Wallet ledger

0x204f…5e14

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions
279
Realized PnL
$90.9K
Win rate
60%
Realized edge
-0.022

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge -0.022 across 279 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.04, -0.00]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (494 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.

Open9,49339¢$4.2K+114%2026-08-23
Open8,24751¢$4.0K+96%2026-08-23
Open4,59144¢$2.6K+126%2026-08-23
Open2,58524¢$2.0K+309%2026-08-23
Open3,17952¢$1.5K+91%2026-08-23
Open3,61847¢$1.1K+66%2026-08-24
SC Corinthians Paulista
Open2,02154¢$920+84%2026-08-23
Open3,82460¢$835+37%2026-08-31
Open3,61377¢$832+30%2026-08-23
Open2,44970¢$739+43%2026-08-23
Open2,22726¢$699+120%2026-08-23
Open2,84676¢$688+32%2026-08-23
Open4,20936¢$661+44%2026-08-24
Open85125¢$639+302%2026-08-23
Open1,34254¢$616+85%2026-08-23
Open1,95348¢$607+64%2026-08-24
Open86037¢$540+169%2026-08-23
Open1,42937¢$537+102%2026-08-30
Open2,08274¢$533+34%2026-08-23
Open1,41963¢$526+59%2026-08-24
Open3,47385¢$511+17%2026-08-23
Open6,17670¢$505+12%2026-08-24
Open2,91484¢$463+19%2026-08-23
Open1,78252¢$451+49%2026-08-24
Open6,07654¢$418+13%2026-08-24
Open2,80986¢$406+17%2026-08-23
Open1,12365¢$396+55%2026-08-23
Open1,07914¢$389+259%2026-08-24
Open4,46292¢$360+9%2026-08-31
Open3,80191¢$358+10%2026-08-23
Open99666¢$343+52%2026-08-23
Open1,76651¢$342+38%2026-08-24
Open1,11266¢$338+46%2026-08-24
Open1,91583¢$320+20%2026-08-23
Open84212¢$307+304%2026-08-16
Open1,42979¢$300+27%2026-08-23
Open44042¢$255+138%2026-08-24
Open76150¢$251+66%2026-08-23
Open1,01275¢$249+33%2026-08-23
Open1,10178¢$239+28%2026-08-23
Open1,15733¢$238+63%2026-08-24
Open73568¢$238+48%2026-08-23
Open5,00695¢$227+5%2026-08-23
Open1,56786¢$219+16%2026-08-23
Open38747¢$205+112%2026-08-23
Open72173¢$198+38%2026-08-23
Open26928¢$193+255%2026-08-23
Open54815¢$191+230%2026-08-24
Open1,41585¢$184+15%2026-08-24
Open77751¢$177+45%2026-07-12
Open4,29796¢$168+4%2026-08-23
Open67746¢$166+53%2026-08-20
Open32549¢$165+104%2026-08-23
Open31539¢$158+128%2026-08-24
Open3475¢$156+900%2026-08-24
Open72129¢$151+72%2026-08-16
Open29350¢$146+99%2026-08-24
Open49263¢$145+46%2026-08-23
Open39364¢$143+57%2026-08-23
Open90634¢$136+44%2026-10-07
Open88385¢$133+18%2026-08-23
Open36257¢$127+61%2026-08-24
Open56074¢$124+30%2026-08-24
Open22245¢$121+120%2026-08-23
