Wallet positions

0x0484…1b1a

Current holdings from Polymarket, with the saved analysis of this wallet's resolved record.

Resolved positions

482

Realized PnL

-$298.33

Win rate

50.0%

Realized edge

-4.3 pp

Resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer from Polymarket's recent-trade window (the same numbers the analyzer reports). Realized edge -4.3 pp across 482 resolved positions, 95% CI [-4.7, -3.8], on the venue-derived record. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.

Current holdings

128 positions returned. Up to 500 by current value; venue filters can omit holdings.

Checked 2026-10-08 04:18:21 UTC.

About this snapshot

Checked is our request time, not the venue's update time. Prices, values and PnL are venue snapshot figures; missing values show a dash. Held does not establish whether a market has resolved; Redeemable is the venue's flag. Snapshot PnL is separate from the saved resolved record above. This is not the full trading history.


Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up	Redeemable	50	61.84¢	100¢	$50.00	$440.36	+61.7%	2026-07-14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up	Redeemable	0.734	15.47¢	0¢	$0.00	$104.94	-99.9%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down	Redeemable	0.3882	12.01¢	0¢	$0.00	$81.58	-99.9%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up	Redeemable	36.2254	12.72¢	0¢	$0.00	$66.37	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down	Redeemable	0.4705	17.61¢	0¢	$0.00	$60.95	-99.9%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up	Redeemable	53.3449	19.77¢	0¢	$0.00	$56.70	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down	Redeemable	27.9939	26.95¢	0¢	$0.00	$49.69	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down	Redeemable	9.0194	3.48¢	0¢	$0.00	$45.25	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up	Redeemable	0.2024	6.43¢	0¢	$0.00	$44.97	-99.8%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down	Redeemable	0.1863	31.4¢	0¢	$0.00	$42.10	-99.9%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up	Redeemable	9.7164	23.07¢	0¢	$0.00	$36.56	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up	Redeemable	80.3793	20.25¢	0¢	$0.00	$32.65	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down	Redeemable	0.1885	35.9¢	0¢	$0.00	$32.12	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up	Redeemable	37.9316	32.72¢	0¢	$0.00	$26.02	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down	Redeemable	37.0218	24.76¢	0¢	$0.00	$22.98	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down	Redeemable	17.7072	46.12¢	0¢	$0.00	$20.84	-100.0%	2026-04-23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up	Redeemable	43	55.99¢	100¢	$43.00	$18.18	+78.6%	2026-09-03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down	Redeemable	0.1246	42.26¢	0¢	$0.00	$18.15	-99.8%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down	Redeemable	86	79.79¢	100¢	$86.00	$16.47	+25.3%	2026-09-03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up	Redeemable	26.1196	39.76¢	0¢	$0.00	$15.09	-100.0%	2026-04-23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down	Redeemable	10	53¢	100¢	$10.00	$4.53	+88.7%	2026-09-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down	Redeemable	27.8466	42.9¢	0¢	$0.00	$2.31	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down	Redeemable	7.347	22.08¢	0¢	$0.00	$0.54	-100.0%	2026-04-26
Will “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series? No	Redeemable	0.8	98¢	100¢	$0.80	$0.02	+2.0%	2026-09-14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down	Redeemable	5	3¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.16	-100.0%	2026-06-03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up	Redeemable	5	8¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.43	-100.0%	2026-09-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up	Redeemable	10	5¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.53	-100.0%	2026-05-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up	Redeemable	5	12¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.64	-100.0%	2026-09-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down	Redeemable	5	14¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.74	-100.0%	2026-05-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down	Redeemable	5	18¢	0¢	$0.00	-$0.95	-100.0%	2026-09-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up	Redeemable	5	26¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.37	-100.0%	2026-09-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down	Redeemable	5	27¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.42	-100.0%	2026-08-09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up	Redeemable	5	30¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.57	-100.0%	2026-09-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down	Redeemable	5	31¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.62	-100.0%	2026-08-01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down	Redeemable	5	32¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.68	-100.0%	2026-09-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down	Redeemable	5	32¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.68	-100.0%	2026-08-09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down	Redeemable	5	35¢	0¢	$0.00	-$1.83	-100.0%	2026-09-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up	Redeemable	10	22¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.32	-100.0%	2026-05-22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up	Redeemable	5	48¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.49	-100.0%	2026-09-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down	Redeemable	5	48¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.49	-100.0%	2026-08-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down	Redeemable	5	49¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.54	-100.0%	2026-06-09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up	Redeemable	5	51¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.64	-100.0%	2026-09-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up	Redeemable	5	55¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.84	-100.0%	2026-06-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up	Redeemable	5	57¢	0¢	$0.00	-$2.94	-100.0%	2026-07-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up	Redeemable	5	69¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.52	-100.0%	2026-09-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down	Redeemable	5	76¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.86	-100.0%	2026-06-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	10	37.5¢	0¢	$0.00	-$3.91	-100.0%	2026-06-09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up	Redeemable	30	14¢	0¢	$0.00	-$4.45	-100.0%	2026-06-03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down	Redeemable	20	26¢	0¢	$0.00	-$5.47	-100.0%	2026-05-22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up	Redeemable	20	34.35¢	0¢	$0.00	-$7.19	-100.0%	2026-05-21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up	Redeemable	20	36¢	0¢	$0.00	-$7.52	-100.0%	2026-05-22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up	Redeemable	86	8.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$8.23	-100.0%	2026-09-03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up	Redeemable	50	16¢	0¢	$0.00	-$8.47	-100.0%	2026-09-05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up	Redeemable	22	38.63¢	0¢	$0.00	-$8.87	-100.0%	2026-09-05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up	Redeemable	50	17¢	0¢	$0.00	-$8.99	-100.0%	2026-09-05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up	Redeemable	20	45¢	0¢	$0.00	-$9.34	-100.0%	2026-05-21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up	Redeemable	20	45.22¢	0¢	$0.00	-$9.39	-100.0%	2026-05-22
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up	Redeemable	19	47.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$9.45	-100.0%	2026-07-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up	Redeemable	25	37.78¢	0¢	$0.00	-$9.86	-100.0%	2026-05-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up	Redeemable	15	65.33¢	0¢	$0.00	-$10.04	-100.0%	2026-06-09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up	Redeemable	1,199.406	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$11.99	-100.0%	2026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up	Redeemable	1,199.4353	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$11.99	-100.0%	2026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down	Redeemable	1,199.9389	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.00	-100.0%	2026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down	Redeemable	1,199.9549	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.00	-100.0%	2026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up	Redeemable	1,199.96	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.00	-100.0%	2026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up	Redeemable	1,199.9712	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.00	-100.0%	2026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down	Redeemable	1,199.9983	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.00	-100.0%	2026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down	Redeemable	1,199.9954	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.00	-100.0%	2026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up	Redeemable	1,200	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.00	-100.0%	2026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up	Redeemable	1,200	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.00	-100.0%	2026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down	Redeemable	1,200	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.00	-100.0%	2026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up	Redeemable	1,200	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.00	-100.0%	2026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up	Redeemable	1,200	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.00	-100.0%	2026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up	Redeemable	1,200	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.00	-100.0%	2026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down	Redeemable	1,200	1¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.00	-100.0%	2026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up	Redeemable	20	60¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.34	-100.0%	2026-05-22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up	Redeemable	25	50¢	0¢	$0.00	-$12.94	-100.0%	2026-05-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down	Redeemable	26	50¢	0¢	$0.00	-$13.46	-100.0%	2026-07-08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up	Redeemable	30	44¢	0¢	$0.00	-$13.72	-100.0%	2026-06-08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up	Redeemable	30	46¢	0¢	$0.00	-$14.32	-100.0%	2026-05-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up	Redeemable	30	49.33¢	0¢	$0.00	-$15.32	-100.0%	2026-07-01
