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Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6?

Resolved price

As reported by Polymarket

Resolved · venue-reported payout. Chart shows historical trading prices.

Loading Up price history…
Polymarket price history · Up · UTC
Resolved price source and timing

Venue reports closed or resolved

Up · Resolution price fetched: 2026-09-10 04:36:03 UTC. This is not the settlement time.
Down · Resolution price fetched: 2026-09-10 04:36:03 UTC. This is not the settlement time.

Polymarket Gamma reports this market as resolved and supplies these outcome prices. This is venue-reported data, not an independent chain verification. Resolved payouts are not live trading quotes.

View Polymarket source response
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Part of event: Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6? · bitcoin-up-or-down-on-august-6-2026

Market structure and 24h change as reported by Polymarket's public API.

Top of book

Best bid

0.999

Best ask

1.000

Spread

0.1% of mid

0.10 pts

As reported by Polymarket's public API at 04:36 UTC; top of book, not full depth; per-side depth not shown. The spread is shown against the midpoint of the two quotes above, which is arithmetic on the venue's figures, not a figure the venue reports.

Volume

Total volume

$228,204

Volume as reported by Polymarket's public API.

Resolution rules

Rules supplied by Polymarket, reproduced verbatim; not independently reviewed or endorsed by Convexly.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.Show the full rules text

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 5 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 6 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution mechanics

Resolution parameters as stated by Polymarket.

Automatic resolution: Polymarket states this market resolves through its sports-oracle auto-resolution path rather than through the UMA proposer flow.

Structural coherence read

The Coherent Markets Engine checks this market's pricing for structural inconsistencies against related markets. Whether a current signal exists, and its construction, is included with Researcher.

See Researcher

Market opened 2026-08-04 · minimum order size 5 shares · price tick size 0.001 · as stated by Polymarket.

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