Open24251¢$119+97%2026-08-23
Open52372¢$113+30%2026-08-24
Open1,03032¢$113+34%2026-10-07
Open1,08290¢$110+11%2026-08-23
Open40048¢$109+56%2026-07-12
Open41324¢$107+108%2026-08-24
Open78086¢$105+16%2026-08-23
Open1,34329¢$102+26%2026-08-24
Open2063¢$97+1606%2026-08-08
Open27213¢$97+273%2026-08-24
Open54583¢$92+20%2026-08-23
Open6,65842¢$91+3%2026-08-24
Open3,04097¢$87+3%2026-08-23
Open22862¢$85+60%2026-08-23
SC Corinthians Paulista
Open98891¢$83+9%2026-08-23
Open41924¢$82+81%2026-08-24
Open32275¢$80+33%2026-08-23
Open1,0477¢$79+107%2026-10-07
Open13442¢$78+138%2026-08-23
Open1,04641¢$76+18%2026-08-24
Open80791¢$75+10%2026-08-23
Open15054¢$70+86%2026-08-23
Open52858¢$69+22%2026-10-07
Open33780¢$63+24%2026-08-23
Open24875¢$62+34%2026-08-24
Open64652¢$62+18%2026-08-24
Open20873¢$55+36%2026-08-23
Open7425¢$55+297%2026-08-23
Open44648¢$51+24%2026-09-11
Open8340¢$50+151%2026-08-23
Open2,85534¢$50+5%2026-09-04
Open58091¢$49+9%2026-08-23
Open20253¢$46+43%2026-08-24
Open23931¢$45+61%2026-08-16
Open19677¢$44+29%2026-08-23
Open2,92874¢$44+2%2026-08-24
Open10659¢$43+69%2026-08-23
Open4912¢$43+733%2026-08-23
Open1116¢$43+642%2026-08-08
Ferroviaria Araraquara SP
Open40589¢$42+12%2026-08-23
Open5524¢$42+318%2026-08-23
Open15746¢$41+57%2026-08-08
Open8251¢$40+96%2026-08-24
Open30687¢$39+15%2026-08-23
Open15675¢$39+33%2026-08-23
Open28677¢$38+17%2026-08-24
Open4,50342¢$36+2%2026-08-24
Open5014¢$36+185%2026-10-07
Open28945¢$36+27%2026-06-02
Open13674¢$35+35%2026-08-23
Open928¢$35+493%2026-07-11
Open886¢$34+650%2026-07-11
Open22459¢$34+25%2026-10-07
Open2,09298¢$33+2%2026-08-23
Open1,91066¢$31+2%2026-08-24
Open14852¢$30+40%2026-08-16
Open12576¢$29+31%2026-08-23
Open17984¢$29+19%2026-08-23
Open14230¢$28+67%2026-07-25
Open8667¢$28+49%2026-08-23
Open8065¢$28+54%2026-08-23
Open7763¢$28+57%2026-08-24
Open7864¢$28+55%2026-08-24
Open13245¢$28+47%2026-07-11
Open10073¢$27+37%2026-08-24
Open18085¢$27+18%2026-08-23
Open30091¢$27+10%2026-08-23
Open14181¢$27+24%2026-08-24
Open1,74870¢$26+2%2026-08-24
Open7711¢$26+296%2026-09-12
Open12452¢$25+39%2026-08-02
Open6863¢$25+59%2026-08-23
Open9966¢$25+38%2026-08-23
Open1306¢$25+314%2026-07-11
Open15184¢$25+19%2026-08-23
Open13583¢$24+21%2026-08-23
Open64093¢$23+4%2026-08-24
Open7821¢$23+138%2026-08-16
Open47795¢$22+5%2026-08-23
Open14162¢$22+26%2026-08-30
Open15631¢$22+45%2026-10-07
Open9365¢$22+36%2026-08-23
