ConvexlyWallet ledger
0xd6dd…98ee
This wallet's resolved record, plus a live snapshot of its current open positions. Public Polymarket data, descriptive only (not a skill claim).
Resolved positions
32
Realized PnL
-$751
Win rate
53%
Realized edge
+0.011
Canonical resolved record reconstructed by the analyzer (the same numbers the analyzer and leaderboard report). Realized edge +0.011 across 32 resolved positions, 95% CI [-0.04, +0.07]. Descriptive diagnostics from settled public trades, not a skill claim and not a forecast.
Current open positions
Live holdings snapshot from Polymarket right now (59 open). These are unsettled positions, not part of the resolved record above.
| Open | 4,780 | 39¢ | $452 | +24% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 883 | 33¢ | $367 | +126% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 3,560 | 60¢ | $293 | +14% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 400 | 30¢ | $207 | +173% | 2026-09-30 | |
| Open | 1,000 | 49¢ | $205 | +42% | 2026-09-16 | |
| Open | 1,569 | 72¢ | $179 | +16% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 500 | 36¢ | $162 | +90% | 2026-09-16 | |
| Open | 4,801 | 78¢ | $158 | +4% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 400 | 75¢ | $95 | +32% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 300 | 70¢ | $87 | +42% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 400 | 75¢ | $74 | +25% | 2026-09-08 | |
| Open | 400 | 84¢ | $64 | +19% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 600 | 89¢ | $47 | +9% | 2026-11-01 | |
| Open | 3,237 | 96¢ | $45 | +1% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 400 | 84¢ | $43 | +13% | 2026-10-01 | |
| Open | 492 | 76¢ | $38 | +10% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 500 | 39¢ | $21 | +11% | 2026-10-28 | |
| Open | 450 | 95¢ | $21 | +5% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 306 | 64¢ | $17 | +9% | 2026-12-09 | |
| Open | 36 | 44¢ | $13 | +84% | 2026-09-22 | |
| Open | 370 | 88¢ | $12 | +4% | 2026-12-01 | |
| Open | 504 | 83¢ | $9 | +2% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 16 | 48¢ | $8 | +99% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 500 | 54¢ | $7 | +3% | 2026-12-09 | |
| Open | 300 | 29¢ | $7 | +7% | 2026-09-16 | |
| Open | 504 | 14¢ | $6 | +9% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 20 | 36¢ | $4 | +59% | 2026-10-28 | |
| Open | 36 | 89¢ | $4 | +12% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 5 | 56¢ | $1 | +22% | 2026-09-16 | |
| Open | 5 | 87¢ | $0 | +11% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 5 | 36¢ | -$0 | -15% | 2026-09-16 | |
| Open | 3 | 93¢ | -$1 | -25% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 16 | 7¢ | -$1 | -95% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 20 | 10¢ | -$2 | -97% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 12 | 61¢ | -$2 | -27% | 2026-12-09 | |
| Open | 541 | 50¢ | -$3 | -1% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 400 | 18¢ | -$6 | -8% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 370 | 12¢ | -$7 | -15% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 16 | 46¢ | -$7 | -98% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 400 | 21¢ | -$9 | -10% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 36 | 54¢ | -$11 | -56% | 2026-10-01 | |
| Open | 21 | 64¢ | -$13 | -98% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 600 | 11¢ | -$15 | -23% | 2026-12-01 | |
| Open | 450 | 5¢ | -$17 | -74% | 2026-08-31 | |
| Open | 3,237 | 5¢ | -$39 | -27% | 2026-10-01 | |
| Open | 400 | 16¢ | -$42 | -66% | 2026-10-01 | |
| Open | 300 | 16¢ | -$44 | -92% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 400 | 25¢ | -$51 | -50% | 2026-09-15 | |
| Open | 327 | 22¢ | -$51 | -70% | 2026-10-01 | |
| Open | 3,560 | 33¢ | -$71 | -6% | 2026-12-31 | |
| Open | 400 | 25¢ | -$75 | -74% | 2026-09-08 | |
| Open | 1,018 | 42¢ | -$102 | -24% | 2026-09-16 | |
| Open | 4,444 | 19¢ | -$110 | -13% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 404 | 33¢ | -$126 | -95% | 2026-09-01 | |
| Open | 1,869 | 23¢ | -$137 | -32% | 1970-01-01 | |
| Open | 502 | 59¢ | -$143 | -48% | 2026-12-09 | |
| Open | 400 | 65¢ | -$189 | -73% | 2026-10-01 | |
| Open | 795 | 62¢ | -$301 | -61% | 2027-01-01 | |
| Open | 5,321 | 55¢ | -$301 | -10% | 2026-12-31 |