Wallet ledger

0x28bf…4a4e

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

Realized PnL

$115

Win rate

73%

Realized edge

+0.001

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge +0.001 across 55 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.07, +0.05]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (500 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on August 23? Yes	Open	225	22¢	$56	+110%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on August 23? Yes	Open	225	22¢	$50	+99%	2026-08-23
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	5	3¢	$4	+3233%	2026-08-31
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? Yes	Open	40	3¢	$4	+349%	2026-10-04
Will Zack Wheeler win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award? Yes	Open	4	3¢	$2	+2410%	2026-12-19
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	5	50¢	$2	+98%	2026-09-30
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 23? Yes	Open	2	7¢	$2	+1269%	2026-08-23
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat? Yes	Open	4	9¢	$2	+584%	2026-11-04
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	2	7¢	$2	+1286%	2026-09-30
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	4	49¢	$2	+89%	2026-08-31
Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next? Yes	Open	3	5¢	$2	+1208%	2027-05-09
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? Yes	Open	3	14¢	$2	+401%	2026-09-02
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m? Yes	Open	2	22¢	$2	+339%	2026-08-23
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	5	50¢	$2	+65%	2026-08-31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 23? Yes	Open	2	7¢	$2	+1417%	2026-08-23
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? Yes	Open	3	50¢	$1	+94%	2026-08-14
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? Yes	Open	3	13¢	$1	+387%	2026-10-04
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 24? Yes	Open	3	9¢	$1	+503%	2026-08-24
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%? Yes	Open	4	5¢	$1	+682%	2026-09-10
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	3	50¢	$1	+72%	2026-10-04
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	2	46¢	$1	+112%	2026-08-31
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul? Yes	Open	3	1¢	$1	+3441%	2026-10-04
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	4	49¢	$1	+58%	2026-08-31
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? Yes	Open	2	3¢	$1	+1471%	2026-09-01
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 22? Yes	Open	1	7¢	$1	+1285%	2026-08-22
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes	Open	2	50¢	$1	+95%	2026-09-13
Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A? Yes	Open	2	0¢	$1	0%	2026-12-16
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 24? Yes	Open	3	9¢	$1	+320%	2026-08-24
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on August 24? Yes	Open	3	9¢	$1	+283%	2026-08-24
Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? Yes	Open	3	1¢	$1	+3339%	2027-06-06
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City? Yes	Open	4	8¢	$1	+228%	2026-09-02
Will Alyssa Thomas have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? Yes	Open	2	1¢	$1	+2473%	2026-09-24
Will Beatriz Mojica Morga win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? Yes	Open	2	1¢	$1	+4614%	2027-06-06
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes	Open	1	37¢	$1	+139%	2026-08-31
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	3	41¢	$1	+50%	2026-10-31
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	2	50¢	$1	+62%	2026-12-31
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31? Yes	Open	4	50¢	$1	+33%	2026-08-31
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? Yes	Open	2	33¢	$1	+122%	2027-02-12
Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? Yes	Open	2	2¢	$1	+1710%	2026-10-04
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? Yes	Open	2	50¢	$1	+75%	2026-09-20
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes	Open	1	28¢	$1	+202%	2026-12-06
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1	24¢	$1	+260%	2026-08-31
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? Yes	Open	2	24¢	$1	+161%	2026-09-02
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on August 24? Yes	Open	3	9¢	$1	+205%	2026-08-24
Will Wei Chia-hsien win the next Hualien County Magistrate election? Yes	Open	4	2¢	$1	+1087%	2027-06-30
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? Yes	Open	2	50¢	$1	+55%	2026-11-03
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes	Open	4	1¢	$0	+1427%	2026-12-31
Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? Yes	Open	2	1¢	$0	+2169%	2026-10-04
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? Yes	Open	2	1¢	$0	+2699%	2027-06-06
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes	Open	1	50¢	$0	+87%	2026-09-13
Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? Yes	Open	1	1¢	$0	+4032%	2026-10-04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? Yes	Open	2	7¢	$0	+271%	2026-11-03
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 25? Yes	Open	2	5¢	$0	+379%	2026-08-25
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Open	3	8¢	$0	+158%	2026-11-03
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026? Yes	Open	3	3¢	$0	+458%	2026-10-18
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	2	50¢	$0	+41%	2026-08-31
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? Yes	Open	2	5¢	$0	+296%	2027-01-12
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? Yes	Open	2	5¢	$0	+270%	2027-01-12
Will Sandy Alcantara win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award? Yes	Open	4	3¢	$0	+325%	2026-12-19
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes	Open	4	2¢	$0	+321%	2026-12-31
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? Yes	Open	2	1¢	$0	+1303%	2026-09-02
Will Brandon Woodruff win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award? Yes	Open	4	3¢	$0	+274%	2026-12-19