Open24091¢$21+10%2026-08-23
Open15639¢$21+34%2026-04-24
Open9178¢$20+29%2026-08-23
Open10081¢$19+23%2026-08-23
Open11943¢$18+36%2026-08-08
Open4835¢$18+110%2026-08-23
Open5717¢$18+186%2026-08-08
Open10634¢$18+49%2026-08-08
Open13038¢$17+35%2026-06-02
Open44346¢$17+8%2026-08-24
Open21492¢$16+8%2026-08-23
Atlético San Luis
Open7478¢$16+27%2026-08-23
Open459¢$16+389%2026-08-08
Open23641¢$15+16%2026-08-31
Open11386¢$15+16%2026-08-23
Open6827¢$15+83%2026-08-08
Open10085¢$15+18%2026-08-23
Open26834¢$15+17%2026-10-07
Open11426¢$15+50%2026-08-12
Open3457¢$15+75%2026-08-23
Open6076¢$14+32%2026-08-23
Open26121¢$14+26%2026-10-07
Open4971¢$14+41%2026-08-23
Open8848¢$14+34%2026-07-07
Open12110¢$14+110%2026-10-07
Open93544¢$14+3%2026-08-29
Open6077¢$14+30%2026-08-24
Open2444¢$14+128%2026-08-24
Open11557¢$13+20%2026-06-21
Open10588¢$13+14%2026-08-23
Open83083¢$13+2%2026-08-24
Open3361¢$13+63%2026-08-23
Open5778¢$12+27%2026-08-24
Open3161¢$12+64%2026-08-23
Open3969¢$12+45%2026-08-23
Open25854¢$12+8%2026-05-27
Open5830¢$11+65%2026-07-25
Open7886¢$11+16%2026-08-23
Open2046¢$11+117%2026-08-23
San Francisco Giants
Open7872¢$11+19%2026-08-31
Open1,81899¢$11+1%2026-08-23
Open7887¢$10+15%2026-08-23
Open1809¢$10+65%2026-10-07
Open10020¢$10+50%2026-09-22
Open10691¢$10+10%2026-08-23
Open1,00899¢$10+1%2026-08-23
Open97799¢$9+1%2026-08-23
Open25346¢$9+8%2026-08-24
Open8474¢$9+14%2026-07-25
Open9377¢$9+12%2026-08-24
Open3677¢$8+30%2026-08-23
Open1,45693¢$8+1%2026-08-24
Open22875¢$8+5%2026-10-07
Open1958¢$8+72%2026-08-23
Open30621¢$8+12%2026-08-24
Open9392¢$7+9%2026-08-24
Open1,44374¢$7+1%2026-08-24
Open2975¢$7+33%2026-08-23
Open7445¢$7+21%2026-05-27
Open2264¢$7+50%2026-08-24
Open5240¢$7+32%2026-07-25
Open15695¢$7+4%2026-08-23
Open1864¢$7+56%2026-08-23
Open5087¢$6+15%2026-08-23
Open7163¢$6+14%2026-08-24
Open5589¢$6+13%2026-08-23
Open62999¢$6+1%2026-08-23
Open1,28499¢$6+0%2026-08-24
Open28411¢$6+18%2026-08-24
Open22726¢$5+9%2026-08-24
Open13246¢$5+9%2026-07-25
Open3887¢$5+15%2026-08-23
Open12422¢$5+18%2026-08-08
Open3084¢$5+19%2026-08-23
Open5992¢$5+9%2026-08-23
Open30991¢$5+2%2026-10-07
Open5542¢$4+19%2026-08-02
Open7031¢$4+19%2026-08-24
Open5993¢$4+7%2026-08-23
Open3087¢$4+15%2026-08-23
Open4140¢$4+23%2026-07-25
Open37688¢$4+1%2026-08-24
Open24017¢$4+9%2026-08-24
Open6394¢$4+6%2026-08-23
Open14371¢$4+3%2026-09-12
Open50099¢$4+1%2026-08-23
Open6595¢$3+6%2026-08-24
