Wallet ledger

0x1b04…403f

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions
42
Realized PnL
-$16
Win rate
50%
Realized edge
-0.041

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge -0.041 across 42 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.18, +0.08]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (48 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.

Open4325¢$32+300%2026-08-23
Open4546¢$20+96%2026-08-23
Open6364¢$18+46%2026-08-19
Open9439¢$18+49%2026-08-19
Open4648¢$9+39%2026-08-18
Open2924¢$8+112%2026-08-24
Open2156¢$6+48%2026-08-23
Open1554¢$6+66%2026-08-22
Open2529¢$5+73%2026-08-24
Open2441¢$3+30%2026-08-18
Open855¢$2+57%2026-08-24
Open447¢$2+112%2026-08-24
Open246¢$1+117%2026-08-23
Open248¢$1+108%2026-08-23
Open250¢$1+96%2026-08-30
Open252¢$1+88%2026-08-24
Open267¢$1+49%2026-08-23
Open471¢$0+12%2026-08-31
Open338¢$0+32%2026-08-23
Open246¢$0+9%2026-08-24
Open335¢$0+3%2026-08-31
Open249¢$0+1%2026-08-31
Open250¢$00%2026-08-15
Open452¢-$0-1%2026-08-24
Open269¢-$0-2%2026-08-24
Open253¢-$0-6%2026-08-23
Open254¢-$0-7%2026-08-15
Open2250¢-$0-1%2026-08-31
Open261¢-$0-18%2026-08-24
Open353¢-$0-27%2026-08-24
Open1056¢-$0-8%2026-08-24
Open856¢-$0-11%2026-08-24
Open850¢-$1-15%2026-08-24
Open1553¢-$1-8%2026-08-24
Open295¢-$1-48%2026-08-15
Open260¢-$1-99%2026-08-24
Open329¢-$1-100%2026-08-23
Open254¢-$1-99%2026-08-23
Open3233¢-$1-13%2026-08-24
Open2538¢-$1-15%2026-08-24
Open2357¢-$2-12%2026-08-16
Open1924¢-$2-48%2026-08-24
Open754¢-$3-81%2026-08-22
Open1768¢-$3-27%2026-08-29
Open5330¢-$4-23%2026-08-18
Open2662¢-$4-25%2026-08-18
Open2452¢-$5-37%2026-08-18
Open4428¢-$12-100%2026-08-23

Full skill analysis (Edge Score, calibration) →