Will O'Neil Cruz win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award? Yes	Open	4	3¢	$0	+272%	2026-12-19
Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Open	3	8¢	$0	+110%	2026-11-03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? Yes	Open	4	7¢	$0	+81%	2026-08-24
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes	Open	1	50¢	$0	+35%	2026-11-13
Will the Republican Party win the WI-01 House seat? Yes	Open	2	50¢	$0	+26%	2026-11-04
Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? Yes	Open	2	2¢	$0	+554%	2026-10-04
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026? Yes	Open	3	3¢	$0	+265%	2026-10-11
Will Santiago Nieto Castillo win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? Yes	Open	3	1¢	$0	+828%	2027-06-06
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 25? Yes	Open	2	5¢	$0	+206%	2026-08-25
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Open	2	50¢	$0	+16%	2026-12-31
Will Esperidião Amin win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? Yes	Open	1	1¢	$0	+1450%	2026-10-04
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal? Yes	Open	2	12¢	$0	+55%	2026-09-02
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026? Yes	Open	3	3¢	$0	+175%	2026-09-13
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 21 and September 27, 2026? Yes	Open	3	3¢	$0	+173%	2026-09-27
Will Chang Chun win the next Hualien County Magistrate election? Yes	Open	4	2¢	$0	+239%	2027-06-30
Will Tanner Scott win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award? Yes	Open	4	3¢	$0	+126%	2026-12-19
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes	Open	3	50¢	$0	+6%	2026-12-31
Will Teresa Calzada Rovirosa win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? Yes	Open	3	1¢	$0	+416%	2027-06-06
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? Yes	Open	4	7¢	$0	+31%	2026-08-24
Will Salles win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? Yes	Open	3	7¢	$0	+43%	2026-10-04
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released prior to August 31, 2026? Yes	Open	3	3¢	$0	+86%	2026-08-31
Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat? Yes	Open	2	17¢	$0	+24%	2026-11-04
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026? Yes	Open	3	3¢	$0	+73%	2026-11-01
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1	50¢	$0	+8%	2026-08-31
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	2	3¢	$0	+71%	2026-09-30
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes	Open	3	8¢	$0	+20%	2026-11-03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes	Open	3	59¢	$0	+2%	2026-12-09
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026? Yes	Open	3	3¢	$0	+29%	2026-10-04
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on August 24? Yes	Open	3	9¢	$0	+5%	2026-08-24
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026? Yes	Open	3	3¢	$0	+15%	2026-09-06
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	2	9¢	$0	+3%	2026-08-28
Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat? Yes	Open	1	50¢	-$0	-2%	2026-11-04
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? Yes	Open	2	5¢	-$0	-11%	2027-01-12
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	2	9¢	-$0	-12%	2026-08-28
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? Yes	Open	1	45¢	-$0	-11%	2026-11-03
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%? Yes	Open	4	5¢	-$0	-30%	2026-09-10
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? Yes	Open	10	7¢	-$0	-9%	2026-11-03
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 12% or more? Yes	Open	4	7¢	-$0	-36%	2026-11-03
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? Yes	Open	10	7¢	-$0	-16%	2026-11-03
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23? Yes	Open	4	11¢	-$0	-33%	2026-08-23
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 24? Yes	Open	3	9¢	-$0	-54%	2026-08-24
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$0	-14%	2026-12-31
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$0	-21%	2026-10-04
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23? Yes	Open	4	11¢	-$0	-52%	2026-08-23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes	Open	1	50¢	-$0	-37%	2026-09-16
Will Fredrikstad win Norway Eliteserien? Yes	Open	1	50¢	-$0	-39%	2026-12-20
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes	Open	4	50¢	-$0	-16%	2026-12-31
Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien? Yes	Open	1	50¢	-$0	-40%	2026-12-20
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$0	-31%	2026-08-31
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	1	50¢	-$0	-65%	2026-09-30
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes	Open	3	49¢	-$0	-24%	2026-12-31
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%? Yes	Open	2	33¢	-$0	-72%	2027-02-12
Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$0	-31%	1970-01-01
Will Sandefjord win Norway Eliteserien? Yes	Open	1	50¢	-$0	-60%	2026-12-20
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$0	-56%	2026-10-04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$0	-47%	2026-12-31
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes	Open	1	50¢	-$0	-82%	1970-01-01
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 55,000 and 60,000? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$0	-38%	2026-12-31
Will Lillestrøm win Norway Eliteserien? Yes	Open	1	50¢	-$1	-71%	2026-12-20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes	Open	5	79¢	-$1	-14%	2026-09-16
Will T1 Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award? Yes	Open	20	6¢	-$1	-43%	1970-01-01
Will OpenAI raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-41%	1970-01-01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? Yes	Open	10	7¢	-$1	-77%	2026-11-03
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Yes	Open	10	7¢	-$1	-78%	2026-11-03
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes	Open	43	11¢	-$1	-12%	2026-12-31
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 60,000 and 65,000? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-45%	2026-12-31
