Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?

-0.3 pts 24h

Part of a mutually exclusive multi-outcome group (Polymarket neg-risk)

Part of event: Elon Musk # tweets September 5 - September 7, 2026? · elon-musk-of-tweets-september-5-september-7-2026

Market structure and 24h change as reported by Polymarket's public API.

Top of book

Best bid

0.008

Best ask

0.009

Spread

12% of mid

0.10 pts

As reported by Polymarket's public API at 21:02 UTC; top of book, not full depth; per-side depth not shown. The spread is shown against the midpoint of the two quotes above, which is arithmetic on the venue's figures, not a figure the venue reports.

Volume

24h volume

$18,267

Total volume

$20,182

Volume as reported by Polymarket's public API.

Resolution rules

Rules as stated by Polymarket, reproduced verbatim. Convexly has not independently reviewed them and does not endorse them; the rating's resolution-reliability pillar treats rule text as present but not independently reviewed.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Show the full rules text

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution mechanics

Resolution parameters as stated by Polymarket.

Resolved by (UMA adapter): 0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24
Proposer bond: $500 proposer bond
Proposer reward: $4 proposer reward
Stated resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?

Structural coherence read