01
Will Amazon be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes	Held	5	2.85¢	0.5¢	$0.03	-$0.39	-82.5%	2027-01-01
Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	12	3.12¢	0.5¢	$0.06	-$0.39	-84.0%	2026-12-01
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-08-10? Yes	Held	5	16¢	8¢	$0.40	-$0.40	-50.0%	2026-10-14
Will Revolut have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October? Yes	Held	3.5	10¢	2.75¢	$0.10	-$0.40	-72.5%	2026-11-01
Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October? Yes	Held	3.5	10¢	2.45¢	$0.09	-$0.41	-75.5%	2026-11-01
Will Gerard Moreno score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? Yes	Held	22.33	0.83¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.42	-94.0%	2027-06-19
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? Yes	Held	9.33	3.03¢	0.3¢	$0.03	-$0.43	-90.1%	2026-11-01
Will Rubén José Ramírez Mateo win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes	Held	15.4	2.04¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.44	-97.5%	2026-10-05
Will Neuralink have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October? Yes	Held	3.5	10¢	1¢	$0.04	-$0.46	-90.0%	2026-11-01
Will Stripe have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October? Yes	Held	3.5	10¢	1¢	$0.04	-$0.46	-90.0%	2026-11-01
Will ByteDance have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October? Yes	Held	4.09	10¢	3.4¢	$0.14	-$0.47	-66.0%	2026-11-01
Will Steph Curry's next team be Portland Trail Blazers? Yes	Held	15.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.47	-98.4%	2027-02-12
Will Steph Curry's next team be Sacramento Kings? Yes	Held	15.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.47	-98.4%	2027-02-12
Will Steph Curry's next team be Atlanta Hawks? Yes	Held	15.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.47	-98.4%	2027-02-12
Will Steph Curry's next team be Dallas Mavericks? Yes	Held	15.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.47	-98.4%	2027-02-12
Will Steph Curry's next team be Denver Nuggets? Yes	Held	15.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.47	-98.4%	2027-02-12
Will Steph Curry's next team be Milwaukee Bucks? Yes	Held	15.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.47	-98.4%	2027-02-12
Will Steph Curry's next team be Brooklyn Nets? Yes	Held	15.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.47	-98.4%	2027-02-12
Will Steph Curry's next team be Chicago Bulls? Yes	Held	15.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.47	-98.4%	2027-02-12
Will Steph Curry's next team be Washington Wizards? Yes	Held	15.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.47	-98.4%	2027-02-12
Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be between 20-50mm? Yes	Held	10	9.5¢	4.5¢	$0.45	-$0.50	-52.6%	2026-10-18
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27? Yes	Held	9.33	3.03¢	0.3¢	$0.03	-$0.50	-90.1%	2026-11-01
Will Veton Berisha score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? Yes	Held	55.13	0.83¢	0.05¢	$0.03	-$0.51	-94.0%	2027-06-19
Will Santiago Castro score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? Yes	Held	65.13	0.83¢	0.05¢	$0.03	-$0.51	-94.0%	2027-06-19
Will Luka Jovic score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? Yes	Held	65.13	0.83¢	0.05¢	$0.03	-$0.51	-94.0%	2027-06-19
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be at least 7.0%? Yes	Held	90.68	0.19¢	0.15¢	$0.14	-$0.52	-25.0%	2027-02-01
Will Mitch Keller win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? Yes	Held	38.53	1.44¢	0.05¢	$0.02	-$0.54	-96.5%	2027-01-01
Will George Lombard Jr. win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes	Held	25.82	2.17¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.55	-97.7%	2026-12-19
Will Travis Bazzana win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes	Held	25.82	2.17¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.55	-97.7%	2026-12-19
Will Brice Matthews win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes	Held	25.82	2.17¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.55	-97.7%	2026-12-19
Will Tatsuya Imai win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes	Held	25.82	2.17¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.55	-97.7%	2026-12-19
Will Sam Antonacci win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes	Held	25.82	2.17¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.55	-97.7%	2026-12-19
Will Colt Emerson win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes	Held	25.82	2.17¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.55	-97.7%	2026-12-19
Will Dylan Beavers win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes	Held	25.82	2.17¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.55	-97.7%	2026-12-19
