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polymarket
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Facts above are read from Polygon logs by Convexly and dated by the block they were emitted in. They are not a review of the market and not investment advice.
Resolution rules
Resolution text decoded by Convexly from the on-chain question payload emitted at Polygon block 92,243,531, reproduced verbatim; not reviewed or endorsed by Convexly.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. market_id: 3701690 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:f43d55f3a8b7484ed4b6931f93cb6f9ef5dd369d
A payout vector for this market's condition was reported to the shared ConditionalTokens contract on Polygon at block 94,145,331.
The contract is shared and not venue-operated; the reporting address says who reported the payout, never who was right. Outcome indices refer to positions in the payout vector, not to venue outcome labels.
Settlement read via the resolved-markets feed | swept through block 96,085,777
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None of the wallets in Convexly's provably-complete set has been observed trading this market. That is a statement about this set's observed footprint, not about who trades here.
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This page carries the market question and resolution text as decoded from its on-chain payload, and the settlement recorded on chain when one exists. Venue prices, rules and observed fills are shown to signed-in accounts. It is not investment advice and not a claim about how this market will resolve.
Reading this page with a script? The market question text, the on-chain settlement and dispute records and the wallet records are available in a documented form with an API key. API documentation, or write to research@convexly.app.