Open4187¢$3+9%2026-08-24
Open23075¢$3+2%2026-08-24
Open3687¢$3+10%2026-08-24
Open8847¢$3+7%2026-07-25
Open7292¢$3+5%2026-08-27
Open18415¢$3+11%2026-08-24
Open11788¢$3+3%2026-08-24
Open4994¢$3+6%2026-08-23
Open14698¢$3+2%2026-08-23
Open2086¢$3+16%2026-08-23
Open1986¢$3+16%2026-08-23
Open1986¢$3+16%2026-08-23
Open13248¢$3+4%2026-10-07
Open12989¢$3+2%2026-08-24
Open51673¢$3+1%2026-08-24
Open51656¢$3+1%2026-08-24
Wuhan San Zhen FC
Open12378¢$2+2%2026-07-11
Open14498¢$2+2%2026-08-24
Open43719¢$2+3%2026-08-24
Open41411¢$2+5%2026-08-24
Open7097¢$2+3%2026-08-23
Open13592¢$2+2%2026-08-24
Open2993¢$2+7%2026-08-23
Open1989¢$2+12%2026-08-23
Open6096¢$2+3%2026-08-23
Open5391¢$2+4%2026-08-24
Open5096¢$2+4%2026-08-23
Open13975¢$2+2%2026-08-27
Open7291¢$2+3%2026-08-27
Open22250¢$2+2%2026-08-24
Open32882¢$2+1%2026-08-26
Open4094¢$2+4%2026-08-24
Open3228¢$2+6%2026-08-24
Open10097¢$2+2%2026-08-24
Open10688¢$2+2%2026-08-30
Open3156¢$2+8%2026-08-24
Open2976¢$1+8%2026-08-24
Open14845¢$1+2%2026-08-24
Open9838¢$1+4%2026-08-24
Open11386¢$1+1%2026-08-24
Open2594¢$1+6%2026-08-23
Open8124¢$1+6%2026-08-10
Open3482¢$1+4%2026-08-24
Open7588¢$1+2%2026-08-24
Open3291¢$1+4%2026-08-24
Open13194¢$1+1%2026-08-24
Open7266¢$1+2%2026-08-24
Open10795¢$1+1%2026-08-24
Open15253¢$1+1%2026-08-24
Open10681¢$1+1%2026-08-24
Open6871¢$1+2%2026-08-24
Open9791¢$1+1%2026-08-24
Open18943¢$1+1%2026-08-24
Open4668¢$1+3%2026-07-11
Open3762¢$1+4%2026-08-24
Open4498¢$1+2%2026-08-23
Open17164¢$1+1%2026-08-24
Open8396¢$1+1%2026-08-27
Open16447¢$1+1%2026-08-27
Open15348¢$1+1%2026-08-24
Open15343¢$1+1%2026-08-24
Manchester United FC
Open3893¢$1+2%2026-08-30
Open3073¢$1+3%2026-08-24
Open7593¢$1+1%2026-08-24
Open4938¢$1+4%2026-08-24
Open7480¢$1+1%2026-08-29
Open13878¢$1+1%2026-08-24
Open5872¢$1+2%2026-08-24
Open12889¢$1+1%2026-08-24
Open12441¢$1+1%2026-08-24
Open11792¢$1+1%2026-08-24
Open3847¢$1+3%2026-08-27
Open2694¢$1+2%2026-08-29
Open5691¢$1+1%2026-08-26
Open3896¢$1+1%2026-08-24
Open2197¢$1+3%2026-08-23
Open3595¢$0+2%2026-08-29
Open9630¢$0+2%2026-08-24
Open4589¢$0+1%2026-08-26
Open4554¢$0+2%2026-08-25
Open4353¢$0+2%2026-08-24
Open10551¢$0+1%2026-08-24
Open8460¢$0+1%2026-08-24
Open8129¢$0+2%2026-08-24
Open8189¢$0+1%2026-08-24
Open7787¢$0+1%2026-08-24
Open2692¢$0+2%2026-08-24
Open7170¢$0+1%2026-08-26
Open3595¢$0+1%2026-08-27
Open2393¢$0+2%2026-08-24
Open6690¢$0+1%2026-08-24
Open3395¢$0+1%2026-08-30