Will Chase DeLauter win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes	Held	25.82	2.17¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.55	-97.7%	2026-12-19
Will Samuel Basallo win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes	Held	25.82	2.17¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.55	-97.7%	2026-12-19
Will Spencer Jones win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes	Held	25.82	2.17¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.55	-97.7%	2026-12-19
Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	12	3.12¢	0.5¢	$0.06	-$0.55	-84.0%	2026-12-01
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	12	3.12¢	0.5¢	$0.06	-$0.55	-84.0%	2026-12-01
Will Spencer Schwellenbach win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? Yes	Held	41.03	1.44¢	0.05¢	$0.02	-$0.57	-96.6%	2026-11-12
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? Yes	Held	40.28	0.84¢	0.7¢	$0.28	-$0.58	-16.9%	2026-12-09
Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	2	3.12¢	0.5¢	$0.01	-$0.60	-84.0%	2026-12-01
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? Yes	Held	15.6	3.03¢	0.1¢	$0.02	-$0.60	-96.7%	2026-11-01
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31? Yes	Held	2.5	28¢	3.75¢	$0.09	-$0.61	-86.6%	2026-11-01
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27? Yes	Held	9.33	3.03¢	0.6¢	$0.06	-$0.61	-80.2%	2026-11-01
Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes	Held	92.13	1.5¢	1.5¢	$1.38	-$0.61	-0.7%	2027-01-01
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	15.74	16.99¢	13¢	$2.05	-$0.63	-23.5%	2026-11-04
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the top song for 2026? Yes	Held	41	1.58¢	0.05¢	$0.02	-$0.63	-96.8%	2027-02-01
Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	12	3.12¢	0.5¢	$0.06	-$0.64	-84.0%	2026-12-01
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? Yes	Held	15.6	3.03¢	0.1¢	$0.02	-$0.66	-96.7%	2026-11-01
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? Yes	Held	12.97	3.03¢	0.15¢	$0.02	-$0.66	-95.1%	2026-11-01
Will Stefan Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland? Yes	Held	17.28	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.66	-98.3%	2026-09-14
Will Håkan Lösnitz be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland? Yes	Held	17.28	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.66	-98.4%	2026-09-14
Will Carina Örgård be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland? Yes	Held	17.28	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.66	-98.4%	2026-09-14
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27? Yes	Held	17.4	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.66	-98.3%	2026-11-01
Will Cecilia Andersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland? Yes	Held	17.28	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.66	-98.4%	2026-09-14
Will Steph Curry's next team be Toronto Raptors? Yes	Held	15.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.68	-98.4%	2027-02-12
Will Chase Burns win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? Yes	Held	48.84	1.44¢	0.05¢	$0.02	-$0.68	-96.5%	2027-01-01
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Edouard? Yes	Held	14.53	5¢	0.25¢	$0.04	-$0.69	-95.0%	2026-12-01
Will Sabah finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? Yes	Held	6.89	2.38¢	0.15¢	$0.01	-$0.71	-93.7%	2027-02-28
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Dolly? Yes	Held	14.53	5¢	0.1¢	$0.01	-$0.71	-98.0%	2026-12-01
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? Yes	Held	17.4	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.72	-98.3%	2026-11-01
Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	2.84	1.19¢	0.75¢	$0.02	-$0.74	-37.3%	2026-11-04
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? Yes	Held	12.88	3.03¢	0.1¢	$0.01	-$0.76	-96.7%	2026-11-01
Will Steph Curry's next team be New Orleans Pelicans? Yes	Held	15.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.76	-98.4%	2027-02-12
Will Steph Curry's next team be Memphis Grizzlies? Yes	Held	15.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.76	-98.4%	2027-02-12
Will Steph Curry's next team be Orlando Magic? Yes	Held	15.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.76	-98.4%	2027-02-12
Will Steph Curry's next team be Indiana Pacers? Yes	Held	15.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.76	-98.4%	2027-02-12
Will Portland Timbers be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? Yes	Held	2.2	2.17¢	0.5¢	$0.01	-$0.77	-76.9%	2027-01-01
Will Thinky be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes	Held	10	2.85¢	0.5¢	$0.05	-$0.78	-82.5%	2027-01-01
Will Meituan be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes	Held	10	2.85¢	0.5¢	$0.05	-$0.78	-82.5%	2027-01-01