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 12% or more? Yes	Open	10	7¢	-$1	-84%	2026-11-03
Will Tromsø win Norway Eliteserien? Yes	Open	1	50¢	-$1	-85%	2026-12-20
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	3	47¢	-$1	-52%	2026-09-30
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-83%	2027-03-14
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-67%	2026-11-03
Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-84%	2026-10-04
Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-87%	2026-10-04
Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-72%	2026-10-31
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-75%	2026-10-31
Will Antoine Semenyo (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? Yes	Open	4	22¢	-$1	-81%	2027-05-31
Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? Yes	Open	40	3¢	-$1	-75%	2026-10-04
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-89%	2026-09-01
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-79%	2026-10-31
Will Katie Britt be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-90%	2028-08-14
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-86%	2026-10-28
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-82%	2026-12-06
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-83%	2026-10-31
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be less than 55,000? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-66%	2026-12-31
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-84%	2026-10-31
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? Yes	Open	40	3¢	-$1	-84%	2026-10-04
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	2	49¢	-$1	-89%	2026-12-31
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-75%	2026-12-06
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	2	45¢	-$1	-89%	2026-11-03
Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? Yes	Open	40	3¢	-$1	-88%	2026-10-04
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-91%	2026-12-31
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? Yes	Open	4	26¢	-$1	-88%	2026-08-31
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	2	50¢	-$1	-74%	2026-12-31
Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? Yes	Open	40	3¢	-$1	-90%	2026-10-04
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? Yes	Open	40	3¢	-$1	-90%	2026-10-04
Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? Yes	Open	40	3¢	-$1	-90%	2026-10-04
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-63%	2026-09-20
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be at least 85,000? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-83%	2026-12-31
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes	Open	3	47¢	-$1	-80%	2026-12-31
Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes	Open	4	50¢	-$1	-61%	2026-12-31
Will OpenAI raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-84%	1970-01-01
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 80,000 and 85,000? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-87%	2026-12-31
Will OpenAI raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-88%	1970-01-01
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-82%	2026-12-31
Will OpenAI raise between $30B and $40B in its IPO? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-91%	1970-01-01
Will OpenAI raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-91%	1970-01-01
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes	Open	4	50¢	-$1	-69%	2026-12-31
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat? Yes	Open	4	50¢	-$1	-70%	2026-11-03
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	4	50¢	-$1	-57%	2026-12-31
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-80%	2026-08-31
Will Bajaj Finance Ltd be the largest Indian company? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-84%	2026-12-31
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-83%	2028-08-14
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-75%	2026-12-31
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	4	42¢	-$1	-84%	2026-10-31
Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-87%	2028-08-14
Will Elise Stefanik be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-89%	2028-08-14
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-90%	2028-08-14
Will Brian Kemp be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-90%	2028-08-14
Will Ivanka Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-90%	2028-08-14
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? Yes	Open	4	50¢	-$1	-76%	2026-09-18
Will Glenn Youngkin be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-94%	2028-08-14
Will Donald Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$1	-94%	2028-08-14
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$2	-93%	2026-10-04
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes	Open	3	50¢	-$2	-92%	2026-12-31
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on August 31? Yes	Open	4	50¢	-$2	-80%	2026-08-31
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? Yes	Open	10	22¢	-$2	-75%	2026-10-31
Theo James announced as next James Bond? Yes	Open	4	50¢	-$2	-93%	2026-12-31
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31? Yes	Open	4	50¢	-$2	-86%	2026-08-31
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	80	2¢	-$2	-94%	2026-10-04
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes	Open	4	50¢	-$2	-91%	2026-12-31
Will Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? Yes	Open	10	22¢	-$2	-84%	2027-05-31
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on August 31? Yes	Open	4	50¢	-$2	-94%	2026-08-31
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.10T on August 31? Yes	Open	4	50¢	-$2	-95%	2026-08-31
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026? Yes	Open	3	121¢	-$2	-60%	2026-08-25
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	5	46¢	-$2	-90%	2026-08-31
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes	Open	5	50¢	-$2	-88%	2026-12-19
