ConvexlyWallet ledger
0x134a…9e42
This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).
Resolved positions
76
Realized PnL
$389.2K
Win rate
68%
Realized edge
-0.027
Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge -0.027 across 76 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.11, +0.05]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current open positions
Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (20 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.
| Open | 268,214 | 87¢ | $34.8K | +15% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 148,156 | 79¢ | $22.6K | +19% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 11,384 | 41¢ | $3.0K | +63% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 39,303 | 77¢ | $2.7K | +9% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 1,313 | 54¢ | $345 | +48% | 1970-01-01 | |
| Open | 704 | 51¢ | $206 | +57% | 1970-01-01 | |
| Open | 2,400 | 78¢ | $180 | +10% | 2026-10-31 | |
| Open | 1,321 | 76¢ | $46 | +5% | 2026-06-16 | |
| Open | 925 | 10¢ | $23 | +25% | 2026-09-08 | |
| Open | 177 | 83¢ | $10 | +7% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 30 | 71¢ | $4 | +19% | 2026-11-01 | |
| Open | 15 | 29¢ | $0 | +5% | 2026-08-11 | |
| Open | 80 | 17¢ | -$10 | -77% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 661 | 83¢ | -$46 | -8% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 308 | 50¢ | -$100 | -64% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 410 | 63¢ | -$199 | -77% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 2,493 | 80¢ | -$279 | -14% | 2026-08-11 | |
| Open | 7,174 | 82¢ | -$897 | -15% | 2026-08-11 | |
| Open | 1,339 | 98¢ | -$970 | -74% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 9,030 | 30¢ | -$2.5K | -91% | 2026-09-01 |