Will Mistral be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes	Held	10	2.85¢	0.5¢	$0.05	-$0.78	-82.5%	2027-01-01
Will MiniMax be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes	Held	10	2.85¢	0.5¢	$0.05	-$0.78	-82.5%	2027-01-01
Will Minnesota United FC be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? Yes	Held	2.2	2.17¢	0.5¢	$0.01	-$0.80	-76.9%	2027-01-01
Will Meituan be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	23.66	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.80	-98.4%	2026-11-01
Will StepFun be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	26.09	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.80	-98.4%	2026-11-01
Will Amazon be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	26.09	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.80	-98.4%	2026-11-01
Will Mistral be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	26.09	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$0.80	-98.4%	2026-11-01
Will Mart Helme be the next President of Estonia? Yes	Held	7.98	2.77¢	0.2¢	$0.02	-$0.84	-92.8%	2027-01-01
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? Yes	Held	14.36	3.03¢	0.1¢	$0.01	-$0.85	-96.7%	2026-11-01
Will Toronto FC be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? Yes	Held	2.2	2.17¢	0.4¢	<$0.01	-$0.85	-81.5%	2027-01-01
Will Colorado Rapids be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? Yes	Held	2.2	2.17¢	0.5¢	$0.01	-$0.85	-76.9%	2027-01-01
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? Yes	Held	17.4	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.87	-98.3%	2026-11-01
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? Yes	Held	17.4	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$0.87	-98.3%	2026-11-01
Will LASK finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? Yes	Held	6.89	2.38¢	0.15¢	$0.01	-$0.91	-93.7%	2027-02-28
Will Nvidia be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes	Held	10	2.85¢	0.5¢	$0.05	-$0.91	-82.5%	2027-01-01
Will Amazon be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes	Held	10	2.85¢	0.5¢	$0.05	-$0.91	-82.5%	2027-01-01
Will Real Salt Lake be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? Yes	Held	2.2	2.17¢	0.5¢	$0.01	-$0.93	-76.9%	2027-01-01
Will Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election? Yes	Held	17.25	2.32¢	0.1¢	$0.02	-$0.94	-95.7%	2027-06-07
Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be less than 20mm? Yes	Held	10	14.5¢	5¢	$0.50	-$0.95	-65.5%	2026-10-18
Will Fred VanVleet play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? Yes	Held	7.89	3.03¢	0.1¢	<$0.01	-$0.96	-96.7%	2026-11-01
Will Fred VanVleet play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27? Yes	Held	14.01	3.03¢	0.35¢	$0.05	-$0.96	-88.5%	2026-11-01
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? Yes	Held	14.36	3.03¢	0.1¢	$0.01	-$1.00	-96.7%	2026-11-01
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? Yes	Held	14.36	3.03¢	0.1¢	$0.01	-$1.00	-96.7%	2026-11-01
Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by December 31? Yes	Held	18.6	9¢	3.6¢	$0.67	-$1.00	-60.0%	2026-12-31
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3.0% and 4.0%? Yes	Held	90.68	0.19¢	0.15¢	$0.14	-$1.01	-25.0%	2027-02-01
Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? Yes	Held	8.84	7.69¢	0.45¢	$0.04	-$1.02	-94.1%	2026-10-09
Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	15	9.09¢	3.6¢	$0.54	-$1.02	-60.4%	2026-11-04
Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? Yes	Held	3.84	7.69¢	0.45¢	$0.02	-$1.04	-94.1%	2026-10-09
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27? Yes	Held	17.4	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$1.06	-98.3%	2026-11-01
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27? Yes	Held	17.4	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$1.06	-98.3%	2026-11-01
Will Fred VanVleet play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27? Yes	Held	17.4	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$1.06	-98.3%	2026-11-01
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27? Yes	Held	17.4	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$1.06	-98.3%	2026-11-01
Will Fred VanVleet play for the LA Clippers in 2026-27? Yes	Held	17.4	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$1.06	-98.3%	2026-11-01
Will Fred VanVleet play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? Yes	Held	17.4	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$1.06	-98.3%	2026-11-01
Will Steph Curry's next team be Oklahoma City Thunder? Yes	Held	30.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	$0.02	-$1.06	-98.3%	2027-02-12
Will Karina Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes	Held	70.36	1.56¢	0.05¢	$0.04	-$1.06	-96.8%	2027-10-24