Open6335¢$0+1%2026-08-24
Open2572¢$0+2%2026-08-24
Open7840¢$0+1%2026-08-24
Open12420¢$0+1%2026-07-11
Open5156¢$0+1%2026-08-24
Open5043¢$0+1%2026-08-29
Open4780¢$0+1%2026-08-24
Open1,48774¢$0+0%2026-08-24
Open4541¢$0+1%2026-08-24
Open3374¢$0+1%2026-08-24
Open4389¢$0+1%2026-08-24
Open3990¢$0+1%2026-08-24
Open3875¢$0+1%2026-08-26
Open3557¢$0+1%2026-08-29
Open7997¢$0+0%2026-08-24
Open4461¢$0+1%2026-08-24
Open3164¢$0+1%2026-08-24
Open305100¢$0+0%2026-08-23
Open3068¢$0+1%2026-08-25
Open2579¢$0+1%2026-08-24
Open2894¢$0+0%2026-08-24
Open70100¢$0+0%2026-08-23
Open40100¢$0+0%2026-08-23
Open71853¢$0+0%2026-05-27
Open49595¢$00%2026-08-29
Open7577¢$0+0%2026-08-27
Open10295¢$00%2026-08-30
Open10181¢$00%2026-08-30
Open10668¢$00%2026-07-11
Open3296¢$00%2026-08-30
Open3097¢-$0-0%2026-08-27
Open30100¢-$0-0%2026-08-24
Open4573¢-$0-0%2026-08-25
Open12875¢-$0-0%2026-10-07
Open18087¢-$0-0%2026-08-24
Open4587¢-$0-0%2026-08-24
Open3656¢-$0-1%2026-08-27
Open6159¢-$0-1%2026-08-29
Open6365¢-$0-1%2026-08-30
Open6979¢-$0-1%2026-08-24
Open8175¢-$0-1%2026-08-10
Open5098¢-$0-1%2026-08-24
Open8972¢-$0-1%2026-08-24
Open10695¢-$1-1%2026-08-30
Open14477¢-$1-0%2026-08-27
Open6165¢-$1-2%2026-08-31
Open4691¢-$1-2%2026-08-27
Open14236¢-$1-1%2026-08-24
Open7531¢-$1-3%2026-07-11
Open18836¢-$1-1%2026-08-24
Open5181¢-$1-2%2026-08-24
Open23545¢-$1-1%2026-08-24
Open21963¢-$1-1%2026-08-24
Open2487¢-$1-6%2026-09-12
Open32660¢-$2-1%2026-08-29
Open4086¢-$2-5%2026-07-11
Open44128¢-$2-2%2026-08-24
Open3795¢-$2-5%2026-10-07
Open14051¢-$2-3%2026-08-26
Open7750¢-$2-6%2026-07-10
Open4855¢-$2-9%2026-07-05
Open4456¢-$3-11%2026-08-08
Open18548¢-$3-3%2026-08-10
Open2919¢-$3-11%2026-08-30
Open7054¢-$3-8%2026-08-24
Open3090¢-$3-12%2026-08-24
Open6538¢-$4-14%2026-08-29
Open10099¢-$4-4%2026-08-27
Open4390¢-$4-10%2026-08-24
Open14816¢-$4-17%2026-08-24
Open3467¢-$4-18%2026-07-25
Open84668¢-$4-1%2026-08-24
Open22930¢-$4-6%2026-08-24
Open34688¢-$4-1%2026-08-24
Open8259¢-$4-9%2026-09-12
Open5567¢-$5-13%2026-07-24
Open41765¢-$5-2%2026-09-04
Open12694¢-$5-4%2026-08-30
Open19053¢-$6-6%2026-07-25
Open3672¢-$6-22%2026-07-11
Open14323¢-$6-17%2026-10-07
Open2998¢-$6-21%2026-08-31
Open9831¢-$7-23%2026-08-24
Open1,93026¢-$8-2%2026-08-24
Open4692¢-$8-20%2026-08-27
Open4082¢-$9-26%2026-08-24
Open8461¢-$9-18%2026-08-24
Open13022¢-$9-32%2026-08-08
Manchester United FC
Open3199¢-$9-31%2026-08-30
Open4078¢-$10-31%2026-07-25
