Calibration Challenge Result

Calibration Score Card

Completed April 20, 2026

Brier Score

0.166

lower is better · 0 = perfect

Well Calibrated

Correct

8/10

Avg Human

0.250

vs Average

-0.084

0 (perfect)Avg benchmark (0.25)0.50

Generated by Convexly , Calibration + Sizing Intelligence