Exact Score: FC Augsburg 3 - 0 FC Bayern München? Yes	Held	50.74	2.7¢	0.6¢	$0.30	-$1.07	-77.8%	2026-10-10
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on October 31? Yes	Held	2.5	1¢	19.1¢	$0.48	-$1.07	+1810.0%	2026-11-01
Exact Score: FC Augsburg 4 - 2 FC Bayern München? Yes	Held	50.74	2.7¢	0.55¢	$0.28	-$1.09	-79.6%	2026-10-10
Exact Score: FC Augsburg 4 - 3 FC Bayern München? Yes	Held	50.74	2.7¢	0.55¢	$0.28	-$1.09	-79.6%	2026-10-10
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting? Yes	Held	40.28	1.14¢	0.55¢	$0.22	-$1.10	-52.0%	2026-12-09
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	15.74	28.99¢	22¢	$3.46	-$1.10	-24.1%	2026-11-04
Exact Score: Botswana 0 - 1 Mozambique? Yes	Held	50.5	2.7¢	0.5¢	$0.25	-$1.11	-81.5%	2026-09-30
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes	Held	92.13	1.41¢	0.85¢	$0.78	-$1.12	-39.8%	2027-01-01
Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes	Held	92.13	1.07¢	0.4¢	$0.37	-$1.14	-62.9%	2027-04-01
Will Steph Curry's next team be Phoenix Suns? Yes	Held	15.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$1.20	-98.4%	2027-02-12
Will CDPJuniorFC vs. Deportivo Pereira end in a draw? Yes	Held	5	50¢	24.5¢	$1.23	-$1.27	-51.0%	2026-10-14
Will Danny Musovski win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Yes	Held	36.07	1.69¢	0.05¢	$0.02	-$1.29	-97.1%	2027-01-01
Will Marco Pašalić win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Yes	Held	44.04	1.69¢	0.05¢	$0.02	-$1.30	-97.0%	2026-11-22
Will Diego Rossi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Yes	Held	44.04	1.69¢	0.05¢	$0.02	-$1.30	-97.0%	2027-01-01
Will Djordje Mihailovic win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Yes	Held	44.04	1.69¢	0.05¢	$0.02	-$1.30	-97.0%	2026-11-22
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on October 31? Yes	Held	2.5	1¢	5.8¢	$0.14	-$1.41	+480.0%	2026-11-01
Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? Yes	Held	3.84	7.69¢	0.45¢	$0.02	-$1.42	-94.1%	2026-10-09
Will Khamenei post 40-44 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? Yes	Held	3.84	7.69¢	0.4¢	$0.02	-$1.42	-94.8%	2026-10-09
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on October 31? Yes	Held	2.5	1.1¢	4.55¢	$0.11	-$1.42	+313.5%	2026-11-01
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award? Yes	Held	74.87	1.96¢	0.05¢	$0.04	-$1.43	-97.4%	2026-11-13
Will Steph Curry's next team be Utah Jazz? Yes	Held	15.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$1.49	-98.4%	2027-02-12
Will Gage Jump win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes	Held	66.62	2.17¢	0.05¢	$0.03	-$1.52	-97.7%	2026-12-19
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $700B on October 31? Yes	Held	2.5	1.7¢	1.35¢	$0.03	-$1.54	-20.7%	2026-11-01
Will Ezequiel Tovar win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	26	2.5¢	0.1¢	$0.03	-$1.59	-96.0%	2027-01-01
Will OpenAI raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO? Yes	Held	4.51	13.99¢	7.5¢	$0.34	-$1.59	-46.4%	2028-01-01
Will Ke'Bryan Hayes win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	17.97	2.5¢	0.1¢	$0.02	-$1.59	-96.0%	2027-01-01
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026? Yes	Held	5.16	2.5¢	32.95¢	$1.70	-$1.67	+1218.0%	2026-09-30
Will Ha-Seong Kim win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	29.92	2.5¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$1.70	-98.0%	2027-01-01
Will Nico Hoerner win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	29.92	2.5¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$1.70	-98.0%	2027-01-01
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	29.92	2.5¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$1.70	-98.0%	2027-01-01
Will Masyn Winn win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	63.92	2.5¢	0.05¢	$0.03	-$1.71	-98.0%	2027-01-01
Will Brice Turang win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	69.92	2.5¢	0.05¢	$0.03	-$1.71	-98.0%	2027-01-01
Will Brenton Doyle win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	69.92	2.5¢	0.05¢	$0.03	-$1.71	-98.0%	2027-01-01
Will Pete Alonso win the 2026 American League MVP Award? Yes	Held	25.87	1.96¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$1.78	-97.5%	2026-11-13
Will Steph Curry's next team be Los Angeles Lakers? Yes	Held	30.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	$0.02	-$1.79	-98.3%	2027-02-12
Will Steph Curry's next team be Minnesota Timberwolves? Yes	Held	30.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	$0.02	-$1.79	-98.3%	2027-02-12
Will Steph Curry's next team be LA Clippers? Yes	Held	30.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	$0.02	-$1.79	-98.3%	2027-02-12
Will Steph Curry's next team be New York Knicks? Yes	Held	30.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	$0.02	-$1.79	-98.3%	2027-02-12