Open97081¢-$11-1%2026-09-04
Open21294¢-$12-6%2026-10-07
Open99958¢-$12-2%2026-08-24
Open19658¢-$12-11%2026-07-11
Open18629¢-$12-22%2026-08-30
Open4283¢-$12-35%2026-08-16
Open6474¢-$13-28%2026-07-25
Open4690¢-$13-32%2026-08-27
Open7768¢-$14-26%2026-07-25
Open7246¢-$14-42%2026-07-12
Open4385¢-$15-41%2026-08-16
Open8159¢-$15-32%2026-08-16
Open31877¢-$16-6%2026-08-29
Open42764¢-$17-6%2026-10-07
Open11565¢-$17-23%2026-08-08
Open8648¢-$18-43%2026-08-16
Open11890¢-$18-17%2026-07-11
Open3899¢-$18-49%2026-08-16
Open4889¢-$18-43%2026-08-16
Open4099¢-$20-49%2026-08-16
Open31357¢-$21-12%2026-04-24
Open9477¢-$21-29%2026-08-08
Open62791¢-$22-4%2026-10-07
Open100100¢-$22-22%2026-08-12
Open11576¢-$22-26%2026-08-24
Open5096¢-$23-48%2026-08-08
Open5593¢-$23-46%2026-08-02
Open10049¢-$24-50%2026-07-12
Open24442¢-$26-25%2026-06-21
Open18256¢-$27-26%2026-08-08
Open7488¢-$27-41%2026-08-16
Open56578¢-$28-6%2026-09-04
Open18066¢-$30-25%2026-08-24
Open38170¢-$35-13%2026-08-12
Open19968¢-$36-26%2026-07-25
Open66444¢-$39-13%2026-08-24
Open10095¢-$39-42%2026-08-08
Open42484¢-$40-11%2026-07-11
Open65688¢-$43-7%2026-10-07
Open38968¢-$43-16%2026-10-07
Open13086¢-$47-42%2026-08-08
Open16589¢-$52-36%2026-08-24
Open25571¢-$53-29%2026-08-08
Open31844¢-$57-41%2026-10-07
Open64020¢-$58-45%2026-08-24
Open34239¢-$60-45%2026-08-31
Open64695¢-$60-10%2026-10-07
Open29751¢-$62-41%2026-08-08
Open24576¢-$64-34%2026-08-24
Open3,54149¢-$64-4%2026-08-24
Open37966¢-$67-27%2026-08-24
Open28153¢-$69-47%2026-08-08
Open24788¢-$69-32%2026-07-25
Open64997¢-$75-12%2026-10-07
Open20853¢-$76-69%2026-08-23
Open96297¢-$77-8%2026-10-07
Open47725¢-$78-64%2026-08-23
Open73496¢-$78-11%2026-10-07
Open30756¢-$80-47%2026-08-24
Open1,22996¢-$82-7%2026-10-07
Open55868¢-$92-24%2026-08-08
Open4,29842¢-$99-6%2026-08-24
Open74563¢-$100-21%2026-08-24
Open80066¢-$120-23%2026-10-07
Open99465¢-$124-19%2026-08-31
Open88819¢-$140-82%2026-08-24
Open2,81630¢-$151-18%2026-08-24
Open2,75927¢-$152-20%2026-08-24
Open15,68862¢-$184-2%2026-08-24
Open1,30917¢-$197-88%2026-08-24
Open1,98291¢-$198-11%2026-10-07
Open4,00514¢-$274-48%2026-08-23
Open1,24647¢-$313-54%2026-08-24
Open3,76295¢-$357-10%2026-10-07
Open2,11237¢-$391-50%2026-08-31
Open1,90134¢-$426-66%2026-08-23
Open1,30365¢-$514-61%2026-08-30
Open4,54564¢-$595-21%2026-08-31
Open6,36139¢-$641-26%2026-10-07

Full skill analysis (Edge Score, calibration) →