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? Yes	Open	2	211¢	-$2	-64%	2026-08-24
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026? Yes	Open	1	190¢	-$2	-75%	2026-08-25
Will Meituan be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? Yes	Open	10	22¢	-$2	-94%	2026-10-31
Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	5	50¢	-$2	-95%	2026-12-31
Will BRUTE Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 Summer Yes	Open	5	57¢	-$3	-92%	1970-01-01
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes	Open	40	8¢	-$3	-93%	2026-12-31
Will Mixwell Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? Yes	Open	5	85¢	-$4	-95%	1970-01-01
Will Fortnite Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award? Yes	Open	9	55¢	-$4	-95%	1970-01-01
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes	Open	10	50¢	-$5	-92%	2026-12-19
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes	Open	10	50¢	-$5	-96%	2026-12-19
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes	Open	10	50¢	-$5	-97%	2026-12-19
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes	Open	10	50¢	-$5	-97%	2026-12-19
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes	Open	10	50¢	-$5	-98%	2026-12-19
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Yes	Open	3	254¢	-$5	-70%	2026-08-28
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes	Open	44	12¢	-$5	-97%	2026-12-31
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes	Open	44	12¢	-$5	-98%	2026-12-31
Will EXILE Esports Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 Summer Yes	Open	10	70¢	-$7	-93%	1970-01-01
Will OpenAI’s valuation be less than $600B at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	20	50¢	-$9	-89%	2026-09-30
Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas? Yes	Open	30	30¢	-$9	-98%	2026-10-04
Will Rainbow 6 Siege Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award? Yes	Open	15	65¢	-$10	-99%	1970-01-01
Will FNS Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? Yes	Open	10	101¢	-$10	-96%	1970-01-01
Will NiceWigg Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? Yes	Open	10	101¢	-$10	-99%	1970-01-01
Will "To Catch a Cheater" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? Yes	Open	40	28¢	-$11	-99%	2026-08-25
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes	Open	28	50¢	-$14	-99%	2026-12-19
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	226	8¢	-$17	-99%	2026-08-31
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes	Open	85	21¢	-$18	-99%	2026-11-05
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes	Open	802	2¢	-$18	-98%	2026-08-11
Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes	Open	811	2¢	-$18	-98%	2026-08-11
Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes	Open	40	50¢	-$20	-99%	2026-12-19
Will Bradley Barcola join Newcastle United? Yes	Open	117	18¢	-$20	-99%	2026-09-02
Will Samara win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas? Yes	Open	60	35¢	-$21	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19? Yes	Open	205	11¢	-$23	-100%	2026-08-18
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19? Yes	Open	205	11¢	-$23	-100%	2026-08-18
Will Madison Cawthorn be the Republican nominee for FL-19? Yes	Open	205	11¢	-$23	-100%	2026-08-18
Will The Weeknd be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes	Open	47	50¢	-$23	-99%	2026-12-31
Will Bradley Barcola join Real Madrid? Yes	Open	160	18¢	-$28	-99%	2026-09-02
Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? Yes	Open	185	15¢	-$28	-100%	2026-10-04
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 108-109°F on August 24? Yes	Open	48	62¢	-$29	-99%	2026-08-24
Will Core PCE MoM be -0.2% or less in July? Yes	Open	70	50¢	-$35	-100%	2026-08-26
Will Sid Hill win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? Yes	Open	291	13¢	-$39	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Carol Hafner win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? Yes	Open	291	13¢	-$39	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Earl D. "Skip" Southworth win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? Yes	Open	291	13¢	-$39	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Dan J. Sullivan win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? Yes	Open	291	13¢	-$39	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Reece Roberts win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? Yes	Open	291	13¢	-$39	-100%	2026-11-03
Will David Leslie win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? Yes	Open	291	13¢	-$39	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Scott Kohlhaas win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? Yes	Open	291	13¢	-$39	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Gerald L. Heikes win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? Yes	Open	291	13¢	-$39	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Heather McElwain win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? Yes	Open	291	13¢	-$39	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Dustin Darden win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? Yes	Open	291	13¢	-$39	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Richard Grayson win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? Yes	Open	291	13¢	-$39	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Richard Benedict Mayers win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? Yes	Open	291	13¢	-$39	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes	Open	520	8¢	-$39	-99%	2026-08-18
Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	231	17¢	-$39	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	231	17¢	-$39	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	231	17¢	-$39	-100%	2026-10-31
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on August 23? Yes	Open	195	20¢	-$40	-100%	2026-08-23
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	82	49¢	-$40	-100%	2026-09-30