Will Steph Curry's next team be Cleveland Cavaliers? Yes	Held	35.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	$0.02	-$1.79	-98.3%	2027-02-12
Will Steph Curry's next team be Detroit Pistons? Yes	Held	35.74	3.03¢	0.05¢	$0.02	-$1.79	-98.3%	2027-02-12
Will Dansby Swanson win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	78.92	2.5¢	0.05¢	$0.04	-$1.93	-98.0%	2027-01-01
Will Sal Frelick win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	79.64	2.5¢	0.05¢	$0.04	-$1.95	-98.0%	2027-01-01
Will Les Républicains have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election? Yes	Held	15	1.16¢	0.55¢	$0.08	-$1.95	-52.8%	2026-09-28
Will Javier Sanoja win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	79.92	2.5¢	0.05¢	$0.04	-$1.96	-98.0%	2027-01-01
Will Arsenal finish last in UCL league phase? Yes	Held	50.75	2.38¢	2.5¢	$1.27	-$2.03	+5.0%	2027-02-28
Will Wuthering Heights get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Held	17.78	4.54¢	0.05¢	<$0.01	-$2.07	-98.9%	2027-07-01
Will Ian Happ win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	84.92	2.5¢	0.05¢	$0.04	-$2.08	-98.0%	2027-01-01
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	89.93	2.5¢	0.05¢	$0.04	-$2.20	-98.0%	2027-01-01
Will Andy Pages win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	89.94	2.5¢	0.05¢	$0.04	-$2.20	-98.0%	2027-01-01
Will Max Muncy win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	89.94	2.5¢	0.05¢	$0.04	-$2.20	-98.0%	2027-01-01
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 3.0%? Yes	Held	90.68	0.19¢	0.4¢	$0.36	-$2.21	+100.0%	2027-02-01
Will Meituan be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	3.29	3.12¢	0.45¢	$0.01	-$2.26	-85.6%	2026-11-01
Will Levante UD vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? Yes	Held	30.11	38.53¢	31¢	$9.33	-$2.27	-19.6%	2026-10-21
Will Amazon be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	16.25	3.12¢	0.1¢	$0.02	-$2.27	-96.8%	2026-11-01
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes	Held	409.26	5¢	4.5¢	$18.42	-$2.28	-10.0%	2026-11-30
Will Alex Bregman win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	26	2.5¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$2.36	-98.0%	2026-12-19
Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	26	2.5¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$2.36	-98.0%	2026-12-19
Will Corbin Carroll win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? Yes	Held	26	2.5¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$2.36	-98.0%	2026-12-19
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes	Held	94.16	2.85¢	0.05¢	$0.05	-$2.64	-98.3%	2026-12-01
Will Nvidia be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	51.27	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.03	-$2.73	-98.4%	2026-11-01
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Cristobal? Yes	Held	14.53	5¢	0.3¢	$0.04	-$2.80	-94.0%	2026-11-30
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Omar? Yes	Held	14.53	5¢	0.25¢	$0.04	-$2.81	-95.0%	2026-12-01
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Rene? Yes	Held	14.53	5¢	0.15¢	$0.02	-$2.83	-97.0%	2026-12-01
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 5.0% and 6.0%? Yes	Held	90.68	0.19¢	0.15¢	$0.14	-$2.83	-25.0%	2027-02-01
Will Viktoria Plzen win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? Yes	Held	119.74	2.38¢	0.1¢	$0.12	-$2.85	-95.8%	2027-05-30
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Marco? Yes	Held	14.53	5¢	0.4¢	$0.06	-$2.87	-92.0%	2026-12-01
Will Ararat-Armenia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? Yes	Held	69.74	2.38¢	0.05¢	$0.03	-$2.88	-97.9%	2027-05-30
Will Lillestrom win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? Yes	Held	74.74	2.38¢	0.05¢	$0.04	-$2.88	-97.9%	2027-05-30
Will Omonia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? Yes	Held	74.74	2.38¢	0.05¢	$0.04	-$2.88	-97.9%	2027-05-30
Will OFI win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? Yes	Held	74.74	2.38¢	0.05¢	$0.04	-$2.88	-97.9%	2027-05-30
Will NEC win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? Yes	Held	74.74	2.38¢	0.05¢	$0.04	-$2.88	-97.9%	2027-05-30
Will Levski Sofia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? Yes	Held	74.74	2.38¢	0.05¢	$0.04	-$2.88	-97.9%	2027-05-30
Will Lech Poznan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? Yes	Held	74.74	2.38¢	0.05¢	$0.04	-$2.88	-97.9%	2027-05-30
Will Celje win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? Yes	Held	74.74	2.38¢	0.05¢	$0.04	-$2.88	-97.9%	2027-05-30
Will Hapoel Be'er Sheva win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? Yes	Held	74.74	2.38¢	0.05¢	$0.04	-$2.88	-97.9%	2027-05-30