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down	Redeemable	50	29.29¢	0¢	$0.00	-$15.38	-100.0%	2026-08-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down	Redeemable	30	51¢	0¢	$0.00	-$15.82	-100.0%	2026-08-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up	Redeemable	30	51¢	0¢	$0.00	-$15.82	-100.0%	2026-07-02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down	Redeemable	25	66¢	0¢	$0.00	-$16.90	-100.0%	2026-05-09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	50	33.2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$17.38	-100.0%	2026-09-05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down	Redeemable	43	40¢	0¢	$0.00	-$17.92	-100.0%	2026-09-03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	25	74.99¢	0¢	$0.00	-$19.08	-100.0%	2026-05-26
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up	Redeemable	30	62¢	0¢	$0.00	-$19.09	-100.0%	2026-06-29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down	Redeemable	30	69.58¢	0¢	$0.00	-$21.32	-100.0%	2026-06-28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down	Redeemable	50	41.79¢	0¢	$0.00	-$21.75	-100.0%	2026-09-05
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up	Redeemable	50	42¢	0¢	$0.00	-$21.85	-100.0%	2026-08-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down	Redeemable	50	45.43¢	0¢	$0.00	-$23.59	-100.0%	2026-08-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down	Redeemable	2,314.464	1.03¢	0¢	$0.00	-$23.99	-100.0%	2026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up	Redeemable	2,314.464	1.03¢	0¢	$0.00	-$23.99	-100.0%	2026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down	Redeemable	94.3676	46.98¢	0¢	$0.00	-$24.07	-100.0%	2026-04-23
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down	Redeemable	50	47¢	0¢	$0.00	-$24.37	-100.0%	2026-08-08
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up	Redeemable	50	49.59¢	0¢	$0.00	-$25.67	-100.0%	2026-08-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up	Redeemable	50	50.4¢	0¢	$0.00	-$26.08	-100.0%	2026-08-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up	Redeemable	50	52.21¢	0¢	$0.00	-$26.98	-100.0%	2026-08-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up	Redeemable	50	53¢	0¢	$0.00	-$27.37	-100.0%	2026-07-08
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down	Redeemable	50	53.43¢	0¢	$0.00	-$27.59	-100.0%	2026-08-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up	Redeemable	50	54.49¢	0¢	$0.00	-$28.12	-100.0%	2026-08-09
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down	Redeemable	50	57.01¢	0¢	$0.00	-$29.36	-100.0%	2026-08-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up	Redeemable	50	58¢	0¢	$0.00	-$29.85	-100.0%	2026-08-08
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up	Redeemable	50	60¢	0¢	$0.00	-$30.84	-100.0%	2026-08-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down	Redeemable	50	60.33¢	0¢	$0.00	-$31.01	-100.0%	2026-08-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up	Redeemable	50	60.8¢	0¢	$0.00	-$31.24	-100.0%	2026-08-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down	Redeemable	53.0095	16.81¢	0¢	$0.00	-$31.43	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down	Redeemable	50	65.38¢	0¢	$0.00	-$33.49	-100.0%	2026-08-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down	Redeemable	28.9509	56.53¢	0¢	$0.00	-$34.40	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down	Redeemable	46.6675	14.29¢	0¢	$0.00	-$37.52	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up	Redeemable	18.4206	15.72¢	0¢	$0.00	-$48.13	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down	Redeemable	86.4708	52.43¢	0¢	$0.00	-$66.15	-100.0%	2026-04-23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down	Redeemable	59.9357	54.19¢	0¢	$0.00	-$67.04	-100.0%	2026-04-23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down	Redeemable	28.9582	57.86¢	0¢	$0.00	-$81.23	-100.0%	2026-04-23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down	Redeemable	0.1301	60.27¢	0¢	$0.00	-$81.86	-99.9%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down	Redeemable	3,599.9131	2.33¢	0¢	$0.00	-$83.93	-100.0%	2026-04-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down	Redeemable	93.8866	60.14¢	0¢	$0.00	-$85.63	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up	Redeemable	16.5239	51.2¢	0¢	$0.00	-$86.34	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down	Redeemable	7.5759	59.61¢	0¢	$0.00	-$107.51	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down	Redeemable	27.4924	34.64¢	0¢	$0.00	-$141.12	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down	Redeemable	47.0063	47.88¢	0¢	$0.00	-$142.67	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up	Redeemable	27.0998	51¢	0¢	$0.00	-$169.53	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up	Redeemable	8.4543	54.08¢	0¢	$0.00	-$201.05	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up	Redeemable	92.1382	52.38¢	0¢	$0.00	-$208.14	-100.0%	2026-04-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down	Redeemable	93.5882	35.44¢	0¢	$0.00	-$393.66	-100.0%	2026-04-23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up	Redeemable	3,559.7177	22.82¢	0¢	$0.00	-$812.47	-100.0%	2026-04-27

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