Wallet ledger

0x16bb…8492

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

1020

Realized PnL

$28.7K

Win rate

49%

Realized edge

-0.014

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge -0.014 across 1020 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.05, +0.02]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (9 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves	Open	38,695	54¢	$1.4K	+7%	2026-09-07
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) San Francisco Giants	Open	2,324	60¢	$429	+31%	2026-08-31
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 Under	Open	394	54¢	$124	+58%	2026-08-26
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Under	Open	154	49¢	$62	+82%	2026-08-26
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Under	Open	3,358	47¢	$17	+1%	2026-08-26
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres	Open	39	53¢	$1	+3%	2026-09-02
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 Under	Open	2,216	54¢	-$177	-15%	2026-08-26
Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 Over	Open	1,278	53¢	-$383	-57%	2026-08-26
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves San Francisco Giants	Open	28,390	44¢	-$550	-4%	2026-09-07

Full skill analysis (Edge Score, calibration) →