Will Jagiellonia Bialystok win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? Yes	Held	124.74	2.38¢	0.05¢	$0.06	-$2.91	-97.9%	2027-05-30
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Vicky? Yes	Held	14.53	5¢	0.15¢	$0.02	-$2.98	-97.0%	2026-12-01
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Wilfred? Yes	Held	14.53	5¢	0.15¢	$0.02	-$2.98	-97.0%	2026-12-01
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Nana? Yes	Held	14.53	5¢	0.35¢	$0.05	-$2.99	-93.0%	2026-12-01
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Paulette? Yes	Held	14.53	5¢	0.1¢	$0.01	-$3.00	-98.0%	2026-12-01
Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16? Yes	Held	30.11	31.99¢	22¢	$6.62	-$3.01	-31.2%	2026-10-21
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Teddy? Yes	Held	14.53	5¢	0.15¢	$0.02	-$3.13	-97.0%	2026-12-01
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes	Held	92.13	42.62¢	29¢	$26.72	-$3.13	-32.0%	2027-01-01
Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes	Held	30	3.44¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$3.14	-98.5%	2026-10-06
Will OpenAI raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO? Yes	Held	4.51	4.8¢	21.1¢	$0.95	-$3.22	+339.5%	2028-01-01
Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes	Held	30	3.44¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$3.32	-98.5%	2026-10-06
Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes	Held	34.99	3.44¢	0.05¢	$0.02	-$3.37	-98.6%	2026-10-06
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $11B and $12B at market close on IPO day? Yes	Held	29.33	12.5¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$3.65	-99.6%	2026-09-18
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $13B and $14B at market close on IPO day? Yes	Held	29.33	12.5¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$3.65	-99.6%	2026-09-18
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day? Yes	Held	29.33	12.5¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$3.65	-99.6%	2026-09-18
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Held	26.98	2.22¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$3.92	-97.8%	2026-11-04
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	2.84	25¢	24.5¢	$0.70	-$4.25	-2.0%	2026-11-04
Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	2.84	1.99¢	2.1¢	$0.06	-$4.34	+4.9%	2026-11-04
Will MVK Esports win Worlds 2026? Yes	Held	89.1	5¢	0.05¢	$0.04	-$4.41	-99.0%	2026-11-29
Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Held	2.84	11.09¢	6.45¢	$0.18	-$4.47	-41.9%	2026-11-04
Will OpenAI raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO? Yes	Held	4.51	1.89¢	2.9¢	$0.13	-$4.54	+52.5%	2028-01-01
Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO? Yes	Held	4.51	1.74¢	28.75¢	$1.30	-$4.84	+1550.9%	2028-01-01
Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO? Yes	Held	4.51	31.29¢	27.7¢	$1.25	-$4.95	-11.5%	2028-01-01
Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes	Held	398.1	0.48¢	0.05¢	$0.20	-$5.25	-89.6%	2027-06-30
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Held	26.98	2.22¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$5.39	-97.8%	2026-11-04
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes	Held	339.18	1.75¢	0.05¢	$0.17	-$5.78	-97.2%	2027-01-01
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes	Held	339.18	1.75¢	0.05¢	$0.17	-$5.78	-97.2%	2026-12-31
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes	Held	339.18	1.75¢	0.05¢	$0.17	-$5.78	-97.2%	2027-01-01
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes	Held	339.18	1.75¢	0.05¢	$0.17	-$5.78	-97.2%	2026-12-31
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes	Held	339.18	1.75¢	0.05¢	$0.17	-$5.78	-97.2%	2026-12-31
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes	Held	219.38	2.77¢	0.05¢	$0.11	-$5.98	-98.2%	2026-09-14
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes	Held	219.38	2.77¢	0.05¢	$0.11	-$5.98	-98.2%	2026-09-14
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes	Held	219.38	2.77¢	0.05¢	$0.11	-$5.98	-98.2%	2026-09-14
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes	Held	219.38	2.77¢	0.05¢	$0.11	-$5.98	-98.2%	2026-09-14
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Held	26.98	2.22¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$6.14	-97.8%	2026-11-04
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting? Yes	Held	40.28	5.28¢	0.8¢	$0.32	-$6.15	-84.9%	2026-12-09
Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? Yes	Held	148.72	4.34¢	0.05¢	$0.07	-$6.39	-98.9%	2026-10-05
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? Yes	Held	148.72	4.34¢	0.05¢	$0.07	-$6.39	-98.9%	2026-10-05
Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? Yes	Held	148.72	4.34¢	0.05¢	$0.07	-$6.39	-98.9%	2026-10-05