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	233	17¢	-$40	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	233	17¢	-$40	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	233	17¢	-$40	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Luciano Mattos win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? Yes	Open	85	50¢	-$42	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	Open	85	50¢	-$42	-100%	2028-11-07
Will Xiaomi be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	235	19¢	-$44	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Baidu be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	235	19¢	-$44	-100%	2026-08-31
Will DeepSeek be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	235	19¢	-$44	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	241	18¢	-$44	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	241	18¢	-$44	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	241	18¢	-$44	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	241	18¢	-$44	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	241	18¢	-$44	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	241	18¢	-$44	-100%	2026-10-31
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on August 23? Yes	Open	205	22¢	-$46	-100%	2026-08-23
Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in August? Yes	Open	11	477¢	-$46	-93%	2026-08-31
Will Samara win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? Yes	Open	244	19¢	-$47	-100%	2026-10-04
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 9°C or below on August 23? Yes	Open	225	22¢	-$49	-98%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 10°C on August 23? Yes	Open	225	22¢	-$49	-98%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C or higher on August 23? Yes	Open	225	22¢	-$50	-100%	2026-08-23
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on August 23? Yes	Open	225	22¢	-$50	-100%	2026-08-23
Will StepFun be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	250	20¢	-$50	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Jennifer Jenkins be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes	Open	545	9¢	-$51	-99%	2026-08-18
Will Charlie Crist be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes	Open	545	9¢	-$51	-99%	2026-08-18
Will Josh Weil be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes	Open	545	9¢	-$51	-99%	2026-08-18
Will Alan Grayson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes	Open	545	9¢	-$51	-99%	2026-08-18
Will Joey Atkins be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes	Open	545	9¢	-$51	-99%	2026-08-18
Will Adriana Dávila Fernández win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? Yes	Open	104	50¢	-$52	-100%	2027-06-06
Will Jack Grealish join RB Leipzig? Yes	Open	105	50¢	-$52	-100%	2026-09-02
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	260	21¢	-$54	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	260	21¢	-$54	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	268	22¢	-$58	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Marcio Alves win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? Yes	Open	194	32¢	-$61	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	123	50¢	-$62	-100%	2026-09-30
Will Amazon be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	275	23¢	-$63	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	275	23¢	-$63	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Microsoft be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	275	23¢	-$63	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Anthropic be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	275	23¢	-$63	-100%	2026-08-31
Will MiniMax be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	275	23¢	-$63	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Tencent be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	275	23¢	-$63	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Meituan be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	275	23¢	-$63	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Mistral be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	275	23¢	-$63	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Julian Alvarez join Chelsea? Yes	Open	461	14¢	-$64	-98%	2026-09-02
Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? Yes	Open	299	22¢	-$66	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás? Yes	Open	299	22¢	-$66	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Julian Alvarez join Manchester City? Yes	Open	501	15¢	-$74	-100%	2026-09-02
Will Enzo Fernandez join Barcelona? Yes	Open	172	44¢	-$75	-100%	2026-09-02
Will Rodina win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	151	50¢	-$75	-100%	2026-09-20
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	180	46¢	-$83	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	186	46¢	-$86	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	186	46¢	-$86	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes	Open	180	50¢	-$90	-100%	2027-04-30
Will Mistral be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	183	50¢	-$91	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Thinky be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	187	50¢	-$93	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Dune: Messiah have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes	Open	187	50¢	-$94	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Moises Caicedo win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes	Open	220	44¢	-$98	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Gavin Williams win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	202	50¢	-$101	-100%	2026-11-12
Will Martin Zubimendi win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes	Open	250	45¢	-$113	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Tijjani Reijnders win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes	Open	250	45¢	-$113	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year? Yes	Open	250	45¢	-$113	-100%	2026-08-31
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 25? Yes	Open	50	232¢	-$115	-100%	2026-08-25
