Wallet ledger

0x0484…1b1a

This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).

Resolved positions

344

Realized PnL

-$761

Win rate

50%

Realized edge

-0.041

Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge -0.041 across 344 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.05, -0.03]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current open positions

Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (2 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.


Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down	Open	50	66¢	$14	+43%	2026-08-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up	Open	50	32¢	-$13	-83%	2026-08-24

Full skill analysis (Edge Score, calibration) →