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Held	26.98	2.22¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$6.66	-97.8%	2026-11-04
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Held	26.98	2.22¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$6.66	-97.8%	2026-11-04
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Held	26.98	2.22¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$7.36	-97.8%	2026-11-04
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Held	26.98	2.22¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$7.55	-97.8%	2026-11-04
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Held	26.98	2.22¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$7.56	-97.8%	2026-11-04
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Held	26.98	2.22¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$7.58	-97.8%	2026-11-04
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Held	26.98	2.22¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$7.58	-97.8%	2026-11-04
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Held	26.98	2.22¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$7.58	-97.8%	2026-11-04
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Held	26.98	2.22¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$7.58	-97.8%	2026-11-04
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Held	26.98	2.22¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$7.58	-97.8%	2026-11-04
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Held	26.98	2.22¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$7.58	-97.8%	2026-11-04
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Held	26.98	2.22¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$7.62	-97.8%	2026-11-04
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Held	26.98	2.22¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$7.62	-97.8%	2026-11-04
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Held	26.98	2.22¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$7.62	-97.8%	2026-11-04
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Held	26.9801	2.22¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$7.62	-97.8%	2026-11-04
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Held	26.98	2.22¢	0.05¢	$0.01	-$7.62	-97.8%	2026-11-04
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026? Yes	Held	95.63	23.14¢	15.5¢	$14.82	-$7.78	-33.0%	2026-11-01
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by December 31? Yes	Held	18.6	49¢	8.5¢	$1.58	-$8.04	-82.7%	2026-12-31
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	263.83	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.13	-$8.11	-98.4%	2026-10-31
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	263.83	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.13	-$8.11	-98.4%	2026-10-31
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	263.83	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.13	-$8.11	-98.4%	2026-10-31
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	263.83	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.13	-$8.11	-98.4%	2026-10-31
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	263.83	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.13	-$8.11	-98.4%	2026-10-31
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	263.83	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.13	-$8.11	-98.4%	2026-10-31
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	263.83	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.13	-$8.11	-98.4%	2026-10-31
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	263.83	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.13	-$8.11	-98.4%	2026-10-31
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	263.83	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.13	-$8.11	-98.4%	2026-10-31
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	263.83	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.13	-$8.11	-98.4%	2026-10-31
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	263.83	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.13	-$8.11	-98.4%	2026-10-31
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	263.83	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.13	-$8.11	-98.4%	2026-10-31
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	263.83	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.13	-$8.11	-98.4%	2026-10-31
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	263.83	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.13	-$8.11	-98.4%	2026-10-31
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes	Held	263.83	3.12¢	0.05¢	$0.13	-$8.46	-98.4%	2026-10-31
Will OpenAI raise between $30B and $40B in its IPO? Yes	Held	4.51	2.04¢	4.5¢	$0.20	-$9.23	+120.3%	2028-01-01