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 25? Yes	Open	50	232¢	-$116	-100%	2026-08-25
Will Fluxo W7M Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 Yes	Open	235	50¢	-$117	-100%	1970-01-01
Will Tarik Skubal win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	237	50¢	-$118	-100%	2026-11-12
Will Leviatán Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 Yes	Open	241	50¢	-$120	-100%	1970-01-01
Will StepFun be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	246	49¢	-$120	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Meituan be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	246	49¢	-$120	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Bo Biteman win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? Yes	Open	1,254	10¢	-$121	-99%	2026-08-18
Will DeepSeek be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	303	41¢	-$123	-100%	2026-08-31
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? Yes	Open	248	50¢	-$124	-100%	2026-09-18
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	252	50¢	-$126	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	252	50¢	-$126	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	257	50¢	-$128	-100%	2026-08-31
Will George Pickens play for Denver Broncos in 2026-27? Yes	Open	60	217¢	-$130	-100%	2026-09-01
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Open	582	22¢	-$130	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	269	50¢	-$134	-100%	2026-11-12
Will Cole Ragans win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	269	50¢	-$134	-100%	2026-11-12
Will Chuck Gray win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? Yes	Open	1,282	11¢	-$135	-100%	2026-08-18
Will Chip Neiman win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? Yes	Open	1,284	11¢	-$136	-100%	2026-08-18
Will Reid Rasner win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? Yes	Open	1,284	11¢	-$136	-100%	2026-08-18
Will Ogen Driskill win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? Yes	Open	1,284	11¢	-$136	-100%	2026-08-18
Will Paul Ulrich win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? Yes	Open	1,284	11¢	-$136	-100%	2026-08-18
Will Harriet Hageman win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? Yes	Open	1,284	11¢	-$136	-100%	2026-08-18
Will Joseph Kibler win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? Yes	Open	1,284	11¢	-$136	-100%	2026-08-18
Will Tara Nethercott win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? Yes	Open	1,284	11¢	-$136	-100%	2026-08-18
Will Curt Meier win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? Yes	Open	1,284	11¢	-$136	-100%	2026-08-18
Will Cheri Steinmetz win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? Yes	Open	1,284	11¢	-$136	-100%	2026-08-18
Will Mark Gordon win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? Yes	Open	1,284	11¢	-$136	-100%	2026-08-18
Will George Pickens play for Los Angeles Chargers in 2026-27? Yes	Open	73	187¢	-$136	-100%	2026-09-01
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	461	30¢	-$140	-100%	2026-08-31
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31? Yes	Open	245	58¢	-$142	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	179	81¢	-$144	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	293	50¢	-$146	-100%	2026-08-31
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? Yes	Open	298	50¢	-$149	-100%	2026-09-30
Will Paris FC win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes	Open	300	50¢	-$150	-100%	2027-05-30
Will Auxerre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes	Open	300	50¢	-$150	-100%	2027-05-30
Will Nice win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes	Open	300	50¢	-$150	-100%	2027-05-30
Will Troyes win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes	Open	300	50¢	-$150	-100%	2027-05-30
Will Le Mans win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes	Open	300	50¢	-$150	-100%	2027-05-30
Will Brest win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes	Open	300	50¢	-$150	-100%	2027-05-30
Will Toulouse win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes	Open	300	50¢	-$150	-100%	2027-05-30
Will Angers win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes	Open	300	50¢	-$150	-100%	2027-05-30
Will Lorient win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes	Open	300	50¢	-$150	-100%	2027-05-30
Will Le Havre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes	Open	300	50¢	-$150	-100%	2027-05-30
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Open	621	24¢	-$150	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Open	621	24¢	-$150	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes	Open	1,350	12¢	-$159	-100%	2026-08-11
Will Joe Wilson be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes	Open	1,350	12¢	-$159	-100%	2026-08-11
Will Paul Dans be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes	Open	1,350	12¢	-$159	-100%	2026-08-11
Will André Bauer be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes	Open	1,350	12¢	-$159	-100%	2026-08-11
Will Nancy Mace be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes	Open	1,350	12¢	-$159	-100%	2026-08-11
Will Sheri Biggs be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes	Open	1,350	12¢	-$159	-100%	2026-08-11
Will Scott Bessent be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes	Open	1,350	12¢	-$159	-100%	2026-08-11
Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes	Open	319	50¢	-$159	-100%	2026-09-20
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes	Open	319	50¢	-$159	-100%	2026-09-20
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes	Open	319	50¢	-$159	-100%	2026-09-20
Will Trey Gowdy be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes	Open	1,351	12¢	-$160	-100%	2026-08-11
Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes	Open	1,351	12¢	-$160	-100%	2026-08-11
Will George Kirby win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	323	50¢	-$161	-100%	2026-11-12
