ConvexlyWallet ledger
0x1e04…744e
This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).
Resolved positions
619
Realized PnL
$57
Win rate
57%
Realized edge
+0.019
Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge +0.019 across 619 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.02, +0.06]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current open positions
Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (44 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.
| Open | 4 | 53¢ | $2 | +89% | 2026-08-18 | |
| Open | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | +150% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 4 | 56¢ | $1 | +48% | 2026-08-23 | |
| Open | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | +67% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 4 | 85¢ | $1 | +17% | 2026-08-04 | |
| Open | 250 | 0¢ | $1 | +50% | 2026-06-01 | |
| Open | 21 | 10¢ | $0 | +22% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 2 | 49¢ | $0 | +40% | 2026-08-30 | |
| Open | 3 | 34¢ | $0 | +38% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 19 | 5¢ | $0 | +32% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 1 | 70¢ | $0 | +14% | 2026-11-04 | |
| Open | 2 | 51¢ | $0 | +13% | 2026-11-04 | |
| Open | 1 | 80¢ | $0 | +12% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 4 | 68¢ | $0 | +4% | 1970-01-01 | |
| Open | 1 | 68¢ | $0 | +10% | 1970-01-01 | |
| Open | 1 | 80¢ | $0 | +9% | 1970-01-01 | |
| Open | 3 | 67¢ | $0 | +4% | 1970-01-01 | |
| Open | 2 | 95¢ | $0 | +3% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 2 | 87¢ | $0 | +2% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 1 | 77¢ | $0 | +5% | 1970-01-01 | |
| Open | 1 | 77¢ | $0 | +5% | 1970-01-01 | |
| Open | 2 | 83¢ | $0 | +2% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 1 | 89¢ | $0 | +4% | 2026-11-03 | |
| Open | 1 | 89¢ | $0 | +4% | 2026-11-03 | |
| Open | 1 | 89¢ | $0 | +2% | 2026-11-03 | |
| Open | 3 | 88¢ | $0 | +1% | 2026-09-15 | |
| Open | 1 | 89¢ | $0 | +1% | 2026-11-03 | |
| Open | 1 | 99¢ | $0 | +1% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 2 | 62¢ | $0 | +1% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 1 | 71¢ | $0 | +1% | 2026-11-04 | |
| Open | 2 | 96¢ | $0 | +0% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 1 | 91¢ | $0 | +0% | 2026-11-03 | |
| Open | 1 | 99¢ | $0 | +0% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 3 | 93¢ | $0 | +0% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 1 | 81¢ | -$0 | -0% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 1 | 89¢ | -$0 | -1% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 1 | 99¢ | -$0 | -1% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 1 | 96¢ | -$0 | -2% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 3 | 36¢ | -$0 | -2% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 1 | 94¢ | -$0 | -5% | 2027-07-31 | |
| Open | 4 | 51¢ | -$0 | -5% | 2027-05-30 | |
| Open | 11 | 37¢ | -$0 | -5% | 2026-08-24 | |
| Open | 4 | 50¢ | -$0 | -23% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 2 | 51¢ | -$1 | -97% | 2026-08-18 |