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting? Yes	Held	40.28	49.08¢	25.5¢	$10.27	-$9.42	-48.0%	2026-12-09
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? Yes	Held	20	24¢	13.5¢	$2.70	-$9.75	-43.8%	2027-04-01
Will OpenAI raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO? Yes	Held	4.51	0.69¢	8.65¢	$0.39	-$10.93	+1135.7%	2028-01-01
Will Team C win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes	Held	324.08	4.16¢	0.05¢	$0.16	-$13.34	-98.8%	2027-06-15
Will Toy Story 5 have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes	Held	48.58	4.76¢	0.05¢	$0.02	-$14.48	-99.0%	2027-02-01
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes	Held	141.58	4.76¢	0.05¢	$0.07	-$14.97	-98.9%	2027-01-01
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.5 and 3.9% in 2026? Yes	Held	20	0.09¢	0.35¢	$0.07	-$15.04	+250.3%	2027-04-01
Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes	Held	512.25	0.48¢	0.05¢	$0.26	-$15.50	-89.6%	2027-07-01
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? Yes	Held	586.35	2.7¢	0.05¢	$0.29	-$15.55	-98.1%	2026-10-25
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? Yes	Held	586.35	2.7¢	0.05¢	$0.29	-$15.55	-98.1%	2026-10-25
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? Yes	Held	586.35	2.7¢	0.05¢	$0.29	-$15.55	-98.1%	2026-10-25
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? Yes	Held	586.35	2.7¢	0.05¢	$0.29	-$15.55	-98.1%	2026-10-25
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? Yes	Held	586.35	2.7¢	0.05¢	$0.29	-$15.55	-98.1%	2026-10-25
Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? Yes	Held	586.35	2.7¢	0.05¢	$0.29	-$15.55	-98.1%	2026-10-25
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? Yes	Held	586.35	2.7¢	0.05¢	$0.29	-$15.55	-98.1%	2026-10-25
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? Yes	Held	586.35	2.7¢	0.05¢	$0.29	-$15.59	-98.1%	2026-10-25
Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes	Held	248.65	0.42¢	0.05¢	$0.12	-$16.50	-88.4%	2027-07-01
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by at least 4.0% in 2026? Yes	Held	20	1.1¢	0.85¢	$0.17	-$17.22	-22.7%	2027-04-01
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026? Yes	Held	20	8.7¢	1.7¢	$0.34	-$18.86	-80.5%	2027-04-01
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026? Yes	Held	20	6.55¢	3.35¢	$0.67	-$19.10	-48.9%	2027-04-01
Will Troyes win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes	Held	64.52	4.54¢	0.05¢	$0.03	-$19.27	-98.9%	2027-06-15
Will Toulouse win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes	Held	64.52	4.54¢	0.05¢	$0.03	-$19.27	-98.9%	2027-06-15
Will Nice win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes	Held	64.52	4.54¢	0.05¢	$0.03	-$19.29	-98.9%	2027-06-15
Will Le Mans win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes	Held	121.04	4.54¢	0.05¢	$0.06	-$22.98	-98.9%	2027-06-15
Will Auxerre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes	Held	121.04	4.54¢	0.05¢	$0.06	-$23.00	-98.9%	2027-06-15
Will Brest win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes	Held	121.04	4.54¢	0.05¢	$0.06	-$23.00	-98.9%	2027-06-15
Will Angers win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes	Held	121.04	4.54¢	0.05¢	$0.06	-$23.00	-98.9%	2027-06-15
Will Lorient win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes	Held	121.04	4.54¢	0.05¢	$0.06	-$23.62	-98.9%	2027-06-15
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? Yes	Held	66.34	29.57¢	1.05¢	$0.70	-$23.90	-96.4%	2026-12-01
Will Le Havre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes	Held	121.04	4.54¢	0.05¢	$0.06	-$24.79	-98.9%	2027-06-15
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes	Held	409.26	31.77¢	25¢	$102.31	-$28.19	-21.3%	2026-11-30
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan? Yes	Held	410.71	6.66¢	0.05¢	$0.21	-$30.46	-99.2%	2027-01-01
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine? Yes	Held	477.37	6.66¢	0.05¢	$0.24	-$31.59	-99.3%	2027-01-01
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea? Yes	Held	377.37	6.66¢	0.05¢	$0.19	-$34.82	-99.3%	2027-01-01
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia? Yes	Held	464.87	6.66¢	0.05¢	$0.23	-$37.37	-99.3%	2027-01-01
Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes	Held	409.26	36.84¢	22.5¢	$92.08	-$59.14	-38.9%	2026-11-30
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes	Held	152.38	7.69¢	0.05¢	$0.08	-$131.24	-99.4%	2027-01-01
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes	Held	289.85	7.69¢	0.05¢	$0.14	-$170.89	-99.3%	2027-01-01
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes	Held	289.85	7.69¢	0.05¢	$0.14	-$210.34	-99.3%	2027-01-01
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes	Held	289.85	7.69¢	0.05¢	$0.14	-$217.80	-99.3%	2027-01-01

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