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Convexly

Wallet ledger

0x21f4…691d

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions
24
Realized PnL
-$598
Win rate
50.0%
Realized edge
-8.6 pp

Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge -8.6 pp across 24 resolved positions, 95% CI [-12.2, -4.1], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (3 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.

Open9348¢$2+5%2026-09-12
Open16049¢$1+1%2026-09-12
Open18851¢-$4-4%2026-09-12
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