Calibration Leaderboard
Lower Brier score = better calibration. 0 is perfect, 0.25 is average.
Anonymous Forecaster #1
10/10 correct · 12h ago
0.044
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #2
10/10 correct · 15h ago
0.075
Exceptional
Anonymous Forecaster #3
9/10 correct · 8h ago
0.106
Well Calibrated
Anonymous Forecaster #4
9/10 correct · 19h ago
0.131
Well Calibrated
Anonymous Forecaster #5
8/10 correct · 16h ago
0.148
Well Calibrated
Anonymous Forecaster #6
8/10 correct · 44m ago
0.150
Well Calibrated
Anonymous Forecaster #7
9/10 correct · 12h ago
0.150
Well Calibrated
Anonymous Forecaster #8
8/10 correct · 20h ago
0.157
Well Calibrated
Anonymous Forecaster #9
7/10 correct · 20h ago
0.200
Reasonably Calibrated
Anonymous Forecaster #10
8/10 correct · 1m ago
0.214
Reasonably Calibrated
Anonymous Forecaster #11
7/10 correct · 13h ago
0.214
Reasonably Calibrated
Anonymous Forecaster #12
7/10 correct · 5h ago
0.220
Reasonably Calibrated
Anonymous Forecaster #13
8/10 correct · 2h ago
0.221
Reasonably Calibrated
Anonymous Forecaster #14
8/10 correct · 19h ago
0.231
Reasonably Calibrated
Anonymous Forecaster #15
7/10 correct · 14h ago
0.243
Reasonably Calibrated
Anonymous Forecaster #16
9/10 correct · 11h ago
0.250
Reasonably Calibrated
Anonymous Forecaster #17
6/10 correct · 16h ago
0.251
Below Average
Anonymous Forecaster #18
5/10 correct · 39m ago
0.259
Below Average
Anonymous Forecaster #19
5/10 correct · 6h ago
0.269
Below Average
Anonymous Forecaster #20
6/10 correct · 9h ago
0.277
Below Average
Anonymous Forecaster #21
6/10 correct · 11h ago
0.319
Below Average
Anonymous Forecaster #22
5/10 correct · 19h ago
0.342
Below Average
Anonymous Forecaster #23
5/10 correct · 15h ago
0.384
Needs Practice
Anonymous Forecaster #24
4/10 correct · 10h ago
0.476
Needs Practice
Think you can make the list?
Take the 10-question Calibration Challenge. No signup required.
Take the Quiz