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Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Market price

Polymarket · outcome prices
Loading Yes price history…
Polymarket price history · Yes · UTC
Current quote source and timing

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Yes · Fetched: 2026-09-10 03:58:06 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.
No · Fetched: 2026-09-10 03:58:06 UTC. Quote event time unavailable.

Public Polymarket CLOB observations. Midpoints are reference prices, not executable quotes. Gamma snapshots show fetch time only. These prices are not Convexly forecasts or ratings.

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-0.4 pts 24h

Part of a mutually exclusive multi-outcome group (Polymarket neg-risk)

Part of event: Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 · ballon-dor-winner-2026

Market structure and 24h change as reported by Polymarket's public API.

Top of book

Best bid

0.625

Best ask

0.626

Spread

0.2% of mid

0.10 pts

As reported by Polymarket's public API at 03:58 UTC; top of book, not full depth; per-side depth not shown. The spread is shown against the midpoint of the two quotes above, which is arithmetic on the venue's figures, not a figure the venue reports.

Volume

24h volume

$40,326

Total volume

$4,078,945

Volume as reported by Polymarket's public API.

Resolution rules

Rules supplied by Polymarket, reproduced verbatim; not independently reviewed or endorsed by Convexly.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Resolution mechanics

Resolution parameters as stated by Polymarket.

Resolved by (UMA adapter)
0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d
Proposer bond
$500 proposer bond
Proposer reward
$5 proposer reward

Structural coherence read

The Coherent Markets Engine checks this market's pricing for structural inconsistencies against related markets. Whether a current signal exists, and its construction, is included with Researcher.

See Researcher

Market opened 2025-09-22 · minimum order size 5 shares · price tick size 0.001 · as stated by Polymarket.

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