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes	Open	170	95¢	-$162	-100%	2026-09-30
Will Alan Wilson be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes	Open	1,357	12¢	-$163	-100%	2026-08-11
Will Tencent be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	383	43¢	-$163	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Thinky be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	383	43¢	-$163	-100%	2026-08-31
Will ByteDance be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	383	43¢	-$163	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Mistral be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	383	43¢	-$163	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Amazon be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	383	43¢	-$163	-100%	2026-08-31
Will MiniMax be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	383	43¢	-$163	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Kevin Gausman win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	331	50¢	-$165	-100%	2026-11-12
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	334	50¢	-$167	-100%	2026-11-03
Will William Timmons be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes	Open	1,367	12¢	-$168	-100%	2026-08-11
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	338	50¢	-$169	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	344	50¢	-$172	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	344	50¢	-$172	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	344	50¢	-$172	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	344	50¢	-$172	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	344	50¢	-$172	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	344	50¢	-$172	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	344	50¢	-$172	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	344	50¢	-$172	-100%	2026-11-03
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026? Yes	Open	196	88¢	-$173	-100%	2026-09-30
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 1040m and 1060m by August 31? Yes	Open	175	100¢	-$174	-100%	2026-08-31
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 1020m and 1040m by August 31? Yes	Open	175	100¢	-$174	-100%	2026-08-31
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 1060m and 1080m by August 31? Yes	Open	175	100¢	-$174	-100%	2026-08-31
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 1000m and 1020m by August 31? Yes	Open	175	100¢	-$174	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes	Open	355	50¢	-$177	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes	Open	357	50¢	-$178	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Ranger Suarez win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	359	50¢	-$179	-100%	2026-11-12
Will Nvidia be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	421	43¢	-$182	-100%	2026-08-31
Will StepFun be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	433	43¢	-$188	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Toy Story 5 have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes	Open	388	50¢	-$194	-100%	2026-12-31
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes	Open	388	50¢	-$194	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Nathan Eovaldi win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	389	50¢	-$194	-100%	2026-11-12
Will Garrett Crochet win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	389	50¢	-$194	-100%	2026-11-12
Will Kyle Bradish win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	389	50¢	-$194	-100%	2026-11-12
Will Jose Soriano win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	389	50¢	-$194	-100%	2026-11-12
Will Bryan Woo win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	389	50¢	-$194	-100%	2026-11-12
Will Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	389	50¢	-$194	-100%	2026-11-12
Will Bryce Miller win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	389	50¢	-$194	-100%	2026-11-12
Will Hunter Brown win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	389	50¢	-$194	-100%	2026-11-12
Will Carlos Rodón win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	389	50¢	-$194	-100%	2026-11-12
Will MacKenzie Gore win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	389	50¢	-$194	-100%	2026-11-12
Will Pablo Lopez win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes	Open	389	50¢	-$194	-100%	2026-11-12
Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	393	50¢	-$196	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Amazon have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	403	50¢	-$201	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Bytedance have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	403	50¢	-$201	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Nvidia have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	403	50¢	-$201	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	403	50¢	-$201	-100%	2026-08-31
Will MiniMax have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	403	50¢	-$201	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Tencent have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	403	50¢	-$201	-100%	2026-08-31
Will StepFun have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	403	50¢	-$201	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Bytedance have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	601	35¢	-$210	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	426	50¢	-$213	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Meituan be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	483	44¢	-$213	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	433	50¢	-$216	-100%	2026-08-31
Will SpaceXAI have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	433	50¢	-$216	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	433	50¢	-$216	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	433	50¢	-$216	-100%	2026-08-31
Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	433	50¢	-$216	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Xiaomi have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	433	50¢	-$216	-100%	2026-08-31
