Polymarket wallet record
One-time access to this wallet’s reconciled settled-position record from Polygon. The wallet page shows the latest available record, with its block and date.
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The result covers settled positions that can be reconciled to the chain, as of a stated block. Unresolved positions and later trades are outside that read. A record receipt is available only while the underlying read meets its issuance checks.
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What previous full reads foundOf the 360 Polymarket wallets Convexly had read in full from the Polygon settlement record by 2026-08-17, most of them research candidates chosen because a shorter read had put them ahead of their entry prices, 143 came back not separable from chance, 58 behind their entry prices, and 159 ahead of their entry prices on their own record. Another 100 attempted full reads did not complete and are not counted; this is a count of the reads we have done, not a rate for Polymarket wallets.
Sign in to see the fills our collectors recorded for this wallet: side, size, price, and time for each one. Coverage is the markets our collectors follow, so this record can be empty.
Independent read
A methodology-cited read of this wallet's public Polymarket record, taken from the venue's recent-trade window. The statistics below describe that window, not the wallet's whole resolved record.
Diagnostics on public Polymarket behavior, not a trade-following recommendation or a per-wallet forward forecast. Not investment advice.
Read coverage
Coverage for this read has not been established; it is treated as a partial, windowed read.
Dated reference data, separate from the current wallet read.
On the frozen 2026-04-25 research snapshot (sub-daily crypto up/down micro-markets excluded), this wallet had 343 resolved positions with a win rate of 52.2% and a realized edge over entry prices of +10.5 probability points, 95% CI [+5.5, +15.8] (BCa bootstrap); the 95% interval clears zero on the positive side.
One of 178 of 3871 wallets (each with at least 30 resolved positions on that snapshot) that cleared a Benjamini-Hochberg false-discovery screen at q = 0.1 for positive realized edge over entry prices; expected false discoveries among the cleared set are at most 17.8. This is in-sample skill-vs-luck separation on a frozen snapshot, not validated forward skill.
The frozen snapshot does not carry the single-event concentration screen that the live analyzer applies; the realized-edge read above (when present) is the concentration-screened read.
Snapshot 2026-04-25 · screen computed 2026-06-01 · registry sha256 5478f7c47b8296b2... · frozen methodology hash 39f07abfcabb84e9...
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How this read was produced