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polymarket
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Facts above are read from Polygon logs by Convexly and dated by the block they were emitted in. They are not a review of the market and not investment advice.
Resolution rules
Resolution text decoded by Convexly from the on-chain question payload emitted at Polygon block 91,436,398, reproduced verbatim; not reviewed or endorsed by Convexly.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. market_id: 3340215 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to Down, p2 to Up, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:ac9930b2ae455a671b62de86876a7e8587825294
A payout vector for this market's condition was reported to the shared ConditionalTokens contract on Polygon at block 91,551,874.
The contract is shared and not venue-operated; the reporting address says who reported the payout, never who was right. Outcome indices refer to positions in the payout vector, not to venue outcome labels.
Settlement read via the resolved-markets feed | swept through block 94,248,427
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None of the wallets in Convexly's provably-complete set has been observed trading this market. That is a statement about this set's observed footprint, not about who trades here.
Check any Polymarket wallet →Boundary of this page
This page carries the market question and resolution text as decoded from its on-chain payload, and the settlement recorded on chain when one exists. Venue prices, rules and observed fills are shown to signed-in accounts. It is not investment advice and not a claim about how this market will resolve.
Reading this page with a script? The market question text, the on-chain settlement and dispute records and the wallet records are available in a documented form with an API key. API documentation, or write to research@convexly.app.