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	631	36¢	-$224	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Ayanna Pressley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? Yes	Open	507	50¢	-$253	-100%	2026-09-01
Will Alexander Rikleen be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? Yes	Open	507	50¢	-$253	-100%	2026-09-01
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	507	50¢	-$253	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	553	50¢	-$276	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	553	50¢	-$276	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	559	50¢	-$279	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	559	50¢	-$279	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	559	50¢	-$279	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	569	50¢	-$284	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	569	50¢	-$284	-100%	2026-11-03
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes	Open	569	50¢	-$284	-100%	2026-11-03
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting? Yes	Open	613	50¢	-$306	-100%	2026-09-17
Will Renato Moicano be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	650	50¢	-$325	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Portland Fire win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes	Open	657	50¢	-$328	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	852	39¢	-$335	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	852	39¢	-$335	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Dan Hooker be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	680	50¢	-$339	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Mateusz Gamrot be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	680	50¢	-$339	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Rafael Fiziev be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	Open	680	50¢	-$339	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	576	60¢	-$343	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Chicago Sky win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes	Open	687	50¢	-$343	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	882	40¢	-$350	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	949	38¢	-$356	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 15–20%? Yes	Open	715	50¢	-$357	-100%	2026-08-11
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	1,197	31¢	-$365	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	1,197	31¢	-$365	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	1,197	31¢	-$365	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes	Open	1,197	31¢	-$365	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%? Yes	Open	735	50¢	-$367	-100%	2026-08-11
Will Mandela Barnes win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Yes	Open	735	50¢	-$367	-100%	2026-08-11
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1,007	41¢	-$412	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1,007	41¢	-$412	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1,007	41¢	-$412	-100%	2026-08-31
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1,007	41¢	-$412	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1,007	41¢	-$412	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1,007	41¢	-$412	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes	Open	1,007	41¢	-$412	-100%	2026-08-31
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31? Yes	Open	1,119	45¢	-$501	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	1,246	41¢	-$504	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	1,276	41¢	-$519	-100%	2026-10-04
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Open	1,459	39¢	-$568	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Open	1,459	39¢	-$568	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Open	1,459	39¢	-$568	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Open	1,459	39¢	-$568	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Open	1,489	39¢	-$583	-100%	2026-12-31
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	Open	1,489	39¢	-$583	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	1,501	42¢	-$632	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	1,501	42¢	-$632	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	1,501	42¢	-$632	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	Open	1,501	42¢	-$632	-100%	2026-10-04
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes	Open	1,256	51¢	-$636	-100%	2026-12-06
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes	Open	1,256	51¢	-$636	-100%	2026-12-06
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes	Open	1,256	51¢	-$636	-100%	2026-12-06
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes	Open	1,256	51¢	-$636	-100%	2026-12-06
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes	Open	1,256	51¢	-$636	-100%	2026-12-06
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes	Open	2,200	33¢	-$732	-100%	2026-09-30
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31? Yes	Open	1,671	47¢	-$776	-100%	2026-08-31
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31? Yes	Open	1,673	47¢	-$778	-100%	2026-08-31
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 44m? Yes	Open	273	289¢	-$790	-100%	2026-08-23
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 400m by August 31? Yes	Open	2,221	47¢	-$1.1K	-100%	2026-08-31
Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	2,600	47¢	-$1.2K	-100%	2026-10-31
Will Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	Open	2,600	47¢	-$1.2K	-100%	2026-10-31
Will the Bank of Korea cut by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting? Yes	Open	719	269¢	-$1.9K	-100%	2026-08-26
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia? Yes	Open	218	1050¢	-$2.3K	-100%	2026-12-31
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? Yes	Open	401	772¢	-$3.1K	-100%	2026-08-24

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